Good morning, lovely people, and happy back-to-school day for all the parents celebrating. Despite reports of ongoing attacks from Iran, with the UAE saying it intercepted two drones yesterday and a ship attacked on its way from Abu Dhabi to Qatar, the UAE seems to be back to BAU. No phone alerts have been sent out and traffic is pretty close to normal levels.
Oh, and DIFC? It’s pretty much as busy as ever, with restaurants fully booked days in advance and banks like Standard Chartered and Citi resuming operations from all branches after brief suspensions earlier in the conflict.
The uncertain environment is still weighing on some parts of the economy: Bloomberg reports that M&As and IPOs — as we’ve also said before — are likely to be delayed, or possibly even pulled altogether, while megaprojects like Wynn Resorts are facing delays due to supply chain disruptions.
A lot of the pain the economy is seeing will be due to logistics and supply chain disruptions — making this year’s Make It in the Emirates, which wrapped last week, a critical chance for the government to breathe new life into its localization drive and make it much more ambitious than before, from defense to the petrochemicals sector. We take a look at the importance of the agreements signed at the event and the broader policy shift they signal in this morning’s news well below.
And those supply chain disruptions we’re talking about? They’re also making themselves evident in logistics firms’ earnings, with both Aramex and Gulf Marine Services earnings taking a hit due to the war.
PSA
Classrooms across the UAE are set to fill back up today after the Education Ministry confirmed the return to in-person learning for students, teachers, and administrative staff at public and private schools and nurseries nationwide, according to a post on X. The decision follows a brief disruption last week after the UAE reported attacks from Iran on Monday.
WEATHER- Temperatures are still on the cooler side — at least by GCC summer standards — with highs of 36-37°C in Dubai and Abu Dhabi and lows of 25-26°C.
Watch this space
TOURISM — Wynn Resorts confirms delay in RAK resort: Wynn Resorts’ CEO Craig Billings confirmed that the launch of its USD 5.1 bn Wynn Al Marjan Island project in Ras Al Khaimah (RAK) will be pushed back from its planned opening date of early 2027, Zawya reports, citing comments made by Billings during the firm’s 1Q 2026 earnings call.
So, when? While he didn’t specify a new opening date, Billings described the shift as a “modest delay” following logistics disruptions and shipping constraints on the back of the regional war. Tensions had forced rerouting of materials and alternative sourcing, which he said has added to costs. “I use the word modest very, very intentionally because that’s what we believe it will be,” he added, saying that visibility on timing will only firm up once conditions stabilize.
ICYMI- Last week, Bloomberg had reported that the firm was eyeing pushing back the opening, after development work had already briefly paused following the outbreak of war. Rival MGM Resorts’ Dubai mega-project is still on track for a 3Q 2027 opening, despite MGM Resorts CEO Bill Hornbuckle saying visitor activity to the region was likely to dip around 15%.
AVIATION — Archer Aviation is a step closer to rolling out its air taxi operations after securing a restricted type certificate program from the UAE’s General Civil Aviation Authority, the firm said in a statement. The new license puts Archer on an established route to rolling out its Midnight series. The firm is already planning to set up more than 10 vertiports across Abu Dhabi, in a move that will place the UAE capital among the first cities worldwide to host eVTOL transport on a commercial scale.
ICYMI- At the end of last year, there were reports of Archer’s planned 2025 launch being delayed as the company waited on approval from local authorities, meaning launch plans were pushed to 2026. Flying taxis are on course to hit Dubai’s skies this year, with electric aircraft developer Joby Aviation initially said to be targeting an early 2026 launch.
TAX — More time to appoint ASP: Companies now have an extra three months — until 30 October 2026 — to appoint accredited service providers (ASP) to handle the transmission of electronic invoices, according to a statement from the Finance Ministry. So far, 32 ASPs have been approved to operate.
DIVE DEEPER- Check out our explainer of the UAE’s upcoming phase-in of e-Invoicing. Voluntary adoption of the system will start in July 2026, followed by a hard mandate from January 2027 for businesses with annual revenues exceeding AED 50 mn. The requirement will include smaller firms in later stages.
Data point
AED 6.2 bn — that’s how much support the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) has shelled out for both businesses and individuals affected by the regional disruption so far, in the form of tools like loan deferrals, interest relief, fee waivers, and access to financing, according to a statement (pdf).
So far, a total of 65.4k beneficiaries have tapped the support line, primarily individuals at 60.6k, followed by 4.3k SMEs, and 485 corporates. The CBUAE said hospitality, transport, and entertainment sectors had priority in the scheme, as they’ve been the most exposed so far to the war.
BACKGROUND- The central bank is drawing attention to the UAE’s ongoing economic stabilization push, which has been rolled out in stages since the regional conflict began. The CBUAE launched a resilience package for the banking sector relatively early on, while more recently the UAE set up an AED 1 bn national fund focused on localization and supply-chain resilience. Help is also on the way for the healthcare, SME, tourism, and postal sectors, along with a dedicated package for Dubai’s private sector.
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The big story abroad
The US-Iran stalemate crowds the front pages once again. President Donald Trump dismissed Iran’s response to Washington’s latest proposal, calling the demands “totally unacceptable.” Tehran reportedly floated moving a portion of its highly enriched uranium reserves to a separate nation and refused to decommission its nuclear infrastructure — this account was later denied by Iran’s semi-official outlet Tasnim.
Pakistan-Iran talks seem to have made some headway, with Qatar managing to export itsfirst LNG cargo — bound for a Pakistani port — through the Strait of Hormuz since the conflict started. Islamabad reportedly expects three more vessels to ship Qatari LNG through the waterway in the coming days.
The regional conflict is set to dominate the agenda during Trump’s summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing later this week. Both leaders have good reasons to resolve the Iran war, as it is taxing Trump’s domestic popularity and straining Beijing’s reliance on low-cost Iranian oil. Washington’s worries over AI and a proposed new dialogue with China are also reportedly on the table.
Meanwhile, in the world of AI: Alphabet has rapidly evolved into an AI powerhouse, significantly narrowing the valuation gap with chipmaking giant Nvidia. Analysts suggest that the strength of the Gemini model, combined with Google Search, Cloud, YouTube, and Waymo, positions the company as the primary contender to lead the next era of tech growth.
In a retrospective piece on the outgoing Federal Reserve Chair, Bloomberg chronicles Jerome Powell’s long battle to maintain the institution’s independence. Powell’s term saw heavy criticism from Trump, a probe from the Justice Department, and an unusual decision to stay on after his successor stepped up to assume the mantle.
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