China’s real estate crisis could soon go from bad to worse: China’s largest developer Country Garden is teetering on the brink of default, warning (pdf) yesterday that it expects to miss payments on its USD-denominated bonds, triggering what would be China’s largest-ever corporate debt restructuring.
Remember: The developer narrowly avoided a default last month by making interest payments on two bonds during a grace period. But with multiple coupon deadlines looming in October and November, its latest statements suggest default could be imminent.
Why this matters: The escalating crisis threatens to trigger a downturn in the Chinese economy, of which the property sector accounts for nearly 25%. And a downturn in China means more uncertainty for the global economy.
This was a big story in the global business press yesterday: Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | Wall Street Journal.
|
EGX30 |
19,724 |
+1.6% (YTD: +35.1%) |
|
|
USD ( C BE) |
Buy 30.83 |
Sell 30.96 |
|
|
USD at CIB |
Buy 30.85 |
Sell 30.95 |
|
|
Interest rates CBE |
19.25% deposit |
20.25% lending |
|
|
Tadawul |
10,640 |
+0.6% (YTD: +1.5%) |
|
|
ADX |
9,614 |
-0.2% (YTD: -5.9%) |
|
|
DFM |
4,051 |
-0.1% (YTD: +21.4%) |
|
|
S&P 500 |
4,358 |
+0.5% (YTD: +13.5%) |
|
|
FTSE 100 |
7,628 |
+1.8% (YTD: +2.4%) |
|
|
Euro Stoxx 50 |
4,205 |
+2.3% (YTD: +10.9%) |
|
|
Brent crude |
USD 87.70 |
-0.5% |
|
|
Natural gas (Nymex) |
USD 3.39 |
+0.5% |
|
|
Gold |
USD 1,874.00 |
+0.5% |
|
|
BTC |
USD 27,394 |
-0.7% (YTD: +65.8%) |
THE CLOSING BELL-
The EGX30 rose 1.6% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 2.4 bn (10.8% above the 90-day average). Local investors were net sellers. The index is up 35.1% YTD.
In the green: Mopco (+10.9%), TMG Holding (+5.6%) and Eastern Company (+5.4%).
In the red: CIB (-0.6%), E-Finance (-0.5%) and Egypt Kuwait Holding Company (-0.1%).