SatLeo’s heatmaps wager in the Gulf

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS AFTERNOON: India declares national mourning for Qatar’s former emir; India eases shipping rules for Gift City

Good morning, folks. It’s a somber start to the week as India observes a national day of mourning following the passing of former Qatari emir Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani.

In our Spotlight today, we spoke to the CEO of Indian space-tech startup SatLeo Labs, which is selling the Gulf on its promise to measure the region’s heat, street by street. The company is in advanced talks with UAE-based Space42 to sell hyperlocal heat maps to the Emirati government — granular enough to tell a city planner which specific block is heating fastest.

Plus: ONGC is adding a 13 mn bbl strategic reserve on India’s west coast.

National mourning for Sheikh Hamad

India is observing a one-day national mourning today after the passing of former Qatari emir Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al-Thani — with the national flag to be flown at half-mast across the country and official entertainment suspended for the day.

Sheikh Hamad was a “visionary leader” and “true friend of India” who transformed Qatar into one of the Gulf’s most prosperous economies, Prime Minister Narendra Modi said on X. Parliamentary Affairs and Minority Affairs Minister Kiren Rijiju is expected to visit Doha to convey India’s condolences.

Why it matters: National mourning of a foreign leader is an uncommon diplomatic gesture, reflecting the depth of India-Qatar ties. Qatar is India’s largest supplier of liquified natural gas, hosts one of the largest Indian expatriate communities in the Gulf, and has become an increasingly important partner in trade, investment, and strategic cooperation. The relations gained further momentum this year when New Delhi and Doha elevated their bilateral ties to a strategic partnership.

Indian seafarer missing

An Indian crew member remains missing after a commercial vessel — the GFS Galaxy — was attacked off the coast of Oman on Sunday, according to a statement by the External Affairs Ministry. “The repeated attacks on commercial vessels in the region are deeply worrisome,” the ministry said, calling for open and unimpeded navigation through international waterways to be restored.

The vessel is managed by Dubai-based GFS Ship Management and has 24 crew members, including 11 Indians. The missing Indian national is the ship’s third engineer. The remaining 23 crew members were rescued by the Omani navy. The ship was hit by a projectile near Oman’s coastline after sailing from the UAE’s Jebel Ali port.

The latest attack adds to mounting security risks for Indian nationals working in the Gulf shipping sector. Two Indian-flagged vessels — the Jag Arnav and Sanmar Herald — were attacked in April, while three Indian seafarers were killed in a US strike on the Settebello along Oman’s coast in June.

Gift City’s maritime ambitions

The Indian government is exempting companies operating from Gujarat International Finance Tec (Gift) City from the licensing requirements to charter foreign vessels for export-import cargo and international trade, making it easier to structure international shipping transactions, according to a statement. Gift City is promoted as an alternative international financial services center rivaling Dubai and Singapore.

Why it matters: Maritime services have become one of Gift City’s fastest-growing sectors. Since launching the ship-leasing framework in 2021, Gift City has rolled out a series of incentives, including tax breaks for ship leasing, a dedicated regulatory framework for lessors, easier financing norms, and measures to encourage Indian companies to own and lease vessels through Gift City.

For Gulf shipping companies, maritime financiers, and sovereign-backed investors, the move further strengthens Gift City’s proposition as a regional base for ship ownership, leasing, ins., and trade finance, and positions the hub as the financial gateway for cross-border shipping businesses serving the wider Indian Ocean region.

PSAs

Air India Express is launching five new routes to Abu Dhabi this summer, bringing its India-UAE network to 70 daily flights, the airline said on X. The rollout includes Hyderabad, Navi Mumbai, Indore, Lucknow, and Guwahati. The Navi Mumbai route is the first international service out of the Navi Mumbai International Airport, while Guwahati gives India’s North Eastern region its first direct Gulf connection.

Why it matters: The new routes push the Tata Group airline deeper into non-metro Gulf traffic, linking the Emirati capital to Indian markets beyond the corridor’s busiest routes. It also comes as Air India Express finishes restoring its full Middle East network, after airspace closures tied to the Iran war forced widespread cancellations across the region. As we recently reported, the Indian airlines had canceled more than 15.5k Middle East flights since 28 February, affecting over 1.36 mn travelers.

The big story abroad

It’s a quiet Monday morning on the global front pages save for the latest escalations in the regional war.

The US military launched fresh strikes on Iran to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. Rejecting Tehran’s claims that it has closed the waterway, the US Central Command announced new strikes designed to weaken Iran’s ability to target commercial vessels. Meanwhile, Iranian state media reported explosions in cities along the strait.

Iran launched at least three waves of missiles and drones at Gulf nations, targeting US military bases across Jordan, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman. The strikes were in retaliation for bombings in southern Iran, state-affiliated Tasnim News Agency reported.

Oil markets jolted: The escalations sent Brent crude prices up 3% to USD 78 a barrel at the open of Asian trading, while West Texas Intermediate surged 4% to USD 79 a barrel. Oil prices have been steadily falling, inching towards their pre-war level of USD 72.5, since the US and Iran announced their framework agreement — prices hit a war peak of USD 126 a barrel in April.

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SPOTLIGHT

Indian spacetech startup SatLeo Labs wants to become the Gulf’s thermometer

Turning Gulf heat into a space wager: Indian spacetech startup SatLeo Labs is in advanced talks with UAE-based Space42 to sell the Emirati government hyperlocal heat maps — down to the street and building level — even before it has launched a single satellite payload.

The company is building a constellation of thermal-imaging satellites and has already signed roughly 15 letters of intent worth a combined USD 42 mn with the likes of Space42, Dubai-based GlobalTech and Intertec, and Australia-based EarthEye Space. None are binding commercial contracts — but they’re an early read on demand ahead of the company’s first launch, slated for 4Q this year.

“What we are doing is building a thermometer for the planet. We are manufacturing satellites that will capture the Earth’s thermal data, which gives you the temperature of the entire system at any point in time,” co-founder and CEO Shravan Bhati tells EnterpriseAM.

SatLeo is wagering that governments across the Gulf will increasingly pay for hyperlocal temperature intelligence as climate adaptation, urban planning, and smart-city investments gather pace.

“The UAE and Saudi Arabia are our first focus markets outside India,” Bhati tells us. SatLeo plans to enter Gulf markets through local partners before establishing offices in both the UAE and Saudi Arabia, and then expand into Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, and Egypt.

Cities, not satellites

SatLeo Labs’ satellites will combine dual-band MWIR and LWIR imaging to capture “highly detailed temperature insights across multiple industries.” This capability is powered by edge computing on the satellite itself, allowing us faster data processing and delivery. “Our satellite generates raw data twice a day, which is used for predictions and analytics,” he says.

Founded by Bhati, Ranendu Ghosh, and Urmil Bakhai, SatLeo Labs has raised about USD 5.5 mn across pre-seed and seed funding rounds from investors including Merak Ventures, Unicorn India Ventures, Java Capital, IIMA Ventures, and angel investor Manish Gandhi.

Resolution is the pitch

SatLeo’s satellites map land-surface temperature at 30x30-meter resolution, which Bhati argues is granular enough to tell Gulf city planners which specific street or building cluster is heating fastest, rather than giving them a city-wide average that hides where the real risk sits.

The startup is already testing that proposition in India. SatLeo is working with the Ahmedabad Municipal Corporation to provide urban heat island forecasts and predictive thermal mapping, a project that Bhati says was evaluated by an Indian Space Research Organization committee before deployment. The same technology can help Gulf cities tackle longer heatwaves amid rapid urbanization.

The company’s initial focus in the region will be urban planning and defense, although its thermal intelligence platform also has applications in agriculture, disaster management, and critical infrastructure monitoring.

The timing is deliberate

The UAE has made climate resilience central to its long-term development agenda through its Net Zero 2050 Strategy. The strategy aims to mobilize investments in clean energy, sustainable infrastructure, and digital technologies to support the country’s net-zero ambitions.Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, has launched more than 85 programs and projects under the Saudi Green Initiative.

As governments across the UAE and Saudi Arabia invest in climate adaptation and smarter urban infrastructure, SatLeo is wagering that thermal intelligence will become a foundational layer of city planning.

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IPO WATCH

Adia anchors India’s biggest asset manager as sovereigns and global funds pile into SBI Funds’ USD 1 bn IPO

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (Adia) has joined the anchor book for SBI Funds Management’s IPO, backing India’s largest asset manager alongside a slate of global institutional investors as the fund house prepares to launch its INR 98.1 bn (USD 1 bn) public issue, Bloomberg reports. The transaction size and value are yet to be disclosed.

The IPO has drawn strong interest from some of the world’s largest institutional investors — including Capital Group, BlackRock, Fidelity Investments, and Goldman Sachs Asset Management — alongside sovereign pools such as Adia, Singapore’s GIC, and Norway’s Norges Bank Investment Management.

Bankers are expected to allocate around 51 mn shares to anchor investors at the upper end of the price band of INR 545-574, raising some INR 29.4 bn (USD 309 mn) ahead of the issue. The anchor tranche was subscribed to more than 20x, the newswire adds.

What you should know: The price band implies a valuation of around INR 1.1 tn (USD 12.2 bn). The issue is entirely an offer for sale, meaning the proceeds will accrue to the selling shareholders rather than the company. The IPO kicks off tomorrow and will run through Thursday.

What’s new: The offer was originally sized at INR 116.9 bn (USD 1.2 bn), comprising 10% of the company’s equity. However, promoters State Bank of India (SBI) and Amundi India Holding reduced the issue by about 16% after selling 32.7 mn shares — in a pre-IPO placement — that raised INR 18.8 bn (USD 197.2 mn). As a result, the public offer has been resized to 171 mn shares, or 8.3% of the company.

For Gulf investors, the offering is a critical valuation benchmark for India’s financial services sector — a sign of continued sovereign appetite for Indian financial assets despite global market volatility.

At the upper end of the price band, SBI Funds is commanding a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of around 38x. The asset manager corners a 15.4% share of the mutual fund industry and has USD 131.1 bn assets under management.

4

ENERGY

ONGC will add 13 mn bbl strategic petroleum reserve at its Mangalore petrochemicals hub

ONGC adds Mangalore reserve: Indian state-owned energy company Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) secured approval to develop a 1.75 mn metric ton — equivalent to 13 mn barrels of crude oil — strategic petroleum reserve, according to an exchange filing (pdf). The project will be developed at ONGC’s Mangalore petrochemical facility near India’s western coast.

The Gulf angle: The project builds on India’s UAE-linked oil reserve, with Abu Dhabi National Oil Company already storing crude oil at the existing Mangalore strategic reserve. New Delhi is eyeing expanding Abu Dhabi-linked storage in India to as much as 30 mn barrels, along with possible storage access at Fujairah.

Project status: The approval was granted at ONGC’s board meeting last week, followed by a green light from the Petroleum and Natural Gas Ministry, which administers the energy company.

Commercial use: The board also directed to broaden the commercial use of the reserve with regulatory support from the Indian government. That means the project could be structured not only as emergency crude storage, but also with some commercial-use flexibility, if the government approves.

Remember: The expansion comes after ONGC’s MRPL refinery was forced to shut a 100k bbl / d refining unit and some secondary units — including a hydrocracker — in March due to crude shortages as Hormuz disruptions made prompt replacement cargoes harder to secure. MRPL had also suspended refined fuel exports during the conflict, underscoring the case for an expanded crude storage near the refinery.

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ALSO ON OUR RADAR

UAE’s Equiti Group kickstarts Bengaluru AI hub to lead India tech push

UAE-based fintech firm Equiti Group launched a tech hub in Bengaluru as part of its strategy to accelerate AI-led product development and strengthen its global engineering capabilities, according to a press release.

“The India technology hub will play a critical role in supporting Equiti’s innovation across client platforms, AI, data, cybersecurity, and cloud technologies,” said Akshit Jain, MD-India and group head of client platforms at Equiti. The Bengaluru center will tap into India’s deep tech talent pool and innovation ecosystem, creating prospects for engineers, data scientists, and tech professionals, helping the firm build scalable financial products for clients worldwide.

Why it matters: The launch reinforces the case for a growing UAE-India fintech corridor. While Dubai and the wider GCC continue to serve as preferred regional headquarters for fintech firms, India is increasingly emerging as the engineering backbone — tech firms are placing high-value AI, cloud, cybersecurity, and software functions in India while retaining customer-facing and commercial operations in the Gulf.

Maersk Suez transit

Danish shipping firm Maersk will restore Suez Canal transits on its India-Middle East-US East Coast (MECL) service, according to a statement, cutting shipping time for Indian exporters to the US East Coast by up to two weeks.

Faster shipments: The MECL service connects India’s major container ports including Mundra, Pipavav, and Nhava Sheva along the western coast to MENA ports of Salalah, Jeddah, Tangiers, and onwards to the US East Coast.

By returning to the Suez Canal to reach the US instead of sailing around Africa’s Cape of Good Hope, Maersk hopes to improve westbound transit time by up to seven days and eastbound voyages by up to 14 days. The changes will take effect from August.

Why it matters: Shorter sailing times could ease logistics costs and improve delivery schedules for Indian exporters shipping goods to the MENA region and the US East Coast, while also signalling growing confidence among global carriers that security risks in the Red Sea are easing. Maersk said it would continue monitoring the regional security situation and could revert to the Cape route if conditions deteriorate.

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PLANET FINANCE

GCC 2Q earnings to show Iran war’s financial impact

GCC firms’ 2Q earnings will provide the strongest signal yet of the Iran war’s financial impact. The forecasted sectoral breakdown displays mixed results, with oil and gas and telecoms set to weather the geopolitical storm, while property markets and consumer-facing sectors such as retail and tourism are expected to bear the brunt, Reuters reports.

Oil and gas earnings are expected to remain resilient for now, as higher energy prices offset lower volumes caused by disruption. These elevated prices might change, however, during the second half of this year if the tensions ease and Gulf oil exports normalize.

REMEMBER- Gulf crude exports continued to recover in June, reaching at least 75% of pre-conflict levels as loadings resumed at Ras Tanura, Aramco’s main Gulf export terminal. Saudi shipments from the Gulf climbed to 4.45 mn bbl / d, their highest since the war erupted in late February, but remained below pre-war levels.

MEANWHILE- Telecom operators are also set to deliver robust results, benefiting from long-term contracts and inelastic demand. Still, consumer-facing sectors, including retail and tourism, are likely to reflect the impact of the conflict, although higher at-home consumption benefited some companies.

Banks are predicted to post single-digit q-o-q income declines, according to EFG Hermes, reflecting weaker trade finance activity and lower international travel-related card spending. The comparison is also affected by a strong 1Q that included two largely pre-conflict months. Despite slower growth, lenders remain well-capitalized with ample liquidity, with some UAE banks attracting deposits by raising rates for new savers.

The prolonged tension is the greatest threat to the regional property markets: The UAE’s property market is displaying signs of strain after years of rapid growth, with analysts warning that prolonged tensions could weigh on expatriate inflows and tourism-driven demand. Some developers have responded by reducing or delaying dividend payments to preserve liquidity.

Some execs believe the markets will absorb this shock: FIM Partners CIO Francesc Balcells struck a more optimistic tone, saying some developers had underperformed, but regional credit spreads had largely normalized. “It is just an issue of balance sheets,” he said. “These guys have very strong balance sheets, so they can withstand big shocks like this.”

The economic impact varied across the region, depending on the countries’ reliance on the strait. Saudi’s economy is expected to grow by 2.1% in 2026, due to its Red Sea export infrastructure, according to HSBC, with the IMF expecting its real GDP growth to reach 6.8% in 2027. The UAE, Qatar, and Kuwait, which rely more heavily on the strait, are expected to contract.

The strait is unlikely to return to normal anytime soon. Regional growth projections across most sectors hinge on the outcome of US-Iran negotiations, with a lasting de-escalation needed to restore shipping through the strait to pre-conflict levels. This seems unlikely at the moment, with Trump saying last week that the ceasefire collapsed, while Iran warned it would no longer consider itself bound by any agreement if the US continued to violate the truce.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asia-Pacific markets were down in early trading as escalating regional tensions put a drag on Japan’s Nikkei and South Korea’s Kospi. The Kospi was down 4.7% while the Nikkei was down a less dramatic 1.7%. “The strait closure will hang over the market with a risk-off tone,” Fed Watch Advisors’ Ben Emons wrote.

Sensex

77,653

+0.1% (YTD: -8.8%)

NIFTY 50

24,227

+0.09% (YTD: -7.2%)

ADX

9,938

+0.02% (YTD: -0.5%)

DFM

5,972

-1.1% (YTD: -1.2%)

Tadawul

10,866

+0.4% (YTD: +3.5%)

EGX30

52,627

+0.7% (YTD: +25.8%)

Boursa Kuwait

8,834

-0.5% (YTD: +6.4%)

QSE

10,103

+0.1% (YTD: -6.1%)

S&P 500

7,575

+0.4% (YTD: +10.6%)

FTSE 100

10,497

+0.01% (YTD: +5.7%)

Euro Stoxx 50

6,273

+0.06% (YTD: +8.3%)

Brent crude

USD 77

+1.8%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.8

-1.6%

Gold

USD 4,079

-0.8%

BTC

USD 63,025

-1.4%

The values in the table above are listed according to the market position as of 3:30pm IST / 2pm GST.


JULY

14-17 July (Tuesday-Friday): Bharat Tex, New Delhi.

22-24 July (Wednesday-Friday): Rail & Metro Technology Conclave, Bharat Mandapam, New Delhi.

Dates TBA: Monsoon Session of Parliament, New Delhi.

AUGUST

15 August (Saturday): Independence Day.

26 August (Wednesday): Prophet Mohammad’s Birthday.

SEPTEMBER

1-3 September (Tuesday-Thursday): India Energy Week, Dwarka, New Delhi.

1-6 September (Monday-Saturday): Dubai Fashion Week, Dubai Design District.

7 September (Sunday): Opec+ meet to discuss production policy for October.

7-9 September (Monday-Wednesday): iPHEX 2026 International Pharma Exhibition, Bharat Mandapam, New Delhi.

8-11 September (Tuesday-Friday): Global Fintech Fest, Mumbai.

9 September (Tuesday): Envision 2025, Atlantis, The Royal, Dubai.

17-19 September (Thursday-Saturday): Semicon India Conference, Yashobhoomi, Delhi.

OCTOBER

2 October (Friday): Gandhi Jayanti (Mahatma Gandhi’s Birthday).

5-7 October (Monday-Wednesday): Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting for the October / September policy cycle.

7-10 October (Wednesday-Saturday): India Mobile Congress, Yashobhoomi, New Delhi.

20 October (Tuesday): Dussehra.

NOVEMBER

24 November (Tuesday): Guru Nanak Jayanti.

DECEMBER

8-11 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Expand North Star, Dubai.

25 December (Friday): Christmas Day.

JANUARY 2027

30 January-3 February (Saturday-Wednesday): Printpack India, India Expo Centre, Greater Noida (Delhi NCR).

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