Good morning, friends. The US and Iran have confirmed the peace agreement is now in effect, meaning we can all collectively breathe a sigh of relief — with eyes firmly set on the Strait of Hormuz for signs that supply chain disruptions might ease soon.
Agreement or not, the UAE is making it abundantly clear it will not make the same mistake twice. It’s now making plans for “zero reliance” on the Strait, with plans to build more Eastern harbors, pipelines, and road and rail infrastructure — all of which are undergoing feasibility studies, as we explain in this morning’s Big Story Today.
In debt news, Dubai Islamic Bank is tapping debt markets once again, this time raising USD 750 mn in Islamic financing, and we’re a few daya away from the UAE’s first retail T-sukuk offering.
The other big theme of the day is energy and AI: Abu Dhabi is placing a long bet on fusion with an investment in the US’ Commonwealth Fusion Systems, while BlueFive Capital is back at it, co-leading an investment alongside Abu Dhabi’s AI71 in Arabic AI startup CNTXT AI.
Plus: DP World is edging back into the US for the first time in 20 years, Edge is deepening its partnerships across Europe for a bigger stake in the global defense manufacturing industry, and Revolut has cleared its last regulatory hurdle ahead of a UAE consumer launch.
WEATHER- Look for a high of 42°C in Dubai today, before it cools down to 32°C overnight, while in Abu Dhabi the mercury will reach 39°C before cooling to 29°C.
DIB taps debt markets, again
Dubai Islamic Bank is back in debt markets for the second time this month, this time raising USD 750 mn via a three-year senior unsecured Islamic financing, Zawya reports.
The lender is once again jumping on the chance while spreads recover. DIB just last week priced a USD 1 bn AT1 sukuk — drawing a book of over USD 2.3 bn in a single-day roadshow. The issuance priced at 6.25%, tightening from initial price thoughts of 6.625%, with MENA investors taking 83% of the book.
This comes as analysts tell us spreads for investment-grade names are already back at pre-war levels, though a slight premium is still there for some banks and real estate firms, as well as for GCC sukuk, according to Fitch Ratings.
ADVISORS- Our friends at HSBC, along with Mizuho and Standard Chartered, are the mandated lead arrangers and bookrunners.
Coming soon: Revolut
Global neobank Revolut has received both its Stored Value Facilities and Retail Payment Services licenses from the Central Bank of the UAE, completing the regulatory process it began last year that saw it receive in-principle approval, according to a statement. The licenses clear the last formal hurdle before a full consumer launch: the Mubadala-backed neobank says its focus now turns to building out the local product ahead of going live, without clarifying an exact timeline.
New Sharjah-Dubai road links?
Sharjah is spending AED 750 mn to cut new corridors into Dubai — a tunnel on Al Taawun Road and a parallel surface route, Noor Road, both feeding into Al Nahda Bridge, according to a statement by Sharjah Ruler Sultan Al Qassimi. The tunnel runs as a dual carriageway beneath the existing roundabout, while Noor Road branches off Al Orooba Street.
Noor Road is due to open by end of year — the near-term marker to watch. The tunnel follows later. Together, the two routes are designed to take pressure off a corridor that’s been running well past capacity for years.
DP World’s return to the US?
DP World is in exclusive talks to operate a new container terminal at the Port of Corpus Christi in Texas, which would be its first US container-port operation in 20 years, with the Dubai-based ports giant set to design and build the facility if the agreement is finalized, Bloomberg reports, citing a press release.
Why wasn’t DP World in the US to begin with? DP World was forced out of US ports in 2006 after security concerns were raised by lawmakers. It has maintained logistics operations in Pennsylvania and North Carolina since, with Vancouver as its main North American cargo gateway via rail to Chicago and inland markets — but no container terminals on US soil.
Corpus Christi gives DP World a Gulf Coast container play as nearshoring reshapes US trade flows. The Texas port handles more overall tonnage than most US peers, though mainly on energy, chemicals, and bulk cargo rather than containers. DP World says the new terminal would help it capture rising container demand as manufacturers diversify supply chains away from Asia — a trend that has made Gulf Coast capacity a strategic priority.
The taxman cometh
The UAE's taxman had a good year last year: The Finance Ministry says more than AED 46 bn in VAT and excise tax revenues were distributed to federal and local governments in 2025, up 15% from around AED 41 bn a year earlier, state news agency Wam reports. The increase highlights the growing contribution of non-oil revenues to public finances, helping support an AED 17.4 bn federal budget surplus in 2025.
Data point
96.7k cbm — that’s how much marine fuel was sold in Fujairah in May, a record low amid continued disruption to Gulf shipping routes, Reuters reports, citing Fujairah Oil Industry Zone data published by S&P Global Commodity Insights. Low-sulphur marine fuel saw the steepest decline, tumbling 27% m-o-m to 65k cbm, while high-sulphur bunkers saw a 15% drop to 31.6k cbm, giving it a larger slice of the market.
The May numbers land just as Hormuz is notionally reopening — but don’t expect aquick snapback at Fujairah. Shipowners say they will wait until the agreement is “material” and visible inside the strait before resuming crossings, and mine-clearing alone could take approximately 40-50 days. Even then, tankers are likely to move first, with container lines last — meaning the vessels that bunker at Fujairah in the highest volumes will be slowest to return.
The big story abroad
Your regularly scheduled update on the US-Iran war agreement is the story dominating front pages this morning: US and Iranian officials have confirmed they’ve already digitally signed the agreement, the contents of which were made public earlier yesterday (if you need a refresher: there’s a USD 300 bn package for Iran, an agreement to release frozen Iranian funds and assets and lift all sanctions, and lift the blockade).
The agreement is already in effect, US and Iranian officials have confirmed, meaning all eyes are now turning to the Strait of Hormuz for signs that the blockade has officially ended. (But remember, as we’ve reported: The lifting of the Strait will not be straightforward and won’t happen overnight; it will need to be measured and gradual.)
ALSO- Apple products are getting pricier: Apple CEO Tim Cook confirmed in a Wall Street Journal interview that price increases are “unavoidable” across its product lineup — the culprit being AI-driven demand for data centers, which has forced consumer electronics into fierce competition for dwindling memory chip supplies.
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Market watch
We could be in for a sharp oil glut next year as Gulf producers start to revive shuttered fields after the US-Iran peace agreement, according to the International Energy Agency’s monthly report. The agency said flows would resume gradually this year, before surging by 8 mn bbl / d to 110 mn bbl / d in 2027, outpacing the expected 2 mn bbl / d rise in global demand.
A surplus is not a bad thing: A supply overhang would offer markets a chance to rebuild depleted inventories and strategic reserves after stocks have eroded this year due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, with OECD stocks now at their lowest in decades.
The UAE will likely end up driving an increase in non-Opec+ supply, Reuters cites the IEA report as saying. The agency penciled in a jump of as much as 730k bbl / d to reach 5.2 mn bbl / d in output from the Emirates by 2027, following its decision to leave Opec earlier this year as it looked to untie itself from quota limits.
State-owned firms have been vocal about expansion efforts, with Adnoc lining up AED 200 bn in project awards until 2028, and analysts predicting that the oil and gas investment push could eventually bring capacity as high as 6 mn bbl / d.
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