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Talabat IPO to raise up to USD 1.5 bn

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS MORNING: Lulu Retail shares are rising days after its debut + Pure Harvest eyes IPO in 2027

Good morning, lovely people. It’s a slightly quieter day here at home, with the biggest stories of the day being the price range for Talabat’s IPO — setting it up to raise USD 1.5 bn — and BlackRock’s new Abu Dhabi commercial license. Plus: IRH is eyeing an investment in Alphamin.

WEATHER- The mercury peaks at 32°C in Dubai today, before cooling to an overnight low of 24°C. Over in Abu Dhabi, expect a high of 28°C and a low of 23°C.


Lulu Retail’s shares closed 1% higher on the third day of trading on ADX at AED 2.05 a piece, slightly paring its gains after rising as much as AED 2.06 throughout the trading day.

REFRESHER- Despite having a record IPO, Lulu Retail saw a muted debut on the ADX, with its shares falling as much as 2.5% on their first day of trading to AED 1.99, down from the IPO set price of AED 2.04, before settling at its original share price at market close. The IPO raised AED 6.3 bn and was 25x oversubscribed.

Lulu investors could be in for “some incremental gains” as indicated by the solid trading volumes coming from retail investors, an analyst told Gulf News. Another analyst forecasts “heavy action” on Lulu shares in tandem with the release of its 2024 earnings.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Abu Dhabi-based agriculture firm Pure Harvest plans to go public, most likely in the UAE, in 2027 or 2028, the company’s CEO Sky Kurtz told Zawya. The company is also looking at tapping into the US and Mexico markets in the long run, alongside further expansions in Saudi Arabia and Morocco, Kurtz said.

REMEMBER- The company is currently seeking to raise as much as USD 100 mn by year-end to fund its plans of expansion into Singapore, Morocco, and Kuwait. The company had raised USD 180.5 mn in its previous funding round in 2022, taking total funding raised up to USD 387 mn.


#2- UAE’s Emsteel is eying more projects in Saudi and Egypt: ADQ-owned Emsteel is working on Saudi megaproject Neom and Ras El Hekma in Egypt, Emsteel CEO Saeed Al Ghafri told Asharq Business, without disclosing further details. Emsteel aims to capture a 60% market share in the UAE while exporting its products to 70 countries globally, he added.

ALSO FROM EMSTEEL- A new project for producing low-carbon iron coming to Abu Dhabi: Emsteel Group subsidiary Emirates Steel is working with Japanese partners on a feasibility study for a new project to produce low-carbon iron in Abu Dhabi, Wam reports. The project’s commercial production is expected no sooner than 2027. Emsteel is collaborating with Japan’s JFE Steel and Itochu Corporation on the project, Alghafri told Asharq Business.

REMEMBER- Emirates Steel had more green iron projects in the pipeline: Masdar said inApril it was looking at raising the efficiency of its pilot project to produce green iron ore for Emirates Steel Arkan, which currently has a production capacity of 2 MW electrolyzers, to 100 electrolyzers, though the figure was still under study.


#3- The Institute of International Finance (IIF) expects the UAE’s economy to grow 4% in 2024 and 5.1% in 2025, the highest among its GCC peers, Al Bayan reports, citing a recent IIF report. Strong tourism and hospitality sectors, huge investments in innovation and digitalization, and an anticipated increase in oil production underpin IIF’s forecast.

Gulf economies are poised for a sharp rebound, with GDP growth across GCC countries forecast to grow to 4.4% in 2025 compared to 1% this year, the IIF said. The recovery will be driven by increased private consumption and public investment targeting long-term economic expansion.


#4- Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority is piloting the use of AI-powered in-car cameras to detect smoking inside taxis, it said in a statement.


SIGN OF THE TIMES- Neymar Jr. now has a penthouse in Business Bay: Brazilian footballer Neymar Jr. purchased a AED 200 mn penthouse in Binghatti’s Bugatti Residences in Business Bay, according to a press release. The residential project consists of 182 residences overlooking a French Riviera-inspired private beach.

Fancy a lift? The penthouse includes a private car lift feature, which transports cars directly to the penthouse.

DATA POINTS-

#1- Dubai welcomed 3.9 mn tourists in 3Q 2024, marking a 3.4% y-o-y increase, Al Khaleej reports, citing statistics. In 9M 2024, the emirate attracted 13.3 mn tourists, a 7.3% y-o-y increase.

Remember: Dubai International Airport (DXB) revised its 2024 passenger forecast up to a record 91.8 mn in August, after receiving a record 44.9 mn visitors in 1H 2024.


#2- The Ajman NuVentures Center Freezone (ANCFZ) attracted over 450 companies within two months of its establishment, thanks to the fast issuance of business licenses, ANCFZ CEO Rishi Somaiya told Khaleej Times. The freezone offers a business license in as little as 15 minutes and a visa within 48 hours, significantly faster than the typical process which can take several days, Somaiya added.

#3- The UAE landed the 26th spot globally and the first among Arab countries on the 2023 Global Knowledge Index (pdf) by the UN Development Program – Regional Bureau for Arab States and the Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum Knowledge Foundation. The index measures knowledge and development levels, featuring sub-indices covering sectors like education, ICT, research, development, and economy.

#4- SMEs account for over 90% of total businesses in Abu Dhabi, employing nearly half of the workforce and contributing 42.8% to the emirate’s non-oil GDP, Acting CEO of the Khalifa Fund for Enterprise Development and Executive Director of the SME Sector at the Abu Dhabi Department of Economic Development Moza Obaid Al Nasri said in statements to Wam.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- Ras Al Khaimah Ruler Sheikh Saud bin Saqr Al Qasimi is currently on a four-day visit to Guangdong Province, China, which commenced yesterday, Wam reports. During the visit, the RAK Ruler will sign a cooperation agreement with Guangdong, focusing on the digital economy, scientific and technological innovation, advanced manufacturing, smart cities, and culture and tourism. Al Qasimi will also hold business meetings.

#2- Apex Invest Abu Dhabi is on its second and final day at The Hilton in Abu Dhabi. The event will feature senior representatives from major sovereign wealth funds, including Mubadala, the Abu Dhabi Investment Council, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, ADQ, Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, and the Oman Investment Authority, along with a number of family offices. The agenda will focus on investment strategies in asset management, with a two-to-one investor-to-manager ratio to facilitate networking.

#3-The OECD MiddleEast and North Africa Senior Budget Officials Meeting is on its second and final day in Abu Dhabi. The event will feature discussions among senior budget officials from across the MENA region on public financial management, covering public budget preparation, government spending trends, strategies for spending efficiency, public-private partnership financing, financial literacy initiatives, and the use of artificial intelligence in budget preparation and public spending.

#4- Abu Dhabi’s Crown Prince Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan is attending the G20 summit in Brazil, which wraps today, after he arrived yesterday in Rio de Janeiro to participate in the event on behalf of the UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Wam reports.

#5- The two-day Knowledge Summit wraps today at the Dubai World Trade Center. The summit will see the announcements of the Global Knowledge Index results and the Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum Knowledge Award winners. The summit will also feature discussions on digital transformation, AI dynamics, future education, and workforce competencies.

#6- The International Program for Civil Aviation Leaders is on its second day today in Dubai, bringing together over 20 civil aviation ministers, as well as heads of civil aviation authorities from Arab countries to ramp up cooperation within the sector, state news agency Wam reports. The event wraps up on 21 November.

#7- Dubai Future Solutions–Prototypes for Humanity kicks off today and runs until Thursday at Emirates Towers in Dubai. The event will facilitate collaboration among graduates and professors from over 800 universities, focusing on innovation in sectors such as agriculture, healthcare, energy, civil society, mobility, water, and the environment.

#8- Air Expo kicks off today and runs until Thursday at the Adnec in Abu Dhabi. The event will gather over 20k aviation professionals and will feature keynote speakers and panel discussions from industry leaders focusing on advanced air mobility, among other topics in the aviation sector.

#9- The Adia Lab Symposium 2024 kicks off today and runs until Thursday at the ADGM. The event will feature discussions by notable researchers and scientists on the topics of climate change and AI implementations.

#10- Dubai Future Forum will take place today and tomorrow at the Museum of the Future. Hosted by the Dubai Future Foundation, the event will bring together 150 global speakers, including government officials, CEOs, academics, and futurists, and spotlight 100 pilot projects to advance future-focused strategies for healthcare, nature, and other key topics.

#11- Qatar Development Bank (QDB) is organizing a Qatari trade mission to the UAE today and tomorrow in Dubai, featuring site visits and dedicated B2B meetings, QDB vice president of enterprise development Khalid Abdullah Al Mana told Khaleej Times. The mission will bring over 25 Qatari companies from various sectors — including construction, plastics, iron and steel, food and beverage, artificial intelligence, and sports technology — to explore investments in the UAE.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

#1- Xpanse 2024will take place at the Adnec Center in Abu Dhabi between 20-22 November, Wam reports. The event will focus on artificial intelligence, machine learning, genomics, quantum computing, neuromorphic computing, and 6G connectivity. Some 3k decision-makers, technology innovators, Nobel Prize winners, industry executives, CEOs, government officials, and scientists are expected to attend.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

COP29 climate talks in Baku are in disarray and multiple Western media outlets are portraying Saudi Arabia as spoiler-in-chief. Ministers leading the talks, including top officials from Germany, Australia, and South Africa, have flown into Azerbaijan in a bid to put things back on track.

The key sticking points in this final week of talks: Saudi leads a group of countries that don’t want the final agreement to include steps outlining how countries will transition away from fossil fuels and embrace greener energy. Saudi, the UAE and China are also resisting pushes to contribute to a fund to help developing countries transition — backers want a USD 100 bn goal (agreed a decade ago) to be bumped up to USD 1 tn, the Financial Times notes.

The flavor in the western press: “Saudi Arabia is a ‘wrecking ball’ in global climate talks,” blares the headline in the New York Times. Bloomberg has a similar take.

MEANWHILE- Eat the rich: The G20, meeting in Rio, has pledged to impose taxes on the super-rich — and repeated a demand that the climate finance pool be expanded to “tns” not “bns” of USD. The call to tax bn’aires incomes by 2%, pushed by Brazil, is short on specifics.

WORTH READING- The Wall Street Journal’s portrait of the incoming Trump administration’s “point man” on the Middle East, real estate baron Steve Witkoff.

Speaking to Trump II: It’s still unclear who will run Treasury and the National Economic Council, though Bloomberg suggests we may have some clarity here before the week is out.

CLOSER TO HOME- Oman’s state energy company, OQ, is looking to raise as much as USD 490 mn from the IPO of its methanol and liquefied petroleum unit. Cornerstone investors for up to 30% of the offering are reportedly in place.

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2

IPO WATCH

Talabat IPO to raise up to USD 1.5 bn

Delivery Hero will sell a 15% stake in its Middle East unit Talabat on the DFM at AED 1.5-1.6 apiece, putting it on track to raise some USD 1.5 bn, Bloomberg reports, citing a statement it has seen. The top end of the price range values the company at USD 10 bn.

Not the biggest listing of the year after all: Lulu Retail will still be the biggest IPO of the year, after raising AED 6.3 bn earlier this month.

REMEMBER- Delivery Hero is set to kick off book building for Talabat’s IPO today. The retail investors’ subscription period closes on Wednesday, 27 November, with the subscription period for institutional investors wrapping the following day. Delivery Hero plans to allocate 95% of the IPO shares to institutional investors, while 5% will be allocated to retail investors.

ADVISORS- Delivery Hero appointed Emirates NBD Capital, Morgan Stanley, and JP Morgan as joint coordinators and bookrunners, with Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB), Barclays, EFG-Hermes UAE, First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB), Goldman Sachs, ING, and UniCredit also acting as joint bookrunners. Emirates NBD is the lead receiving bank, while ADCB, Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank, Al Maryah Community Bank, Wio, Emirates Islamic Bank, FAB, and our friends at Mashreq are also acting as receiving banks.

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M&A WATCH

IRH eyes investment in Alphamin’s Bisie tin mining site

IRH eyes stake in Alphamin: State-owned International Holding Company subsidiary International Resources Holding (IRH) is in talks to acquire an indirect stake in Alphamin Resources, one of the world’s largest tin producers, Bloomberg reports, citing sources familiar with the matter. IRH is considering investing in a new vehicle that Denham Capital, Alphamin’s majority stakeholder, may create to hold the stake.

Still early: An IRH delegation recently visited Alphamin’s Bisie mining site in Congo as part of the talks, though no agreement has been finalized, and the discussions may not lead to an investment, the sources said.

In context: Denham — which owns 57% of Alphamin and has been its largest shareholder for over a decade — is exploring a “vehicle to continue the investment in Bisie,” according to Denham partner Rob Still. The project has faced stalled investments due to three decades of conflict in the region. Gerald Metals is the sole offtaker for Bisie’s tin concentrate under a prepayment-linked contract lasting until 2028.

What IRH would gain: Investors in the new Denham vehicle would benefit from the profitability of the world’s two highest-grade tin mines. Alphamin, valued at USD 1 bn, paid USD 115.5 mn in dividends for 2022 and 2023. The company plans to expand its annual output to 20k tons, representing 6-7% of global tin production.

REMEMBER- IRH is doubling down on securing critical minerals, with plans to invest USD 1 bn in mining acquisitions in 2024. It acquired a 51% stake in Zambia’s Mopani Copper Mines for USD 1.1 bn in April and inked joint venture agreements for iron mining in Angola, with advanced discussions held to mine nickel in Burundi, along with metals in Tanzania and Kenya. It is also eyeing a majority stake in Zambia’s Lubambe Copper Mine.

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REAL ESTATE

Dubai’s mid-market segment leads price growth as the emirate marks fifth year of real estate boom

Dubai’s housing market marked its fifth consecutive year of price growth, with sales prices rising 20% y-o-y in 3Q 2024 and rents increasing 18% y-o-y, according to Cushman & Wakefield’s latest report. Apartment rents climbed 19% y-o-y, while villa rents rose 13%, “indicating a trend towards stabilization in the villa segment as prices approach affordability thresholds,” the report said.

Mid-market leads growth: Mid-tier communities recorded the strongest price gains, with double-digit increases for both villas and apartments. Meanwhile, the upper end of the market is showing signs of moderation, with price growth stabilizing, Cushman & Wakefield said.

Sales volumes continued to grow, with off-plan transactions increasing 51% y-o-y in 3Q, compared to a 19% rise in secondary market sales, as flexible payment plans and property-linked visas fueled demand.

Ultra-prime sales rose 41% y-o-y, with 424 properties sold for over AED 20 mn, and Palm Jumeirah remaining the most popular location for that segment.

Supply also picked up: Developers delivered 9.2k units in 3Q, and another 10.7k are expected by year-end, bringing 2024’s total to 33.6k.

Prices to stabilize in the coming years? An increase in supply over the next 2-3 years is expected to contribute to market stabilization, the report said.

THE OFFICE MARKET-

Office rents in Dubai increased by 19% y-o-y in 3Q, with average office rents reaching AED 165 per sqft, according to the report. DIFC led the market with rents at AED 425 per sqft.

Price growth came on the back of heightened activity, with city-wide occupancy standing at 91% and Grade A office spaces at 94% occupancy. Central business districts — including Downtown Dubai, Sheikh Zayed Road, and DIFC — reported occupancy rates of 95% or higher.

Limited supply is also to thank: Dubai’s office market remains undersupplied, with only 1.5 mn sq ft of office space expected to be delivered by 2025 and most new office projects slated for 2027/2028, the report adds. “As the supply shortage is expected to persist in the near term, we expect a sustained upward pressure on rents, record high occupancy levels, and strong pre-leasing activity across the upcoming office stock.”

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PRIVATE EQUITY

BlackRock expands into Abu Dhabi with a new commercial license

BlackRock lands Abu Dhabi commercial license: BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, with an asset management portfolio of USD 11.5 tn, obtained a commercial license in Abu Dhabi, and is now eyeing regulatory approval to operate in the ADGM, Bloomberg reports.

A new focus on the Middle East: The latest sign of BlackRock’s regional push comes weeks after BlackRock received approval to establish its regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia. BlackRock also signed a USD 5 bn agreement with the Kingdom to develop an investment platform in collaboration with the Saudi’s Public Investment Fund (PIF).

The asset manager’s focus on the region will be on private markets, including AI infrastructure, Middle East Head Charles Hatami said.

Background: The firm recently launched five funds with Aditum Investment Management for UAE investors. It also launched a new USD 30 bn global AI infrastructure fund alongside Microsoft, Global Infrastructure Partners, and Abu Dhabi-based investment firm MGX. The fund aims to invest in data centers and energy projects that can power them.

BlackRock’s push in both the Kingdom and Abu Dhabi is a testament to Abu Dhabi and Riyadh’s efforts to lure more finance firms and international players, with both vying to become global finance centers as they look to diversify their economies.

Abu Dhabi’s efforts have been bearing fruit: European investment group Investindustrial will establish its debut regional office in Abu Dhabi, following the footsteps of US-based investment manager Nuveen which is set to open its first Middle East office in the emirate. US wealth manager GQG Partners also recently invested USD 500 mn in International Holding Company’s (IHC) investment platform Alpha Dhabi.

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EDUCATION

EFG Hermes acquires two schools in the UAE through new USD 300 mn KSA-based education fund

Our friends at EFG Hermes are investing USD 300 mn to establish a K-12 operator in Saudi Arabia and the wider GCC region through a newly-launched Saudi Education Fund (SEF), according to a press release (pdf). The fund aims to capitalize on the growing private school market, which it said is set to more than double. The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals.

The fund acquired several schools across the GCC: SEF has acquired seven schools from GFH Financial Group under the Britus Education brand. Four of the schools are in the Kingdom, including Britus International Schools Al Olaya, Education Gate International School Al Rawdah, Education Gate International School Almurabba, and Bright Life International School. This is in addition to two schools in the UAE and one in Bahrain. Together, the schools can accommodate 12k students, with 8k already enrolled.

About Britus: Britus Education is a Manama-based network of schools offering affordable, high-quality education to students across the Kingdom, Bahrain, the UAE and Tunisia, according to its webpage. The operator provides a wide range of international curricula including the British Curriculum, US Common Core Curriculum, IB Diploma Programme and the Egyptian Curriculum.

Same play, new stage: “Drawing on the expertise and insights we’ve gained over the past five years while establishing Egypt’s premier K-12 operator, Egypt Education Platform (EEP), we are poised to deliver exceptional educational services to our new student populations. Through this investment, we are committed to ensuring that Britus Education flourishes and adapts to the dynamic needs of students and communities throughout the region,” said Karim Moussa, Co-CEO of EFG Hermes.

What’s EEP? Launched in 2018 under EFG Hermes’ first education fund, the platform has built a diverse portfolio of 25 assets in Egypt, including 23 schools and pre-schools offering five curricula with a capacity of 25k students, an educational content business (“Selah El Telmeez”) serving 3-4 mn students annually, and a transportation service (“Option Travel”) catering to over 3k students daily.

ADVISORS- PwC Middle East acted as the financial and tax advisor to SEF, with White & Case providing counsel.

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TAX

Finance ministry eases corporate tax compliance requirements

Finance ministry eases corporate tax requirements: Domestic businesses, foreign partnerships, and family foundations will benefit from eased administrative and tax compliance requirements under new amendments issued by the Finance Ministry, Wam reports. The updated decision applies for tax periods beginning on or after 1 June 2023.

Key changes:

  • Foreign partnerships will automatically be considered tax-transparent in the UAE if they hold the same status in their home country, removing the need for individual partners to confirm their tax status separately;
  • Unincorporated partnerships are no longer required to inform the Federal Tax Authority about changes in their partner composition, such as partners joining or leaving, within 20 days;
  • Family foundations can now apply for tax-transparent status, enabling them to access tax benefits for assets held within the UAE.
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COFFEE WITH…

What's in store for debt markets in the region heading into the new year

It’s been a red hot year for the debt market in the region, with companies and sovereigns alike tapping markets as GCC countries in particular eye further expansion and diversification — with several booming sectors like infrastructure, real estate, and banking seeking more capital.

It’s also been a good year for issuers looking to diversify their capital — we’ve seen more sukuk, more AT1 issuances, and more sustainability-linked bonds in our neck of the woods as banks’ work to set up regulatory frameworks for these types of issuances in the region bear fruit.

Who in the region is leading the charge in terms of issuances as we head into the end of the year, and how are spreads looking? In part two of our conversation with Hassan Orooj, Mashreq’s head of the debt capital markets syndicate, we discuss the outlook for debt issuances in the region in the final months of the year and heading into next year, which forms of debt are the most attractive to issuers in the region right now, and a lot more. Head over to part one of our conversation for his bigger picture insights into how global markets have performed so far this year, and how US politics can impact issuances here in the region.

Edited excerpts from our conversation:

E: Corporate and sovereign issuers in the region have been very active so far this year — do you expect this to continue in the final quarter and going into next year?

HO: Again, the US here is relevant. It’s all related to how Treasury rates affect issuances, but I do expect a lot of the sovereign issuances that we’ve seen this year to continue. I think Saudi Arabia is going to still continue to be a key driver in the GCC, and some of the other sovereigns will be more active, especially the ones that have recently been upgraded, like Oman.

And it’s not just sovereigns — we expect the same from some of those issuers from those countries where we’ve seen an improvement in ratings, and actually even possibly Egypt.

A lot of the corporates in our region have generally quite robust balance sheets, and what we hear from a lot of corporates is that rates are a bit high right now. The coupons are not what they were back in 2020 and 2021. Banks are willing to lend to me at quite competitive rates, but I’m happy to sit on my hands and wait for lower rates. Is that necessarily the right thing to do? It remains to be seen, but what we have noticed is a lot of the corporates with very strong balance sheets in the region are waiting it out and expecting lower rates come next year.

The risk to that approach is that rates might be lower next year, but possibly not by as much as they think. Some of those issuers that have been waiting on the sidelines — there’s only so long they can and should wait because they have certain plans that they need to work on. It’s still expected to stay busy, but they just might need to pay higher than what they initially were planning for.

E: What about in the UAE?

HO: The UAE is going to stay active. It’s easy sometimes for the UAE to be slightly overshadowed by Saudi Arabia just because of the sheer volume coming out of Saudi. But the UAE, let’s not forget, has been one of the key drivers of GCC issuance, and we expect that to continue.

We also expect the UAE to remain front and center when it comes to new types of issuances, so when we’re talking about ESG — especially after Cop28 last year — we’re seeing a lot more issuers issuing green and sustainable bonds out of the UAE. We expect that to become more prevalent. It’s taken time for banks to get set up properly to issue ESG, but that’s now coming into place. We’re going to start seeing a lot more issuances on that front from the UAE, especially from banks and financial institutions, which are more the drivers of issuances here, whereas in Saudi, it’s more so the sovereign and sovereign-linked players.

E: And what about sukuk? The UAE has been a big issuer of Sukuk this year, and so has the rest of the region and emerging markets — do you expect that to continue?

HO: We’ve seen over USD 38 bn of sukuk issuance this year, and we’ve actually topped last year — which was already busy at USD 37 bn, so sukuk is very strong this year.

You have the regular, sophisticated issuers who make multiple issuances a year; some of them are sovereign like the UAE. They like to use sukuk as a way to diversify. We all know that sukuk typically is viewed as something that is cheaper than conventional, but the more frequent issuers, at the same time, they use it to diversify. They can’t keep tapping the conventional market.

The newer names who have never been to the market before — their go-to type of product is sukuk. The reason is if you’re a debut name, there’s that much more of what we call execution risk. The sukuk format — and getting access to Islamic banks and investors — reduces the execution risk significantly — especially for the more high-yield debut names. For this reason, I expect sukuk to remain very strong.

E: And for Mashreq, what are the regions you’re looking at for debt issuances? I know the bank has been more active outside the region as of late. Is that approach here to stay?

HO: We have stepped up issuances outside of the GCC a lot as of late. We’ve done around 50 transactions this year, and that’s a record year for debt markets here at Mashreq. Around just under half have been from outside the GCC. That approach of trying to be active outside the GCC without losing our strong presence here has paid dividends.

What we are very happy to see is the markets opening up for some of the emerging market issuers, especially in Africa, for example, and we are very very hopeful that we’re going to see a lot more activity in the next 12 months.

Another interesting region for us is the Commonwealth of Independent States, especially Uzbekistan where we have been, for the past few years, excited about its prospects. We actually saw it materialize this year, and we were on several issuances and were actively involved in opening this new market to international investors. We expect the momentum to continue into 2025.

E: Regional geopolitical tensions in the region are likely going to be a bigger theme in the next few months and next year. How much do you think tensions will impact markets this next year — if at all?

HO: Being based here in the Middle East, geopolitical tensions in this wider region have been going on for many, many years now. Sometimes, it flares up in certain hotspots, then it calms down. We’ve seen these cycles before, and it’s got to the stage now where markets are able to look through a lot of the flare-ups. Yes, this year we have seen some escalations that historically we haven’t seen, but the market has persistently been positive despite all of this.

You can also see this in the oil price. Typically, you’d expect oil prices to sharply rise when there’s geopolitical tensions. But we haven’t seen that since October of last year.

9

EARNINGS WATCH

Tabreed, Takaful Emarat report 3Q earnings

TABREED-

Tabreed makes gains in 3Q: UAE district cooling firm Tabreed’s turned to the black in 3Q 2024, posting a net income of AED 165.5 mn, up from a net loss of AED 127.9 mn in the same quarter last year, according to the company’s financial statements (pdf). Tabreed’s revenue also increased to AED 770.9 mn in 3Q 2024, up slightly from the AED 755.4 mn recorded in the same quarter of 2023.

On a 9M basis: The company’s revenue rose 1.5% y-o-y to AED 1.85 bn in 9M 2024, while net income rose 64% y-o-y to AED 449.4 mn, according to an earnings release (pdf). During the nine-month period, installed capacity reached 1.3 mn RT with 17.1k new RT customer connections in the UAE, India, Egypt, and Oman. Consumption volumes also increased 6% y-o-y.

TAKAFUL EMARAT-

Takaful Emarat turned to the black in 3Q 2024, posting AED 8.8 mn in net income, compared to a net loss of AED 851k during the same period last year, according to its financials (pdf). The turnaround reflects Takaful Emarat’s “success [in improving] operational efficiency and financial performance,” the company said in its earnings release (pdf). The ins. firm saw its revenues increase 96.6% y-o-y to AED 103.4 in 3Q.

On a nine-months basis, Takaful Emarat widened its net losses 147.6% y-o-y to AED 4.1 mn. The company booked AED 293.6 mn in revenues during the nine-month period, up 89.1% y-o-y.

Looking ahead, Takaful Emarat expects to finalize its AED 185 mn capital restructuring by the end of November, which will help bolster its financial stability and “support its future growth plans,” the firm said.

10

MOVES

Mashreq names Philip Philippides CEO of Mashreq Capital

Our friends at Mashreq have appointed Philip Philippides (LinkedIn) as CEO of asset management subsidiary Mashreq Capital, according to a press release (pdf). Philippides steps into the role with over 28 years of experience in finance, having worked in major financial institutions such as Morgan Stanley, Blackrock, MSCI, and Amundi. As CEO of Mashreq Capital, Philippides will oversee the expansion of the firm’s assets under management and the development of new investment solutions.

11

ALSO ON OUR RADAR

PayBy becomes first fintech firm to offer services to commercial gaming operators in the UAE

GAMING-

AstraTech’s subsidiary PayBy became the first fintech firm allowed to offer financial services to licensed commercial gaming operators in the UAE under a special license it obtained from the General Commercial Gaming Regulatory Authority (GCGRA), according to a press release. PayBy will offer gaming operators services including digital wallets, secure payment systems, and advanced fraud detection solutions.

ICYMI- The UAE has been ramping up its push into the gaming sector: The GCGRA awarded the UAE’s first commercial gaming operator’s license to casino operator Wynn Resorts last month, after the UAE issued a regulatory framework for the gaming sector in July. The authority also awarded the UAE’s first lottery license in July to commercial gaming and lottery operator The Game and the first gaming-related vendor license in October to Australian gambling machine manufacturer Aristocrat.

INFRASTRUCTURE-

Modon Holding taps Hassan Allam Holding for Ras El Hekma construction projects: Our friends at Hassan Allam Holding have inked a memorandum of understanding with Abu Dhabi wealth fund ADQ portfolio company and Ras El Hekma project master developer Modon Holding, in an agreement to cooperate on projects in the “infrastructure, energy, and water and wastewater treatment, and special building” sectors, the companies said in a statement (pdf).

Remember: ADQ tapped Modon Holding to be the master developer on its landmark USD 35 bn Ras El Hekma project on the North Coast last month, with the firm also tasked with developing the first 50 mn sqm phase of the city.

ENERGY-

Volts to set up energy storage production in Azerbaijan: UAE-based energy storage system producer Volts inked an MoU with the Azerbaijan Investment Company (AIC) to establish a USD 20 mn assembly and manufacturing facility in Azerbaijan for industrial and home energy storage systems, according to a press release. The initiative aims to ramp up Volts’ energy storage production and exports to Central Asia and support Azerbaijan’s energy transition.

The details: Volts and AIC will contribute USD 10 mn in investments each, with AIC also offering local support.

LOGISTICS-

Mawani adds new shipping service to Jubail Commercial Port: The Saudi Ports Authority (Mawani) added Emirates Shipping Line’s EJBS service to Jubail Commercial Port, it said in a statement. The new service, which has a 1.8k standard container capacity, will link the Jubail port to the ports of Jebel Ali in the UAE, and Shuwaikh in Kuwait.

EDUCATION-

#1- Alef extends contract with Abu Dhabi Education Dep: Alef Education extended its contract with the Abu Dhabi Department of Education and Knowledge for an additional three years, allowing it to continue to implement its digital education solutions at government schools (grades 5-12) until 2033, according to a press release (pdf). The original contract was signed in 2019 for 10 years and was initially extended for two years.

#2- E7 Group ventures into digital platforms: Printing and packaging firm E7 Group partnered with the interactive reading platform Kutubee and the school-parent communication platform School Voice to roll out an interactive Arabic reading platform and develop communication tools, E7 said in a LinkedIn post.

PAYMENTS-

NBF’s business clients to have access to Network’s digital payment solutions: Dubai-based Network International partnered with the National Bank of Fujairah (NBF) to roll out its omnichannel payment solutions, including online and in-person payment options, to the lender’s corporate clients, Wam reports.

RENEWABLES-

The Emirates Nuclear Energy Company (Enec) rebranded two of its subsidiaries as part of a wider rebranding to align it with its goals of becoming a global investor, according to the Abu Dhabi Media Office. The makeover will see Nawah Energy Company become Enec Operations, and Barakah One Company turn into Enec Commercial.

HEALTHCARE-

Spanish ophthalmology group Miranza Magrabi Health will offer Magrabi Health consultation for medical care at its facilities under an MoU they signed, according to a press release. Magrabi will also be able to transfer patients to Miranza’s hospitals for specialized treatments. The agreement will also see both parties work on joint research projects in ophthalmology.

COMMODITIES-

GME + Fastmarkets to partner on advancing regional commodity market: Energy-focused commodity exchange Gulf Mercantile Exchange signed an MoU with London-based cross-commodity price reporting agency Fastmarkets to explore the development of risk management tools for the regional commodities market, according to a press release. The partnership will focus on introducing new commodity derivatives, indices, and hedging instruments tailored for the regional market.

SUSTAINABILITY-

The US-Emirati initiative Agriculture Innovation Mission for Climate (Aim for Climate) has raked in USD 29.2 bn in funding since its inception in 2021, the countries said at Cop29, according to Reuters.

Background: The five-year mission — set to end in 2025 — aims to reduce the climate impact of agriculture and promote more sustainable farming practices. The AIM for Climate initiative had obtained approximately USD 17 bn in funding as of last year’s Cop28 in December.

REAL ESTATE-

Anax Holding subsidiary Anax Developments unveiled its second project, Evora Residences, a new tower in Al Furjan with handover scheduled for 3Q 2026, Khaleej Times reports.

Looking ahead, Anax Developments plans to launch projects worth USD 1 bn over the next year, bringing “more than 2k homes to the market,” with upcoming developments in Meydan and Dubai Islands, Anax Holding Chairman Satish Sanpal and Anax Development Managing Director Ravi Bhirani said.

12

PLANET FINANCE

International investors are increasingly interested in MENA startups

International investor interest in the MENA startups is heating up: MENA startups have witnessed a surge in international investor activity in 9M 2024, with the region’s 28% y-o-y increase in unique investors positioning it as the fastest growing arena for international venture capital across Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East during the first nine months of the year, according to Magnitt’s latest International Investor Evolution Report.

The broad strokes: The MENA region’s overall growth in investor activity was driven by a 60% y-o-y increase in international investors in the region’s startups — particularly those from the US and UK, the report writes. International venture capitalists also doubled their capital share in the region during 9M 2024 compared to the same period last year, reaching 37% of deployed capital. The growth was also driven by higher interest investing in early-stage startups, with series A transactions capturing 50% of international capital share in 9M 2024, up from just 15% in 9M 2023. Moreover, the MENA region has seen international venture capitalists’ share of participation rise from 28% in 2020 to 51% in 2024, according to a separate Magnitt press release (pdf).

Within the region, Egypt and the UAE led this investor influx: Egypt saw a 32% y-o-y increase in unique investors in 9M 2024, underpinned by a 79% y-o-y rise in local venture capitalists and significant contributions from the UK. The UAE also made significant strides in attracting international venture capital, with the report noting that the UAE saw a 24% y-o-y increase in unique investors during 9M 2024 — largely driven by a doubling of US-based participants.

Despite recent gains, the region continues to lag behind on aggregate: Recent progress notwithstanding, MENA startups continue to lag behind Southeast Asia and Africa in terms of total venture capital deployed, with the region registering USD 947 mn in deployed capital to Africa’s USD 1.2 bn and Southeast Asia’s USD 11.7 bn in 9M 2024.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asian markets are kicking the day off in the green during early trading this morning, with Japan’s Nikkei up 0.5%, followed by Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and Korea’s Kospi both at 0.3%. Over in China, the Shanghai index is down 0.4%.

ADX

9,387

-0.6% (YTD: -2.0%)

DFM

4,713

-0.6% (YTD: +16.1%)

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20

3,915

+0.5% (YTD: +1.9%)

USD : AED CBUAE

Buy 3.67

Sell 3.67

EIBOR

4.6% o/n

4.3% 1 yr

TASI

11,830

+0.2% (YTD: -1.1%)

EGX30

30,864

-1.2% (YTD: +24.0%)

S&P 500

5,894

+0.4% (YTD: +23.6%)

FTSE 100

8,109

+0.6% (YTD: +4.9%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,790

-0.1% (YTD: +6.0%)

Brent crude

USD 73.30

+3.2%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.95

-0.9%

Gold

USD 2,616.50

+1.8%

BTC

USD 91,265.40

+2.4% (YTD: +115.8%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The DFM fell 0.6% yesterday on turnover of AED 476.2 mn. The index is up 16.1% YTD.

In the green: National International Holding Company (+3.1%), Amanat Holdings (+2.8%) and Emaar Properties (+1.9%).

In the red: Takaful Emarat – Rights Issue 2024 (-10%), Emirates Investment Bank (-9.7%) and Gulf Navigation Holding (-7.0%).

Over on the ADX, the index fell 0.6% on turnover of AED 1.8 bn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai closed up 0.5%.

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

Americana Restaurants completed the repurchase of 25 mn of its own shares from the open market, at an average price of AED 2.460 per share, according to an ADX filing (pdf). These shares will be allocated to eligible employees under the company’s long-term incentive program.

Background: In August, Americana Restaurants International secured ADX approval to repurchase 25 mn of its own shares. The company initially repurchased 1.25 mn shares in the same month, with plans to buy back another 23.75 shares.

ADX-listed crypto miner Phoenix Group’s founders plan to repurchase the company’s shares from the open market in a bid to enhance shareholder value, according to an ADX disclosure (pdf). The number of shares and their nominal value were not specified.

Space42 appointed Q Market Makers as liquidity provider for its listed shares on ADX, according to a bourse disclosure (pdf).


NOVEMBER

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): Dubai Precious Metals Conference, JAFZA One Convention Center, Dubai

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): Apex Invest Abu Dhabi, The Hilton, Abu Dhabi.

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): The OECD Middle East and North Africa Senior Budget Officials Meeting, Abu Dhabi.

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): The Knowledge Summit, Dubai World Trade Center.

19-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Subscription period kicks off for the retail portion of Talabat’s IPO.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): Fastmarkets Middle East Iron & Steel 2024, Dubai.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): MIHAS@Dubai, Dubai World Trade Center, Dubai.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): Middle East Organic and Natural Products Expo, Dubai World Trade Center.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): The International Conference of ShenZhen Association, Dubai World Trade Center.

19-20 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Dubai Future Forum, Museum of the Future, Dubai.

19-21 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Dubai Future Solutions – Prototypes for Humanity, Emirates Towers, Dubai.

19-21 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Air Expo, Adnec, Abu Dhabi.

20-22 November (Wednesday-Friday): Xpanse Abu Dhabi, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi

22-23 November (Friday-Saturday): Global Meet on Electronics & Electrical Engineering (GMEEE), Dubai.

22-24 November (Friday-Sunday): Michelin Guide Food Festival, Emirates Palace Mandarin Oriental, Abu Dhabi.

23 November (Saturday): Wireless Festival Middle East, Etihad Park, Abu Dhabi.

23-24 November (Saturday-Sunday): Emirates Dubai Sail Grand Prix, SailGP Race Stadium.

23-24 November (Saturday-Sunday): Forbes Middle East Medical Tourism & Wellness Summit, Jumeirah Beach Hotel, Dubai.

26 November (Tuesday): The Gulf Capital Market Summit, Address Sky View, Dubai.

26-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday) Global Food Security Summit, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

26-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Women’s Forum Dubai, Madinat Jumeirah, Dubai

26-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Open Source AI Summit, The St. Regis Saadiyat Island Resort, Abu Dhabi.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Liveable Cities X, Dubai World Trade Center.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Future FM, Dubai World Trade Center.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Geo World, Dubai World Trade Center.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday) Global Media Congress 2024, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre (ADNEC).

26-29 November (Tuesday-Friday): Big 5 Global, Dubai World Trade Centre.

27 November: Acceptance period for Adnoc’s Covestro takeover bid ends.

27-28 November (Wednesday-Thursday): RAK Energy Summit, Al Hamra International Exhibition and Conference Centre, Ras Al Khaimah.

28 November-1 December (Thursday-Sunday): Spartan World Championship, Al Wathba Desert, Abu Dhabi.

30 November (Saturday): Football Legends Cup, Al Maktoum Stadium Al Nasr Sports Club, Dubai.

DECEMBER

2-3 December (Monday-Tuesday): National Day, public holiday.

4-5 December (Wednesday-Thursday): Sport Impact Summit, The Palm, Dubai.

4-6 December (Wednesday-Friday): Abu Dhabi Business Week, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.

5-8 December (Thursday-Sunday): Formula 1 Etihad Airways Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, Yas Marina Circuit.

5 December (Thursday): Khalifa Fund Entrepreneurship Competition, Adnec center, Abu Dhabi.

8-12 December (Sunday-Thursday):International Desalination and Reuse Association World Congress, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

13 December – 4 January (Friday-Saturday): Liwa International Festival, Al Dhafra, Abu Dhabi.

9-10 December (Monday-Tuesday): The Bitcoin Mena Conference, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

1- December (Tuesday): Talabat’s shares will start trading on the DFM.

9-12 December (Monday-ThursdayTuesday): Abu Dhabi Finance Week, Abu Dhabi.

9-12 December (Monday-Thursday): IEEE International Conference on Data Mining 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

10-11 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Trade and Infrastructure at Logimotion, Dubai World Trade Center.

10-11 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): SCALEX at Logimotion, Dubai World Trade Center.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Investor Relations Association (MEIRA Conference), Conrad Abu Dhabi Etihad Towers Hotel, Abu Dhabi.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): The Middle East and North Africa Business Aviation Association Show, Al Maktoum International Airport, Dubai.

11-13 December (Wednesday-Friday): European-Arab Medical Congress, Abu Dhabi.

14-21 December (Saturday-Saturday): World Schools Festival, Abu Dhabi

16-20 December (Monday-Friday): AIMS Conference 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

6 December-12 January: Dubai Shopping Festival.

Signposted to happen sometime in December:

JANUARY 2025

1 January (Wednesday): ADGM to slash licensing fees for retail and non-financial firms, and hike fees for finance firms.

9-13 January (Thursday-Monday): International Renewable Energy Agency Youth Forum, Abu Dhabi.

11-13 January (Saturday-Monday): International Renewable Energy Agency Assembly, Abu Dhabi.

11-13 January (Saturday-Monday): The 1 Bn Followers Summit, Dubai.

14-16 January (Tuesday-Thursday): World Energy Summit, Abu Dhabi.

14-16 January (Tuesday- Thursday): The Light + Intelligent Building Middle East exhibition, Dubai.

14-16 January (Tuesday- Thursday): Intersec, Dubai World Trade Center, Dubai.

19-24 January (Sunday-Friday): Coling 2025, Abu Dhabi.

20-22 January (Saturday-Monday): FESPA Middle East, Dubai World Trade Centre, Dubai.

FEBRUARY 2025

1-8 February (Saturday-Saturday): The Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Zayed Sports City’s International Tennis Centre.

1-28 February (Saturday-Friday): 3rd Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Agriculture Excellence Award, Abu Dhabi.

2-3 February (Sunday-Monday): L’Etape Dubai cycling race, Dubai.

3-6 February (Monday-Thursday): Medlab Middle East, Dubai World Trade Center.

16 February-1 March: Dubai Dutyfree Tennis Championships, Dubai Dutyfree Tennis Stadium in Al Garhoud.

24-25 February (Monday-Tuesday): World Passenger Experience Forum, Dubai.

24-26 February (Monday-Wednesday): Connecting Hydrogen MENA, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 1Q 2025:

  • The first eight fronds of the Palm Jebel Ali will be site-ready, allowing for the commencement of villa infrastructure and civil works.

APRIL 2025

6-11 April (Sunday-Friday): Geo-Spatial Week 2025, Dubai.

7-10 April 2025 (Monday-Thursday) : EFG Hermes One on One conference, Dubai.

7-9 April (Monday-Wednesday): AIM Investment Summit, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Center

14-16 April (Monday-Wednesday): Dubai Woodshow’s 21st Edition, Dubai World Trade Center

14-16 April (Monday-Wednesday): IPS congress, Dubai World Trade Center.

16-18 April (Wednesday-Friday): World Future Energy Summit,Abu Dhabi National Exhibition, Abu Dhabi.

28 April-1 May (Monday-Thursday): The Arabian Travel Market 2025, Dubai World Trade Center

Signposted to happen sometime in April:

MAY 2025

6-7 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Ports Forum, Dubai.

19-22 May (Monday-Thursday): Make it in the Emirates Forum 2025, Adnec, Abu Dhabi.

26-28 May (Monday-Wednesday): Arab Media Summit, World Trade Center, Dubai.

SEPTEMBER 2025

8-10 September (Monday-Wednesday): DigiHealth exhibition, World Trade Center, Dubai.

24-25 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Mohammed Bin Rashid Leadership Forum, Mohammed Bin Rashid Center for Leadership Development, Dubai.

OCTOBER 2025

27-29 October (Monday-Wednesday): Asia Pacific Cities Summit, Dubai Exhibition Center.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2025:

  • The Middle East Electric Vehicle Show, Expo Center Sharjah.
  • e& will complete Adnoc’s private 5G network.
  • Executive Committee Meeting (EXCOM 2025) conference of the World Smart Sustainable Cities Organisation (WeGO)
  • The International Civil Aviation Organization’s Global Implementation Support Symposium, Abu Dhabi.

Signposted to happen sometime in the fall of 2025:

  • 2025 Games of the Future, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2026:

  • The UAE to host the Arab Competition Forum
  • Dubai to host the Arab Actuarial Conference
  • United Nations Water Conference 2026, UAE
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