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True crime for coping

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

THIS EVENING: El Sisi extends invitations for int’l summit on Palestine

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to a new week. The news cycle continues to be fixed on the ongoing developments in our region.

THE BIG STORY TODAY

International summit on Palestine in Cairo? President Abdel Fattah El Sisi has extended invitations for a regional and international summit to discuss the situation in Palestine, an Ittihadiya statement said, without specifying who is being invited or when the summit could take place. The invitations come as US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is on his way to visit Egypt as part of his regional tour of the Middle East, after meeting with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman earlier today. Blinken is also reportedly set to return to Israel tomorrow after his stop in Egypt today, Bloomberg reports.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

The Israel-Palestinian conflict continues to lead the conversation in the international press this afternoon. Israeli air attacks have killed Billal Al Kedra, a Hamas leader reportedly behind an attack on a kibbutz last Saturday, while the US has sent another aircraft carrier to the Eastern Mediterranean region as Israel prepares for its ground offensive on Gaza. Meanwhile, Lebanon’s Hezbollah sent another missile over into an Israeli village on the Lebanese-Israeli border, resulting in one death and wounding three others. (Financial Times | Wall Street Journal | Reuters)


** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

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*** It’s Inside Industry day —your weekly briefing of all things industrial in Egypt. Inside Industry focuses each Sunday on what it takes to turn Egypt into a manufacturing and export powerhouse, ranging from initial investment and planning to product distribution, through to land allocation to industrial processes, supply chain management, labor, automation and technology, inputs and exports, regulation and policy.

In today’s issue: Egypt’s elevator industry — which has typically supplied around 30% or less of the country’s total elevator demand — now needs to pick up production as imports of completely built elevators have become increasingly limited and expensive.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Expect the temperature to rise to a high of 29°C in the daytime and drop to a cooler 21°C in the evening, our favorite weather app tells us.

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FOR YOUR COMMUTE

Qatari Royal backtracks on USD 6 bn bid for Man U + Why do women ♥️ true crime podcasts?

Qataris throw in the towel in the Manchester United bidding bonanza: Qatar’s Sheikh Jassim Bin Hamad Al Thani has reportedly decided to withdraw his USD 6.1 bn offer to fully take over the Red Devils after long negotiations over price, the Associated Press reports, citing an unnamed source with knowledge of the matter. Al Thani’s offer valued the club at nearly double its USD 3.3 bn market price.

Al Thani’s withdrawal now throws the fate of the club’s sale into question: The Glazers — the American family which currently owns the club — are now left with only one publicly announced bidder, British b’naire Jim Ratcliffe. Ratcliffe is reportedly willing to accept an initial minority stake of 25% for an undisclosed investment that would value the club at over USD 6.1 bn, Asharq Business reports, citing unnamed sources it says are close to the matter. The Premier League club has seen bids coming in since the beginning of the year, with US-based hedge fund Elliott Investment Management also getting in on the action earlier this year.


What makes true crime podcasts so comforting for some women? Women falling asleep to stories of stalking, kidnapping, and murder may seem morbid, but experts say it makes sense, according to CNBC. The genre, which describes real criminal cases in detail, is generally popular — it is ranked at the top of Apple and Spotify podcasts. It is also a favorite among a third of polled Americans — but is more popular with women, who are twice as likely to tune in than men. But women’s love for the grotesque is not a new trend — historically, over two-thirds of crime fiction readers have been women.

It’s about control and preparation, not sadism. Women make up 60% of victims of murder by a familiar person (whether an acquaintance or a family member) — so why do they enjoy tales of violent crimes? It may be a coping mechanism. Awareness that they make up the vast majority of murder victims means that women’s anxiety still spikes while they listen to details of the crimes, but doing so allows them to confront the fear in a controlled environment. An associate professor of psychology at Illinois Wesleyan University interviewed by CNBC believes that many women also find these podcasts educational, and that by learning the pitfalls that lead to victimhood, they might be able to stop it from happening to themselves.

The narration also helps. True crime podcast hosts often speak in softer and calmer voices than those presenting more upbeat shows, making the genre a prime candidate for people looking to wind down. The lulling timbre may be a comforting background noise for someone drifting off. Another source of comfort may lie in knowing that the case was solved, providing closure, and reassurance that the perpetrator was persecuted, promoting a sense of safety.


Just a quick wardrobe change: Adobe rolled out previews of new experimental technology, including the high-tech Project Primrose, a dress with an interactive digital display (watch, runtime: 3:18). The dress can display different patterns and images through a programmable screen that can be changed with the touch of a button or a specific movement of the dress. Adobe has previously introduced the “smart fabric display” technology, but its previous demonstrations were limited to flat surfaces and small handbags, the Verge notes.

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ENTERPRISE RECOMMENDS

A surgeon between the world wars loses everything he has and comes back to it after a bout of amnesia

? ON THE TUBE TONIGHT-
(all times CLT)

Forgotten Love is a captivating journey of love, memory, and redemption. This Polish film is an adaptation of the novel Znachor, a popular story that has already been adapted three times. The story takes place during the interwar period, following the life of esteemed surgeon Professor Rafal Wilczur (Leszek Lichota). At the pinnacle of hismedical career, his world crumbles when his wife abruptly leaves him, taking their beloved daughter Marysia (Maria Kowalska) with her. If that blow wasn’t enough, he is subjected to a mugging that was so brutal he was mistaken for dead, and leaves him with amnesia. However, fate intervened and he reappeared in the countryside 15 years later, impoverished and suffering, with no recollection of who he is — but driven by fleeting memories of his daughter and his passion for his surgical craft. The film’s visuals are captivating, showcasing the beautiful scenery of the countryside, and meticulously capturing the details of this era. The cast, which may be unknown to most viewers, brings immense depth to their characters and is able to instigate empathy with their stories.

⚽ Norway v Spain is a Euro 2024 qualifiers group-changer: The face-off taking place at 9:45pm tonight could change the setup of Group A, where Scotland is currently leading with 15 points from six matches, followed by Spain, with 12 points from five matches. Norway is in third place, with 10 points from six matches. Croatia will also be facing Wales, possibly putting them at the top of Group D, where Turkey may step down from their lead due to goal difference.

? OUT AND ABOUT-
(all times CLT)

It’s the last day of the Hope and Pain exhibition at Lamasatt Art Gallery. The exhibition features art that reflects the creativity and hope that can be created out of sorrow.

The Downtown Contemporary Arts Festival (D-Caf) has kicked off and will continue until Sunday, 5 November. The festival is taking place in several places and art centers in the downtown area. You can check the events and buy the tickets through D-CAF’s website.

Hit up Cairo Jazz Club this Tuesday, 17 October for some live rap and genre-bending performances at Leqleem Sound Spectrum. Performers include Hady Moamer, Khaled Rossia, Azzouni, Karim Serry, and others.

Head to a Japanese tea-making workshop at AUC New Cairo Campusevery Wednesday through to 18 October from 11:30-1:30pm. For bookings, send an email here.

Don’t miss the stand-up comedy showat Falaki Theater, Tahrir on Thursday, 19 October.The show will start at 8pm. You can buy your tickets from TicketsMarche.

The Arab Music Festival is coming soon on Friday, 20 October through to Thursday, 2 November at the Cairo Opera House in Zamalek. The festival will feature a group of music stars from Egypt and the Arab world. You can find the schedule here.

DJs Kygo, Tiësto, Kungs, and Frank Walker are performing on Saturday, 28 October at the Giza Pyramids. The concert will be part of the next edition of the four-day Palm Tree Music Festival (PTMF) which will be held from Thursday, 26 October until Sunday, 29 October.

Music enthusiasts, this one’s for you: The annual Cairo International Jazz Festival is happening at AUC’s Tahrir campus from Thursday, 26 October to Friday, 3 November. For more information contact them on their page.

New Giza Sports Club is partnering with CA Sports launching the first Premier PadelEvent in Africa from Saturday, 28 October until Sunday, 5 November with the participation of the top 100 world professional players. Get your tickets with Tazkarti.

The Russian Tchaikovsky Symphony Orchestra is coming to Egypt for the first time, with three concerts scheduled in Cairo and Alexandria. The Cairo concerts are scheduled for Sunday and Monday, 5 and 6 November at the Cairo Opera House in Zamalek, while the Alexandria concert will follow on Tuesday, 7 November at Sayed Darwish Theater. You can book your tickets for the concerts from here, here and here.

Don’t miss Tamer Ashour at Sheikh Zayed’s Zed Park on Friday, 10 November at 8pm. Tickets are available on TicketsMarche.

Jim Gaffigan’s Barely Alive Tour will hit the Marquee stage at Cairo Festival City on Thursday, 16 November. Get your tickets with Ticketsmarche.

The Masr El Gedida Carnival is back and will take place in Merryland Park on Saturday, 25 November at 10am.

? UNDER THE LAMPLIGHT-

The River We Remember is about a town coming undone. The townspeople of Jewel, Minnesota love their home. And they also love the Alabaster River that glides through it. They know when to swim in its currents, when to watch the moon cast its gleam on its still waters, and when to avoid its banks when the floods threaten to come. But no one is sure about what happened when the body of Jimmy Quinn, a wealthy landowner, was found floating in the water. The year is 1958: Sheriff Dern, recently returned from war with his own demons to face, is burdened with a town bent on accusing native American Noah Bluestone, a WWII veteran who has recently returned home with his Japanese wife, with Quinn’s death. Aside from Dern, other community members join the investigation: A widow and her teenage son, the publisher of the town paper, and a female lawyer looking for justice, all come together to uncover the murder and to bring light to secrets that Quinn had kept under wraps. The novel touches upon the impact of war abroad and the battles that families had to face when they return home, particularly in the post-war era.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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GO WITH THE FLOW

What the markets are doing on 15 October, 2023

The EGX30 rose 1.6% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 2.6 bn (19.4% above the 90-day average). Local investors were net sellers. The index is up 39.2% YTD.

In the green: Mopco (+16.7%), Orascom Construction (+14.0%) and Oriental Weavers (+6.1%).

In the red: Madinet Masr (-3.3%), EFG Holding (-2.8%) and Alexandria Containers and Goods (-2.7%).

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INSIDE INDUSTRY

Amid rising demand, what are the challenges facing the elevator industry in Egypt?

Egypt’s elevator industry needs a lift: Although demand has jumped as a result of rising orders across all market segments on the back of the state's mega-infrastructure projects and the construction of new cities, the elevator industry — a niche but critical sector — has been under pressure because of the FX shortage and import restrictions, which have driven up the costs of raw materials and imported parts. These issues resulted in shipment delays, extending the timelines set for project launches, according to industry insiders Enterprise spoke with.

The FX shortage took its toll on the industry, adding to pre-existing foundational issues: While the biggest problem facing the industry today is the FX shortage and its implications — such as the import constraints, which private sector players are saying are gradually easing — there are other pressing issues rooted within the mechanics of the industry itself. Our sources pointed to problems such as historic over-reliance on imports and limited skilled and field-educated labor, which are curbing the growth of the industry and its expansion prospects.

Import restrictions put the elevator industry out of order: Following the import restrictions of 2022, the heavily import-dependent sector suffered from price increases and a tight component market. “The suspension of imports has impacted our sector in many ways. First, the big problem right now is the unavailability of supply,” Yasser Shenawey, CEO of elevator supply and installation company Beam Construction, told Enterprise. “When imports [were restricted] in 2022, suppliers started selling their stock of material and elevator components at double and triple their prices. Now that import constraints are easing up, prices are still high because importers are paying more to receive their orders from overseas suppliers,” he added.

Local manufacturing is limited: Installed elevators in Egypt are classified into two types: Fully-assembled “complete packages” and locally assembled elevators. “While there’s a preference for complete package elevators in major projects, they only make up 6-8% of the total installed elevators in Egypt,” Shenawey said. Meanwhile, around 70-75% of locally assembled elevator components are imported, while the remainder are locally manufactured, five private sector suppliers and manufacturers told us. “Egypt only manufactures a handful of the elevator parts, mostly sheet metal components like cabins, panels, and doors. Control panel boards are also locally manufactured, but to a lesser extent,” Liftech Elevators production manager Ahmed Nasr told us.

The EGP devaluation drove up local raw material prices over the global average. “Steel in Egypt starts at EGP 41.5k per tonne, while in a country like Saudi Arabia, a tonne of steel costs the equivalent of EGP 26k, and in Turkey, it costs EGP 23k, so we’re talking about a 50% increase compared to average global prices,” Nasr noted.

Halted imports and the FX crunch cast a long shadow on prices: With the state slowly easing up import constraints, prices are falling, but the issues remain. “The FX shortage coupled with the scarcity of supply has resulted in prices rising by 200% since 2021,” a major supplier told us.

Demand for elevators has peaked in recent years particularly as the government ramped up its development projects and the construction of new cities. These projects include thousands of buildings, both commercial and residential, that require installed elevators, Shenawey said. “Over the last few years, demand has risen by 100%. Ten years ago we used to install 20k elevators per year; now our average is 40k elevators annually,” according to the CEO of a supply company and an assembly factory who wished to remain unnamed.

Inevitably, the inauguration of some projects is postponed because suppliers are delivering shipments under tight deadlines. “Elevator suppliers used to deliver us shipments from abroad in two months; now it takes them six months,” Samco Construction Technical Office Manager Ola Esam told Enterprise. “The problem is not just with elevators but with all imported supplies,” she noted.

There are regulations in place allowing these delays: “Under the import restrictions, postponing project launches has become an imperative. The cabinet has just issued a directive extending the deadline for launching projects in the new cities by six months. If the cabinet hadn’t issued the directive, we would have filed for an extension because of the delays in the arrival of imported supplies,” Esam continued.

Local suppliers are scrambling to meet deadlines: “To avoid stalling projects, we now set longer time frames for delivering and installing the elevators to give ourselves a safety margin,” Shenawey said. Suppliers are also taking into consideration the cost safety margin while signing contracts, so they increase their prices by 10% in case an external issue arises between the time of signing the contract and delivering the elevators, he added.

The industry is missing the know-how: Beyond the issues with importing, another challenge facing the industry is the absence of trained and skilled labor. “The majority of technicians working in the field in Egypt are not vocationally trained and lack the know-how to work and contribute to the sector,” our anonymous said. “Most of the labor force entered the field and learned by trial and error, which downgrades the quality of the Egyptian product when compared to global competition,” Nasr agreed. Eventually, the responsibility falls on manufacturers to teach and train technicians, which hinders the progress of the sector, he added.

Looking ahead, industry players are optimistic: Private sector players are growing more optimistic about the future of the industry following recent domestic developments like new incentives aimed at boosting industrial activity. These incentives will bolster local production of steel, among other industries, which will help with the supply of locally manufactured elevator parts.

Suppliers are throwing a coin in the BRICS well: Industry players are looking for a silver lining in Egypt joining BRICS, which some suggest could be positive for import-dependent sectors. “If we sign trade agreements with BRICS members, that could considerably facilitate our imports from China, Egypt’s biggest supplier of elevator parts,” the anonymous source told us.


Your top industrial development stories for the week:

  • Al Mansour Automotive is looking to set up a USD 35 mn car assembly and spare parts plant and presented a feasibility study for the production of a new electric vehicle made initially with 50% local components.
  • Local, regional investors back Egypt-founded chip designer: Pearl Semiconductor has raised USD 4.5 mn from local and regional VC firms in a recent funding round.
  • Snackmaker Edita has launched its newest frozen baked products line, Molto Forni, which is designed for “consumption at home.”

12-16 October (Thursday- Monday): Cairo Opera Ballet Company Cinderella at Cairo Opera House.

4-18 October (Wednesdays): Japanese tea-making workshop at AUC New Cairo Campus.

7-21 October (Saturday-Tuesday): Illustration workshop with Keem The Kid at Cocoon Cultural Center.

12 October - 5 November: D-CAF(Downtown Contemporary Arts Festival), Downtown, Cairo.

19 October (Thursday): Stand-up Comedy Show, Falaki Theatre, Tahrir.

20 October - 2 November: The Arab Music Festival, Cairo Opera House, Zamalek.

26 October - 3 November (Thursday-Friday): The 15th Annual Cairo International Jazz Festival at AUC’s Tahrir campus.

28 October (Saturday): DJs Kygo, Tiësto, Kung and Frank Walker concert, Giza Pyramids.

28-5 October-November(Saturday-Sunday):NEWGIZA Sports Club’s Premier Padel Event in Africa.

NOVEMBER

5-6 November (Sunday-Monday): The Russian Tchaikovsky Symphony Orchestra concerts, Cairo Opera House, Zamalek.

7 November (Tuesday): The Russian Tchaikovsky Symphony Orchestra concert, Sayed Darwish Theatre.

10 November (Friday): Tamer Ashour’s concert, Zed Park Sheikh Zayed.

11 November (Saturday): El Gouna Half Marathon 2023, El Gouna.

15-24 November (Wednesday-Friday): Cairo International Film Festival (CIFF).

16 November (Thursday): Jim Gaffigan’s Barely Alive Tour at The Marquee, Cairo Festival City.

25 November (Saturday): Masr El Gedida Carnival at Maryland.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2023: The inauguration of the Grand Egyptian Museum.

Q1 2024: Opening of the newly developed Pyramids Plateau in Giza.

2024

JANUARY

7 January (Sunday): Coptic Christmas.

25 January (Thursday): Revolution Day.

APRIL

6 April (Saturday): Coptic Easter.

9 April (Tuesday): Eid El Fitr (TBC).

25 April (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Sinai Liberation Day (TBC).

MAY

1 May (Wednesday): National holiday in observance of Labor Day (TBC).

6 May (Monday): Sham El Nessim (TBC).

JUNE

15-19 June (Saturday-Wednesday): Eid El Adha (TBC).

30 June (Sunday): June 30 Revolution Day (TBC).

JULY

7 July (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Islamic New Year (TBC).

23 July (Tuesday): Revolution Day (TBC).

SEPTEMBER

15 September (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

OCTOBER

6 October (Sunday): Armed Forces Day.

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