Good morning, friends. It may not just be the weather that’s warming up in Egypt at the moment, with news that the country’s IPO winter may soon be over. We’ve got news of Act Financial penciling in 2Q 2024 for an IPO after getting the green light from the EGX, another USD 820 mn from the IMF arriving in June, and so much more in the issue today.
HAPPENING TODAY-
#1- Several ministers are in Riyadh for a World Economic Forum meeting: Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly, Planning Minister Hala El Said, and Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry will be attending a two-day event in Riyadh organized by the World Economic Forum, according to several government statements (here, here and here).
Entitled the Special Meeting on Global Collaboration, Growth and Energy forDevelopment, the event will gather heads of state and senior officials from the public and private sectors to discuss solutions to economic, environmental and humanitarian challenges.
What to watch out for: El Said will take part in a meeting on What Homeland EconomicsMeans for Trade at 11:30 am Riyadh time later today, looking into how domestic politics and geopolitical tensions affect trade policy. Tomorrow morning, Madbouly will speak at a Briefing on the Gaza Crisis and later in the day Shoukry will take to the stage alongside his Saudi counterpart and columnist Thomas Friedman to speak about the Middle East Under Stress on Monday afternoon.
#2- Car import scheme draws to a close: Expats have until the end of today to register forthe expat car-for-FX scheme, according to a statement from the Emigration Ministry.
By the numbers: As of earlier this month,some 490k Egyptian expats had registered in the initiative and some USD 750 mn had been transferred to the government under the scheme, the Finance Ministry said. Around 27k cars have entered the country under the initiative. The two phases of the scheme had brought in USD 1.7 bn by February, within reaching distance of the Finance Minister’s USD 2 bn goal.
INTERESTED? You can sign up for the initiative through the government’s app on Google Play and the App Store.
HAPPENING THIS WEEK-
El Sisi to touchdown in Ankara: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi is slated to visit theTurkish capital this week at the invitation of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to discuss ways to strengthen bilateral cooperation and a ceasefire in Gaza, Asharq News reports, citing Egyptian sources and a Turkish presidential source. The visit will see the pair head the first high-level strategic cooperation council meeting between the two countries.
What can we expect: The two sides will likely ink a number of cooperation agreements during the council, the Turkish source said.
Remember: The anticipated visit comes on the heels of Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry’s meeting with Erdogan and Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Istanbul last week. Relations between Cairo and Ankarahave been warming after a decade of tense relations, with President Erdogan visiting Cairo for the first time since 2012 this February.
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WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Goldman Sachs sees CBE trimming rates by 2% in May on the back of easing inflation: Goldman Sachs expects the Central Bank of Egypt to cut rates by 200 bps at its next policy meeting in May, according to a research note by the US-based investment bank seen by Enterprise. The prediction is based on the Goldman Sachs’ forecast that inflation will fall to 20% by the end of the calendar year, down from 33.3% y-o-y recorded for March.
Remember: The bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is scheduled to meet on Thursday, 23 May to review interest rates. The MPC delivered a jumbo 600 bps rate hike at its last meeting in March alongside the EGP float.
#2-Progress on the tax policy framework? Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly and Finance Minister Mohamed Maait discussed a proposed tax policy document for 2024-2030 that will be used to inform and provide clarity to businesses, investors, and society at large on the country’s targets, policies, and plans for taxation over the next six years, a cabinet statement reads. The document aims to support individuals as they build their investment strategies, create forecasts, financial models, and feasibility studies with a greater degree of tax certainty.
The gov’t is keen on avoiding tax hikes: The document will lay out ways in which the government can increase the effectiveness and management of tax policies rather than looking to apply new taxes or increase current taxes.
ATTENTION, EGYPT INVESTORS-
Foreign investors are falling in love with Egypt again… Foreign investors we speak with (debt, equity, and strategic alike) have a growing appetite for Egypt. They’re buying into local debt, eyeing promising shares, and committing bns of USD to both new ventures here and the growth of their existing businesses. They like the Egypt story that’s taking shape after the float of the EGP, and its competitive advantages are clear to many of them: It’s a massive consumer opportunity and a regional export hub of tomorrow.
The Enterprise Optimism Forum 2024 will do exactly what it says on the tin: Spark conversations about a future that we think is much brighter than so many in our community feel right now. Think of it as much-needed shock therapy combined with an early, actionable roadmap for those of us who are “long Egypt.”
We’ll be talking with you about the agenda over the coming couple of weeks. It features speakers from Egypt and abroad who are future-proofing their businesses and angling to capture tomorrow’s opportunities — and who aren’t afraid to answer some tough questions.
*** Interested in attending? Tap or click here to let us know. Seating is limited.
DATA POINT-
#1 Egypt has issued USD 71.6 bn worth of debt instruments since the beginning of the year, marking a 57% y-o-y increase, writes Asharq Business, citing calculations by Bloomberg. The value of EGP-denominated debt sold during the period reached its highest point in over ten years at USD 69.2 bn, rising 64% y-o-y.
#2-Egypt welcomes more tourists in 1Q 2024: The number of tourists visiting Egypt has increased 3-4% y-o-y in the first quarter of the year, according to a Tourism Ministry statement. Hotel occupancy in tourist cities reached 54.8% during the quarter, up 8% y-o-y, the ministry said in a separate statement.
#3- Gold imports under the customs-exemptions initiative rose to 4.6 tons over the last year, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait told Asharq Business. The initiative, which kickstarted last May and expires 10 May this year, has allowed gold to be brought into Egypt tax-free in a bid to stabilize gold prices.
No word yet on a possible extension: The government hasn’t yet decided whether the initiative will be extended once it expires, Maait told the outlet.
PSA-
Smoke price hikes: Tobacco distributor JTI-Nakhla has raised the prices of cigarettes by 3-10%, according to a statement (pdf) from the company. The price of its popular unflavored Winston brand is up 10% to EGP 55, while a pack of unflavored Camel cigarettes is up 5% to EGP 60 and a pack of the company’s flavored Camel Activate is up only 3% to EGP 62.
JTI is the latest tobacco distributor to hike its prices after the government approved a decision allowing tobacco distributors to hike their prices by up to 12% earlier this month.
WEATHER- It’s going to be a warm and sunny day in Cairo today, with a high of 31°C and a low of 18°C, according to our favorite weather app.
It’s a whole lot cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 24°C and a low of 17°C.
WAR WATCH-
Egyptian officials touch down in Israel for ceasefire talks: A high-level Egyptian delegation met with Israeli officials on Friday to push for a ceasefire in Gaza and avert an Israeli offensive on Rafah, Reuters reports. While Israel made no new proposals, it was willing to consider Egypt’s proposal for Hamas’ release of 33 hostages in exchange for a limited truce, an Egyptian official told the outlet. Should an agreement be reached, the pause would be “definitely less than six weeks,” the official anticipated.
Israel delivers an ultimatum: Israeli officials told the delegation that it would give negotiations “one last chance” before it moves forward with its planned ground invasion of Rafah, Axios reports, citing two unnamed senior Israeli officials.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
It’s a mixed bag on global front pages this morning: No single story hold sway, as is often the case on Sunday mornings
The US Federal Reserve’s ongoing bid to tame inflation is making it more difficult for the European Central Bank and Bank of England to start cutting interest rates, the Financial Times warns. Policymakers aren’t being explicit about it, but investors are already pricing-in the idea that rate cuts will be delayed, futures suggest. At the same time, a key index that the US Fed relies on to gauge inflation says that American consumers are borrowing more and dipping into their savings to keep spending, CNBC notes, raising the odds the Fed will slow-walk cuts.
Why it matters now: The Fed’s open markets committee will meet Tuesday and Wednesday. Pundits are parsing Jay Powell’s every gesture for a suggestion as to when rate cuts might begin. Few now expect action before fall.
MEANWHILE- Pro-Palestine protests on US university campuses — and heavy-handed reactions by police and university officials — are getting plenty of ink around the world. The story is everywhere from the Wall Street Journal to the Guardian, while the New York Times notes that Columbia University’s senate has called for an investigation into Minouche Shafik, the university’s Egypt-born president.
ALSO making headlines: Wall Street is getting its head around a US ban on non-competeagreements — and shares of both Google parent company Alphabet and Microsoft advanced after the companies reported strong first-quarter results. Google declared its first-ever dividend and saw strong AI-based Google Workspace sales, while Microsoft reported improved cloud sales.
AND- Europe is worried about Chinese spies | Apple is talking to OpenAI and Google about using their AI tech on its iPhone.
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Not an internship program — a career: The three-month program will see full-time, paid participants take part in workshops and lectures from veteran business journalists on subject matter knowledge, while also working on constructing and filing Enterprise stories that will run on any of our publications. Those who have successfully completed the program, will then be given long-term job offers.
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