Hardly homogeneous

1

OPENING NOTE

Post-World Cup hangover

Good morning, friends. It’s a soft, slightly hungover Monday across MENA+ — the kind where half the region is running on four hours of sleep and the other half is pretending it isn’t. Spain lifted the World Cup last night, edging Argentina 1-0 on a Ferran Torres goal deep in extra time (after a previous extra-time goal was disallowed). It was overall not a very graceful showing for Argentina, nor was it a particularly riveting game for large stretches of time. Adding a bit of insult to that injury was a rather unnecessary and American-coded halftime show that brought everyone from Ronaldinho and Madonna to Kermit the frog to our screens.

The tournament leaves behind some absurd economics: Last-minute get-in prices ran from about USD 310 for Czechia-South Africa in Atlanta to north of USD 3.8k for Mexico’s round-of-16 tie with England. The cheapest seat at yesterday’s final was still fetching USD 7,598 on Friday — a relative steal next to the USD 12k-plus it commanded three weeks earlier.

The quieter — but very thematic — story of the tournament is that it doubled as an AI proving ground. Lenovo and FIFA put generative-AI match analytics in the hands of all 48 teams, leveling a field that used to tilt toward the wealthiest federations, alongside a referee bodycam smoothed frame-by-frame and a command center one exec cheerfully called “air traffic control for the World Cup.” Tellingly, FIFA drew a hard line at live play: No AI inside the 90 minutes, echoing MLB's move last week to ban dugout chatbots.

Worth reading as you settle in: Banijay’s Marco Bassetti, fresh off his c.USD 8 bn All3Media tie-up, makes the case that global entertainment still lives or dies on local culture. –Salma

2

THE LEDE

Beyond the headline players: How KIA, OIA, and Mumtalakat divide the labor

Kuwait’s sovereign wealth fund manages more than USD 1 tn, and you would be hard pressed to name a single thing it bought last year. That opacity — which some interpret as a sign the Kuwait Investment Authority (KIA) is part of the region’s supporting cast of sovereign wealth funds — is deliberate: A 1982 law bars the fund from disclosing its holdings to the public. The result is that pool of capital that rivals Abu Dhabi’s Adia barely registers in the GCC’s loud media environment.

KIA is often reflexively bundled with Oman’s OIA and Bahrain’s Mumtalakat, also known as the Gulf funds that aren’t PIF, Mubadala, Adia — or the recently-formed L’Imad. The bundling is where the analysis usually gets the picture wrong, according to analysts we spoke with. These three funds have little in common beyond geography and a shared taste for staying out of the news. What lumps them together — a rough size bracket beneath the majors — hides how differently each one is wired. Look at their mandates rather than their balance sheets and a genuine division of labor comes into view.

“Every Gulf country manages its public wealth and finances differently,” Diego Lopez, founder and managing director of Global SWF, tells EnterpriseAM. Oman and Kuwait, in his reading, “follow the ‘Saudi approach,’ where OIA and KIA play different mandates under the same umbrella fund” — a single institution running several distinct pots. Bahrain went the other way, splitting the job across “different funds for different purposes: FGR for stabilization purposes, and Mumtalakat for local development and holding the stakes in national champions.”

KIA is the fund that’s least flattered by the bundling: “KIA is a mega-fund with USD 1 tn+ in AUM, but we don’t hear that much about their investments because these are usually done via funds, without disclosure requirements,” Lopez says. While KIA has been operating in incognito mode, it’s spent the past year anchoring some of the biggest transactions in the market. In June 2025, KIA was the first non-founder financial anchor to join the USD 30 bn AI Infrastructure Partnership founded by MGX, BlackRock, Global Infrastructure Partners, and Microsoft. It went on to anchor Brookfield’s USD 10 bn AI infrastructure vehicle and to join KKR, NVIDIA, and Vistra as a founding investor in Helix Digital Infrastructure.

There’s a job for everyone

Is real strategy taking shape across these funds, or is it just one opportunistic move after another? "Both, depending on the altitude," says Roy Conners, Gulf sovereign wealth fund analyst, speaking in a personal capacity. “At the deal level, coordination remains largely transaction-specific. The megafunds supply scale and platform creation. The funds are developing distinct and complementary roles: KIA as the region’s great external allocator and anchor LP, OIA as a domestic transition vehicle with a ring-fenced savings arm, Mumtalakat as an operating holding company that partners for capital and expertise.”

That specialization is why the funds keep turning up in one another’s deals. The co-investment “is the connective tissue of that specialization, not evidence of incoherence,” Conners says. When Mumtalakat teams up with Abu Dhabi’s CYVN on McLaren or with M42 on healthcare, it’s putting operating assets and a home-market listing venue on the table in return for capital and know-how. “The map is emerging through repeated bilateral deals rather than through any formal GCC-level mechanism,” Conners adds, “which is consistent with how institutions in the region have typically been built.”

“We are seeing a more sophisticated and intentional investment landscape emerge across the GCC,” says Julie Kassab, sovereign wealth fund leader at Deloitte Middle East, who frames it as “the evolution of Gulf SWFs from traditional capital allocators into strategic transformation engines.”

Size doesn’t always matter most: “Scale is an advantage, but it’s not the only factor that determines influence … What may appear modest in one market can represent a significant investment and meaningful impact in another,” Kassab says.

The stabilization worry has it backwards

The thesis that these funds could act as “stabilization” funds to backstop fiscal deficits is fundamentally off. Chatter suggests that a Gulf country facing a budget deficit (ahem, Bahrain) is likely to tap into its sovereign wealth fund to plug fiscal holes and consequently hollow out the intergenerational mandate they were built on, but Conners argues that this framing does not fully reflect how the funds are structured. “The framing assumes these are all savings funds drifting into something else, and that is not the architecture,” he says.

How the money is structured proves that framing is off. Kuwait runs two pillars on purpose: A General Reserve Fund built to finance the state, and a ring-fenced Future Generations Fund that does the long-term saving. Oman is set up along the same lines, pairing a domestic National Development Fund with an international Future Generations Fund. Bahrain divides the work too — “FGR plays the stabilization and savings function, whereas Mumtalakat is the strategic investment arm,” Lopez says. Across all three, stabilization was handed to a designated pocket from the outset. “In these cases, the stabilization function generally reflects the institutional design rather than necessarily indicating mandate erosion,” Conners tells us.

And it’s a role that’s reserved for a handful of funds. “Not all funds in the Gulf can or will act as stabilization buffers,” Lopez says. “Historically, these have been only Adia, KIA, SAMA, OIA and FGR.”

The more useful questions are whether the plumbing is holding up and “whether transfers between the pillars stay rule-based and transparent,” Conners says. On that score, Kuwait has tightened the taps: Lopez notes the fiscal rules “were modified a few years ago to allow transfers between funds only in years of surplus,” and the government has since reopened debt markets with a KWD 30 bn (USD 65 bn) borrowing ceiling and tenors up to 50 years, giving itself a financing route that spares the savings.

Not exactly a league table

A reflexive assumption is that the smaller funds simply follow where PIF and Mubadala lead, but that only holds if they’re all chasing the same assets on the same terms, which they aren’t. “Their currency is not check size but position,” Conners says. For OIA, that position is access to Oman’s domestic transition, and a fund that posted a 14.6% return and USD 7.5 bn in profit in 2025 is no frontier curiosity. For Mumtalakat, it’s a stable of national champions — Alba, Beyon — sitting under a record BHD 592.7 mn net income. “Describing them as price-takers may overlook the fact that they often pursue different mandates, assets and partnership structures from the largest regional funds,” Conners says. “They are not.”

No one drew this up as a master plan, but there is a map taking shape. “Sovereign capital in the region is becoming a network,” Conners says, “and in a network the interesting question is not who is biggest, but where each institution adds distinctive value to particular transactions.” Bahrain has made itself an operating venue, Kuwait the anchor allocator, Oman the transition play.

What to watch for next:

  • KIA’s next platform commitments will show whether a manager-led fund can keep buying its way to the front of the queue in AI and digital infrastructure, or whether the anchor terms thin out as every sovereign crowds into the same trade.
  • OIA’s divestment and IPO activity is the truer gauge of its domestic strategy: Stake sales and listings are what turn concentrated local holdings back into recycled capital, and a thin pipeline would lay bare the concentration risk its bulls prefer to wave away.
  • And if oil softens, Kuwait’s General Reserve Fund is the one to watch — a drawdown that reaches the ring-fenced Future Generations Fund would tell the region that stabilization-by-design has met its limit.
3

MARKETS + DEALS

SEC transparency push, PIF stadium raise, and Oman Islamic bank merger

Whose money? — that’s the thread running through this morning’s column, from the US markets regulator wanting to know who’s backing activist campaigns to a scamble that sees everyone from PIF to Oman’s Bank Nizwa wanting to use someone else’s money to achieve a big goal.

UP FIRST: Some of the Gulf’s most discreet investors may soon find themselves in the public eye. The US Securities and Exchange Commission said in an updated interpretation on 13D filings and proxy statements last week that clients backing company-specific activist campaigns must be named in regulatory filings. That pulls into the public eye a category of investor that has long preferred to stay quiet: North America accounts for 50% of MENA+ family-office portfolios, per UBS, much of it routed through “sidecars” — special-purpose vehicles that let an investor bankroll a single boardroom fight, breakup, or forced sale without attaching their name to it.

Being named as the foreign capital behind a management ouster could invite scrutiny in both Washington and the Gulf where private and state interests collide.


PIF-owned Roshn is shopping for outside investors to back a World Cup stadium. The developer has JPMorgan running an equity raise for Aramco Stadium, a 47k-seat venue for the 2034 World Cup in Al Khobar, Reuters reports. The goal: To free up capital for other projects. Investors would buy into a vehicle controlling the stadium’s leasehold in exchange for a long-term share of lease payments from Aramco, which operates the venue on a 25-year concession.

IN CONTEXT- Riyadh still has 15 stadiums and 132 training venues to build or renovate across five cities before 2034.

The move comes as Saudi right-sizes its domestic sports ambitions, bringing private capital in at home and pulling back from expensive offshore ventures like Liv Golf. Kingdom Holding took 70% of Al Hilal off PIF’s hands in April, a US investor bought SPL side Al Kholood last year, PIF has been in discussions over a minority stake in Newcastle United, and the Big Four SPL clubs are working through budget cuts of USD 200-400 mn.


Oman’s Islamic banking sector could be in for its biggest shakeup in years. Bank Nizwa has proposed acquiring Alizz Islamic Bank from Oman Arab Bank at c. 1.2x book value with the goal of folding it into its own operations. Ominvest would come in as a strategic shareholder in the combined lender, taking up to 20% of Bank Nizwa. The goal: create a larger Islamic lender with a broader customer base and stronger capital structure.

Morocco’s state fund is monetizing a chunk of CIH Bank just as the bank raises fresh capital. Caisse de Dépôt et de Gestion (CDG) sold its full direct stake in CIH Bank, according to an AMMC disclosure, in a transaction worth nearly USD 69 mn, by our math. CDG keeps a bit more than 55% through subsidiary Massira Capital Management, stays on the board, and says it won’t sell more CIH stock for six months.

The other half of the story is the capital raise: Morocco’s markets regulator approved a public capital increase of up to MAD 750 mn (c. USD 75 mn) on 8 July, with the subscription window open 15-22 July; a separate MAD 250 mn tranche is reserved for employees. The bank plans to use the proceeds to invest in shoring up its capabilities in tech, data, AI, cybersecurity, and cloud.

SPEAKING OF BANKS: Saudi lenders are heading into 2Q earnings from a record base, and our friends at EFG Hermes see that holding, estimating that combined net profit for listed lenders in the kingdom were up c. 5% y-o-y in 2Q, with lower funding costs and better liquidity carrying margins even as corporate lending slows. The ten listed banks earned USD 6.4 bn in 1Q, up 7.6% y-o-y.


The hedge fund migration continues: Symmetry Investments, the multistrategy firm Feng Guo spun out of Millennium Management in 2014, has secured a DFSA license to operate in the emirate, Bloomberg reports. It follows Citadel, which got its green light in April. Some 258 companies set up a regional presence in DIFC in March alone, up 59% y-o-y, capping a quarter that saw 775 firms register.


Telecom Egypt scrapped the sale of a majority stake in its Regional Data Center Hub to Helios Investment Partners, citing unmet term-sheet conditions, according to a regulatory filing (pdf). The binding offer had valued RDH at USD 230-260 mn for a 75-80% stake after preliminary board approval last September. TE will instead fold the business into a wholly owned subsidiary and back its own data-center bet.

Helios has been pushing deeper into Egypt: It took its investment in Raya Foods from USD 40 mn for 49% to a full buyout, part of a plan to deploy up to USD 250 mn in the Arab world’s most populous country.

ALSO IN EGYPT- The Emerging Africa & Asia Infrastructure Fund committed a USD 30 mn senior secured loan to Hassan Allam Utilities for a 1 GW solar and 660 MWh battery-storage project in Minya, according to a statement, while the EBRD is weighing up to USD 170 mn of senior debt against a USD 764 mn total project cost.

Why it matters: Minya is part of a Hassan Allam-Infinity-Masdar pipeline that stretches to a 10 GW wind project in Sohag and a USD 15 bn green hydrogen venture with BP.


Abu Dhabi’s Bildco completed its takeover of a 50% stake in Dubai-based food trader AG Group, according to an ADX disclosure that didn’t put a value on the transaction. AG trades fresh produce, runs juice production, and operates a logistics network serving Emirates Flight Catering, Americana, and Majid Al Futtaim.

Dubai Investments went from 20% to 80% of Clemenceau Medical Center, buying out Khansaheb Investments and CMC itself, it said in a DFM disclosure. The transaction should close in 3Q and is pending regulatory approval. Dubai Investments first bought in back in 2018, and the jump to control extends a deliberate healthcare accumulation spanning Global Fertility Partners, King’s College Hospital London, Globalpharma, and — via GFN last year — Jeddah’s HealthPlus.

ALSO WORTH KNOWING THIS MORNING-

The PIF-led USD 55 bn take-private of Electronic Arts — the largest leveraged buyout on record — is set to clear its final hurdle, with the EU expected to grant unconditional approval under both its merger and foreign-subsidy reviews by 30 July, Reuters reports.

The Abu Dhabi Investment Council hired Edward Winter, a BlackRock and Macquarie veteran, as chief investment officer for real assets, joining in September to run infrastructure and real estate under executive director Saoud Al Mulla, Bloomberg reports. He’s the latest big-name arrival: Future Fund CIO Ben Samild joined as chief strategist late last year, former Canadian pension boss Alain Carrier is now running private equity, and Future Fund alum Simon Fraser came aboard in April as head of derivatives.

Market Snapshot

Tadawul 0.0% • ADX 0.0% • DFM -1.4% • EGX30 -0.7%

Brent USD 88.10 / bbl • Gold USD 4,019 / oz • USD / SAR 3.75 • USD / EGP 51.20

4

WAR WATCH

US launches ninth day of strikes on Iran as US military toll hits 17

The US military launched another round of airstrikes against Iranian targets yesterday, the US Central Command said. The latest attacks — which mark the ninth consecutive day of strikes — follow the deaths of three US service members this week in Jordan and Iraq.

Iran, meanwhile, hasn’t been holding back… Tehran announced over the weekend it would no longer adhere to the terms of the interim truce with Washington and launched a round of strikes on Jordan and Kuwait, as well as US radar and aircraft in Qatar. Kuwait bore the brunt of Iran’s weekend attacks, which targeted energy infrastructure including an oil facility, two power plants, and a desalination plant.

…and is expanding its attack radius: Earlier on Friday, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards launched a missile strike against a US special operations command center in Syria. The attack — Iran’s first against Syria during the war — was declared to be in retaliation for an earlier US attack on an Iranian military base that killed three Iranian soldiers.

Meanwhile, Dana Gas has shut down the main production facilities at Iraq’s Khor Mor gas field after receiving what it described as “credible security threats” amid the escalation in the region, according to a disclosure (pdf). The company did not disclose the nature of the threats or say when production could resume.

BACKGROUND- This is not the field’s first security-driven disruption. While operations remained unaffected after a drone strike in February last year, a subsequent strike on a storage tank in November halted production and caused extensive power outages. The field was also shut for two weeks after the regional conflict started heating up in March before resuming operations in April.

5

THE SCORECARD

MENA investment banking fees hit a three-year low as the US-Iran conflict squeezes dealmaking

MENA bankers have just gone through what is likely their worst first half in three years. Regional investment banking fees fell 19% y-o-y to USD 757.1 mn, a three-year low, as the US-Iran conflict throttled dealmaking through 2Q, per LSEG data.

The UAE is still where the money is, generating 55% of regional fees, ahead of Saudi Arabia (25%) and Qatar (7%).

Equity is where it hurts, with underwriting fees cratering 57% y-o-y to a five-year low of USD 69.5 mn as IPOs and follow-ons stalled in 2Q after the outbreak of the war. Debt held the line, with underwriting fees roughly flat at USD 297 mn, while completed M&A advisory fell 19% to USD 203.5 mn and syndicated lending dropped 16% to USD 187.4 mn.

Global banks advanced in the league table: JPMorgan took the top spot with USD 71 mn (up 21% y-o-y, 9.4% share), Citi second at USD 56.1 mn, and HSBC slid to third after its fees nearly halved to USD 36.7 mn. Barclays was the anomaly — fees up 240% to USD 33.1 mn. Gulf lenders, including UAE’s Emirates NBD and FAB, stayed in the race but missed the top three.

What to watch for next: Do issuers go to market in 2H with IPOs once the traditional summer lull ends? We were (very cautiously) optimistic 10 days ago, but the recent acceleration of attacks by both Iran and the US has us reconsidering.

6

THE CORRIDOR

HSBC, StanChart chase Gulf-based Indian deposits as Egypt builds East Africa trade links

We’re following the corridor out of MENA to India and Africa this morning.

UP FIRST- Banks are dangling double-digit, near-risk-free returns at Gulf-based Indians, Bloomberg reports. HSBC and Standard Chartered have joined the rush for Foreign Currency Non-Resident (FCNR) deposits, with the Reserve Bank of India reopening a special window — for the first time in 13 years — that absorbs banks’ full hedging costs and lets clients borrow against their deposits. The attraction: The Indian arms of HSBC and StanChart are both offering depositors generous leverage, prompting Barclays and Citi to ponder following suit.

The target is USD 60-80 bn — about 10% of India’s FX reserves — to shore up the INR after the US-Iran war drained them. Banks pulled in some USD 26 bn through the same mechanism during the 2013 taper tantrum, and analysts expect collections to more than double this time.

MEANWHILE- Egypt is pushing its trade network south to Dar es Salaam. Cairo is eyeing a set of logistics links with Tanzania — a Safaga-Dar es Salaam shipping route and a Cairo-Dar es Salaam multimodal corridor — and is offering to help expand the Port of Dar es Salaam, President Abdel Fattah El Sisi said during a visit to the country, according to an Ittihadiya statement. The two governments signed two MoUs spanning transport, electricity, and renewable energy, though no timelines or investment figures were attached.

Why it matters: The route would extend the network Egypt is building across the Red Sea and East Africa — a maritime pact with Eritrea, a foothold at Djibouti’s Doraleh port, and transit waivers covering six East African countries. Dar es Salaam plugs Egyptian exporters into Tanzania’s links with Zambia, the DRC, Rwanda, Burundi, and Uganda — a combined market of more than 250 mn people.

GO DEEPER- We looked at Egypt’s bid to turn its Red Sea ports into redistribution hubs for East African trade in a recent deep dive.

7

DIPLOMACY

Iraq’s prime minister wrapped his high-profile Washington visit — what did he secure so far?

Iraq’s Prime Minister Ali Al Zaidi ended his Washington tour with what could be big wins for the country’s energy and banking sectors. The big one: The Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) reached an understanding with the US Treasury to return seven restricted banks to external correspondent channels with the Fed — and JPMorgan has agreed to open a branch in Iraq to help finance US companies in the country, Al Zaidi's office said. Iraqi officials signed 48-plus MoUs spanning energy, healthcare, and tech worth some USD 60 bn — if they turn into something real.

The caveat: None of the announced USD 60 bn MoUs is a done deal — all are non-binding agreements, still awaiting several milestones before becoming final investment decisions.

BACKGROUND- These developments share a common denominator, which is the US leverage over Iraq's access to the USD — the same leverage that cancelled at least two USD shipments to Baghdad this year, including one of c. USD 500 mn. For a state with an imminent payroll crisis, as we detailed in May, and whose exports remain throttled by Hormuz, releasing access to foreign reserves is critical. Washington, in turn, hopes to get tighter policing of Iranian financial networks in Iraq, which thrive in its cash-based economy, and to clear the way for US oil majors to work the country’s vast hydrocarbons reserves.

The seven banks are re-opening correspondent channels in foreign currencies other than the USD. Clearance in greenbacks will follow only after further compliance measures, CBI Governor Nizar Nasser Hussein said. The CBI hasn’t confirmed the names of the seven banks, but Iraqi daily Al Mustaqila says they include:

  • Mosul Bank
  • Investment Bank of Iraq
  • Al Arabiya Islamic Bank
  • Al Janoob Islamic Bank
  • International Development Bank
  • Mashreq Al Arabi Bank
  • Kurdistan International Islamic Bank

And the JPMorgan branch opening, if it happens, is the more novel development. Al Zaidi’s office told Reuters the bank agreed to open a branch to finance projects US companies execute in Iraq — the first US bank presence of its kind there. The outpost would bring sovereign-loan arrangements, large-project finance, and risk-management tools local banks can't offer, Mazhar Sale, the finance advisor to the PM, told Iraqi outlet Al Mada. JPMorgan is yet to make an announcement.

On energy, the USD 60 bn is made up entirely of non-binding MoUs, with signatories ExxonMobil, KBR, GE Vernova, Shell, and Halliburton. Here’s the rundown of the top agreements:

  • ConocoPhillips is taking up 42% of BP's Kirkuk redevelopment JV, which covers four northern fields with 3 bn barrels of oil equivalent.
  • Chevron signed three agreements — to develop the southern West Qurna 2 and Nasiriyah fields, where Russia’s Lukoil is on the way out, and to invest in the Iraq-Syria export pipeline.
  • GE Vernova's framework targets adding 15 GW of electricity generation capacity, which Electricity Minister Ali Saadi Waheeb says would cut Iraq's 35-40 GW deficit by more than a third.

SOUND SMART- Correspondent banking is the plumbing that lets a local bank move money across borders by holding an account at a foreign bank that clears the transaction. An Iraqi bank cut off from those relationships — USD ones especially — can't settle international trade or take in foreign investment. That’s why the sequencing matters: The banking access has to come before US majors can start committing capital to oil and energy projects.

8

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING

Kuwait courts Pakistan for a defense pact modeled on the Saudi deal

WATCH THIS SPACE #1- Kuwait is in early-stage talks with Pakistan for a defense pact that would leverage Kuwait’s oil in exchange for expanded cooperation in troops and military equipment, five sources tell Reuters. Some of Kuwait’s requests mirror the pact that Saudi Arabia signed with Pakistan last year, but Pakistani officials are pushing back against deploying combat troops amid worries that its defense pacts in the region could risk dragging Pakistan into the US-Iran-Israel war.

IN CONTEXT- The talks could be read as part of a broader Gulf scramble for defence alternatives as confidence in US security guarantees erodes amid the US-Iran war. Islamabad is already in talks with Saudi Arabia and Turkey for a three-way defense pact, while Bahrain and Jordan have expressed interest in similar talks. Beyond the UAE, which was the top target for Iranian attacks, Kuwait’s infrastructure has also been hard hit during the Iran war, with the latest attacks taking place this weekend on one of its key oil facilities and a desalination plant.

BACKGROUND- Saudi and Pakistan signed a “strategic mutual defence agreement” last September that includes pledges of assistance by “all military means,” committing each country to treat any attack on one as an attack on both.


WATCH THIS SPACE #2- It’s getting more and more difficult to get into or out of the Gulf as the US-Iran conflict heats up again. Etihad canceled its Abu Dhabi-Kuwait services on 19-20 July; Emirates and Air Arabia scrapped several flights connecting Kuwait with Dubai, Sharjah, and Abu Dhabi; and Flydubai canceled one Dubai-Abha service amid disruptions at the Saudi airport, Gulf News reports.

Foreign carriers are even more risk averse: Air Astana halted UAE flights only days after restarting them, while British Airways, Singapore Airlines, and Air Canada have pushed their Dubai returns to October, the National writes. Lufthansa and Swiss are holding off until September. The European Union Aviation Safety Agency, meanwhile, is advising covered carriers to avoid the airspace of Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the UAE, and part of the Gulf of Oman until at least 29 July, with some detours adding 1-3 hours to flight times, according to a travel advisory.


SIGN OF THE TIMES- The IMF gave the UAE a strong bill of health mid-conflict, saying at the end of so-called Article IV consultations that wrapped last week that the country has absorbed the war’s impact thanks to sound fundamentals, ample buffers, and a swift policy response. The UAE showed “remarkable resilience” and both fiscal and external balances should remain in surplus, it said in a statement.

The caveats: GDP is projected to come in marginally lower this year as uncertainty weighs on tourism, transport, commerce and real estate. Pakistan is one of at least nine states that holds nuclear weapons.


23 July — Revolution Day (public holiday, markets closed). Egypt

25 July — Republic Day (public holiday, markets closed). Tunisia

28-29 July — US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.

30 July — Throne Day (public holiday, markets closed). Morocco

August 2026

13 Aug — Women’s National Day. Tunisia

20 Aug — Revolution of the King and the People Day (public holiday, markets closed). Morocco

20 Aug — Central Bank of Egypt monetary policy decision. Egypt

21 Aug — Youth Day (public holiday, markets closed). Morocco

25 Aug — Prophet’s Birthday (public holiday, markets closed) — TBD. Region-wide

31 Aug-3 Sep — LEAP technology conference. Saudi Arabia

September 2026

7-9 Sep — AIM Congress. UAE

15-16 Sep — US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.

15 Sep — IMF’s eighth review of Egypt’s USD 8 bn EFF arrangement. Egypt

16-17 Sep — Middle East Banking Innovation Summit. UAE

23 Sep — National Day (public holiday, markets closed). Saudi Arabia

24 Sep — Central Bank of Egypt monetary policy decision. Egypt

30 Sep-3 Oct — Cityscape Egypt 2026. Egypt

October 2026

3 Oct — National Day (public holiday, markets closed). Iraq

6 Oct — Armed Forces Day (public holiday, markets closed). Egypt

15 Oct — GCC Made in the Gulf Forum + Exhibition. TBD

21 Oct — 12th World Green Economy Summit (WGES). UAE

25 Oct — Liberation Day (public holiday, markets closed). Libya

25-27 Oct — World Investment Forum 2026. Qatar

26-29 Oct — Future Investment Initiative. Saudi Arabia

27-28 Oct — US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.

29 Oct — Central Bank of Egypt monetary policy decision. Egypt

November 2026

1 Nov — Revolution Anniversary (public holiday, markets closed). Algeria

2 Nov — Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition + Conference (ADIPEC) opens (through 5 Nov). UAE

6 Nov — Green March Anniversary (public holiday, markets closed). Morocco

19 Nov — Jordan-EU Investment Conference. Jordan

16 Nov — Cityscape Global begins (through 19 Nov). Saudi Arabia

December 2026

17 Dec — Central Bank of Egypt monetary policy decision. Egypt

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