Good morning, wonderful people, and happy THURSDAY to you all. We have a bit of a push-and-pull morning for you today as we wrap up the week. New data from Kamco Invest shows Saudi project awards hitting a near five-year low as regional tensions and gigaproject reviews take their toll. Meanwhile, tackling the people's infrastructure, EFG Hermes has officially launched its regional K-12 brand, MindSpire Education.
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PSAs
The Saudi Ports Authority (Mawani) is allowing importers and exporters to release goods from port terminals before settling storage fees, provided a valid electronic release permit is issued, it said on X. However, the storage fees must be settled within 15 days of the invoice date.
Watch this space
SPORTS — The PIF lens shifts to Newcastle: Public Investment Fund head Yasir Al Rumayyan is in the UK to lead a 25-member delegation for Newcastle United’s — which is majority-owned by the fund — two-day annual board-level “off-siting” meetings, where the club’s long-term strategy and short-term performance will be reviewed, the New York Times reports.
On the agenda: The meetings will decide whether to expand the club’s existing St James’ Park stadium or build a new one, alongside plans for a new training facility.
But the PIF hasn’t been too fond of sports lately: The meetings come amid speculation about a reassessment of Saudi sports investment priorities, including potential changes to funding for major international projects, as well as reports that the PIF is pulling the plug on LIV Golf and that Saudi Arabia is stepping back from events such as the Next Gen ATP and WTA Finals.
TECH — Cloudsdcs, a UK-based cloud and cybersecurity firm, has expanded into Saudi Arabia with AstroLabs’ support to serve enterprise and government clients. As an AWS Advanced Consulting Partner, it will provide cloud migration, AI and machine learning services, managed services, and sovereign cloud deployments, mainly targeting regulated sectors such as finance, healthcare, and the public sector.
AWS builds it, consultants queue for it: Cloudsdcs’ entry into the market comes ahead of the launch of the USD 5 bn AWS-Humain AI Zone. It’s part of a new wave of specialized consultancies entering the Kingdom to support compliance and cloud integration ahead of the new AWS region.
DISRUPTION WATCH —TotalEnergies partiallyresumed operations at the Satorp refinery in Jubail after it was shut down following a series of attacks on the Kingdom’s energy infrastructure earlier in the month, which damaged parts of the facility. The attacks affected three units and prompted a precautionary shutdown. Undamaged units were gradually restarted, and by mid-April, the refinery was operating at half of its 460k bbl / d capacity.
Oil watch
It’s business as usual at Opec: Opec+ is expected to raise oil output quotas by roughly 188k bbl / d when members meet on Sunday, three unnamed sources told Reuters. The move reflects a ‘business as usual’ approach to the oil group’s strategy in light of the UAE’s exit this week, one of the sources told the newswire.
The context: The expected hike comes at a time when the oil cartel’s production is hampered by the blockaded Strait of Hormuz, which resulted in its crude output declining by a record 7.6 mn bbl / d in March. Opec+ had decided to boost oil output by 206k bbl / d for May earlier this month — a symbolic decision given the logistical hurdles — including the now-departed UAE’s share.
What does the UAE’s exit from Opec mean for energy prices? Predictions roll in. US President Donald Trump believes the move will lower energy prices, Bloomberg reports. “It’s a good thing for getting the price of gas down, getting oil down, getting everything down,” Trump said.
Moscow agrees: Russia’s Finance Minister made a similar argument, saying that the exit will prompt the oil cartel to boost production, which will bring down energy prices in the future.
Others are less optimistic: Goldman Sachs predicts the exit will trigger greater upside risk to oil supply in the medium term, given that UAE crude production is set to reach 3.8 mn bbl / d by October 2026.
Brent hit a multi-year high overnight: The global benchmark surpassed the USD 120 per barrel mark in the early hours of the morning, briefly hovering at around USD 122 — its highest level since 2022 — before easing. This followed reports of a prolonged US naval blockade on Iran.
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The big story abroad
Jay Powell’s final Fed meeting as chair was an unremarkable one, with the US central bank holding rates in line with market expectations. A divided Federal Reserve kept the policy rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range — four policymakers voiced their dissent, a level of division unseen since 1992. The bank cited persisting inflation and rising energy prices for the move, pointing to a “high level of uncertainty” stemming from the US-Iran war.
Powell may be stepping down as chair, but he’s not leaving the Fed just yet. After his term as chair comes to an end on 15 May, he will “keep a low profile as a governor” for an indefinite period, preventing President Donald Trump from clinching a majority on the Fed’s Board of Governors. Powell has expressed concern for the institution’s independence and transparency as he came under attack from Trump in recent months.
Who’s next? Trump-nominated Kevin Warsh will likely take on the mantle of chair in time for the Fed’s meeting in mid-June.
Meanwhile, in the tech world: AI startup Anthropic is reportedly exploring a new funding round that would propel its valuation beyond the USD 900 bn mark. If successful, the move would push the company’s valuation past that of rival OpenAI.
ALSO- The AI spending boom is alive and well. Tech giants Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta poured around USD 130 bn into capital expenditures, with the lion’s share of that investment fueling data center infrastructure required to power AI.



