Good morning, everyone. The big story here at home is the announcement yesterday of an unexpectedly large EUR 7.4 bn assistance and investment package from the European Union that officials say will take Egypt’s relations with the EU “to the level of a strategic and comprehensive partnership.” That’s eurospeak for “We’re now besties.”
The funding includes concessional finance, grants, and new investment. It remains unclear how soon the first tranche of the concessional funding might be unlocked and how much of the package includes money already announced or committed. We’re looking forward to more details in the weeks to come as the measures wend their way through Brussels’ approval process.
^^ We have the full story in the news well, below.
Also this morning: Our friends at EFG Finance are venturing into SME finance, and we’ll be watching closely — and not because they’re our pals. EFG Holding’s launch of what was then known as EFG Hermes Leasing back in 2015 triggered a rush into non-bank financial services by banks and financial services players, who lined up for leasing and factoring licenses while also diversifying into consumer finance (a market pioneered by the folks at Contact).
Most activity in leasing and factoring and other non-bank extensions of corporate credit have focused primarily on big business. We talk constantly about the “missing middle” and worry about where the next generation of big businesses will come from. The answer is simple: They’ll come when the banks and the finance community get serious about providing capital to small and medium-sized businesses that are generally seen by big players as “too risky” or “too expensive” to do business with.
(And, uh, interest rates. Want to see SMEs grow? Offer them affordable finance. Few can afford to take on significant debt when they’re paying credit card interest rates. In this respect, we bluntly disagree with the IMF’s requirement that we take subsidized interest rate programs — for small businesses, climate, women — out of the capable hands of the central bank.)
How is an SME too expensive? Apply the same big-company due diligence screens and procedures (and all of the attendant staff overheads and reviews) to a small business facility, bankers say, and you’ll find that loaning to a tiny company costs too much relative to the NIM the lender will generate.
EFG Finance moving into the market is a signal to other players that banking SMEs could well prove to be a good business. We hope others follow suit. The market may be growing at a torrid pace, as we note in our story this morning (below), but that’s easy to do when the denominator is really, really small.
So, when do we eat? Maghrib prayers are at 6:05pm in the capital city, and you’ll have until 4:33am tomorrow to hydrate and caffeinate ahead of fajr.
The morning’s must read: EnterpriseAM UAE had coffee with Steve Lutes, the US Chamber of Commerce’s vice president for the Middle East, during his recent swing through the Emirates. He talked about where US companies see opportunity (climate, pharma, space), data sovereignty, and why American companies are waking up to the region as a good place to do business. Read the full story here.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- EGAS is expanding to Saudi Arabia. State gas firm EGAS is setting up a new venture in the KSA, dubbed Modern Gas Saudi Arabia, which will be 80% held by units of the state-owned natural gas player, Oil Ministry said in a statement. The Saudi Basira Company will hold a 20% stake in the venture, which looks set to focus on contracting as well as natural gas distribution to industrial, commercial, and residential clients.
#2- Gov’t to give up majority stakes in three real estate players? The Madbouly government reportedly wants to keep no more than 20% of Heliopolis Housing and Development (HHD), Zahraa Maadi Investment & Development (ZMID), and Al Shams Housing and Urbanization by the start of next year, Asharq Business reports, citing an unnamed government official. The government owns a majority stake of the three EGX-listed real estate companies through Holding Company for Construction and Development (HCCD) and other state-owned outfits.
This could potentially bring a whole lot of money into state coffers: HCCD alone owns 72.25% of HHD — which has a total market cap of EGP 14.1 bn currently — in addition to 47.6% of ZMID (current market cap EGP 3.9 bn), and 44.54% of Al Shams (current market cap EGP 1.59 bn).
The caveat: HCCD will not offload another stake in HHD — be it on the EGX to a strategic investor — prior to developing the real estate developer and upping its market cap, the holding company’s Executive Managing Director Hani Soliman told Al Borsa last week.
ICYMI- Missed this week’s Inside Industry? In our weekly vertical exploring all things industry and manufacturing, we looked at why foreign investors — particularly from Turkey — are eyeing fresh investments in Egypt’s spinning, weaving, and readymade garments industry, particularly after the EGP float earlier this month made investments more attractive.You can check out the story here.
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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
It’s another sleepy Monday in the global business press, with geopolitics (Putin just wonreelection, getting six more years in power — he’s now the longest-serving leader since Josef Stalin) and tech (the White House is pushing the Senate to take up without delay a bill that would ban TikTok) taking center stage.
Sign of the Times #1- The US Federal Reserve will have to keep rates high for longer than markets anticipate, according to economists surveyed in the latest Financial Times-Chicago Booth poll. Most respondents think we’ll see a maximum of two cuts this year. When? July or September, they say.
Sign of the TImes #2- So. Much. AI. Anxiety. This time, physical robots take center stage:
- AI-powered robotics will fuel jobs disruptions in ways we don’t realize, writes Semafor’s Alastair Clements and Reed Albergotti.
- The New York Times worries about how “the AI that drives ChatGPT” will impact the physical world with the rise of robots.
- Elon has released the source code for Grok, his AI chatbot.
Happening today: Super Micro Computer becomes an S&P 500 constituent. The server maker will instantly become the index’s top one-year performer when it does. The Wall Street Journal has the rundown on why. (Hint: Lots to do with the AI revolution.)

*** It’s Blackboard day: We have our weekly look at the business of education in Egypt, from pre-K through the highest reaches of higher ed.
In today’s issue:We take a look at if universities are reconsidering the cost of student exchange programs in the wake of the EGP float.






