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Why Egypt’s gas sector is leaning heavily on LNG imports

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

TODAY: LNG takes center stage in Egypt’s gas strategy

Good morning, friends. We have a brisk read for you this morning — led by a deep dive into the gas market dynamics pushing Egypt further into LNG imports. Meanwhile, Saudia has awarded Saudi Ground Services a SAR 6.3 bn contract to keep its operations running smoothly across the Kingdom's airports over the next five years.


Earning well is not the same as investing well — and for most mid-level executives and entrepreneurs, the gap between the two is wider than they’d like to admit. The financial landscape has shifted. Regional markets are opening up, AI is rewriting how portfolios get managed, and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are entering the conversation.

And the questions that used to feel straightforward — buy or rent, fund the startup or play it safe, finance the car now or wait it out — are harder to answer than ever.

In Issue 2 of EnterpriseAM Money Matters, we get into the decisions that don’t have easy answers, because at this stage, playing it safe is the riskiest move you can make.

Tap or click here to subscribe to the Egypt edition, delivered to your inbox Wednesday, June 3.


Watch this space

SHIPPING — Will dark tankers become the new Hormuz normal? Four major tankers carrying crude and LNG exited Hormuz last week with their transponders switched off. The tankers — Eagle Veracruz and Nissos Keros — were carrying Saudi and UAE crude to China and India, while Adnoc-managed LNG tanker Umm Al Ashtan was headed to India. Cosco’s Hua Lin Wan also left Hormuz, carrying Kuwaiti naphtha bound for Huizhou.

ICYMI- AIS is now part of the risk playbook: Vessel tracking around Hormuz has been getting less reliable for weeks, with electronic interference and deliberate AIS switch-offs reducing visibility into who is actually moving, where, and when. Qatar had already instructed vessels around Ras Laffan to switch off transponders in nearby port waters earlier last month.

The trade was access, not oil: Swiss commodity trader Lytton helped move the VLCC Agios Fanourios through Hormuz, carrying nearly 2 mn barrels of Iraqi Basrah crude bound for Vietnam, after the tanker was first stopped by Iranian authorities and later by the US Navy.

The economics highlight how valuable Gulf access has become during periods of disruption. Lytton reportedly purchased the cargo at around USD 18 per barrel to benchmark prices, implying an estimated gross gain of roughly USD 60 mn if successfully delivered. Iraq’s state oil marketer has reportedly offered reductions of as much as USD 33.4 per barrel to buyers willing to load crude inside the Gulf and assume the risk of getting it out.


[wwtt2] AVIATION — Is Beijing leveraging Airbus deliveries? China has reportedly slowed approvals for Airbus deliveries to signal frustration with the pace of European certification for Comac’s C919 passenger jet, Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar with the matter.

What’s behind it: State-backed aircraft manufacturer Comac is seeking European certification for its C919 narrowbody jet, which competes directly with Airbus' A320 and Boeing's 737. While aircraft certification typically takes years, Beijing is reportedly growing impatient with the pace of the process at the European Union Aviation Safety Agency.

The impact is already showing up in delivery numbers: Airbus delivered just 16 aircraft to Chinese airlines in the first five months of the year, down from 47 during the same period last year. The approval bottleneck reportedly left nearly 20 China-bound Airbus jets awaiting final clearance earlier this year, preventing them from entering service for several months.

Why it matters: China is one of Airbus' most important markets and a key driver of future growth. Delayed deliveries weigh on Airbus' finances — the company previously attributed part of a EUR 5 bn inventory build-up in 1Q to aircraft awaiting delivery approvals.

Market watch

Oil prices edge lower this morning on caution over US-Iran negotiations, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures slipped USD 0.75 to trade at USD 94.23 / bbl by 04.34 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) declined USD 0.85 to USD 91.31 / bbl.


The Baltic Index retreats a touch: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — fell 0.1% to 3,222 points on Monday, driven by the bigger vessel segment. The capesize index was down 0.1% to 5,496 points, while the panamax index gained 1 point to 2,344 points. The smaller supramax index was up 1 point to 1,570 points.

Data point

18.9% — that’s how much Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports grew in 2025. The surge was driven by re-exported goods, which surged 64.4% y-o-y, while domestic non-oil exports excluding re-exports slipped 0.1% y-o-y.

PSA

Sharjah cuts corridor costs for Oman cargo: The Sharjah Ports, Customs, and Freezones Authority and Sharjah’s Roads and Transport Authority have started to waive truck toll gate fees for cargo trucks entering from Oman and traveling along designated logistics corridor routes across the emirate. The exemption applies to trucks entering through the Khatmat Malaha and Al Madam border crossings, provided shipments are registered under the initiative’s approved routes.

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The Big Story Today

LNG to the rescue

Egypt gas trade shift: Faced with recurring supply disruptions and rising import needs, Egypt has rapidly scaled back pipeline imports, scaled up LNG purchases, expanded its supplier network, and deployed multiple floating storage and regasification units (FSRUs) — creating a redundant logistics backbone for its energy system while keeping one eye on future export ambitions.

By the numbers: Egypt imported nearly 6 bcm (c. 2.35 bcf / d) of natural gas in 1Q 2026, a 36% y-o-y increase, according to the latest figures from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (Jodi) (pdf). The data also shows a sharp shift in the import mix, which tilted heavily toward LNG during the quarter. LNG inflows more than doubled, jumping 131% y-o-y to 4.3 bcm (c. 1.7 bcf / d) — accounting for nearly 72% of all gas imports during the quarter — while pipeline gas imports dropped 34% y-o-y to 1.7 bcm (c. 670 mmcf / d).

LNG has become the balancing source

The shift did not happen overnight. The country imported virtually no LNG in 2023, before bringing in roughly 4.4 bcm in 2024 and around 13.1 bcm in 2025. The trend has continued this year, with LNG imports during 1Q 2026 alone nearly matching the country’s entire LNG intake during 2024.

The broader import picture highlights the scale of transformation: Total gas imports climbed from nearly 8.6 bcm (c. 304 bcf) in 2023 to 14.6 bcm (c. 516 bcf) in 2024 and to 22.2 bcm (c. 786 bcf) in 2025. The country added roughly 13.7 bcm (c. 483 bcf) of annual imports over the period — a cumulative 159% increase to keep the lights running, growing at a compound annual rate of 61%.

Depending on pipelines proved risky

Pipeline gas represented virtually all of Egypt’s imports in 2023, initially helping cushion the production decline, rising to a 10.2 bcm (c. 360 bcf) spike in 2024. By 2025, pipeline imports fell back to 9.2 bcm (c. 325 bcf), with LNG accounting for nearly 60% of the country's total gas imports in the year, highlighting the shift toward diversification.

While Israeli gas remains a critical source of supply, repeated regional disruptions have exposed the risks of relying too heavily on a single pipeline corridor. Pipeline imports fell from nearly 2.6 bcm in 1Q 2025 to 1.7 bcm in 1Q 2026. The decline accelerated in March, when pipeline inflows plunged 78% m-o-m as regional tensions escalated. To compensate, the country increased LNG imports by 29% m-o-m in March to 1.67 bcm.

Building redundancy

An expanding procurement network supports this shift: Over the past two years, Egypt has broadened its supplier base to over 70 companies, including big names like Saudi Aramco, Trafigura Group, Vitol Group, Hartree Partners, BGN, Shell, and Azerbaijan’s Socar, giving the country access to a broader range of cargo suppliers while reducing dependence on any single source of gas.

This comes at a growing financial cost. Natural gas made up 45% of Egypt’s fuel import bill in 1Q, totaling USD 2.5 bn between January and March. The import bill is set to jump 26% y-o-y to USD 10.7 bn in the next fiscal year to cover both LNG cargoes and pipeline gas.

Importing and exporting at the same time?

Before Egypt became a major LNG importer, it first stopped being a major gas exporter. Annual gas exports fell from around 5.6 bcm in 2023 to 1.4 bcm in 2024 and 1.1 bcm in 2025, as declining domestic production forced more gas into the local market.

There’s a catch: Exports dropped from 906 mcm in 1Q 2024 to 90 mcm in 1Q 2025, before recovering to 377 mcm in 1Q 2026 — a fourfold rebound.

The rebound does not necessarily signal a recovery in Egypt’s domestic production. Instead, it reflects a deliberate strategy of using LNG imports to satisfy domestic demand while preserving export activity and keeping the liquefaction infrastructure running, attempting to maintain its position in the regional gas trade even during periods of supply stress.

The growing role of LNG has also turned FSRUs into critical pieces of national infrastructure: Beyond enabling Egypt to import gas from multiple suppliers, regasification vessels support regional gas trade ambitions by allowing neighboring countries to import LNG cargoes through Egyptian terminals, where they are regasified before being pumped onward through existing pipeline networks — think the Arab Gas Pipeline.

The approach is closely tied to Egypt’s long-term ambition of becoming a regional gas hub: “Importing and exporting — this would be the end game for Egypt,” VP and Country Chair of Shell Egypt Dalia El Gabry said at an AmCham gathering back in April. Maintaining export capability when times get rough, despite rising imports, helps preserve commercial relationships with energy firms and positions Egypt to handle future gas flows from neighboring producers for liquefaction and re-export.

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GROUND HANDLING

Saudia grounds with SGS

Saudia awarded a SAR 6.3 bn airport services contract to Saudi Ground Services (SGS), according to a Tadawul disclosure. The five-year contract involves providing ground handling, ramp handling, and passenger services for the carrier’s domestic and international flights across all Saudi airports.

A growing contract book: The Saudia award adds to SGS’ five-year Flynas renewal, signed in April 2024 at an expected value of SAR 2 bn, as well as its Riyadh Air contract, inked in March 2025 at around SAR 500 mn for an initial three-year term with an option to extend for another two years. The Riyadh Air contract covers ground handling services across Saudi airports from the carrier’s launch phase, while the Flynas agreement covers ground handling services for the low-cost carrier from January 2024.

SGS is pursuing a different strategy — embedding itself within the Kingdom's next generation of airport infrastructure. The company recently secured a five-year strategic agreement with daa International to provide passenger and aircraft ground-handling services for all airlines operating at Red Sea International Airport.

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Also on Our Radar

Airbus’ A321XLR lands in the region + Oman is building a gateway to Saudi Arabia

Saudia takes the A321XLR lead

Saudia gets the region's first A321XLR: Saudi Arabia's flag carrier Saudia has taken delivery of its first Airbus A321XLR, becoming the first airline in the Middle East and North Africa to operate the extra-long-range narrowbody aircraft. The jet is the first of 15 on order and will allow Saudia to serve longer-haul international destinations with a single-aisle aircraft, thanks to a range of up to 4.7k nautical miles — territory traditionally reserved for widebody jets.

Oman's Ezad dry port moves to construction

Oman lines up its Saudi border dry port: Egyptian EPC contractor Edecs Group has been awarded the construction package for a dry port and veterinary quarantine facility at Ezad IP3 in Oman's Al Dhahirah Economic Zone (Ezad), partnering with local firm Assarain Group. The project is being developed for Oman's Public Authority for Special Economic Zones and Freezones within a 388 sq km economic zone located around 20 km from the Rub Al Khali border crossing with Saudi Arabia and approximately 105 km from Ibri Industrial City.


JUNE

2-4 June (Tuesday-Thursday): ProPak Mena, Cairo, Egypt.

4-5 June (Thursday-Friday): Supply Chain and Logistics Summit, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

6-8 June (Saturday-Monday): IATA World Air Transport Summit, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

10-11 June (Wednesday-Thursday): Black Sea Ports and Logistics, Istanbul, Turkey.

21-24 June (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Smart Logistics, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

22-23 June (Monday-Tuesday): Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

AUGUST

30 August-1 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Air Cargo Middle East, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

30 August-1 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Saudi Warehouse and Logistics Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

SEPTEMBER

16-17 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Saudi Maritime & Logistics Congress, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

22-24 September (Tuesday-Thursday): Seamless Middle East, Dubai, UAE.

28-30 September (Monday-Wednesday): Transport Logistics Middle East, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

OCTOBER

12-14 October (Monday-Wednesday): The Airport Show, Dubai, UAE.

21-22 October (Wednesday-Thursday): Global Ports Forum, Singapore.

26-29 (Monday-Thursday): Air Cargo Forum, Miami, US.

27-29 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Routes World, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

NOVEMBER

2-5 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

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