Happy Thursday, everyone! And happy National Punctuation Day (in the United States) to those who celebrate. Also to those who CELEBRATE!!! Okay, let’s get going.
Oh, to be a fly on the wall: US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping will be dining at the White House tonight with tech leaders including OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, SpaceX founder Elon Musk, Amazon Founder Jeff Bezos, and the chief executives of Google, Meta, and Nvidia — basically a who’s who of the folks deciding the fate of the human race. Notable absence: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, whose company has a checkered history with the Trump administration.
What’s up for serious discussion:
- US tech companies are pushing for a deal that reverses limits China has put on exporting rare earth materials that are vital components of computer chips, electric vehicles, defense systems, and other technologies. China imposed a first set of export controls in 2025 and another round is set to take effect in November. Here’s more from The New York Times.
- Trump is also under pressure from Congress — especially Democrats — to curtail the sale of US-built AI chips to China. The Trump administration struck a deal in December to sell Nvidia’s second-most-advanced AI chips to China — though China isn’t buying many of them. China has also been developing its own chip supply chain, so it’s less dependent on the US for the raw materials of AI.
What’s not up for serious discussion: Don’t expect any breakthroughs on calls from Amodei and other AI executives — some of whom are attending the dinner — to “pace the AI frontier.” In other words, to slow down developments until we’re reasonably confident that the most advanced AI models won’t end life as we know it.
Some rare common ground? Trump and Xi have both planted a flag in opposition to the calls for a slowdown. Trump called fears that AI advances could endanger humanity a “hoax.” Chinese state media dismissed the calls as “Cold War tactics" by the US, mostly because of proposed limits on chip sales to China.
Here’s how Trump put it during a minorly unhinged address at the UN this week: “We’re leading now over China by a lot, and everyone else, and we’re going to keep it that way.”
The Gulf angle: The best case scenario for Gulf leaders may be a US-China meeting that doesn’t produce any big new agreement — but doesn’t produce any fireworks either. Gulf nations have mostly managed to tread a middle path on AI — working with both the US and China — and profited handsomely from it. (The UAE has hewed closest to the US, agreeing to decouple its AI stack from China. But it’s also gotten the most rewards — license-free access to top-of-the-line AI chips for approved companies, including G42 and Core42).
The result is an investment portfolio and a tech stack that’s deeply dependent on both nations continuing to innovate and make money from AI and other advanced technology. “Ultimately the Emiratis want connectivity. They want to be the compute bridge to support American companies and Chinese companies,” Nick Shafer (LinkedIn), an emerging markets strategist focused on MENA and technology and an adjunct faculty member at the University of California-Berkeley, tells EnterpriseAM.

