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USD 35 bn Dubai World Central expansion gets greenlight

1

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS MORNING: Expect more rainfall soon + SMEs get helping hand following storm

Good morning, lovely people, and welcome to the start of a new workweek. We have a brisk issue for you this morning, led by news of Dubai World Central finally getting its USD 35 bn overhaul approved.

Other stories worth your attention: IHC moves forward with acquisition of Colombian food manufacturer Grupo Nutresa alongside partners; the UAE could be getting another nuclear plant by 2032; and Masdar has inked an agreement for a 1 GW renewables project in Malaysia.

PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTS-

#1- 🌧️ WEATHER-More rainfall may be on the horizon, starting Wednesday evening through Thursday, with strong wind, thunder, and lightning, the National Center of Meteorology said. There's also a chance of light to moderate rainfall on Friday and Saturday, with a gradual decrease in cloud cover.

#2- Emirati-owned small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are getting financial assistance to recover from the recent storms in the UAE, courtesy of a new initiative launched by the Mohammed Bin Rashid Establishment for Small and Medium Enterprises Development (Dubai SME), reports Wam. Eligible Dubai SMEs can access no-interest business loans of up to AED 300k with grace periods of 6 to 12 months to repair or replace damaged properties essential for business operations, and postpone repayments for existing loans.

How to sign up: Dubai SME members impacted by the weather can apply to the fund’s designated relief financing committee here.


#3- Timings for trucks driving on Sheikh Mohammed Bin Zayed Road between Dubai’s Ras Al Khor Street and Sharjah have been adjusted during peak hours, Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority said in an X post. Trucks will be prohibited on the road from 6:30am to 8:30am, 1pm to 3:30pm, and 5:30pm to 8pm. Truck drivers can opt for routes like Emirates Road instead, or utilize designated truck rest stops during these hours.

#4- Business Bay residents can now order a bus online: Dubai’s Road and Transport Authority (RTA) has expanded its Bus on Demand service — which sends a mini bus at the user’s location — to Business Bay, following a successful one-month trial period, the Government Media Office reports. The service is accessible through the Dubai Bus On Demand app.

#5- Ins. firms have 30 days to resolve customer complaints before they are referred to the central bank’s new ombudsman unit, Sanadak, Al Khaleej reports, citing the central bank’s latest directive.

#6-Omani citizens are pardoned from all traffic fines obtained while in the UAE from 2018 to 2023, reports state news agency Wam. The decision to waive the fines comes after Oman’s Sultan Haitham bin Tariq’s two-day visit to the UAE, where the two countries inked USD 35 bn agreements.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Telegraph acquisition off the table? Abu Dhabi-backed RedBird IMI is reportedly retracting its bid to acquire British newspaper The Telegraph in the coming week, the Financial Times reports, citing sources close to the matter. The acquisition stalled after the UK government passed legislation to prevent foreign governments from acquiring stakes in media titles. The sale process of the Telegraph is expected to start “in the coming days,” with participation of potential buyers such as Daily Mail & General Trust, hedge fund manager Paul Marshall, and Yorkshire Post owner National World.

REMEMBER- RedBird IMI was said to be in talks with the UK government to potentially sell the Telegraph and Spectator titles separately, aiming to attract more buyers. RedBird IMI has tapped Raine Group to oversee the sale process and is considering various options, including converting its call option into shares with the British Department for Culture, Media, and Sport. Selling the Spectator independently could fetch over GBP 100 mn.


#2- Naturgy takeover getting a push? First Deputy Ruler of Dubai Sheikh Maktoum bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum met on Saturday with co-founder and co-chair of private equity firm and Naturgy major shareholder CVC Capital Partners Rolly van Rappard, discussing windows for global financial companies to expand in the region, according to the Dubai Media Office. Officials from Dubai's Department of Economy and Tourism, Dubai International Financial Centre, and Dubai-based real estate firm Tecom also attended the meeting.

REFRESHER #1- Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa) is in discussions with Naturgy’s two largest shareholders — CVC and GIP — to potentially acquire their stakes in the Spanish company. Taqa is also discussing “a potential cooperation in relation to Naturgy” withNaturgy’s largest shareholder, Criteria Caixa, it confirmed last week.

REFRESHER #2- Spain is considering its options: The Spanish and Algerian governments could potentially block or otherwise negotiate more preferential terms for Taqa’s potential acquisition in the Spanish gas producer, with Spain’s Sánchez government reportedly looking to “facilitate” Taqa’s takeover bid for 100% of Naturgy, on the condition that Taqa would then sell back 10-15% of the company to the Spanish government.


#3- Jera, Japan’s biggest power producer, plans to invest in low-carbon hydrogen and ammonia plants in the region, Asharq Business reports. Jera is interested in facilities capable of producing around 1 mn annual tons of blue ammonia, alongside smaller scale green hydrogen projects, according to Jera’s Australia and Middle East country head Tsuyoshi Oyama. The region currently houses some of the world's largest planned blue ammonia plants.

Jera has been interested in the region for some time: Jera signed agreements with Taqa and Adnoclast year to investigate the feasibility of low-carbon thermal energy, ammonia, and green hydrogen projects in the region. The Japanese company also collaborated with Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund the Public Investment Fund (PIF), to explore the production of green hydrogen and its derivatives.


#4- The Abu Dhabi Department of Economic Development (ADDED) issued an investment guide presenting 100 transport projects for investment, according to the Abu Dhabi Media Office. The projects include manufacturing and developing commercial drones, electric vehicle chargers, automotive battery systems, aircraft landing gears, e-scooters, and automotive tyres.The guide targets domestic and international investors, and comes as part of .

ADDED has also partnered with the Emirates Driving Company (EDC) to propel the transport sector’s growth, focusing on research for autonomous and low-emission vehicles to support sustainable economic growth, the Abu Dhabi Media Office reports.


#7- The UAE is poised to more than triple its renewable energy capacity by 2030, exceeding its target of generating 14 GW of renewable energy within six years, Energy Minister Suhail Al Mazrouei said at the World Economic Forum’s special meeting in Riyadh yesterday, The National reports. Al Mazrouei expects that the Emirates will achieve this goal as clean energy prices continue to fall, becoming “the cheapest,” and as more solar plants are installed to boost green hydrogen generation.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- The World Economic Forum’sSpecial Meeting on Global Collaboration, Growthand Energy for Development is on its second day in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The two-day meeting addresses global challenges in economic development, including energy transitions and geopolitical tensions.

It will feature over 700 participants, including Economy Minister Abdulla Bin Touq, who will sit on a panel covering the rise of the tourism sector, and Majid Al Futtaim Holding CEO Ahmed Galal Ismail, who is participating in a panel on MENA economic perspectives.


#2- The Abu Dhabi International Book Fair is set to take place from 29 April to 5 May at the Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre (Adnec), with Egypt as the guest of honor and Egyptian novelist Naguib Mahfouz as the focus personality.

MARKET WATCH-

Adnoc snaps up Iraqi crude: Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) imported some 1 mn barrels of Basrah crude from Iraq to Ruwais this month via the Orient M tanker, according to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data and ship-agent reports. This is the first time Adnoc has purchased heavier oil from the Middle East for its upgraded refinery.

Adnoc plans to integrate new units at its Ruwais facility to process a diverse range of crudes, after completing maintenance, Bloomberg reports, citing people with knowledge of the matter. The add-ons will allow the company to purchase cheaper barrels from other producers.

This isn’t unusual: Adnoc moved to prioritize Murban oil over Upper Zakum crude earlier this month, in line with its investments in refinery upgrades, particularly at its Ruwais facility, which allows it to process heavier grades more efficiently. “[The firm] invested a lot of money over at least 3-4 years upgrading Ruwais to run heavier grades so it makes a lot of sense to run Upper Zakum and sell Murban. Barrel-for-barrel, Murban brings more revenue for equal compliance.”

OUR NEXT CONFERENCE IN CAIRO-

Foreign investors are falling in love with Egypt again… Foreign investors we speak with (debt, equity, and strategic alike) have growing appetite for Egypt. They’re buying into local debt, eyeing promising shares, and committing bns of USD to both new ventures here and the growth of their existing businesses. They like the Egypt story that’s taking shape after the float of the EGP, and its competitive advantages are clear to many of them: It’s a massive consumer opportunity and a regional export hub of tomorrow.

The Enterprise Optimism Forum 2024 will do exactly what it says on the tin: Spark conversations about a future that sees Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the the UAE at the heart of a more vital Middle East economy — and provide an early, actionable roadmap for those who are “long Egypt.”

We’ll be talking with you about the agenda over the coming couple of weeks. It features speakers from Egypt and abroad who are future-proofing their businesses and angling to capture tomorrow’s opportunities — and who aren’t afraid to answer some tough questions.

*** Interested in attending? Tap or click here to let us know. Seating is limited.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

It’s a quiet morning in the global business press, but don’t expect that to continue into the rest of the week:

  • The US Federal Reserve will discuss interest rates Tuesday and Wednesday (see Planet Finance, below) — pundits will scour Jay Powell’s every utterance after the meeting on Wednesday;
  • Earnings seasons continues (Amazon.com, Apple, HSBC are among the bold-face names releasing this week);
  • England holds local elections on Thursday (look for mayoral elections in London, Birmingham, and Manchester);
  • We’ll get growth estimates for the EU, France, Germany, Italy and Spain tomorrow.

SPEAKING OF SPAIN- We should know in the next few hours whether Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will step down. He went into seclusion last week, saying he was debating whether to call it quits after a far-right group brought what most observers agree are trumped-up court proceedings against his wife. “I urgently need to answer a question that I keep asking myself: Is it worth it for me to remain [in office] in spite of the right and far-right’s mudslinging?”

All of Europe is waiting with baited breath to see whether the continent’s fifth-largest economy enters a “new period of political instability,” Politico writes in a must-read piece.

WHILE OVER IN OUR REGION OF THE WORLD- Israeli officials are spooked by the prospect that the ICC could be readying arrest warrants, reports the New York Times. Netanyahu could be among those named in a warrant on charges of preventing the delivery of aid and the country’s “excessively harsh” assault on Gaza.

ALSO- Elon is in China trying to drum up business, authorities in the US continue to crack down on pro-Palestine protests on university campuses, and Israel may delay its assault on Rafah if hostages are released. At least 13 Palestinians were killed in Israeli strikes yesterday.

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

The Arabian Travel Market is taking place from 6-9 May at DWTC Dubai under the theme Transforming Travel Through Entrepreneurship. The event will focus on issues relating to entrepreneurial strategies.

TheAnnual Investment Meeting (AIM) Congress is scheduled to be held on 7-9 May at the Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre. Gathering senior government officials and industry experts, the summit will focus on exploring means of strengthening the economy under the theme Resilient, Sustainable Economic Growth – Creating a Healthy and Prospective Investment through FDI and FPI.

The Middle East Petroleum and Gas Conference is set to take place from 20-22 May in Dubai, hosted by the Emirates National Oil Company and under the organization of S&P Global Commodity Insights. The theme of the conference is “Evolving Core Energy Markets within a Sustainable Landscape.”

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

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INFRASTRUCTURE

Al Maktoum Airport expansion plans are back on track

The design plan for the USD 35 bn new passenger terminal at Al Maktoum International Airport earned the green light from Vice President Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, kicking off the process of construction on the airport expansion, the ruler of Dubai said on X. No details were given about the construction timeline.

The expanded airport is set to be the world’s largest, hosting over 260 mn passengers, handling 12 mn tons of annual cargo, accommodating around 400 aircraft gates, and featuring five parallel runways. It will be five times larger than Dubai International Airport (DXB), with plans to transfer all operations from DXB within 10 years, according to Al Maktoum.

Al Maktoum International Airport — also known as Dubai World Central — will become the main hub for Emirates, Flydubai, and other airline partners, Reuters quotes Emirates Chair Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al Maktoum as saying. The country’s flagship carrier has been pushing for the expansion of the airport to support its growth plans and fleet expansion, Bloomberg reports.

Things are moving forward after being on hold for five years: Construction was halted in 2019 due to economic headwinds amid low oil prices, tapered growth, and stagnant tourism, Bloomberg reported previously. Against the backdrop of the pandemic, firms competing for USD 2.7 bn contracts to develop the airport structure were put on hold, Meed reported previously. Work on the airport was expected to resume in 2030.

REMEMBER- Passenger traffic at Dubai International Airport rose 31.7% y-o-y to 87 mn passengers in 2023, marking a recovery to pre-pandemic levels. Traffic is set to grow to 88.8 mn passengers in 2024, before reaching a record 93 mn passengers in 2025 and 97 mn in 2026.

The story got plenty of ink in the foreign press: Deutsche Welle | Associated Press.

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M&A WATCH

IHC takes 14.83% stake in Colombian food manufacturer + RPM closes Prometheus acquisition

IHC acquires additional stakes in Latin American food firm Grupo Nutresa: International Holding Company (IHC) has moved forward with its bid to absorb nearly 100% of Colombian food manufacturer Grupo Nutresa alongside partners through a share swap agreement and open market offer, it said in an ADX disclosure (pdf). The value of the two transactions — which bumped IHC’s stake in Nutresa to 14.83% — was not disclosed.

The details: IHC acquired a 2.45% stake in Nutresa after handing over its 2.03% stake in Colombian Grupo Sura via a share swap agreement. The company also snagged a 12.38% stake in Nutresa through Graystone Holdings, a firm representing IHC, which submitted an open market offer for the shares.

Background: IHC partner Grupo Gilinski and Graystone Holdings received offers for 22.48% of Nutresa in a public share offering at the start of the month. Prior to the share offer, Gilinski and IHC collectively held a 76.9% stake in Nutresa. The bids are part of a share swap agreement that was inked in 2023 between IHC, Nutresa, Sura and Argos. The agreement allows IHC and Gilinski to purchase 87% of Nutresa's shares in exchange for exiting their stakes in Sura.

OTHER M&A NEWS-

UAE medical services giant Response Plus Medical (RPM) finalized its acquisition of UK-based Prometheus Medical for unified defense and energy health solutions, according to an ADX disclosure (pdf). The value of the transaction was not disclosed.

Refresher: RPM had first announced its plan to acquire Prometheus back in January, with the aim of forming a global healthcare platform for energy and defense companies. The acquisition extends RPM's medical reach to global oil giants like Shell, Chevron, and UK defense sectors, while bolstering its medical fleet and accelerating UK and Nordic expansion. RPM will also be an official distributor of trauma care and simulation products from Safeguard Medical, Prometheus’ parent company, in the GCC and India.

No change in Prometheus’ corporate structure post-acquisition: Prometheus will maintain its separate identity and operations while being part of RPM’s portfolio, according to the statement. It'll rebrand its UK and Nordic operations as Prometheus Medical International, while UAE operations remain as Prometheus UAE. Steven Wines (LinkedIn) was tapped as CEO of Prometheus Medical International.


Mubadala appoints two new execs to Zamp’s board: Mubadala Capital retained Leonardo Armando Yamamoto as board chairman and appointed two new executives, including Zamp’s Brazil country head Oscar Pekka Fahlgren, to Brazilian food retailer Zamp’s board, according to a company disclosure (pdf). The company — in which Mubadala holds a 38.5% stake — also saw Affinity Partners — the private equity firm founded by Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner — join after Asad Naqvi was elected as board member on Friday. This move follows Affinity Partners’ USD 200 mn investment in Zamp alongside Mubadala Capital, Bloomberg reported, citing people in the know.

REFRESHER- Mubadala increased its stake in Zamp to 38.5% (cc. 105.9 mn shares) in February after previously raising it to 20.4% in July 2023. The firm reportedly plans to consolidate Zamp with several foreign food franchises in Brazil through Mubadala Capital.

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ENERGY

UAE to tender for construction of new nuclear power plant

Second nuclear plant in the works? The government is reportedly mulling a second nuclear power plant as it looks to double nuclear reactors and meet energy demands, Reuters reports, citing people familiar with the matter. Tenders for four reactors at the potential plant — which would be the second nuclear facility in the country after the Barakah nuclear plant — could be issued “within the next few months,” Reuters’ sources say. The government could also award the contracts this year, with the plant expected to begin operations near the Saudi Arabian border or the existing Barakah plant by 2032.

Who can bid? Tenders will be open to any potential bidders, including US, Chinese, and Russian firms, the sources said, adding that South Korea — which built the Barakah plant — will not be favored. The Federal Authority for Nuclear Regulation told Reuters it is set to review and hand out the necessary licenses and regulations if the government gives the green light for new plant construction.

Its predecessor: The move comes as the 1.4 GW fourth unit of Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation’s South Korean-built Barakah nuclear energy plant was connected to the UAE’s transmission grid last month. Once it begins full commercial operations later this year, the plant is expected to offset 22.4 mn tonnes of emissions with 40 TWh of generated electricity annually.

Fast fact: The UAE is the first Arab state to operate a nuclear power plant.

5

ENERGY

Masdar plans more renewable energy projects in Malaysia

Masdar invests further in Malaysia: Masdar inked an agreement with Worldwide Holdings Berhad to develop 1 GW of renewable energy projects in Selangor, Malaysia, focusing on floating solar, ground-mounted solar, rooftop solar, hydro, and hybrid systems, it said on X. The partnership comes as Masdar looks to invest in and develop up to 10 GW of renewable energy projects in Malaysia.

Background: The renewables firm had in October agreed to invest USD 8 bn for up to 10 GW of renewables projects in Malaysia by 2035 including grounded and floating solar, wind and battery energy storage systems (BESS). It also inked an MoU with Malaysian investment holding company Citaglobal Berhad last July to jointly develop 2 GW worth of renewable energy projects — including solar plants, BESS, and wind farms — in the country.

The company’s overseas portfolio is expanding: The company has been expanding its holdings in Southeast Asia and globally as of late, most recently acquiring a 50% stake in US renewables firm Terra-Gen Power. It is also eyeing an undisclosed stake in Turkish wind producer Fiba Yenilenebilir Enerji and a majority stake in India’s Ayana Renewable Power, and in February, acquired shares in the geothermal unit of Indonesian government-owned geothermal utility Pertamina.

OTHER ENERGY NEWS-

Masdar hands out contract for DBS wind farm: Masdar and German renewable energy company RWE awarded Dutch surveyor Fugro a contract for geotechnical surveys on the Dogger Bank South (DBS) West offshore wind farm, according to a statement. The DBS wind farm — which comprises two sites, each with a capacity of 1.5 GW and spanning 500 sqkm — expects to power three mn UK homes.

ICYMI- Masdar closed the acquisition of a 49% stake in RWE’s 3 GW DBS offshore wind farms last month. The move — which was first announced in December during COP28 — came as part of Masdar’s larger GBP 11 bn investment plan in UK renewables.

The timeline: Fugro's vessels will conduct surveys from May to October, assessing ground conditions below the seabed for turbine and platform foundation locations. Masdar and RWE will then submit applications for development consent orders in the 2Q 2024, followed by securing contracts for difference, financing, construction, and commissioning by 2031.

6

STARTUP WATCH

Dubai startup Wee Marketplace bags USD 10 mn in pre-series A funding

Wee closes pre-seed funding round: Dubai-based e-commerce platform WeeMarketplace has secured USD 10 mn in equity and debt from SIG Investment as part of its pre-series A funding, according to a press release. The latest funding round raises Wee’s market valuation to USD 40 mn. In addition to the funding from SIG, the startup bagged USD 2 mn in follow-on investments from existing shareholders during the funding round.

Where are the funds going? The funds will help Wee improve its delivery services, expand its local operations in the UAE, and introduce new service offerings.

About Wee: Founded in 2021 by Anastasia Kim, Oleg Dashkevich, and Sergey Kolikov, Wee offers same-day delivery services in Dubai and next-day delivery across the UAE. The shopping platform boasts a wide-range of products, including cosmetics, pharma products, flowers, and F&B products.

What they said: “Our primary focus will revolve around advancing the fashion category with innovation in the UAE service of partial purchase and fitting as well as highlighting live streamings. We will also introduce new services to the super app ecosystem,” CEO and cofounder Anastasia Kim said.

What’s next? The platform is mulling listing on a stock exchange in the MENA region, “signaling its commitment to long-term sustainability and growth,” the press release reads. Wee is also planning to introduce shopping, taxi services, and payment services to the platform aiming to “develop an expansive ecosystem.”

7

EARNINGS WATCH

EasyLease and Apex report 1Q 2024 earnings. PLUS: Al Masraf reports 2023 earnings

EasyLease’s bottom line after tax more than doubled y-o-y to AED 13 mn in 1Q 2024, according to the company’s earnings release (pdf). Growth came on the back of “enhanced operational efficiencies and strategic positioning in high-growth mobility sectors,” including the company snagging a 60% stake in Alserkal Group subsidiary and transportation technology solutions provider United Trans. The company’s revenues grew 38.6% y-o-y to AED 97.4 mn.

Looking ahead: The UAE-based International Holding Company subsidiary and integrated mobility solutions provider is targeting organic growth through strategic acquisitions and new technologies to fuel expansion and strengthen its market position.


Apex turns to the black in 1Q: Abu Dhabi-based holding company Apex Investment turned profitable in 1Q 2024, turning in AED 4.27 mn in net income, compared to a net loss of AED 190 mn in the same period last year, according to the company’s financial statements (pdf). The firm’s revenues climbed 32% y-o-y to AED 195 mn for the first three months of the year.

REFRESHER- Apex Investment incurred a net loss of AED 58.4 mn in 2023 due to losses on its financial assets.


Al Masraf finished 2023 on a high note: The Arab Bank for Investment & Foreign Trade (Al Masraf) reported a 43% y-o-y increase in net income to AED 189 mn in 2023, according to the lender’s financial statements (pdf). The bank attributed income growth to “improved operating performance on the back of a favorable asset and liability mix and higher interest rates,” an earnings release reads. The bank’s net operating income climbed 20% y-o-y to AED 904 mn during the previous year.

8

MOVES

Naaman Atallah steps down as Nakheel and Meydan Group CEO

Dubai’s government-backed real estate firm Nakheel CEO Naaman Atallah (LinkedIn) has stepped down following the Dubai Holding merger which saw the company merge with Meydan and the two boards dissolved, Arabian Business writes. Atallah, CEO since November 2020, led the group’s expansion, overseeing projects like Palm Jebel Ali's redevelopment and Nakheel Mall's launch.

Refresher: Nakheel and Meydan are set to merge into one entity held by Dubai’s investment vehicle, Dubai Holding, with Emirates Group CEO Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al Maktoum heading the new entity.

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9

UAE IN THE NEWS

Damac Properties boss says UAE floods were “overexaggerated”

It’s a reasonably quiet day for the UAE in the foreign press, with only two stories worth noting: Bloomberg has a feature on the UAE’s buying spree in Egypt, most recently exemplified in a USD 35 bn investment in Ras El Hekma, while CNBC talks to Damac Properties boss Hussain Sajwami, who said reports around the flooding in the UAE were “over exaggerated,” and that there were “pockets of problems” but the country managed to recover quickly.

10

ALSO ON OUR RADAR

Dubai South is getting a AED 500 mn luxury car showroom and service center + New bus and taxi lanes in Dubai

TRANSPORT-

#1- Dubai South to house AED 500 mn luxury vehicle showroom and service center: Dubai South signed an agreement with luxury vehicle importer AGMC to operate an AED 500 mn showroom and service center in Dubai South, Wam reports. The showroom, spanning 33k sqm, will feature BMW, MINI, Rolls Royce, and other luxury car brands, while the service center will be located at the Business Avenue near the VIP Terminal and Al Maktoum International Airport.

The RTA greenlit a plan to construct dedicated buses and taxi lanes spanning 13.1 km across six key streets in Dubai, in a bid to ramp up public transport usage by up to 30% on some roads and reduce the number of buses needed to serve those routes, it said in a statement. The streets include Naif, Sheikh Sabah Al Ahmad Al Jaber Al Sabah, 2nd of December, Al Satwa, Omar bin Al Khattab, and Al Nahda.

The project will extend Dubai's network of dedicated bus lanes from 7 km to 20.1 km, and is scheduled for completion between 2025 and 2027. Changes are expected to slash bus travel times by 24% to 59% during peak hours and improve bus arrival times by 28% to 56%.

AVIATION-

Seasonal flights between Dubai and Skardu, Pakistan, resumed today via Pakistan International Airlines (PIA), after being suspended last August due to harsh weather conditions, the Regional Manager of PIA in Dubai, Zeeshan Ahmed, told Gulf News. The three-hour-long flights will run once weekly on Fridays.

GREEN ENERGY-

Ewec confirms awarding EDF + Kowepco 1.5 GW Al Ajban solar project: The Emirates Water and Electricity Company (Ewec), along with an international consortium comprising France’s EDF and Korea Western Power (Kowepco), has signed a power purchase agreement (PPA) to develop Ewec’s 1.5 GW Al Ajban solar IPP project, a press release reads. The consortium was awarded development rights for the project, with Masdar serving as the local shareholder.

What we know: The development of the project has an estimated investment ticket of around USD 748 mn, according to earlier reports, and is expected to generate around USD 2.24 bn in revenues.

The details: Under the PPA, Ewec will pay solely for the net electrical energy supplied by the plant, with the consortium responsible for designing, financing, building, and operating the plant. The project will be fully commercially operational in 3Q 2026, according to the press release.

11

PLANET FINANCE

Nobody expects the US Fed to move on interest rates this week, but pundits are still arguing about where rates will settle

Expect US interest rates to be front and center on the news agenda this week as the Federal Reserve holds its two-day federal open markets committee meeting Tuesday and Wednesday.

There’s no clear trigger in sight for the Fed to start cutting rates, and Fed boss Jay Powell has made clear that the central bank is in no hurry to cut rates after a surprise uptick in US inflation this year.

And some traders are now putting money on what the Financial Times says was until recently “unthinkable”: The (still small) chance that the Fed could raise rates once again, so fearful is it of inflation. Options data reviewed by the salmon-colored paper suggests there’s a 20% probability the Fed will raise rates in the next 12 months — compared to a probability of less than 10% at the beginning of the year. Food for thought.

Perhaps the bigger question in the long term: Where do rates settle, the Wall StreetJournal wonders this morning. “At issue is the neutral rate of interest: the rate that keeps the demand and supply of savings in equilibrium, leading to stable economic growth and inflation.”

What’s the neutral interest rate (or “r-star” or r* in insider-speak) likely to be? It’s tough to tell, because you can only really judge it in your rearview mirror. Five years ago, many figured it was below 2.4%. Today, with US businesses and consumers shrugging off interest rates north of 5%, some wonder if it isn’t set higher thanks to new dynamics in the global economy.

What dynamics? Per the WSJ: “Soaring government deficits and strong investment driven by the green-energy transition and an artificial-intelligence-fueled frenzy for electricity-intensive data centers. Higher productivity from AI could also lift long-run growth” and, with it, the neutral rate.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asian benchmarks are in the green in early trading this morning, with the Shanghai Composite the only outlier (it’s down less than 0.1%). Markets are closed in Japan today for Shōwa Day, which honors the birthday of Emperor Hirohito. Stock futures for European and major US indexes are comfortably in the green right now, suggesting they’re likely to open in positive territory later today.

ADX

9,042

0.0% (YTD: -4.3%)

DFM

4,148.23

-0.5% (YTD: +6.3%)

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20

3,558

+0.3% (YTD: -7.4%)

USD : AED CBUAE

Buy 3.67

Sell 3.67

EIBOR

4.9% o/n

5.5% 1 yr

TASI

12,232

-0.2% (YTD: +2.2%)

EGX30

24,640

-4.9% (YTD: -1.0%)

S&P 500

5,100

+1.0% (YTD: +6.9%)

FTSE 100

8,140

+0.8% (YTD: +5.3%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,007

+1.4% (YTD: +14.9%)

Brent crude

USD 89.50

+0.6%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 1.92

-3.2%

Gold

USD 2,347

+0.2%

BTC

USD 63,602

+0.5% (YTD: +50.6%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The ADX stayed flat yesterday, on turnover of AED 849.2 mn. The index is down 4.3% YTD.

In the green: Union Ins. Company (+14.8%), Abu Dhabi Ports Company (+5.0%) and GFH Financial Group (+4.0%).

In the red: Finance House (-9.8%), Al Dhafra Ins. (-7.0%) and Sharjah Cement and Industrial Development (-6.9%).

Over on the DFM, the index fell 0.5% on turnover of AED 293.4 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai rose 0.3%.

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

Response Plus Holding approved a dividend payout of AED 20 mn for 2023, equivalent to AED 0.10 per share, it said in an ADX disclosure (pdf).

12

DIPLOMACY

UAE + Kuwait look at civil aviation cooperation

Foreign Trade Minister Thani Al Zeyoudi met with Kuwaiti Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammad Al Salem Al Sabah yesterday in a follow-up visit from an Emirati delegation to Kuwait, where the two officials discussed bolstering bilateral trade and investment ties, Wam reports.

UAE, Kuwait to collaborate in civil aviation: Director General of the General Authority of Civil Aviation Saif Al Suwaidi met on Saturday with Kuwait’s Head of the General Administration of Civil Aviation Humood Al Sabah and his delegation to discuss ramping up cooperation between the two countries in civil aviation, reports Al Bayan. The Kuwaiti delegation also toured the Sheikh Zayed Air Navigation Center in Abu Dhabi on the sidelines of their visit.

ALSO WORTH KNOWING-

  • Economy Minister Abdulla bin Touq Al Marri met with his Estonian counterpart, Tiit Riisalo, to discuss potentially expanding cooperation on the new economy, entrepreneurship, tourism, aviation, technology, artificial intelligence, transportation, and SMEs. (Wam)

APRIL

26 March-21 July (Tuesday-Sunday): ‘From Kalila wa Dimna to La Fontaine: Traveling through Fables’ exhibition, Louvre Abu Dhabi.

21 April-7 May (Sunday- Tuesday): The ICC Women's T20 World Cup Global Qualifier 2024.

23-29 April (Tuesday-Monday): Subscription period for retail investors for Spinneys’ IPO.

23-30 April (Tuesday-Tuesday): Subscription period for institutional investors for Spinneys’ IPO.

24 April-1 May (Wednesday-Wednesday): Abu Dhabi Mobility Week.

28-29 April (Sunday-Monday): World Economic Forum’s Special Meeting on Global Collaboration, Growth and Energy for Development, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

28 April (Sunday): International Congress of Arabic Publishing and Creative Industries, Manarat Al Saadiyat in Abu Dhabi.

29-30 April (Monday- Tuesday): Dubai World Ins. Congress, Atlantis, The Palm.

29 April- 5 May (Friday-Friday): The Abu Dhabi International Book Fair, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre (ADNEC).

MAY

1-2 May (Wednesday-Thursday): Capital Markets Summit, Madinat Jumeirah, Dubai

1-5 May (Wednesday-Sunday): The Sharjah Animation Conference, Expo Centre Sharjah.

6-7 May (Monday-Tuesday): Dubai Fintech Summit 2024, Madinat Jumeirah.

6-9 May (Monday-Thursday): The Arabian Travel Market, Dubai World Trade Centre, Dubai.

7-9 May (Tuesday-Thursday): AIM Congress 2024, Abu Dhabi.

8-9 May (Wednesday-Thursday): Innovative Finance Expo, Jumeirah Emirates Towers.

8-12 May (Wednesday-Sunday): Schmetterling Annual Conference, Al Ain and Abu Dhabi.

9 May (Thursday): Spinneys shares begin trading.

14-15 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Seamless Middle East, Dubai World Trade Centre.

14-16 May (Tuesday-Thursday): The Airport Show, Dubai World Trade Centre.

15 May (Wednesday): HFM Summit, DIFC.

15 May (Wednesday): UAE and Indian officials are set to meet for the first time on the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor.

18-26 May (Saturday-Sunday): Abu Dhabi Comedy Week, Abu Dhabi.

19 May (Sunday): InvestopiaEurope, Milan.

19 May (Sunday): RTA’s Deadline for bids to design and build Dubai Metro's Blue Line.

20-22 May (Monday-Wednesday): Middle East Petroleum & Gas Conference, Dubai.

21-23 May (Tuesday-Thursday):International Exhibition for National Security & Resilience, ADNEC Centre Abu Dhabi.

24-25 May (Friday-Saturday): Baby Expo, Dubai World Trade Centre.

27-29 May (Monday-Wednesday): Arab Media Forum, Dubai.

30 May (Thursday):Abu Dhabi Family Office Summit, Saadiyat Rotana Resort, Abu Dhabi.

JUNE

2-4 June (Sunday-Tuesday): The World Air Transport Summit and International Air Transport Association (IATA)’s annual general meeting, Dubai.

4-6 June (Tuesday-Thursday): The Hotel Show, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-6 June (Tuesday-Thursday): INDEX, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-6 June (Tuesday-Thursday): WORKSPACE, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-6 June (Tuesday-Thursday): Leisure Show, Dubai World Trade Centre.

15 June (Saturday): Arafat day, national holiday.

16-18 June (Sunday-Tuesday): Eid Al-Adha, national holiday.

Signposted to happen sometime in 1H 2024:

  • Spinneys inaugurates its first store in KSA

JULY

7 July (Sunday): Islamic new year, national holiday.

SEPTEMBER

9-11 September (Monday-Wednesday): World Utilities Congress, Abu Dhabi.

28-30 September (Saturday-Monday): World Association of Nuclear Operators (WANO) Biennial General Meeting, Abu Dhabi.

OCTOBER

30-1 November (Wednesday-Friday): World Cities Cultural Summit, Dubai.

NOVEMBER

11-14 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC, Abu Dhabi.

11-14 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi.

11-14 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Decarbonisation Accelerator, Abu Dhabi.

27-28 November (Wednesday-Thursday): RAK Energy Summit, Al Hamra International Exhibition and Conference Centre, Ras Al Khaimah.

DECEMBER

2-3 December (Monday-Tuesday): National Day, public holiday.

5-8 December (Thursday-Sunday): Formula 1 Etihad Airways Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, Yas Marina Circuit.

9-10 December (Saturday-Sunday): The Bitcoin Mena Conference, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Business Aviation, Dubai World Central.

Signposted to happen sometime before the end of the year:

  • Spinneys inaugurates three more stores in KSA
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