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Dangerous algorithms

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

THIS EVENING: Valu closes EGP 888 mn securitized bond issuance

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to a very rainy start to the business week here in Om El Donia.

So, when do we eat? Maghrib prayers are at 6:09 pm in the capital city, and you’ll have until 4:25 am tomorrow to hydrate and caffeinate ahead of fajr.

THE BIG STORY TODAY

Valu raises EGP 888 mn in securitized bonds: EFG Holding’s fintech platform Valu has issued an EGP 888 mn securitized bond issuance, which was backed by a receivables portfolio assigned to EFG for Securitization, the firm announced in a statement (pdf). The two-tranche issuance received ratings of Prime 1 and Prime 2 respectively, with tenors between 6 to 12 months.

About the issuance: Valu’s issuance, which is part of an EGP 9 bn extended securitization program, brings the firm’s total issuances to eight, following an EGP 953-mn issuance in December.

More to come? The company plans to issue around EGP 4 bn worth of securitized bonds this year, Valu CEO Walid Hassouna said earlier this month.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

Dominating the headlines in the foreign press this afternoon is the attack on a rock concert outside of Moscow that has claimed 133 lives, so far. The deadliest attack in over two decades was instigated by gunmen who fired automatic weapons on the audience on Friday evening. While ISIS has claimed responsibility for the attack, Russian President Vladimir Putin did not make any reference to the group in a public address on Saturday, writes Reuters. Putin has said that the attackers have been trying to escape to Ukraine, helped across the border by “the Ukrainian side.” Ukraine has denied any ties to the attack. (New York Times | Bloomberg | Associated Press)

** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • EBRD working to help Egypt unlock USD 1 bn from IMF’s Resilience and Sustainability Facility. On the heels of the high-level European visit to Cairo last week, to ink a joint strategic and comprehensive partnership with Egypt, Enterprise sat down with the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development’s (EBRD) Head of Egypt Khalid Hamza to find out more about the new partnership.
  • A Turkish industrial zone in Egypt back in the cards? Turkish firm Doğuş Construction and Trade has signed an MoU with the Transport Ministry to establish an industrial and logistics zone inGargoub on the country’s northwest coast with over USD 7 bn in estimated investment.
  • Act Financial’s long-awaited IPO approaching? Investment management firm ActFinancial is working to IPO on the EGX in 2Q 2024.

enterprise

*** It’s Inside Industry day —your weekly briefing of all things industrial in Egypt. Inside Industry focuses each Sunday on what it takes to turn Egypt into a manufacturing and export powerhouse, ranging from initial investment and planning to product distribution, through to land allocation to industrial processes, supply chain management, labor, automation and technology, inputs and exports, regulation and policy.

In today’s issue: Industry players hope to see new government initiatives to help them resume operations at full capacity and unlock advantage of more accessible exports as the weakened EGP makes local products more competitive.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Look for sunny skies with the mercury climbing to 22°C and dropping to a low of 12°C in the night, according to our favorite weather app.

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FOR YOUR COMMUTE

US gov’t can force Google to reveal the names of YouTube viewers of certain videos or live streams

Big Brother is alive and well: US courts have granted federal agencies orders to ask Google to provide the personal data of individuals who have viewed or interacted with potentially compromising YouTube videos, according to Forbes. The outlet says it has reviewed two cases in which the US government asked Google for the names, addresses, telephone numbers, and user activity of all Google account users and non-account holders who had accessed YouTube tutorials — for mapping using drones and virtual reality software — and live streams transmitting video of bomb searches. Google was reportedly told to keep the government’s request secret and it is nor clear whether the tech giant provided the data.

The risk outweighs the breach of privacy, agencies argue: “There is reason to believe that these records would be relevant and material to an ongoing criminal investigation, including by providing identification information about the perpetrators,” federal authorities reportedly said in the case.

On the randomness of the algorithm and freedom of speech: “No one should fear a knock at the door from police simply because of what the YouTube algorithm serves up,” says executive director at the Surveillance Technology Oversight Project, Albert Fox-Cahn — particularly since we have no control over videos or posts on our social media feed that don’t match our search habits or profiles. These kinds of investigations also threaten individual’s freedom of speech and freedom from unreasonable searches, privacy experts think. “Government agencies [are] increasingly transforming search warrants into digital dragnets,” Fox-Cahn said.

Does Google have its users’ backs? “With all law enforcement demands, we have a rigorous process designed to protect the privacy and constitutional rights of our users while supporting the important work of law enforcement,” said Google spokesperson Matt Bryant. He added that Google verifies the requests for “legal validity” and sees if they align with case law. They also resist exaggerated or “otherwise inappropriate demands of user data” while shutting down some demands completely.

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ENTERPRISE RECOMMENDS

Aala Nesbet Moshahda shows the darkside of becoming the trend

? ON THE TUBE TONIGHT-
(all times CLT)

Aala Nesbet Moshahda proves to be the dark horse of Ramadan this year: The story revolves around Shaimaa (Salma Abudeif), a technical institute student, who comes from a lower-middle-class family with financial and social constraints. Her younger sister, Nesma (Laila Zaher), is a high school student who is obsessed with TikTok and dreams of becoming rich and famous. When Nesma convinces Shaimaa to appear in one of her videos, she becomes a “trend” everywhere and an overnight sensation — but she eventually discovers the other (uglier) side of fame.

Their struggle is endless: Their mother, Hamdia (Entesar), is on a spiral of stress as she worries about her unemployed husband, Fathi (Mohamed Mahmoud). Meanwhile, their eldest sister, Amal (Farah Youssef), is suffering in her marriage: Her manipulative, irresponsible, and abusive husband, Ali (Islam Ibrahim) forces her to work and be the breadwinner for him, her son, and her family.

The performances exceeded our expectations: Despite the forced dialect, which can be off putting, we enjoyed watching Abudeif’s performance which showed great development, particularly in emotional situations. What takes the cake is Entesar’s truthful characterization of Hamdia — there are moments where we sympathize with her plight and others where she pulls our last nerve. We feel the same way about her brother, Bondoq (Ahmed Fahim). We couldn’t take our eyes off of Farah Youssef as she sincerely and seamlessly extended her emotions to the screen and never overdid her performance.

A cleverly told true story. The creators of the short series succeeded in devising a drama that incorporates some elements from reality, making it an attractive dramatic watch. They were able to sustain the audience’s attention and pique their curiosity, keeping viewers and critics content — at least so far. More importantly, the 16-episode series has also gone to show the impact shorter Ramadan dramas have: They now have a large viewership that marks a paradigm shift from the more traditional, longer Ramadan productions.

WHERE TO WATCH- You can watch Aala Nesbet Moshahda on Shahid or catch the trailer here (watch, runtime 1:31).

The Egypt Capital Cup: The Pharaohs earned their first victory against New Zealand led by Hossam Hassan with a 1-0 score. This puts them face-to-face with Croatia in this friendly cup’s final at 10pm on Tuesday.

Croatia qualified for the finals after beating Tunisiain a heated penalties showdownyesterday, after drawing in the match. Tunisia will now play against New Zealand at the same time on Tuesday for third place, as well.

Important friendly matches we’re watching tonight:

  • Italy vs Ecuador (10pm)

? OUT AND ABOUT-
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TODAY-

Fancy yourself an art connoisseur?CLEG Art Gallery is holding its annual Ramadan charity exhibition, Changing Lives. This year, in collaboration with Nour Ala Nour, 40 artists are displaying their artwork for purchase to support the education of underprivileged children in Egypt. Proceeds from their annual exhibitions contribute to the education of over 1k children and help support a special needs center. The exhibition runs every day until 9 April, operating from 11am-4pm during Ramadan.

Thinking of something lighthearted? Head to Rawabet Art Space to witness WKNDCMDY ’s show tonight at 9pm. Join Iron Tawfik, Kamatcho, Ahmed Emad, Amr Sokkar, and Dawood for some pre-suhoor fun. You can find tickets here.

THIS WEEK-

Vibe with the Egyptian Mavlavie group on Tuesday, 26 March. The group will be performing their signature ballads and traditional dances at AUC Tahrir’s Ewart Hall starting 9pm. Tickets are available here. Keep in mind that children under the age of six are not allowed to attend. Seats are not assigned, so get there early to nab the best ones.

? EARS TO THE GROUND-

The Goop discusses self-discovery and holistic wellnesshosted by silver screen actress Gwyneth Paltrow and American writer Elise Loehnen,who bring a treasure trove of insightful conversations with leading experts, celebrities, and thought leaders across various fields leading the conversation.

It mainly focuses on what matters most to today’s modern lifestyle: From health and wellness to relationships and spirituality, things can be overwhelming — which is why in each episode the hosts dive deep into the complexities of living a balanced and fulfilling life. They create a space for open dialogue and exploration within yourself or you can share it with someone else.

Like we said, this is an open discussion and listening podcast that can appeal to one and all. There’s no specific target audience here — it’s a “one for all” platform, which will benefit anyone who is seeking to expand their horizons and embrace a holistic approach to life — in a joyful, less stressful way.

You can listen to it on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, their website, and Deezer.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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GO WITH THE FLOW

What the markets are doing on 24 March 2024

The EGX30 was almost flat at today’s close on turnover of EGP 3.3 bn (33% below the 90-day average). Local investors were net buyers. The index is up 16.7% YTD.

In the green: E-finance (+10.3%), Fawry (+7.2%), and AMOC (+4.7%).

In the red: Elsewedy Electric (-4.6%), Talaat Moustafa Group (-4.2%), and Delta Sugar (-3.0%).

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INSIDE INDUSTRY

Industry players in Egypt are hoping for a fresh gov’t support package after the EGP float

Manufacturers want a helping hand from gov’t to get machines whirring at full speed again: Manufacturers are hoping to see new support packages from the government to help them get back on track and resume operations at full capacity and start taking advantage of more accessible exports as the weakened EGP makes local products more competitive. Now that it has become easier for manufacturers to secure and release imports of raw materials and machinery, the next major roadblock is access to financing, industry sources tell Enterprise.

One piece of good news: Customs clearance is getting easier. The government cleared some USD 14.5 bn of goods from the country’s ports since the beginning of the year, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait said last week. To a large extent, priority has been given to production inputs, Customs Authority head Shahat Ghatwary told Enterprise.

A new industrial financing initiative in the works? Manufacturers have been expressing their concern over the past several months about the high cost of financing, particularly after the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) hiked interest rates by 600 bps as it moved to float the EGP. Finance Ministry sources Enterprise spoke with previously told us the government is looking at introducing fresh financing initiatives after allocations from the last program introduced last year ran out.

Any new financing initiative is going to carry less preferential rates than previous iterations: After doling out some EGP 88 bn worth of financing over the past five years through various industrial financing packages, the government is likely to raise interest rates on a new financing initiative by 20%, according to Finance Ministry sources we spoke with. The proposal currently on the table would offer manufacturers financing at an interest rate of around 15%, our sources tell us. While that’s four percentage points higher than the 11% interest rate offered in the last initiative, it’s well below the CBE’s current 28.25% lending rate.

Lobby groups are being invited to the negotiation table: The ministry has invited all investor associations, export councils, and business and industrial chambers to meet this week to discuss proposals for a new financing initiative, along with other priorities for manufacturers.

Exports are at the top of the list of priorities: What local industry really needs right now is to focus on getting production up and running again and to focus on exporting as much as possible, head of the Building Materials Export Council Walid Gamal El Din told Enterprise. Although the government has approved export subsidy payouts for 2023, it has yet to disburse some of these payments, Gamal El Din said, stressing the importance of doling out these payments as quickly as possible to help industry players move towards greater export volumes.

** Regular readers will remember our five-step recipe to attract FDI and help transform Egypt in to a global export hub — a recipe that came to life after a long talk with HSBC Deputy CEO Helmy Ghazi that spawned a series of interviews in which high-profile CEOs spoke up about the importance of FDI and exports (here | here | here as examples) and a conference on the topic. Read our five-step recipe here.

Small factories are in the most dire need for help: Manufacturers need financing at a competitive interest rate from 8-11% to be able to unlock capex spending and ensure manufacturers can maintain production capacity at competitive price points, head of the Federation of Egyptian Industries’ engineering division Mohamed El Mohandis told Enterprise. As it currently stands, small factories are the most at risk of closing down as they buckle under the pressure of higher costs, particularly financing costs, according to El Mohandis.

Where could the money for subsidized financing come from? Some industry voices, such as SMEs Union head Alaa El Saqty, suggested that the government tap into some of the incoming FDI inflows — such as from Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund ADQ’s USD 35 bn investment in developing the north coast’s Ras El Hikma — to help support industry. A tranche of that funding could be used to set up a dedicated fund for industry to help reopen stalled factories and provide financing, El Saqty suggested.

Other proposals include tapping sources of funding outside state coffers: Head of the Federation of Egyptian Industries’ pharma division Mohamed El Bahey submitted a proposal to the Finance Ministry to allow private sector players to secure loans and grants directly from foreign lenders to reduce the pressure on the local banking sector. The government could tap the Industrial Development Bank to supervise this type of financing, suggested El Bahey. Meanwhile, others including the FEI’s engineering division, are in talks with organizations such as GIZ to secure grants for manufacturers, according to El Mohandis.


22-29 March (Friday-Friday): Spend the Day in Khalifa with Megawra.

24 March (Sunday): Generative AI meetup at MQR New Cairo.

24 March (Sunday): Al Khatba with El Mothalas at Room Art Space New Cairo.

24 March (Sunday): WkndCmdy standup show at Rawabet Art Space.

25 March (Monday): Connect Four Live standup comedy show at Rawabet Art Space.

26 March (Tuesday): Egyptian Mavlavie performance at AUC.

28 March (Thursday): Women Night Race by Cairo Runners.

28 March (Thursday): Kayf Bada2at Al Bakasa comedy performance at Rawabet Art Space.

29 March (Friday): 3al Tawla with Hisham Abbas at Galleria40.

29 March (Friday): Ishteri Menni El Helw Ba3d El Fitar standup comedy show at Elsawy Culturewheel.

29 March (Friday):Looperia Project at Makan.

29 March (Friday): Kayf Bada2at Al Bakasa comedy performance at Rawabet Art Space.

29-31 March (Friday-Sunday): Ramadan Raid by Arabhardware at The GrEEK Campus.

30 March (Saturday): Flamenca musical experience at ROOM Garden City.

30 March (Saturday): Kayf Bada2at Al Bakasa comedy performance at Rawabet Art Space.

31 March (Sunday): Medhat Salah concert at Cairo Opera House.

31 March (Sunday): No Time Lost performance at Rawabet Art Space.

APRIL

1 April (Monday): Fi El Leila El Kebira performance at Rawabet Art Space.

4 April (Thursday): Red Sea Heritage Musical performance at ROOM Garden City.

4 April (Thursday): Qahrawya’s Iftour in Desert of the Mamluks.

5 April (Friday): Iftar at Wadi Degla with VAMOS.

5 April (Friday): Sufi Dance Performance at Dawar Arts.

5-6 April (Friday-Saturday): Mevlevi Night at Royal Park.

9 April (Tuesday): Eid El Fitr (TBC).

10 April (Wednesday): Amr Diab concert at Cubix El Gouna.

11 April (Thursday): Om Kalthoum puppet theater performance at Elsawy Culturewheel.

12 April (Friday): Amr Hassan concert at Elsawy Culturewheel.

19 April (Friday): Keinmusik at the Giza Pyramids by Panorama 2.

20 April-June 8 (Saturday-Saturday): Sketching Course at Art Square Academy.

23-24 April (Tuesday-Wednesday): Omar Khairat concert at Cairo Opera House.

25 April (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Sinai Liberation Day (TBC).

25-27 April (Thursday-Saturday): Insomnia Egypt Gaming Festival at the International Exhibitions Center.

MAY

1 May (Wednesday): National holiday in observance of Labor Day (TBC).

3 May (Friday): Youth to Business (Y2B) event at The GrEEK Campus.

5 May (Sunday): Coptic Easter.

6 May (Monday): Sham El Nessim (TBC).

23-25 May (Thursday-Saturday): The Design Show at Cairo International Conventions Center.

25 May (Saturday): Techne Summit at the Cairo International Stadium.

JUNE

15-19 June (Saturday-Wednesday): Eid El Adha (TBC).

30 June (Sunday): June 30 Revolution Day (TBC).

JULY

7 July (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Islamic New Year (TBC).

23 July (Tuesday): Revolution Day (TBC).

SEPTEMBER

15 September (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

OCTOBER

6 October (Sunday): Armed Forces Day.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2023: The inauguration of the Grand Egyptian Museum.

Q1 2024: Opening of the newly developed Pyramids Plateau in Giza.

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