Houthis warn shipping companies to steer clear of every Saudi port

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

TODAY: Houthi threat puts any ship calling at a Saudi port in the crosshairs

Good morning, ladies and gents. It’s one of those mornings where half the job is just watching ships turn around mid-ocean. The Houthis have put the entire industry on notice, and Riyadh doesn’t have a good move. The group’s Sanaa-based body — the HOCC — told shipping companies to stay out of Saudi ports entirely, warning that any vessel that loads or discharges there could be hit “in any location” within reach. Nobody’s entirely sure how a ship even gets flagged as Saudi — ownership, cargo, and port history all seem to count more than the flag on the mast — which means changing your paperwork won't necessarily save you.

Hormuz isn’t faring any better: Kuwait Oil Tanker Co.’s products tanker Kaifan was hit by a projectile northeast of Oman’s Limah on Tuesday, Bloomberg reports. Crossings averaged just seven a day in the week ending 19 July, down from 16 the week before, and no vessels transited at all on Tuesday. Separate Kpler data showed only four commodity vessels crossed on Monday — none of them VLCCs or LNG carriers

Emirates says no thanks to Boeing

Emirates has told Boeing it won’t accept the first 10 aircraft from its 777x order, arguing that the early 2019 models have been so heavily modified that upgrading them to match the final certified design is no longer feasible, President Tim Clark said at the Farnborough Airshow, The Telegraph reports.

BACKGROUND- Emirates ordered 270 777X aircraft from Boeing at roughly USD 440 mn apiece and has been waiting on the jets since a 2019 static-test failure set the program back. The airline now expects its first 777-9 deliveries in 2Q 2027 — about seven years behind schedule — while US regulators aren’t expected to certify the aircraft until late 2026 or early 2027, Reuters reports.

REMEMBER- Emirates is building out its fleet: The airline ordered 65 additional 777-9s for USD 38 bn last November, taking its total aircraft orderbook to 375 units, including 323 widebodies. While it waits, the carrier has committed USD 5 bn to retrofitting its existing A380s and 777X to extend their service lives.

Paying up for gas security

Egypt is negotiating with Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, and Hartree Partners to secure 15-18 LNG cargoes per month for at least three years, Reuters reports, citing three unnamed sources. The transactions could cost Egypt between USD 8-11 bn per year, with prices set at roughly USD 1.5 above the European gas price benchmark, according to calculations by the newswire. The agreements are yet to be finalized.

A trend continues: Egypt is increasingly dependent on gas imports, as domestic production plummeted by nearly 37% between 2023 and 2026, forcing a sharp shift toward expensive LNG imports to meet rising demand. By the same token, Egypt’s natural gas imports surged 36% y-o-y in 1Q 2026.

Why it matters: Attempts to secure medium-term LNG supply reflect a strategy to minimize reliance on unpredictable spot market purchases during ongoing instability — maintained by conflict in Iran and Ukraine, S&P Global Energy’s head of Atlantic LNG Aly Blakeway told the newswire. This is also being coupled with expanding pipeline gas efforts.

ALCN taps team for logistics zone

ALCN moves toward logistics zone financing: EGX-listed Alexandria Container and Cargo Handling Company (ALCN) has tasked a technical committee with preparing a comprehensive financing study for its planned logistics zone near Alexandria Port — which would primarily handle container storage and repair services, sources told Al Mal. The committee will also lead negotiations, secure the necessary regulatory approvals, and weigh whether to bring strategic investors into the project.

The board previously granted in-principle approval for the logistics zone, following a preliminary concept and feasibility study. ALCN said last month that implementation remained subject to completing the project’s technical, financial, and regulatory studies, with its location, capacity, cost, and delivery timeline still undisclosed. The company was also weighing whether to develop the zone directly, through a special purpose vehicle, or alongside investors.

BACKGROUND- ALCN operates two terminals with a combined capacity of 1.5 mn TEUs across the Alexandria and El Dekheila ports, which handle about 60% of Egypt’s foreign trade. Together, its two terminals span approximately 1.6 km of quay length and connect directly to Egypt’s national rail network. In FY 2024/25, ALCN posted an EGP 8.37 bn top line, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 64%.

Ownership structure: Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund ADQ holds an indirect 51.33% majority in ALCN through Alpha Oryx (32%) and AD Ports subsidiary Black Caspian Logistics (19.33%). A move to consolidate that holding under AD Ports — and potentially raise it to as much as 90% — ran into the Egyptian government’s refusal to sell its combined 43.9%, held through the Holding Company for Maritime and Land Transport (36.3%, after it upped its stake in April) and the Alexandria Port Authority (7.6%), while the remaining roughly 4.76% are freefloating on the EGX.

Market watch

Oil prices rose this morning as ongoing US strikes on Iran and Houthi threats in the Red Sea heightened supply disruption fear, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures increased USD 1 to USD 92.01 / bbl by 03.30 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained USD 0.82 to USD 85.16 / bbl.


The Baltic Index slips once again: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — fell 1 point to 2,670 on Tuesday. The capesize index increased 1.1% to 3,930 points, while the panamax dipped 2.1% to 2,181 points. The smaller supramax shed 0.5% to 1,730 points.

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The Big Story Today

Houthis warn ships to stay away from Saudi ports — or risk attack anywhere

The Houthis have now put the industry on notice: Shipping companies were told not to load or discharge cargo at any Saudi ports, according to an email sent by the Houthis’ Sanaa-based Humanitarian Operations Coordination Center (HOCC) seen by Reuters. Vessels violating the order could face Houthi “sanctions” and may be targeted “in any location” within the group’s operational reach, the email warned. That is the executive translation of Monday’s declaration, Aseel Al Aranki, research and analysis department manager at River Prime, tells EnterpriseAM.

Any ship, any flag, is fair game: The warning appears to cover any vessel loading or discharging at a Saudi port, regardless of its flag, ownership, or operator. Maritime security firm Ambrey now assesses ships calling at Saudi ports as high risk and has advised them to reconsider Red Sea transits or adopt additional mitigation measures.

“They just have to shoot at ships passing their coastline,” Khalij Economics Director Justin Alexander tells EnterpriseAM. Around 10 crude tankers a day pass through Bab Al Mandab. The group holds the Yemeni coast along it, and owners and ins’ers price that threat and reroute on their own.

What counts as a Saudi vessel remains unclear: The Houthis have clarified that Saudi port calls could make a vessel a target, but have not explained how ships would be identified and selected. In practice, the Houthis could consider a combination of ownership, operator, charterer, cargo, origin or destination, and previous port calls rather than relying solely on the vessel’s flag, Antonella Teodoro, senior transport consultant at MDS Transmodal, tells EnterpriseAM, noting that “the lack of transparent criteria adds uncertainty for the industry.”

Changing flags may not offer much protection: Shipowners can alter flags, ownership structures, charter arrangements, and AIS destination fields, but these can be checked against commercial shipping databases, historical voyage patterns, and satellite imagery, Teodoro adds. Such changes may complicate attribution but are unlikely to hide a Saudi connection if other indicators remain.

How much of that intelligence the Houthis can access is not publicly known: “There has been considerable speculation about external intelligence support, particularly from Iran, but the extent and nature of any such assistance remain difficult to verify,” Teodoro notes, noting that “it is therefore not possible to accurately assess how much of the Houthis’ maritime picture is independently generated versus externally supported.”

The market isn't waiting to find out: Red Sea war-risk premiums more than doubled after Yemen’s Houthis declared a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia. Indicative premiums rose to around 0.75% of a vessel’s value from 0.3%, potentially adding hundreds of thousands of USD to a seven-day voyage, Reuters reports.

What happens to the barrels?

Some tankers are already turning back: A VLCC carrying 2 mn barrels of Saudi crude to China reversed course after loading at Yanbu and is now heading north toward Suez rather than south past Yemen. Another vessel carrying 700k barrels for India also turned back toward Suez.

There are two ways around this, and neither is cheap. Ships taking the Suez route face a longer haul — the largest tankers have to offload part of their cargo through Egypt's Sumed pipeline to the Mediterranean before they can fit through the canal. Others are being rerouted around the Cape of Good Hope entirely, bypassing the Red Sea altogether — Asian refineries could face delays of around a month sailing that path, Kpler's Matt Smith said. “The impact is going to be massive in the first month,” he added. The biggest immediate risk is to Saudi flows heading east — more than 3 mn bbl/d of Saudi crude could be forced onto one of these longer routes, Energy Aspects' Richard Bronze told Reuters.

Yanbu itself hasn't stopped, though: The port is continuing to load tankers already inside the Red Sea or arriving through Suez. A supertanker heading to Yanbu to load crude — under the flag of Liberia — safely crossed the waterway in the past few hours, becoming the first vessel to transit since the Houthis' announcement. Six refineries across Japan, South Korea, China, and Taiwan said their scheduled loadings of Saudi crude from the Red Sea remain on track for now, with three continuing to send tankers to Yanbu, Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar with the matter.

This isn't just an oil story: With Hormuz down, the Red Sea now carries the bulk of the Kingdom’s imports as much as its exports, Alexander says, so a sustained disruption reaches inputs, consumer goods, and food — not only oil receipts.

Riyadh is stuck between two options: Silence in the face of a declared blockade risks reading as weakness, and the Saudi-led coalition has already warned it will answer with “force” and begun putting protective measures around its ships in the strait. But a hard military response risks widening a US-Iran war into a multi-front regional one that pulls in Yemen, Al Aranki notes.

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Investment Watch

RSGT looks to invest up to USD 1 bn in Bangladesh after expanding Patenga’s capacity

More RSGT capital headed to Patenga? Saudi port operator Red Sea Gateway Terminal (RSGT) is eyeing up to USD 1 bn in additional investment across Bangladesh's ports and logistics sector, CEO Lars Vang Christensen said — a signal of appetite that comes just as RSGT’s Patenga Container Terminal in Chittagong hits full capacity following a USD 170 mn upgrade. The firm hasn’t disclosed a timeline or which projects the wider investment would cover.

Behind the capacity jump at Chittagong: RSGT raised the terminal’s annual handling capacity to 600k TEUs from 250k — installing four ship-to-shore cranes, 14 hybrid yard cranes, a container scanner, and new digital systems. The upgrades lifted productivity by around 30% compared with regional terminals. The Sisco-backed operator had begun commercial operations at the facility in June 2024 under a 22-year concession signed with the Chittagong Port Authority in 2023.

Volumes are still ramping up: Patenga is expected to handle around 400k TEUs this year, roughly 12% of Chittagong Port’s container traffic, before exceeding 500k TEUs, or 17%, in 2027. The wider port handled around 3.4 mn TEUs last year and serves as the gateway for about 90% of Bangladesh’s foreign trade, according to its annual report (pdf).

What to watch: While Bangladesh remains RSGT’s only Asian foothold outside the Kingdom, the firm had evaluated expected concessions for Laem Chabang Port’s “B” terminals in Thailand back in 2024 — though it hasn’t announced a bid or an agreement yet.

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Also on Our Radar

Riyadh Air orders 34 widebodies from Airbus + Boeing

Riyadh Air ordered 34 widebodies from Airbus and Boeing, committing to 28 Boeing 787 Dreamliners, 20 of them the larger 787-10, and six Airbus A350-1000s, the carrier said. The 28 Dreamliners are options exercised from its 2023 Boeing order, while the six A350-1000s firm up existing purchase rights and lift its confirmed orders for that model to 31.

Why this matters: The widebodies build toward Riyadh Air’s target of more than 100 destinations by 2030. The Kingdom aims to diversify its economy beyond oil and establish Riyadh as one of the Middle East’s main competing hubs. Committing to both Boeing and Airbus widebodies at once, rather than standardizing on one airframe, gives the airline capacity for denser long-haul routes.


AUGUST

30 August-1 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Air Cargo Middle East, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

30 August-1 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Saudi Warehouse and Logistics Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

SEPTEMBER

16-17 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Saudi Maritime & Logistics Congress, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

22-23 September (Tuesday-Wednesday): Breakbulk Americas, Houston, US.

22-24 September (Tuesday-Thursday): Seamless Middle East, Dubai, UAE.

28-30 September (Monday-Wednesday): Transport Logistics Middle East, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

OCTOBER

12-14 October (Monday-Wednesday): The Airport Show, Dubai, UAE.

20-22 October (Tuesday-Thursday): TOC Americas, Cartagena, Colombia.

21-22 October (Wednesday-Thursday): Global Ports Forum, Singapore.

26-29 (Monday-Thursday): Air Cargo Forum, Miami, US.

27-29 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Routes World, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

NOVEMBER

2-5 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

10-11 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): TOC Asia, Singapore.

10-12 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Intermodal Europe, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

11-13 November (Wednesday-Friday): logitrans, Istanbul, Türkiye.

18-19 November (Wednesday-Thursday): Breakbulk Asia, Singapore.

FEBRUARY 2027

10-12 February (Wednesday-Friday): Routes Americas, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

MARCH 2027

16-18 March (Tuesday-Thursday): CMA Shipping, Houston, US.

16-18 March (Tuesday-Thursday): Routes Asia, New Delhi, India.

APRIL 2027

20-22 April (Tuesday-Thursday): Routes Europe, Antalya, Turkey.

26-29 April (Monday-Thursday): Transport logistic and air cargo Europe, Munich, Germany.

26-29 April (Monday-Thursday): Saudi Smart Logistics, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

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