Good morning, wonderful people, and welcome to the final days of August — which around here means the unofficial start of the fall events calendar. The Abu Dhabi International Hunting and Equestrian Exhibition (ADIHEX) kicks things off in two days, with Middle East Energy landing in Dubai next week.
Even with the delays and cancellations that have thinned out parts of the calendar this year, the season is still shaping up to be a busy one. That, plus kids heading back to school next week, means the traffic is about to be back in full force.
Our Big Story Today looks at the rise of monthly rent payments and more flexible payment terms for rentals — a trend being driven both by a maturing market and by government policy.
The timing isn't a coincidence: With record handovers flooding the market and rents down 8-10% in some communities since February, landlords are losing pricing power just as tenants gain a new lever to negotiate with. The catch is that flexibility isn't free — somebody has to front the cash, and that somebody is increasingly a third party underwriting the tenant. We look at who's carrying the risk, and what happens when rent starts to look like credit.
ALSO ON OUR RADAR- Taqa is heading for the exit at the ADX, delisting after L'imad's squeeze-out left it with no freefloat. We flagged this as inevitable back in June — and with L'imad already moving on AD Ports' minorities, it's looking less like a one-off and more like a pattern.
And before the long weekend, we have our eyes on the Strait of Hormuz still, where Iran is tightening its grip on the shuttle trade that has kept Gulf crude moving over the past few weeks, adding dozens of vessels — including some of Adnoc’s — on its blacklist, which could result in fines, detentions, and cargo confiscations.
**A QUICK PROGRAMMING NOTE: EnterpriseAM UAE is off tomorrow as we mark the Prophet’s Birthday (Mawlid Nabawy). Enjoy the long weekend — we’ll be back in your inboxes on Monday morning.
Comeback runway
Dubai International Airport (DXB) is looking for a second-half rebound after the Iran war wiped out almost a third of its first-half passenger traffic. DXB handled 31.5 mn passengers in 1H 2026, down 31.3% y-o-y, as regional airspace restrictions and flight disruptions hit the hub, according to a Dubai Media Office statement. Aircraft movements fell 32.1% to 150.6k, while air freight volumes dropped 28.7% to around 751k tons. The statement refers to it as “one of the most challenging operating environments in the airport's history.”
The recovery has started, but from a low base: Passenger numbers rose from 3.5 mn in April to 5 mn in June as flights gradually resumed. By end-June, nearly 50 international airlines were serving DXB, connecting it to 217 destinations in 99 countries.
What to watch: Dubai Airports expects stronger momentum in 2H as airline networks recover, transit traffic rises, travel advisories ease, and the winter schedule kicks in. Emirates was flying at 90% capacity in July, with premium cabins full, airline president Tim Clark told Reuters, and ranked first globally for international capacity in August despite a 5.4% y-o-y capacity drop.
Mubadala in for a Shein haul
Abu Dhabi's Mubadala is one of the investors in line for a payout from Shein, after investor protection clauses were triggered by its Hong Kong IPO, which values the fast-fashion giant below the price paid in earlier-stage funding rounds, according to its prospectus (pdf). The IPO values the fast-fashion giant at up to USD 27 bn — less than half the USD 60-98 bn valuations Mubadala and others paid into back in 2022-23.
Shein is now on the hook for up to USD 3.5 bn in cash and bonus shares to cover that gap across all eligible holders — nearly double the fresh capital it's raising in the offering itself, which is set to be USD 1.8 bn at the top of the pricing range. The prospectus does not disclose how much each investor will receive.
In context: Shein's road to this listing has been a four-year retreat. It first flirted with a US listing at a USD 100 bn valuation in 2022, before regulatory and political pressure over trade practices, labor sourcing, and its Chinese roots pushed it to try London instead — a plan that also stalled amid more regulatory hurdles from Chinese regulators, who still needed to give them the green light. It's landing in Hong Kong at roughly a quarter of that original valuation, squeezed by the end of the de minimis tariff exemption — which Shein used in the past to avoid paying duties — new regulatory probes, and slowing growth. Mubadala backed the company during the 2022-23 window when it was still being priced as a global consumer champion.
Iran comes for the shuttle trade
Iran has named Adnoc-linked vessels among 45 tankers it blacklisted for breaking its rules on crossing the Strait of Hormuz, warning it would act against any ship caught transferring cargo with them, Reuters reports. The list includes vessels owned by Adnoc L&S and its subsidiary, Navig8 Tankers, the unit in which Adnoc L&S took an 80% stake for USD 1.04 bn last year.
The blacklist has teeth: Named vessels risk fines, detention, and cargo confiscation. Any ship caught doing a ship-to-ship transfer with a blacklisted tanker can be added too. Vessels can petition for removal, though Iran hasn't spelled out its compliance rules. The warning landed days after the US threatened Iran with “the toughest sanctions in history,” and Iran said its response would be “devastating.”
This targets the workaround, not just the traffic. Adnoc has built its export strategy around a shuttle model since the war disrupted normal Hormuz transits: vessels move crude from inside the Gulf to transfer points like Fujairah, where buyers — including China's biggest state tanker operators, Cosco and CMES, which have avoided the strait entirely — collect it without having to send their own ships through the danger zone. That workaround let Adnoc sell more than 100 mn barrels via tenders even as chokepoint traffic collapsed.
MEANWHILE- Adnoc and Kuwait's KPC chartered four VLCCs on the spot market this week to load crude at Fujairah for Asia, according to Kpler data and a ship broker cited by Reuters. Adnoc took three of the very large crude carriers to load this week; KPC picked up at least one, due to load in early September, with the option to sail east or west. Each VLCC carries about 2 mn barrels, and the cargoes are expected to be sourced from within the Gulf.
Data point
AED 188.8 bn — that’s how much money flowed out of the UAE through exchange houses in 2025, up 27.8% y-o-y, according to the Central Bank of the UAE’s Financial Stability Report 2025 (pdf). Personal transfers did the heavy lifting at AED 115.7 bn, followed by trade at AED 63.3 bn.
Inbound flows grew even faster: Inward transfers through exchange businesses jumped 53.6% y-o-y to AED 36 bn, led by trade at AED 22.8 bn and personal transfers at AED 8.1 bn.
Why it matters: Exchange houses remain a key channel for the UAE’s large expatriate workforce and trade-linked payments. Remittance operations were the sector’s top income source in 2025, accounting for 51.6% of core income, while income from those operations rose 12.7% to AED 1.7 bn.
PSA
#1- Good news for (some) parents: Emirates Transport, the government-owned operator that carries about 285k pupils on 11k buses across the UAE, says it's absorbing this year's fuel price increases rather than passing them on to parents, Tariq Al Awadhi, commercial lead for school transport at Emirates Transport, told the National.
REMEMBER- August saw Super 98 rise 5.9%, Special 95 up 6.1%, E-Plus 91 up 6.2%, and diesel up 5.6%, driven largely by the Iran war’s disruption to oil markets. The changes follow price cuts of up to 16.9% in July but come at a more modest rate than those seen after the outbreak of the war, when diesel spiked by 72.4% in April. The company says route optimization and fuel-efficiency measures are covering the gap.
In context: In Abu Dhabi, fees are fixed by Adek regardless of fuel costs, so parents there see no fuel-linked pass-through by regulation. In Dubai, meanwhile, transport fees are negotiated directly between individual schools and private operators, not regulated the way Abu Dhabi's are, so there's more room for those costs to move. Some private schools had already opted to raise transport fees 3-5% this year — GEMS Winchester School and Delhi Private School Dubai among them — so Emirates Transport’s decision only applies to the schools it works with.
#2- The UAE has clarified which multinationals must file under its Pillar Two top-up tax regime. The new rules cover UAE-based constituent entities — excluding investment entities — as well as local JVs, JV subsidiaries, and certain stateless reverse-hybrid entities, state news agency Wam reports. Filings can be made directly or through a designated local entity and apply to fiscal years starting on or after 1 January 2025.
Background: The filing rules build on the UAE’s rollout of the OECD-backed 15% domestic minimum top-up tax for large multinationals, which took effect in 2025. The Finance Ministry has also paired the tougher regime with targeted incentives, including R&D tax credits introduced earlier this year.
WEATHER- It’s getting hotter and hotter in Abu Dhabi, with temperatures rising to 46°C before cooling to a low of 32°C. It’s less warm in Dubai, with the mercury topping out at 42°C before cooling to 33°C.
The big story abroad
Meta and Nvidia are taking up prime real estate on the business press’ front pages this morning, for two very different reasons. Facebook owner Meta is set to pay USD 18 bn in settlements to US states over the next decade to resolve lawsuits accusing it of designing Facebook and Instagram to to encourage compulsive use of social media among young users. Meanwhile, Nvidia forecasts a 70% y-o-y jump in sales of AI chips next year, after reporting USD 96.2 bn in revenues and USD 108 bn in sales for the quarter ending in July, beating Wall Street expectations.
On the geopolitical front, Iran and Oman are said to be finalizing an agreement on controlling movement in the Strait of Hormuz, while Russian President Vladimir Putin is reportedly planning an escalation of attacks on Ukraine as negotiations for a peace agreement reach a dead end.
Meanwhile, flash floods on the border of Nepal and China have killed at least 160 people and left hundreds missing, with search and rescue efforts still underway.
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