LEGISLATION WATCH- Auto dealers beware: The Consumer Protection Act has you in its sights: The Consumer Protection Act, which is currently being discussed in a plenary session at the House of Representatives, could impose new regulations on the sale of cars, Al Borsa reports. The law starts off by classifying cars as a “strategic good,” which places its sale in the purview of the Consumer Protection Authority (CPA) and its crusader-head, Atef Yakoub. Key features of the act that impact the auto industry include:
- Price controls: It appears as a “strategic good,” the CPA can be authorized to set price controls on vehicles if it receives approval from the cabinet. It is not yet clear under which circumstances the CPA would have a mandate to regulate prices.
- Dealers will have to clearly display sticker prices and clearly. Break down service fees.
- New penalties: The law sets penalties of up to EGP 500k for cars not meeting Egyptian or international standards. A penalty of up to EGP 2 mn is set for cars which are classified as unsafe; dealers who sell an unsafe vehicle that later results in bodily harm to a driver or passenger could face life in prison.
- Recall guidelines: The Consumer Protection Act sets a deadline of seven days for a company to recall cars which have been deemed faulty.
- Eliminating waitlists: The act outlaws the practice of waitlists on models, and the premium pricing on cars. The act bans hoarding of cars to artificially inflate the price.
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Eurobond issuance coming any day now: Egypt will be issuing USD 4-5 bn in eurobonds “within days,” said Finance Minister Amr El Garhy on Sunday, according to Reuters. The timing was chosen to coincide with climbing yields in the international bond market, El Garhy said at a presser yesterday following a meeting with Prime Minister Sherif Ismail, according to Youm7. El Garhy has previously said that the bonds will be issued on the London and Luxembourg stock exchanges. HSBC, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase & Co, Morgan Stanley, and National Bank of Abu Dhabi will be managing the issuance. Al Tamimi & Co. and Dechert LLP were chosen as legal advisors to the government and Linklater LLP and Zaki Hashem & Partners are advising the banking consortium.
El Garhy says there are no issues with the state IPO program: El Garhy also dismissed rumors that there were issues concerning the state IPO program, as the schedule and the timeline had not been announced yet. El Garhy said that procedures for the program had been ironed out, adding that the ball is rolling on the IPO of energy firm Enppi, though a timeline for the transaction has yet to be made clear. El Garhy also dismissed previous statements attributed to government officials that the state is expecting to net EGP 10 bn from the IPO of state assets over the coming three year, Al Masry Al Youm reports. He added that the government will list 8-10 companies over the next 18 months.
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Egypt’s net FX reserves see biggest m-o-m jump since July: Egypt’s net FX reserves rose to USD 38.2 bn as at the end of January, up from USD 37.02 bn at the end of December, making their biggest m-o-m jump since July last year, according to CBE figures released yesterday. The rise came on the back of a USD 1.5 bn increase in inflows into the banking system, which recorded total flows of USD 5.6 bn, CBE Governor Tarek Amer said statements to the press last night. He noted that Egypt’s debt service obligations to the Paris Club were down by half at the start of 2018, with the state having had to repay only USD 290 mn. “The data is the latest sign that Egypt has turned the page on a USD shortage that squeezed the economy before authorities abandoned most currency restrictions and cut subsidies,” says Bloomberg. It is also a “strong sign the economy is able to accumulate excess USD, even if it is funded to a large extent by external borrowing,” said CI Capital senior economist Hany Farahat.
CBE Sub-governor Rami Aboul Naga had said last week that Egypt’s foreign reserves are sufficient to cover eight-months’ worth of imports — a very positive development, according to Allen Sandeep, head of research at Naeem Brokerage. “It will be even more positive if this was a result of real improvements in the trading account — for example, higher exports and drop in imports,” Sandeep told Reuters.
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INVESTMENT WATCH- Enara Capital is planning to invest USD 300 mn in developing renewable energy projects in Egypt over the next five years, CEO Sherif El Gabaly tells Al Borsa. The projects, which will include solar, wind and waste-to-energy projects, will have a combined capacity of 300 MW. The company had announced in December that it would partner up with a Chinese consortium to invest USD 1 bn in renewable energy projects in Africa over the next three years. The projects will be funded under the World Bank’s financing framework for renewable energy projects in the region, under which Egypt has received c. USD 1.8 bn in funding.
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INVESTMENT WATCH- Jamal Al Ghurair’s planned USD 1 bn sugar plant plant in Egypt will help the country reach self-sufficiency, Investment Minister Sahar Nasr said, according to Reuters. The agro-industrial project, Al Canal Sugar, will be funded in part by Ghurair’s Al Khaleej Sugar Refinery, which will put in around USD 333 mn of the total cost. The Minya plant should begin production in 2020 and put out an annual 900k tonnes of sugar once its fully operational by February 2021. The plant will be located 200 KMs away from its market and use mostly beets as a raw material, according to Ghurair. Land for the project was allocated under a 60 year-contract, the newswire says. Bloomberg also has the story.
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INVESTMENT WATCH- Kandil Steel plans to invest USD 40 mn to increase by 50% capacity to produce galvanized steel, chairman Amr Kandil tells Al Borsa in an interview. The company hopes to boost production to 900k tonnes from a current 600k by 2019, he added.
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M&A WATCH- HC Securities & Investment is advising on M&A transactions in Egypt and internationally worth a combined EGP 3 bn, company chairman Hussein Shoukry tells Reuters in an interview on Sunday. The investment bank is concluding four transactions at the moment, he added. HC is the buy-side adviser for unnamed investors from the Far East, Europe and MENA on two transactions to acquire a petrochemicals company and a medical equipment manufacturer, said Shoukry, without naming the target companies. The firm is also advising on a USD 50 mn acquisition of 30% of an unnamed Kuwaiti petroleum company by a Saudi investor. HC is also working on restructuring an Egyptian company her referred to as “one of the largest food and beverage producers in the country.”
HC has also signed on as buy-side adviser to three GCC companies looking at regional food and education opportunities. It has also been tapped to act as the sell-side adviser on an Egyptian manufacturing company, said Shoukry.
HC won’t move into the increasingly crowded leasing space until interest rates drop, he added. Shoukry expects interest rates to drop 500-600 bps in 2018, “a move which would help us launch leasing operations with our partners.”
Investors not too worried about the elections: When asked on the impact of the presidential elections on the investment community, Shoukry said that he does not expect them to pose any particular risk to investor-appetite. Investors see a victory by President Abdel Fattah El Sisi as a foregone conclusion, he added.
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Is the Oil Ministry backtracking on ending LNG imports in July? “Egypt will stop importing LNG by the end of the year,” Oil Minister Tarek El Molla said at a press conference yesterday, according to Reuters. El Molla had announced last week that Egypt will end LNG shipments by mid-2018, which in retrospect, appears to have been a target estimate.
He also noted that one Floating Storage Regasification Unit (FSRU) could remain commissioned to accommodate LNG imports by the private sector or in case there is a shift towards supplying more power plants with natural gas instead of diesel or heavy fuel oil, Al Masry Al Youm reported.
Egypt’s natural gas production will exceed 6 bcf/d before the end of 2018, the minister added. Natural gas production increased by 1.6 bcf/d in 2017 to reach an output rate of 5.5 bcf/d currently, El Molla says.
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The Egyptian government is looking to launch an electricity interconnection project with Ethiopia and Sudan through a 1,600 km transmission network, government sources tell Daily News Egypt. The Electricity Ministry had already conducted a feasibility study for the project, but it was halted due to the troubled talks over the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, sources added. The presidents of the three countries agreed at a trilateral meeting last month to set up a joint investment fund to finance infrastructure projects, including renewable energy power plants and constructing road and railway lines linking the three countries. Electricity Minister Mohamed Shaker had announced last month that Egypt would begin exporting excess electricity to the region in 2018. Egypt is already engaged in an interconnection project with Saudi Arabia that should see the two countries exchange up to 3 GW of electricity once it launches in 2021, as well as two others with Jordan and Libya. Cyprus and Greece are also potential markets for power exports.
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Remember that SAR 60 bn investment fund announced during King Salman’s visit in 2016? It’s apparently still in the works and came up during the Egyptian-Saudi Business Council talks last week. Both sides of the council agreed that investments under the fund will primarily come from the Saudi government, deputy council head Abdullah Bin Mahfouz said, according to Al Mal. Mahfouz blamed the general malaise in the GCC economy resulting from weak oil prices for the delay in executing investment pledges made during King Salman’s visit.
As for what Saudi investors are looking for in Egypt, Mahfouz said that most investors are eyeing projects in neighborhood of EGP 50-100 mn, with the pharma, healthcare and education sector being particularly attractive.
Also coming from the Egyptian-Saudi Business Council talks: Saudi is apparently trying to piggyback off of Egypt’s plans to help with the reconstruction of Libya and Iraq. The council is looking to form partnerships between Egyptian and Saudi investors to take part in reconstruction projects in Libya and Iraq, Mahfouz tells Al Borsa. Saudi companies are looking to get their toes wet in Libya through such partnerships, he said, adding that they will participate in an international investment conference for projects in Benghazi in March.
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Service revenues from Vodafone Group’s Egyptian operations rose 18.8% y-o-y in 3Q2017, “with successful segmented campaigns and rising data penetration supporting higher [average revenue per user], combined with strong customer base growth,” according to a company statement (pdf). Vodafone Group’s total revenue dropped 3.6% y-o-y to EUR 11.8 bn during the quarter, down from EUR 12.2 bn in 3Q2016.
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