**#1 Egypt cancels bond auction for the fourth consecutive week: Egypt called off its fourth treasury bond auction in as many weeks on Monday, the Finance Ministry said on Monday. Officials called off sales of five- and 10-year treasury bonds worth EGP 3 bn because of the high yields on demand. Bankers speaking to Reuters say that yields requested at Monday’s sale were between 18.5% and 19.0%.
Despite the Finance Ministry’s best plans to rely on longer-tenor debt issuances, it has had to depend on shorter-term treasury bills to cover financing. “To date in September, Egypt has raised EGP 7.1 bn in excess cash through auctions. In August they raised a total of EGP 12.7 bn from treasury bonds, so you can presume the bulk of the shortfall has been covered by the increased issuance of shorter-duration bills,” said Allen Sandeep, head of research at Naeem Brokerage. “The Ministry of Finance is trying not to lock in such high yields for an extended period of time. Historically, they have gone for months without issuing bonds and were able to raise all the funds they need via [shorter term] treasury bills,” another banker said.
But how long can this last? Yields on EGP-denominated short-term treasuries continued to rise on Sunday with the return on 91-day bills rising to 19.62%, while yields at the nine-month auction rose to 19.84%.
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**#2 Consensus is that the central bank will leave interest rates on hold this Thursday when its monetary policy committee meets, according to a Reuters poll out yesterday. Some analysts, including in Shuaa, see borrowing costs and the strength of the USD as the crucial factors at the meeting, saying concerns there will have supplanted inflation, the central bank’s traditional bête noire. “Inflation is decelerating, but emerging market exits is creating pressure to keep rates high,” said Radwa El-Swaify, head of research at Pharos Securities Brokerage. The global macro backdrop (read: Emerging Markets Zombie Apocalypse) most likely means the MPC will keep rates where they are to preserve Egypt’s competitiveness in the battle for hot money amid a sell-off in EM assets.
But could leaving where they are come at too-high a cost? The move would “send an unneeded message of weakness, and will not be enough to revert outflows, but will punish domestic activity and delay prospects of easing,” CI Capital’s Hany Farahat said.
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**#3 REPORT FROM NEW YORK- Praise from IMF, World Bank on the economic reforms: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi and senior members of his administration are in New York for the United Nations General Assembly meeting. There, the president met on Sunday with IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde, whoissued a statement yesterday praising Egypt’s economic reforms.
Key takeaways from Lagarde’s statement: “President El Sisi and I discussed the good progress under Egypt’s economic reform program supported by the IMF’s USD 12 bn Extended Fund Facility. Egypt’s economy is showing strong signs of recovery, and its economic growth is among the highest in the Middle East. … We agreed on the importance of capitalizing on Egypt’s macroeconomic gains to advance the authorities’ home-grown structural reforms. These reforms will help achieve more sustainable, inclusive and private-sector led growth which will help create jobs for Egypt’s young population, while also ensuring adequate resources are available for social protection. I reiterated the Fund’s commitment to support Egypt and its people.”
That’s the right message ahead of an IMF delegation visit next month to conduct the lender’s fourth review of how the Sisi administration is doing with the implementation of the reform program.
World Bank also gave Egypt props: World Bank President Jim Yong Kim lauded the progress Egypt has made on its economic reform program during a meeting with President El Sisi, Investment Minister Sahar Nasr, and Trade and Industry Minister Amr Nassar, according to an Ittihadiya statement. Kim reiterated the bank’s support for the remainder of Egypt’s program and discussed ways to attract fresh foreign investment and create more private sector jobs.
Trump praises Egypt’s war on terror in sit-down with El Sisi: Sisi sat down yesterday with US President Donald Trump yesterday. The Donald piled on the praise for the “outstanding job” Egypt has done fighting terrorism, according to a White House readout of the two presidents’ remarks. El Sisi vowed to eliminate terrorism altogether with the US’ support, and the two leaders stressed that US-Egypt relations have “never been stronger.” Trump also noted that the US is “working with Egypt on many different fronts, including military and trade. And whatever else you can work, we’re working. And we’re getting along great.”
El Sisi met overnight with top US business leaders, according to an Ittihadiya statement. The president told them that Egypt is keen on improving business ties with the US and pointed to national projects and infrastructure as a means for companies to bolster their investments in Egypt. Among those present was Apache CEO John J Christmann.
Meeting with Netanyahu?El Sisi also was expected to meet yesterday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. We have yet to see any news emerging on that front.
More diplomacy in NYC: El Sisi also had sit downs with Norwegian Prime Minister Erna Solberg, Bulgarian Prime Minister Boyko Borissov, and Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiadeson the sidelines of the UNGA.
Also in New York, the president gave a speech addressing the Nelson Mandela Peace Summit, which was held as part of the UNGA to celebrate the 100th year of Mandela’s birth, according to a readout of the speech.
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**#5 IPO WATCH- Retail component of CIRA offering is c. 4.5x oversubscribed: Appetite for leading private sector education outfit CIRA’s IPO is strong heading into the final day of subscriptions for tranche on offer to local retail investors, with Al Mal reporting the retail component of the offering is 4.5x oversubscribed. The subscription period for the 14.5 mn shares on offer to domestic individual investors ends today. The institutional component of the IPO was 10.36x oversubscribed amid high international demand. CIRA is offering some 207 mn shares (c. 38% of the company) and had priced its IPO at EGP 6.00 per share, above the midpoint of the EGP 5.45 to EGP 6.30 per share range on which it had previously guided. Trading on the company’s shares is due to begin on 1 October.
Advisers: EFG Hermes is sole global coordinator and bookrunner for the transaction. Al Tamimi & Co. is acting as the issuer’s local counsel, while Zulficar & Partners is domestic counsel to the underwriter. White & Case is international counsel to the issuer, while Gide Loyrette Nouel is doing duty for the global coordinator and bookrunner. Inktank Communications is serving as investor relations advisor to CIRA.
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**#6 INVESTMENT WATCH- Sawari Ventures to launch EGP 1 bn fintech fund by year-end: Sawari Ventures will launch its EGP 1 bn fintech-focused venture capital fund by the end of this year or early next year, depending on the timing of approvals it needs from the central bank, Al Mal reported. Sawari Ventures was set to reach first close on the venture capital fund by the end of June. Partners in the the fund include the National Bank of Egypt (NBE), Banque du Caire, Banque Misr and the European Investment Bank, said Mohamed Ragaai, head of investment at Banque du Caire. Egypt’s investment and telecoms ministries are also considering making capital commitments to the fund, Ragaai added.
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**#7 INVESTMENT WATCH- Cairo Angels invests in Buseet: Venture capitalist firm Cairo Angels has announced that it has made an investment in transit tech app Buseet, the company said in a release on Monday (pdf). Cairo Angels’ investment is part of a seed round that includes 500 Startups and angel investors from Singapore and the Gulf. “We are very pleased to have closed the Buseet [transaction] and to have co-invested in this opportunity with our partners 500 Startups and other Angels. We are very confident that Buseet can compete and continue to deliver a compelling solution to a very real problem that is clearly identifiable across emerging markets and beyond,” Cairo Angels Chairman Aly El Shalakany said. The statement did not put a value on the transaction or say how large a stake Cairo Angels took. The transaction is the latest in wave of investment flooding Egypt’s transportation sector.
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M&A WATCH- Orascom Investment to acquire entire stake of Nile Sugar by year-end. Orascom Investment Holding (OIH) will acquire all the outstanding shares of Nile Sugar by the end of this year, Naguib Sawiris told CNBC Arabia, adding that due diligence on the transaction is ongoing. OIH is currently prioritizing investment in the financial, real estate, agriculture, and logistics sectors.
OIH is also planning to acquire a defunct juice and dairy plant, said Sawiris, who refused to disclose further details on the value of the acquisition, the plant’s product range or location. Meanwhile, OIH is also in “advanced” talks with the Housing Ministry over a land plot in downtown Cairo. Sawiris also remained tight-lipped on this venture, and did not provide any details on what OIH plans to do with the land (watch, runtime: 2:04).
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Edison, Qalaa scrap plans for USD 150 mn power plant in Abu Qir: Edison and Qalaa Holdings have decided to scrap their plan to build a USD 150 mn combined cycle power plant in Abu Qir after determining that the project would not be financially feasible with current power tariffs, an unnamed source from Edison tells Al Masdar. Qalaa and Edison had planned to sell power from the 180 MW plant directly to consumers. The pair had begun talks with the Electricity Ministry over the plant back in 2016, and had reached an agreement with the EGPC to supply the plant with natural gas from Edison’s concession in Abu Qir.
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Raya eyes expansion thanks to weak pound: EGX-listed outsourcing services provider Raya Contact Center is expanding thanks to a weak EGP and relaxing of foreign currency restrictions, writes Tamim Elyan for Bloomberg. Raya added 1,000 workstations this year, up from an average of 400 per year. “We are now getting back on the map,” CEO and Managing Director Reem Assad said. “We are price competitive and foreign clients are now getting back in touch with us,” she added. The company, which runs offshore call centers and makes 75% of its revenue from serving clients abroad, plans to reach a total of 10,000 workstations by end-2020, up from a current 6,700.
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M&A WATCH- United Energy Group to acquire Kuwait Energy for USD 651 mn: Hong Kong-listed energy firm United Energy Group has made a USD 651 mn bid to acquire Kuwait Energy, United Energy said in a filing to the Hong Kong stock exchange, Reuters reports.
Egypt assets among those that enticed United: The move comes as United Energy looks to expand in the Middle East. Kuwait Energy has operations in several countries, including Egypt, Iraq, Yemen and Oman, United Energy said.
Background: Reports of the acquisition come two months after Kuwait Energy reportedly hired investment bank Perella Weinberg Partners to advise on possibly divesting its stakes in Egypt and Iraq. Talks for a possible merger with the UK’s SOCO International earlier this year had reportedly had fallen apart. The firm, which lost its CEO and saw a credit downgrade last year, owes USD 290 mn due next year, and should start repayments of a convertible loan of around USD 150 mn this year to an entity controlled by private equity group Abraaj. Soco said last week it would acquire Egypt-focused oil driller Merlon.
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Singapore competition watchdog fines Uber and Grab: Singapore’s Competition and Consumer Commission fined ride-hailing companies Uber and Grab with a combined USD 9.5 mn on Monday as their merger earlier this year was blamed for driving prices up, Reuters says. Effective fares on Grab rose 10-15% after Uber Technologies Inc sold its Southeast Asian business to regional rival Grab in March for a 27.5% stake. Uber said it may appeal the decision.
Our own competition watchdog is taking note: You can expect the Singapore ruling to enter the arsenal of the Egyptian Competition Authority (ECA), which has repeatedly warned Uber and regional rival Careem against merger talks. The two sides are in talks on a transaction that could be worth as much as USD 2-2.5 bn. The ECA had used a previous ruling against the Grab-Uber merger by the Singapore competition watchdog to warn Uber and Careem.
In other ride-hailing merger news,Careem has acquired Indian bus shuttle service app Commut Bloomberg reports. The report did not mention the size of the acquisition.
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