“The March slowdown is primarily a function of LP capital allocation timing, not a fundamental shift in Egypt’s investability,” Foundation Ventures Managing Partner Mazen Nadim tells EnterpriseAM.
Publicly available data may also be misleading, he argues, as “founders and investors are keeping terms private during a volatile macro environment.” That being said, the traditional first-quarter slowdown in activity has been amplified this year by regional geopolitical uncertainty that created “short-term risk aversion among crossover investors” and “Egypt specific FX recalibration as the market digests post-reform valuations,” he adds.
Startups with export potential or USD-denominated earnings are reportedly commanding 20-30% valuation premiums over purely domestic plays, serving as a natural hedge against EGP volatility, we were told. Despite headline risks, Egypt’s structural case has also strengthened following FX reforms that removed the primary barrier to entry for foreign funds.
“Activity rebounds now, but disclosed funding will lag by six to nine months,” he predicts. “VCs don't stop working in volatile periods … the capital is moving,” even if the chatter is kept to a minimum.