Good morning, lovely people. We have another busy issue for you this morning, filled with M&A updates, data on the country’s property market in 1H, and a big economic partnership agreement inked with Mauritius — the first agreement of its kind the UAE inks with an African country.
Key M&A updates leading the news well today: Mubadala Capital just acquired a stake in stroller manufacturer Buggaboo, while Emirates Driving acquired a stake in Excellence Driving Center’s parent company.
WEATHER- The mercury peaks at 40°C today in Dubai — though it feels much hotter — with an overnight low of 36°C. Abu Dhabi will see a high of 38°C, and an overnight low of 33°C.
UPDATES-
#1- Adia-led consortium granted due diligence for possible Hargreaves Lansdown takeover: A consortium led by the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority was granted due diligence by British investment platform Hargreaves Lansdown, which decided it will engage with the consortium following a revised takeover bid submitted late June, according to a London Stock Exchange filing (pdf). The revised takeover bid — which was priced at GBP 11.40 per share, and includes a GBP 0.30 per share dividend that can be reinvested — was the consortium’s third following several rejections. Hargreaves’ board said at the time it was willing to recommend the proposal.
Hargreaves’ board of directors extended the deadline for bidding to 5 August to allow time for the consortium to finalize details like the structure of the acquisition, a source close to the matter told the Financial Times.
The caveat: Investors have raised concerns over the fairness of the proposed takeover for Hargreaves’ shareholders, the FT writes. The main sticking point is the weeding out of funds that will be unable to retain their stakes in Hargreaves following its delisting from the LSE, according to FT’s sources.
#2- More bids are in for the Telegraph: At least seven bids — including from Belgium’s Mediahuis, UK media groups National World and News UK, and British investors Lord Maurice Saatchi and Paul Marshall — were submitted on Friday to buy out the Telegraph and Spectator from Abu Dhabi-backed RedBird IMI, the Financial Times reports, citing people close to the sale process. Some 20 parties showed interest in the transaction, with some after both papers and others eyeing only one.
Other alternatives? RedBird could also move to buy out IMI and buy the papers itself if the bids are too low, the FT writes. Former Tory Chancellor Nadhim Zahawi is also reportedly preparing a GBP 600 mn bid for the papers, Sky News reported.
REMEMBER- Abu Dhabi-backed RedBird IMI formally withdrew its bid to acquire British papers, the Telegraph and Spectator, following months of opposition from the UK government. RedBird sought out first-round bids by 19 July, aiming to sell the papers to recoup the GBP 600 mn invested last year to acquire the assets. This is the second time RedBird IMI receives bids for the papers, after it launched an auction in April.
What’s next? Round two of the process is expected to commence in September, likely extending the sale into 4Q 2024. Investment banking advisers Robey Warshaw and Raine are analyzing the bids.
#3- Ardent is live on the New York Stock Exchange: US hospital operator Ardent Health Services, in which Healthcare giant PureHealth holds a 26.05% stake, successfully wrapped its IPO and is now trading on the New York Stock Exchange, the hospital operator said in a bourse filing (pdf). The company had been expecting a capital boost of up to USD 800 mn from the IPO, but the IPO was later downsized, with Ardent Health pricing it below the targeted range and raising around USD 192 mn, Reuters reports. The company sold some 12 mn shares at USD 16 each, valuing it at approximately USD 2.3 bn. Shares ended roughly flat on its debut.
Background: The IHC healthcare subsidiary acquired the minority stake in a transaction valued at AED 1.8 bn in May 2023.
PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTs-
#1- Abu Dhabi citizens can now exchange their granted residential lands for available lands managed by the Abu Dhabi Housing Authority through its Iskan Abu Dhabi Application, according to a statement. To be eligible for the exchange, the plots must be undeveloped and undivided, provided that neither party receives any financial compensation from the exchange.
#2- The UAE will roll out a health ins. platform for tourist visas, offering emergency health coverage for visitors, according to a statement by the Federal Authority for Identity, Citizenship, and Customs. The platform will allow tourists to pick from a roster of different providers, director-general of the authority, Suhail Al Khaili, told Khaleej Times.
HAPPENING TODAY-
Economy Minister Abdulla bin Touq Al Marri is headed to India, leading a high-level delegation to explore ways to boost economic cooperation between the two countries, Wam reports. Discussions will focus on establishing new partnerships in the areas of logistics, advanced industries, entrepreneurship, SMEs, environment, and investment across government and private sectors.
A new round of Investopia Global Talks will be held in Chennai, in southern India, in tandem with the visit, with the participation of over 300 investors, entrepreneurs, and economic experts from India and UAE.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- IHC-Ray Dalio partnership kicked further down the road: Abu Dhabi-based state-owned conglomerate IHC and hedge fund mogul Ray Dalio’s planned investment firm partnership has been delayed further due to legal setbacks related to Dalio exiting from his USD 160 bn asset management firm, Bridgewater Associates, Bloomberg reports, citing people in the know. His exit has sparked concerns that Dalio will use Bridgewater’s intellectual property in the potential tie-up despite inking a non-compete agreement.
Background: The partnership — initially set to launch last year — was set to see the Ray Dalio Family Office and IHC establish an asset management arm for AI giant G42 in Abu Dhabi Global Market, Bloomberg said. Dalio set up a family office in Abu Dhabi last year.
Despite the delays, several employees have already moved between the Dalio family office and G42, Bloomberg added.
#2- Private consumption growth in the UAE is expected to slow down in 2024 on the back of higher costs of living and higher interest rates, after growing nearly 12% last year, Emirates NBD’s chief economist, Khatija Haque, writes for the National. Strong public sector consumption and investment underpinned last year’s growth in private consumption, according to official data cited by Haque, who attributes the increase to population growth.
Public and private investment will drive non-oil sector growth in 2024 and beyond, Emirates NBD forecasts, citing a surge in infrastructure investments during 1H 2024, particularly for major construction projects.
Public sector projects under execution totaled AED 334 bn at the end of June, adding more than AED 70 bn during 1H 2024, with the oil and gas sector drawing most of the value. In addition, several projects are planned across the transport, power, and water sectors, including the development of Al Maktoum International Airport and Dubai Metro’s new Blue Line.
Lower interest rates in late 2024 and 2025 could support consumption and investment in the UAE, Emirates NBD expected, adding that investment in strategic public sector projects will likely proceed regardless of interest rate cuts, supporting medium-term economic activity. The lender predicts the UAE’s non-oil sector will grow at a 5% clip in 2024, down from 6.2% in 2023.
#3- Boeing delays thwart flydubai’s expansion plans: UAE’s budget carrier flydubai said its expansion plans will be significantly hampered by delays in Boeing’s delivery schedule in a statement yesterday. The airline is now working on “evaluating its route development plans and potential frequency revision across the network due to a lack of new aircraft deliveries over the next few months.” The delay is also expected to affect flydubai’s customers and its financial performance, it said in the statement. Fourteen 737 MAX aircraft, scheduled for delivery this year, will not be handed over to flydubai per Boeing’s schedule revision.
It’s not just flydubai who’s frustrated with Boeing: Emirates’ Tim Clark told Bloomberg he doesn’t expect Boeing’s 777X aircraft to enter commercial services before 2026, and that he “would not take kindly” to further delays caused by a growing backlog of orders. Both carriers have been resorting to retrofit programs in order to grapple with the delays.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
No surprises here — Kamala Harris is leading front pages everywhere after suddenly becoming the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. Also getting attention: Israel is evacuating Khan Younis; ether ETFs are coming; and Google is keeping advertiser cookies.
Harris addressed her campaign staff yesterday as her candidacy earned the backing of key party officials, with former House speaker Nancy Pelosi the latest to give Harris her stamp of approval. Hollywood celebrities are also rallying around Harris and donating to the campaign — and Charli XCX seemingly triggered a viral meme campaign after tweeting that Harris “IS brat.” The campaign is leaning into it in a bid to attract Gen Z votes.
The sitting vice president aims to lock-in the delegates she needs to secure her nomination by tomorrow evening, Reuters reports. The Democratic National Committee has agreed to hold a virtual roll call to choose their nominee by Wednesday, 7 August. The formal convention will start on Monday, 19 August.
The key question on everyone’s minds now: Who will Harris pick as her running mate? Bloomberg, the New York Times and Politico each have a list of folks they think are likely candidates.
MEANWHILE- The US Secret Service admitted its “failure” in protecting Trump during his assassination attempt, and Biden said dropping out of the race was “the right thing to do.”
OVER IN GAZA- While Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu heads to Washington to address congress tomorrow, Israel has ordered civilians to evacuate Khan Younis as it relaunches attacks against Hamas, sending hundreds of thousands to the humanitarian area in Al Mawasi by the coast and killing 70 Palestinians in the meantime. (Bloomberg | Reuters)
IN BUSINESS NEWS- Several stories are making the rounds:
#1- The ripple effects of the global tech outage on Friday could last weeks, experts say, as flights continue to face delays across the world and healthcare services face ongoing snarls.
#2- The US Securities and Exchange Commission approved the launch of ether ETFs six months after the successful launch of BTC ETFs, with trading expecting to kick off today, CNBC reports. The ETFs could attract some USD 15 bn to market in its first year and a half, analysts expect.
#3- Google is scrapping long-standing plans to replace third-party cookies — long used by advertisers — after receiving feedback that the transition would be disruptive and would impact all online publishers. Read Google’s full blog post about the decision here.
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