Record 3Q for sukuk

Global sukuk issuance hit a record in 3Q 2025, defying market volatility and the usual seasonal slump, according to a note by Fitch Ratings’ seen by EnterpriseAM. Core markets — the GCC, Malaysia, Indonesia, Turkey, and Pakistan — issued about USD 80 bn in the quarter, up 22% q-o-q and 89% y-o-y.

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What’s driving the boom: Lower funding costs and ample GCC liquidity offset tighter shariah compliance rules and regional tensions. The Fed’s September rate cut to 4.25% added momentum, while conventional bond issuance in the same markets fell 17.6% q-o-q.

Sukuk now account for 35% of total debt issuance in core markets, up from 27.5% a year earlier. Outstanding sukuk rose 15.5% y-o-y to USD 1 tn by end-3Q, with 28% denominated in USD. ESG-linked sukuk represented 13% of USD-denominated issues, alongside a rising share of subordinated instruments.

Regional leaders: Malaysia accounts for the largest share of outstanding sukuk issuances with 34%, closely followed by Saudi Arabia with 30%. Outside of the GCC, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Turkey together accounted for 64% of global issuance during the quarter. In the GCC, sukuk now make up 40% of outstanding debt instruments compared to 16% in emerging markets.

Sukuk issuance is on track to surpass 2024 levels, with 2026 prospects described as “promising.” Growth will be supported by refinancing needs, diversification goals, and Islamic-finance reforms. The agency’s base case assumes oil at USD 70 per barrel this year and USD 65 in 2026, though it added that price shocks and new shariah requirements could pose downside risks.

REMEMBER- Proposed reforms to sukuk aim to make them less like conventional interest-bearing debt and more like an asset-backed structure, where sukuk holders would gain full ownership of the underlying assets and expose them to additional risks like defaults. It could also increase costs and red tape for issuers through additional asset transfer and legal documentation.

Credit quality stays strong: The market remains resilient, with no defaults or downgrades among Fitch-rated sukuk in 3Q. About 80% of issues are investment grade, and 88% of issuers carry a stable outlook.

Structural shifts: Qatar Central Bank expanded its Primary Dealer Framework to include ijara sukuk, while Saudi Arabia’s potential inclusion in JPMorgan’s EM bond index could boost SAR-denominated demand. The UAE’s Higher Shariah Authority also issued new guidance on asset-sale rights, prompting issuers to revise documentation. Fitch said the change does not make unsecured sukuk equivalent to secured debt but could affect future rating treatment.

ALSO FROM PLANET FINANCE-

Cryptocurrencies got a hit on Friday after days of BTC reaching its highest peak, as BTC dropped below the USD 113k level, pushed down by US President Donald Trump’s announcement he would impose an additional 100% tariff on China and new export limitation on software, Bloomberg reported yesterday. Over USD 19 bn in positions were wiped out, affecting more than 1.6 mn traders. The downturn is seen as “the largest liquidation event in crypto history,” and the total liquidation size might be higher as exchanges don’t report orders in real time, according to data tracker Coinglass.

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 rose 0.8 % at Wednesday’s close on turnover of EGP 4.4 bn (1.4% below the 90-day average). Regional investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 25.7% YTD.

In the green: TMG Holdings (+2.8%), Orascom Construction (+2.3%), and EFG Holdings (+2.1%).

In the red: Palm Hills Development (-1.2%), E-finance (-1.2%), and Raya Holdings (-1.0%).