Private credit funds are seeing record investments from wealthy investors, offsetting weaker demand from large institutions, the Financial Times reports. 1H 2025 saw US investors alone plow USD 48 bn into private credit funds, surpassing the FY total for 2023 and on track to beat the USD 83.4 bn record set in 2024, according to investment bank RA Stranger.
Policy tailwinds are reshaping the market: In August, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order allowing private equity and credit into 401k retirement plans. Managers had long lobbied for access to retirement savers, and are increasingly tailoring products for this retail base. Moody’s has called the shift “one of the biggest new growth frontiers in the industry.”
Blackstone remains the dominant player, with its Bcred fund drawing USD 6.5 bn YTD and USD 11.7 bn over the past 12 months. On average, more than USD 50 mn of fresh orders are placed daily, helping lift Bcred’s assets to USD 73 bn, up more than 50% in two years.
Rivals are closing in: Apollo Debt Solutions raised USD 6.4 bn over the past year, Blue Owl took in around USD 7 bn across two funds, and Ares collected USD 5 bn. Cliffwater, a smaller manager, has emerged as a major competitor, attracting nearly USD 11 bn to a fund now worth over USD 30 bn. That competition has chipped away at Blackstone’s dominance, with its share of the non-traded BDC market falling to 28%, compared to an almost 90% market share in 2021.
Europe is seeing similar momentum: Assets in evergreen private debt funds — vehicles that don’t wind down and allow continuous inflows — more than doubled y-o-y to EUR 24 bn by June, Novantigo data shows. The number of such funds has jumped from six in 2022 to 37 this year, with Blackstone, Ares, and HPS among those fundraising.
The boom comes as institutional appetite wanes. Preqin data shows commitments from pensions and endowments have declined each year since 2021, amid a broader downturn in the leveraged buyout industry as it struggles to return capital and generate fresh inflows.
Still, concerns linger that the flood of banknotes could weigh on returns. “It’s a tricky investment environment driven by the imbalance between supply and demand of capital,” Sixth Street’s Joshua Easterly said, adding, “[c]ompetition is elevated, and it’s increasingly difficult to generate outsized returns.”
MARKETS THIS MORNING-
Asian markets are once again trading mixed, with South Korea’s Kospi leading gains with a 0.7% rise following slower-than-expected inflation growth in August. Meanwhile, Japan’s Nikkei is also up 0.6%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng is flat and China’s CSI 300 is down 0.1%.
Over on Wall Street, futures are inching up after a losing session for all three indices yesterday, as we kick off what is known to be a seasonally weak month for stocks.
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EGX30 |
35,159 |
0.0% (YTD: +18.2%) |
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USD (CBE) |
Buy 48.49 |
Sell 48.63 |
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USD (CIB) |
Buy 48.50 |
Sell 48.60 |
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Interest rates (CBE) |
22.00% deposit |
23.00% lending |
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Tadawul |
10,671 |
-0.3% (YTD: -11.4%) |
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ADX |
10,010 |
-0.8% (YTD: +6.3%) |
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DFM |
5,969 |
-1.6% (YTD: +15.7%) |
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S&P 500 |
6,460 |
-0.6% (YTD: +9.8%) |
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FTSE 100 |
9,196 |
+0.1% (YTD: +11.3%) |
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Euro Stoxx 50 |
5,367 |
+0.3% (YTD: +9.6%) |
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Brent crude |
USD 68.15 |
+1.0% |
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Natural gas (Nymex) |
USD 2.97 |
-0.8% |
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Gold |
USD 3,552 |
+1.0% |
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BTC |
USD 108,791 |
+0.5% (YTD: +16.2%) |
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S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index |
907.23 |
+0.2% (YTD: +16.7%) |
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S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk |
148.41 |
-0.2% (YTD: +6.1%) |
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VIX (Volatility Index) |
16.12 |
+5.0% (YTD: -7.1%) |
THE CLOSING BELL-
The EGX30 was flat at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 4.4 bn (0.4% below the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 18.2% YTD.
In the green: Palm Hills Development (+3.8%), EFG Holding (+1.9%), and Orascom Development (+1.8%).
In the red: Rameda (-1.7%), CIB (-1.6%), and Credit Agricole (-0.8%).
CORPORATE ACTIONS-
#1- CIB’s general assembly will vote on raising the lender’s issued and paid-in capital by EGP 3.1 bn to EGP 33.8 bn when it meets on 25 September, according to an EGX disclosure(pdf). The move would see the country’s largest private sector lender by market cap issue 307.1 mn bonus shares at a ratio of one share for every ten held.
#2- A block transaction was executed on higher education outfit Taaleem’s shares yesterday involving the sale of 152 mn shares at EGP 1.6 bn, according to an EGX bulletin.