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Non-oil business activity expanded on rising demand in November

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS MORNING: UK Prime Minister in the UAE for trade, investment talks + Abu Dhabi Finance Week kicks off

Good morning, friends. It’s the start of what we expect to be a business- and finance-heavy week, as thousands of finance professionals head to Abu Dhabi for Abu Dhabi Finance week.

Here’s what you’ve missed over the weekend: The non-oil business continued to expand in November; the IMF published its article IV consultation paper on the UAE, downgrading its growth forecast for 2024 but remaining upbeat on growth; and we now have a Family Ministry.

ALSO- We have an interesting read for you on our friends at Mashreq’s new Neo Corp platform, which it has started rolling out across the Gulf. We speak with the bank’s global head of transactional banking, Victor Pena, about the opportunities and challenges in the digitization of corporate banking, including trade finance, and what AI can add to the fold.

WEATHER- Dubai will see a high of 27°C today and an overnight low of 20°C. In Abu Dhabi, we have a high of 24°C, and an overnight low of 20°C.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Abu Dhabi edges closer to launching air taxi operations: US-based electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft manufacturer Archer Aviation signed an agreement to launch commercial air taxi operations in Abu Dhabi, according to an Abu Dhabi Media Office statement. This comes after the company signed a framework agreement with the Abu Dhabi Investment Office (Adio) for the operational enablement of air taxis in the country, and to locally manufacturer Archer’s aircraft and build vertiports in April.

Parties involved in the new agreement include Adio, Abu Dhabi Airports, Falcon Aviation Services, Etihad Aviation Training, the General Civil Aviation Authority, Global Air Navigation Services, Global Aerospace Logistics, and the Integrated Transport Center (Abu Dhabi Mobility).

IN OTHER SMART TRANSPORT NEWS- Uber added an autonomous driving option to its app in the UAE, part of a pilot run for the service which is slated for full commercial launch sometime in 2025, according to an Abu Dhabi Media Office statement. The service, launched under a partnership with WeRide, will initially be limited to designated areas, including Saadiyat Island, Yas Island, and routes to and from Zayed International Airport.


#2- Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund Mubadala has reached USD 330 bn in assets under management, Reuters quotes CEO Khaldoon Al Mubarak as saying during a summit on Friday, taking the total value of sovereign wealth funds’ assets under management to USD 13 tn for the first time ever. The fund is also focusing its efforts on Asia, in which Al Mubarak said it is currently “under-invested.”

ALSO- Mubadala plans to add an AI member to its investment committee starting next year, with the AI serving as a consultant to support decision-making on due diligence, analysis, and assessments, The National quotes Al Mubarak as saying. The AI member will offer a perspective on all committee decisions but will not be involved in the decision-making process itself.


#3- The US government greenlit the export of advanced AI chips to a Microsoft-run facility in the UAE, as a part of Microsoft's partnership with Emirati AI firm G42, two sources familiar with the subject matter told Axios. The license requires Microsoft to prevent access to the facility by personnel from countries with US arms embargoes, or who are on the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) Entity List, including China, according to two sources familiar with the deal.

Background: G42 secured a USD 1.5 bn investment from Microsoft back in April that should see the firm receiving large-scale AI components. The UAE company started receiving AI chips from US chipmaker Nvidia in September after the US government approved the sale earlier this year.

REMEMBER- G42 had offloaded all its stakes in Chinese businesses in a bid to reportedly appease US partners.

PSAs-

#1- Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) inaugurated a three-lane bridge linking Sheikh Rashid Road to Infinity Bridge, according to a statement from the Dubai Media Office. A second bridge on Sheikh Rashid Road which will link Al Mina Intersection to Sheikh Rashid Road intersection with Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed Street is scheduled to open in the first half of January.

This project is part of the fourth phase of the Al Shindagha Corridor Improvement Project, which involves the construction of three bridges totaling 3.1 km in length, with a combined capacity of 19.4k vehicles per hour. The phase — which will ultimately reduce travel time along the corridor from 104 minutes to just 16 minutes by 2030 — is now 71% complete.


#2- The Finance Ministry exempted SMEs, productive families, and freelancers providing services to federal entities from paying registration fees in the federal supplier registry for government entities, Al Khaleej reports.

Uh, Enterprise, what are productive families? Any household engaged in small-scale, income-generating activities, such as crafts or local goods production, often from home, is classified as a productive family.

DATA POINT-

The UAE held a 40-45% share of the Mena region’s business aviation market in 2024, increasing its portion from a 30-35% share in 2023, The National reports, citing a report by the Middle East and North Africa Business Aviation Association. Meanwhile, business jet movements at Al Maktoum International Airport are projected to exceed 18k in 2024, up from 16.7k in 2023.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer reportedly landed in the UAE yesterday for talks with President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, as part of a wider Gulf trip that will also see him head to Saudi Arabia today, Bloomberg reports. The prime minister will also be working on accelerating progress on the UK-GCC trade agreement, which was said to potentially be signed as early as this year. The UK and GCC have held seven rounds of trade talks since 2022.

Starmer will also meet with representatives from Mubadala, aiming to establish investment and defense and security partnerships between the countries, The Telegraph reports, citing sources. He will likely look to drum up funding for projects including a nuclear power plant on the coast of Suffolk in the UK.

ICYMI- Speculation over the possibility that Starmer will loosen legislation that caps sovereign wealth funds’ ownership of UK newspapers has been roaming ahead of his visit, setting the stage for UAE-backed Redbird IMI to potentially hold onto the Telegraph’s ownership despite opposition from the government earlier this year.


#2- Finance professionals from the world over are in Abu Dhabi for Abu Dhabi Finance Week, which kicks off today and lasts through 12 December. The event will feature a patchwork of forums exploring capital markets, investments, Islamic finance, sustainability, and more, with more than 600 speakers and 20k guests set to attend.

Speakers include Trade Minister Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoud, founder and CIO of Bridgewater Associates Ray Dalio, UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti, and Jihad Azour, director for Middle East and Central Asia Department of International Monetary Fund (IMF). You can find the full agenda for the week here.


#3- The International Desalination and Water Reuse World Congress kicked off yesterday and runs through to 12 December at the Adnec Center in Abu Dhabi. The event will feature discussions on innovations in water desalination and reuse technologies, decarbonization efforts, integrated water resources management, and best practices for rationalizing water consumption.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

The collapse of Bashar Al Assad’s regime reverberates across global headlines this morning, ending over five decades of autocratic rule in Syria by members of the Assad family after a rapid opposition offensive captured several key cities, including the capital Damascus yesterday. Assad and his family have fled to Moscow, where they have been granted asylum, as per Russian state media. As celebrations erupt across Syria and the diaspora across the world, the country faces the daunting task of navigating a deeply fractured political and social landscape to rebuild from the ruins of its long civil war. (Wall Street Journal | Financial Times | Bloomberg | Reuters | Associated Press | New York Times | Washington Post | Guardian)

The power vacuum left by Assad’s departure has thrust Hayat Tahrir Al Sham and its leader Abu Mohammed Al Golani into the spotlight, with numerous outlets out with pieces trying to decipher the man and his motives. The group — once an al-Qaeda affiliate — and its leader now seek to portray themselves as a stabilizing force, issuing reassurances to Syria’s minorities and pledging to preserve state institutions after transition, but questions remain as to how much the group has changed and what role it will play in a post-Assad Syria. (Bloomberg | Reuters)

While over in the states, Trump threatened to jail some of his political opponents in his first post-election TV interview, telling NBC that Liz Cheney and others on the House committee looking into the 6 January attack on the Capitol “should go to jail.”

Fed Chair Jay Powell, however, seems off to be off the hook — for now at least — with Trump saying that Powell will not be pushed out before his term ends in May 2026. (Financial Times | New York Times | Washington Post)

And in business news, Omnicom and Interpublic are currently in merger talks to form the world’s largest advertising group in a USD 30 bn merger. (Financial Times)

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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

TheInternational Mangrove Conservation and Restoration Conference is set for December 10-12 at Bab Al Qasr Hotel, Abu Dhabi. Specialists from 82 countries will converge to discuss the latest in mangrove restoration science. Expect plenary sessions, panel discussions, workshops, and even field trips packed into the three-day event.

Automechanika Dubai will run from 10-12 December at the Dubai World Trade Center. The event will cover nine key product areas: parts and components, electronics and connectivity, accessories and customization, tyres and batteries, car wash and care, oils and lubricants, diagnostics and repair, body and paint, and management and digital solutions. Automechanika Academy will offer industry insights and market updates.

The Forbes Middle East Under 30 Summit will take place on 10-11 December at Umm Al Emarat Park in Abu Dhabi. The event gathers young Arab leaders and entrepreneurs to highlight their achievements and innovations. Discussions will focus on the accomplishments of individuals recognized in the Forbes Middle East 30 Under 30 list.

The European Arab Medical Congress will take place on 11-12 December at the headquarters of Zayed Higher Organisation for People of Determination in Abu Dhabi. Hosted by the Emirates Scholar Center for Research and Studies, the event will host 50 speakers and feature 40 scientific sessions covering the latest innovations in medicine and medical technology.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

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2

ECONOMY

Non-oil business activity marginally expanded in November

Non-oil business activity slightly expanded again in November on the back of robust demand conditions and competitive pricing, according to S&P Global’s UAE Purchasing Managers’ Index (pdf). The UAE’s PMI rose marginally to 54.2 from 54.1 in October, yet still remaining above the 50.0 threshold separating growth from contraction.

Business output and activity levels rose due to the sharpest increase in new order volumes since August. This rise in demand occurred due to businesses acquiring new customers through marketing initiatives and price reductions.

Though employment is still on a growth trajectory, elevated capacity pressures caused its growth to “slip to a 31-month low” and input purchases to increase at the “slowest pace since July 2023,” according to S&P Senior Economist David Owen.

Costs are climbing at a slightly faster pace than the long-run trend, which was mainly attributed to increases in material, technology, fuel, machinery, and maintenance prices. On the other hand, firms chose to offer price discounts to remain competitive which led them to marginally lower their fees.

Backlogs are still piling up despite logistical improvements: Several businesses didn’t accurately anticipate their future activity growth, so the increase in orders caused delays in the completion schedule, causing a rise in backlogs. However, supplier delivery times improved, leading to a minor increase in overall inventories, with new purchases being consumed by present output requirements.

Business sentiment leans toward uncertainty as confidence levels in future activity reached its “second lowest” since early 2023, Owen said. Meanwhile, experts are arguing that markets are becoming increasingly crowded, subduing pricing power.

MEANWHILE, IN DUBAI-

Dubai’s PMI rose on a sharper incline: The emirate’s PMI increased to 53.9 in November, up from 53.2 in October due to the fastest increase in new order inflows since August and the highest across the country. Business activity boomed as lower prices drove a rise in sales levels.

Output expectations declined to a 23-month low leading to a drop in employment levels for the first time since April 2022. This development led to a reduction in margins due to rising purchase prices. Meanwhile, inventories were reduced for the first time since July.

ELSEWHERE IN THE REGION-

  • Saudi Arabia’s business activity expanded at its greatest pace since July 2023 to 59.0 (pdf), up from 56.9 in October, on the back of upturns in new orders, purchasing activity, and staff recruitment;
  • Egypt’s non-oil private sector activity slightly improved to 49.2 (pdf) in November from 49.0 in October, despite a decline in output levels due to weaker order inflows.
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ECONOMY

The IMF downgrades growth projection for the UAE in 2024, but remains upbeat

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised its growth forecast for the UAE, projecting GDP growth of 3.7% in 2024 and 4.5% in the medium term, down from an earlier forecast of 4% in 2024 in May, according to the 2024 IMF Article IV consultation report for the UAE. Still, the Fund expects growth to remain strong, driven by ongoing non-oil sector growth, government reforms, public spending, and increased oil production due to the Opec+’s hike of its production quota in 2025.

The IMF also revised its growth forecast downwards slightly for 2025 to 5%, down from 5.1% earlier.

Fiscal and external surpluses are expected to remain strong in 2024, fueled by high oil prices. Tax reforms are likely to support the fiscal surplus, though the current account surplus could dip due to higher reform-driven imports and stabilizing oil prices.

The banking sector remains resilient: Banks are seeing strengthened capital buffers, fewer non-performing loans, though they remain elevated in the construction sector, and steady credit growth, even with higher interest rates. Capital inflows are also pumping up reserves and liquidity, contributing to rising real estate prices — especially in Dubai’s high-end market.

Geopolitical risks such as tensions, economic slowdowns, and commodity volatility could impact growth, but sovereign buffers help mitigate these vulnerabilities. The IMF also highlights the importance of accelerating climate reforms to address long-term decarbonization challenges.

Policy recommendation: The IMF urges the UAE to strengthen macroprudential frameworks, finalize real estate exposure standards, and consider countercyclical capital buffers.

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CABINET WATCH

The UAE now has a Family Ministry

The UAE has set up a new Family Ministry, renamed the Community Development Minister to Community Empowerment, and set up a new Education, Human Development, and Community Development Council, under the directives of President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, according to the Dubai Media Office.

The Family Ministry will be led by Sana bint Mohammad Suhail (LinkedIn), and will manage grants, counseling, and programs for prospective couples. The ministry will also conduct studies and propose policies to increase fertility rates among Emirati families. It also aims to set out measures to protect families and individuals from violence, and to boost child welfare through new policies and strategies, as well as develop strategies to protect and empower vulnerable groups such as people with disabilities, senior citizens, orphans, and victims of abuse, and develop standards for licensing social care institutions and training social workers.

The Community Development Ministry — now the Community Empowerment Ministry –- will focus on designing effective social support systems to enhance the quality of life for lower-income families. The ministry will continue to be led by Shamma bint Suhail Al Mazrui, with the former ministry operating throughout next year as the new ministries take the helm through a gradual transition plan.

What are the responsibilities of the new ministry? This ministry will also regulate and license non-profit organizations, assess their impact, and provide financial and technical support. It will also promote volunteering across sectors and design initiatives and will oversee licensing and regulation of non-Muslim worship facilities.

The Education, Human Development, and Community Development Council will oversee the work of the ministries and ensure that their plans align.

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MANUFACTURING

ADIO signs agreements for community, sustainability, and manufacturing projects

The Abu Dhabi Investment Office (ADIO) had a busy week last week, with new Musataha agreements, initiatives aimed at boosting local manufacturing, and a partnership to offset carbon emissions.

RETAIL + EDUCATION-

ADIO signed Musataha agreements for new community-focused projects at an Al Multaqa quarterly meeting, according to a press release. These include:

  • Misnaad Mall in Madinat Al Riyadh, which offers 1k sqm of leasable retail space;
  • Pro Shops 2 in Al Ain spans 2.5k sqm, offering shopping and dining options;
  • A USD 26.4 mn Shining Star International School in Al Wathba, designed to accommodate 4k students.

CARBON-NEGATIVE CEMENT PROJECT-

Sustainability efforts with Partanna: ADIO also partnered with Bahamian climate-tech firm Partanna to open a regional HQ and manufacturing plant in Abu Dhabi, according to a separate press release. The facility will use desalination by-product brine to create carbon-negative cement, offsetting nearly 8 mn tonnes of carbon dioxide annually. By 2025, the facility is set to produce up to 3 mn tonnes of cement annually, equivalent to 10% of the UAE’s cement market.

LOCAL MANUFACTURING-

ADIO signed agreements with Daikin, Takyeef Factory, Geollyto, JST, and LumenAE to develop energy-efficient cooling and lighting systems, during the Abu Dhabi Business Week, according to a press release. The agreements focus on localizing production and enhancing the industrial sector in Abu Dhabi. The partnerships cover areas such as HVAC systems, smart home technologies, and lighting solutions, with the goal of increasing local manufacturing capacity and aligning with government procurement priorities.

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DISPUTE WATCH

Taqa Bratani, Spirit Energy lose UK court case against Viaro CEO over asset dispute

Taqa Bratani and Spirit Energy lose their assets case against Viaro’s CEO: Taqa’s UK subsidiary Taqa Bratani and the UK's Spirit Energy lost their case against the CEO of Viaro Energy, Francesco Mazzagatti, who was accused of stripping mns of USD of assets from their joint venture, in England’s High Court, the Financial Times reports. The lawsuit stemmed from a dispute between Viaro Energy’s subsidiary RockRose and Taqa and Spirit Energy over decommissioning liabilities for their JV in the Brae oilfield in the North Sea, Energy People reports.

What went down? Taqa and Spirit claimed that Viaro intentionally removed the value from their partnership and caused its collapse by declaring an USD 84 mn dividend from RockRose’s operating unit UKCS8. Meanwhile, UKCS8 owed about GBP 110 mn in security funds under its Decommissioning Security Agreement (DSA) but struggled to pay up and ended up insolvent with GBP 35 mn in unpaid debt. The British operating unit was sold to Fujairah Oil and Gas (FIOGC), which Viaro claimed was a step to use the UAE company’s credit rating as a state-owned company to provide the necessary guarantee.

The court dismissed all allegations, ruling that the dividend and subsequent sale of UKCS8 to FIOGC were legitimate commercial decisions. It also declared that Viaro sold UKCS8 to FIOGC to resolve a “deadlock with Taqa” and secure funding for decommissioning obligations. The company rejected claims that the dividend was a scheme to extract assets, describing it as a “necessary adjunct” to the sale.

What’s next? Taqa said it remained confident of the allegations Taqa Bratani brought against Viara, but will be "carefully considering” its next steps, including “whether any appeals will be applied for,” the company announced.

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SPOTLIGHT

On the digital trade finance revolution, open banking, and what AI can do for corporate banking

The priority for virtually every bank in the region — and globally — is digital transformation, especially as central banks make it a point to implement incentives and requirements for digital banking, with some even working on introducing digital currencies.

But corporate banking has seen a slower shift in the digital transition. The complexities of business banking and trade finance — along with the urgency of cybersecurity, the bureaucratic nature of some documentation processes, and a lot of other hurdles — have meant that corporate banking has been on a less radical path towards digitization and innovation.

But that’s quickly changing. Our friends at Mashreq are among several banks introducing digital corporate banking and trade financing solutions — and they’ve managed to create one of the most comprehensive and advanced platforms — with open banking capabilities — that we’ve heard of in the region to date, with a very ambitious rollout plan. The full Neo Corp proposition — which includes cash management and the trade finance module — was first rolled out in Bahrain in September, then to Kuwait and Qatar in the past couple of months. Next up: The bank wants to make the platform global, and to make it smarter with AI.

Talking to us about Mashreq’s answer to the digitization of corporate banking, open banking, and the wider vision for the platform over the coming years is Victor Penna (LinkedIn), global head of transactional banking at Mashreq.

E: First thing’s first, explain how the Neo Corp platform works. What can businesses use the platform for?

VP: On the payments side, the platform supports all the common payments businesses do, whether it be salaries, domestic electronic payments, cross-border electronic payments, etc. Most people have digital platforms that can do that.

Where this platform's a little bit different is the ease of use. Something as simple as typing a SWIFT code for a bank and having the rest of the information populate for you — you see that on retail platforms, but you don't often see it on corporate platforms. We've tried to bring a lot of those retail concepts to this platform. You could save favorites just like you can on a retail platform. You can build templates and reuse them.

From an informational point of view too, we've built a nice dashboard so that you can see what balances you hold with the bank. It gives you a breakdown of your top five accounts, all on the same page, and gives you different action buttons, so if you need to approve some payments, it's right there. It also has work queues at the bottom. All of that is available on one page. The concept is that you should be able to do more than 80% of the things that you would want to do with just one click.

People have this traditional internet design philosophy of a maximum of three clicks for functionality, but our philosophy is let's try and do it in one click to make it really easy.

E: And on the trade side?

VP: This is where we’ve really revolutionized the process, because most banks are still largely manual when it comes to trade. What we've done is we've digitized almost everything and automated a lot of the drudgery associated with those processes.

When applying for a letter of credit, for example, we've built a library of standard clauses and terms that typically go into a letter of credit to allow clients to access those most common terms and conditions that would go into the L/C. Even when you need to attach additional documents, like ins. coverage, if you have a policy with us at the bank, we have that in our systems, and you can just cut and paste that from the system. There’s also built-in calculations to see how much things will cost you before you send it.

If you need to send a draft copy to your supplier, what typically happens with most banks is you send them the information, they'll then prepare a draft in SWIFT format, and then you send it to your supplier. This process can take up to two days. What we do is allow the individual to generate the draft copy in that format so they can send it to the supplier instantly.

Even when settling an L/C, we've digitized the process so you can then roll it automatically into a trust receipt loan, or an import loan. We allow you to also settle the loan from your different accounts through a split settlement option, so we've automated and digitized every single step of the process. Bank documents can also be scanned, uploaded and sent via the platform.

If the bank has a question or something’s missing, all the interaction happens on the platform, and it’s directly between our operations team and the client, so that really is quite a radical shift from the way most banks operate.

E: You rolled out the full Neo Corp suite in Bahrain three months ago now. How has it been received?

VP: Because the platform is very user friendly, the reception has been really good. A lot of clients immediately following our launch came up to us and asked for meetings, demos, and wanted to discuss more things we can do together.

The web channel is only one way of accessing this digital infrastructure we’ve built for trade finance and cash management for businesses — we’re also launching a mobile app shortly. It's also available via host-to-host, which involves direct connectivity between the systems, as well as APIs — application programming interfaces — that support real-time information and transaction execution.

A lot of clients came up to us after we discussed the APIs with them, and they were very interested to talk about it. Bahrain is quite an advanced market, so people were not just interested in the platform and the fact that you get lots of great information, but they're also interested in that direct connectivity.

They want to know if they can use these APIs, not just to do business with Mashreq, but — because they love the dashboards we’ve created — to use it to aggregate information from other banks as well. So not only did they find the platform useful, they also want to use it for multi-banking.

E: Is that something you’re open to — providing APIs for multi-banking purposes? And what types of APIs do you currently have on deck?

VP: We're about to launch an upgraded API gateway that will have a catalog of APIs for things like instant payments, retrieving real time account balances, and receiving notifications of debit credits hitting your account, plus other bespoke APIs that support specific functions. One of the APIs we’ve created allows corporate ERP systems to fetch virtual accounts and use those in the accounts receivables process to support reconciliation, system-to-system. We've launched that in the UAE, and we're evaluating launching it in certain GCC countries as well.

Bahrain has an open banking framework that will go live for corporates in 1Q or 2Q 2025, and we’re keen to participate in that and use our API capabilities to enable clients to access information across multiple banking relationships and, potentially, to execute transactions on accounts held at multiple banks through Mashreq’s platform. In that way, Neo Corp evolves to become a sort of Treasury Management System (TMS) lite.

E: How many clients have you onboarded onto the system so far? And how many do you expect to onboard by the end of the year?

VP: What I can tell you is that across our footprint in the UAE and the Gulf, we will be onboarding thousands of clients. We will ramp that up progressively, and we should reach about a third of our client base by the end of the year, roughly. Our objective is to have everybody on the platform for both cash and trade by the middle of next year.

E: What’s the plan for the rollout across the GCC? Which countries are getting the platform next?

We’ve rolled out cash management in waves, in the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Egypt. We will then be rolling out trade, which we’ve rolled out in Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait, most recently. The plan is to launch it in Egypt early next year, and then in the UAE. We also hope to bring it to Oman next year.

We're also extending this to our international network. We’ll be extending it to our international locations, including the UK, Hong Kong, and New York. It will ultimately become a global platform.

E: Are there any nuances across those markets that you have to keep in mind with those launches? Localization that needs to happen?

VP: With trade, a lot of the documentation and process is standard global practice so you don’t get much variation there.

On the payment side, however, there are different clearing systems and specialized local payment systems for things like local utility or tax and customs payment systems, so we have to connect to those as we go along. We already connected to some and we'll connect to others as we complete the build over the next year.

Then there's the difference in the level of connectivity to open banking. We’re trying to build a common foundation — think of it as plugs — that can easily be plugged into different open banking systems.

E: What are some additional features or functionalities you’re looking to introduce down the line?

VP: Neo Corp is set to become the wholesale banking platform for the bank. We're currently evaluating a transactional FX service that we can add, and we will add a lot of self-servicing to the platform as well. A lot of the things that clients dread, like for example, enrolling a legal entity, completing their KYC, managing their users, and requesting documents from the bank — all of that should become migrated to the platform directly over the course of the coming year.

We are also experimenting with AI quite a bit, and we're looking to introduce an AI assistant to Neo Corp sometime next year, which you can get to perform certain tasks for you.

The other thing we're looking at, ultimately, is building a range of persona-based dashboards, and tailoring different dashboards to different types of users. If you're a CFO, you'll get a CFO's view of the world, which focuses on your liquidity, your exposures, etc. If you're a collection specialist, then you'll get a collections view.

Over time, we will get more into the data analytics side of things. We are looking, for example, at providing data as part of the offering so that you can go in and see all of your transactional information and sort and report on that in a way which is relevant to you. Ultimately, there’s an opportunity to get AI to run some scenarios for you and look at trends and analytics. We're not there yet with that, but we're definitely thinking about it as the next phase of our evolution.

Another area where we will do a lot of work going forward is using our API stack to build industry-specific solutions. We're seeing demand among certain industries that have their own unique workflow, and require their own set of regulatory approvals, and that is currently a very paper-based process. We want to connect directly into some of those systems that can allow the API to fetch those regulatory approvals, match them in the payment queue, and release the payment accordingly. This will allow us to integrate with regulators, as well as with the banks and even their third-party system providers.

8

EARNINGS WATCH

Emirates REIT’s net income jumps 60% y-o-y in 9M 2024. PLUS: REIT refinances sukuk

Emirates REIT’s net income for 9M 2024 surged 60% y-o-y to USD 148.3 mn, driven by a significant unrealized revaluation gain of USD 148.8 mn, according to its earnings release (pdf). Total property income for 9M 2024 rose to USD 62.3 mn, supported by higher rental rates and improved occupancy across its portfolio.

Occupancy climbed 5% y-o-y to 92.5%, with rates rising 10.4% y-o-y across the commercial and retail portfolio. Major properties like Index Tower and European Business Centre saw double-digit growth in both occupancy and rates.

AND- Emirates REIT agreed to fully refinance its existing sukuk, due December 2025, with a new USD 205 mn sukuk maturing in 2028 according to a separate press release. Rated BB+ by Fitch, the new sukuk offers a profit rate of 7.5% in years 1-3, stepping up to 8.25% in year 4.

ADVISORS- HSBC acted as the lead arranger through its Private Credit and Debt Capital Markets teams, with Latham & Watkins providing counsel to Emirates REIT and White & Case providing counsel to HSBC.

9

UAE IN THE NEWS

Dubai is becoming a super magnet for big IPOs

Bloomberg ran a feature on Dubai’s rise as a magnet for big IPOs on Sunday, with the UAE as a whole set to be the busiest listing venue in Europe and the Mena region for the third consecutive year. Emirates NBD says Talabat’s recent blockbuster USD 2 bn IPO — the largest in the region and the biggest tech IPO of the year globally — is “not a one-off,” with the bank in “active discussions” with several issuers and sponsors exploring tapping Dubai’s bourse, the bank’s Prasad Chari, group head of equity capital markets, said.

The listing of state-owned companies gave Dubai’s bourse impetus after a quiet lull that stood in contrast with busy IPO pipelines in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi. This was later boosted further by the post-pandemic boom of Dubai’s economy, driven by the World Expo, tourism, and expat influx. The Dubai Financial Market General Index has risen by 20% YTD, but analysts warn that higher valuations could make the market vulnerable to setbacks, especially if global growth slows.

10

ALSO ON OUR RADAR

Dubai Walk gets the green light

INFRASTRUCTURE-

Dubai Walk gets the go-ahead: Dubai Ruler Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum approved the Dubai Walk Master Plan, which aims to transform the emirate into a pedestrian-friendly city, according to state news agency Wam.

The details: The plan will create a 6.5 km walkway network, including 3.3 km of new paths and 2.3 km of upgrades by 2040 — linking major landmarks including Burj Khalifa, Dubai International Financial Centre, Dubai Marina, and Jumeirah Lakes Towers. It also includes a “Future Loop” project at the Museum of the Future area, which will include a 30k sqm air conditioned walkway and commercial spaces, and will be developed through a public-private partnership The project also includes 110 pedestrian bridges and underpasses to boost connectivity across the emirate.

The target: After 2040, the goal is to develop 900 km of walkways and boost pedestrian transport to 25%, up from 13%.

CONSTRUCTION-

Fujairah set to implement 3D printing in construction: Dubai-based 3D construction printing solutions firm 3DXB Group signed an MoU with the Fujairah Municipality and the Fujairah Government Excellence Program to implement 3D printing technology in construction projects across the emirate, Wam reports.

TECH-

du + AIHostingHub launch first-ever Nvidia Supercluster in the GCC: Telecom operator du and GPU hosting solutions provider AIHostingHub deployed the first Nvidia supercluster in the GCC region, located in Dubai Silicon Oasis, according to a press release.

The details:The facility features thousands of Nvidia GPUs, housed within Supermicro's liquid-cooled racks, which deliver more than 5 MW of power capacity. The system utilizes direct-to-chip liquid cooling technology in a high-density configuration, a first for the region.

BUSINESS-

Digital lending marketplace Numou launched operations in the UAE to provide financing solutions for the country’s SMEs, according to a press release. The platform provides SMEs with access to various lenders’ requirements while supplying financial institutions with standardized applications that facilitate credit assessments.

The marketplace is currently working with two lending partners including the Khalifa Fund for Enterprise Development and Credible-X. It aims to expand its offerings in the future to include supply chain and equity financing.

11

PLANET FINANCE

Fed expected to pull the trigger on another rate cut in December meeting after jobs report

The US economy added 227k jobs in November amid expectations of interest rate cuts for the third time this year before 2024 is out, according to data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday. This marks a significant increase over October’s 36k new hires, giving the US Federal Reserve enough room to cut rates during its next meeting in December, with the implied probability of a reduction reaching close to 90%, according to a CME Group gauge, CNBC reports.

The unemployment rate slightly ticked up to 4.2% from 4.1% in October, The Guardian reports.

The labor market could be in for some headwinds once Trump takes office: US president-elect Donald Trump’s strategies might lead to a regression in employment rates if he chooses to go after “tns in tax cuts for the wealthy” and attempts to “slash public investments,” one expert said. Others believe that the results might be affected by Trump’s “mass deportation” plans, as the reference week for the figures was after the election, the Co-Director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research Dean Baker said.

And the path forward for rates is still uncertain: Some analysts believe the Fed should pause rate cuts, believing further rate cuts to be “unwise” while jobs pile up and inflation remains elevated, Economist Chris Rupkey said. One economist expects the Fed to pause cuts in January, and potentially go for one other cut in early 2025 before taking a longer pause.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asian markets are mixed as investors digest growth data from Japan and inflation in China, with the Nikkei up 0.3%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng trading flat, and South Korea’s Kospi down 2% following South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol’s close brush with impeachment. Wall Street futures are unchanged after a record week for US stocks.

ADX

9,266

-0.1% (YTD: -3.3%)

DFM

4,854

+0.7% (YTD: +19.6%)

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20

3,915

+0.3% (YTD: +1.9%)

USD : AED CBUAE

Buy 3.67

Sell 3.67

EIBOR

4.4% o/n

4.3% 1 yr

TASI

11,955

+0.2% (YTD: +0.2%)

EGX30

31,061

+0.7% (YTD: +24.8%)

S&P 500

6,090

+0.3% (YTD: +27.7%)

FTSE 100

8,309

-0.5% (YTD: +7.4%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,978

+0.5% (YTD: +10.1%)

Brent crude

USD 71.12

-1.4%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 3.08

-0.1%

Gold

USD 2,659.60

+0.4%

BTC

USD 100,027.80

+0.1% (YTD: +136.7%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The DFM rose 0.7% on Friday on turnover of AED 646.9 mn. The index is up 19.6% YTD.

In the green: Sukoon Takaful (+14.8%), Union Properties (+9.5%) and International Financial Advisors (+8.3%).

In the red: National Cement Company (-9.7%), Takaful Emarat (-8.8%) and BHM Capital Financial Services (-7.2%).

Over on the ADX, the index closed down 0.1% on turnover of AED 917.4 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai rose 0.3%.

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

Alpha Dhabi Holding approved a AED 2 bn interim dividend payout, consisting of a 20 fils payment per share, according to an ADX disclosure (pdf). The company changed its articles of association to allow the distribution of interim dividends during its board’s meeting.


DECEMBER

8-12 December (Sunday-Thursday): International Desalination and Reuse Association World Congress, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

13 December - 4 January (Friday-Saturday): Liwa International Festival, Al Dhafra, Abu Dhabi.

9-10 December (Monday-Tuesday): The Bitcoin Mena Conference, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

9 December (Monday): Mair Group’s shares will start trading on the ADX.

10 December (Tuesday): Talabat’s shares will start trading on the DFM.

9-12 December (Monday-ThursdayTuesday): Abu Dhabi Finance Week, Abu Dhabi.

9-12 December (Monday-Thursday): IEEE International Conference on Data Mining 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

9-13 December (Monday-Friday): World Realty Congress, Palazzo Versace, Dubai.

10-11 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Trade and Infrastructure at Logimotion, Dubai World Trade Center.

10-11 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): SCALEX at Logimotion, Dubai World Trade Center.

10-11 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): The Forbes Middle East Under 30 Summit, The Great Lawn, Umm Al Emarat Park, Abu Dhabi.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Investor Relations Association (MEIRA Conference), Conrad Abu Dhabi Etihad Towers Hotel, Abu Dhabi.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): The Middle East and North Africa Business Aviation Association Show, Al Maktoum International Airport, Dubai.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): The International Mangrove Conservation and Restoration Conference, Bab Al Qasr Hotel, Abu Dhabi.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Automechanika Dubai, Dubai World Trade Center.

11-13 December (Wednesday-Friday): European-Arab Medical Congress, Abu Dhabi.

14-21 December (Saturday-Saturday): World Schools Festival, Abu Dhabi

16-20 December (Monday-Friday): AIMS Conference 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

17-19 December (Tuesday-Thursday): China Home Life, Dubai Word Trade Center.

6 December-12 January: Dubai Shopping Festival.

Signposted to happen sometime in December:

JANUARY 2025

1 January (Wednesday): ADGM to slash licensing fees for retail and non-financial firms, and hike fees for finance firms.

7-9 January (Tuesday-Thursday): 17th edition of the Arab Plast International Trade Fair for Plastics, Recycling, Petrochemicals, Packaging and Rubber Industry, Dubai International Convention and Exhibition Center, Dubai.

9-13 January (Thursday-Monday): International Renewable Energy Agency Youth Forum, Abu Dhabi.

11-13 January (Saturday-Monday): International Renewable Energy Agency Assembly, Abu Dhabi.

11-13 January (Saturday-Monday): The 1 Bn Followers Summit, Dubai.

14-16 January (Tuesday-Thursday): World Energy Summit, Abu Dhabi.

14-16 January (Tuesday- Thursday): The Light + Intelligent Building Middle East exhibition, Dubai.

14-16 January (Tuesday- Thursday): Intersec, Dubai World Trade Center, Dubai.

19-24 January (Sunday-Friday): Coling2025, Abu Dhabi.

20-22 January (Saturday-Monday): FESPA Middle East, Dubai World Trade Centre, Dubai.

22-25 January (Monday-Saturday): The Sharjah Real Estate Exhibition, Expo Centre, Sharjah.

27-30 January (Monday-Thursday): Arab Health Exhibition 2025, Dubai World Trade Centre, Dubai.

FEBRUARY 2025

1-6 February (Saturday-Thursday): Dubai Fashion Week, Dubai Design District.

1-8 February (Saturday-Saturday): The Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Zayed Sports City's International Tennis Centre.

1-28 February (Saturday-Friday): 3rd Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Agriculture Excellence Award, Abu Dhabi.

2-3 February (Sunday-Monday): L’Etape Dubai cycling race, Dubai.

3-6 February (Monday-Thursday): Medlab Middle East, Dubai World Trade Center.

10-12 February (Monday-Wednesday): Japan Kyoto Trade Exhibition, Dubai Word Trade Center.

16 February-1 March: Dubai Dutyfree Tennis Championships, Dubai Dutyfree Tennis Stadium in Al Garhoud.

24-25 February (Monday-Tuesday): World Passenger Experience Forum, Dubai.

24-26 February (Monday-Wednesday): Connecting Hydrogen MENA, Dubai.

28-29 February (Friday-Saturday): The Investopia 2024, the St. Regis, Abu Dhabi.

Signposted to happen sometime in 1Q 2025:

  • The first eight fronds of the Palm Jebel Ali will be site-ready, allowing for the commencement of villa infrastructure and civil works.

APRIL 2025

6-11 April (Sunday-Friday): Geo-Spatial Week 2025, Dubai.

7-10 April 2025 (Monday-Thursday) : EFG Hermes One on One conference, Dubai.

7-9 April (Monday-Wednesday): AIM Investment Summit, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Center

14-16 April (Monday-Wednesday): Dubai Woodshow’s 21st Edition, Dubai World Trade Center

14-16 April (Monday-Wednesday): IPS congress, Dubai World Trade Center.

16-18 April (Wednesday-Friday): World Future Energy Summit,Abu Dhabi National Exhibition, Abu Dhabi.

28 April-1 May (Monday-Thursday): The Arabian Travel Market 2025, Dubai World Trade Center

Signposted to happen sometime in April:

MAY 2025

6-7 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Ports Forum, Dubai.

19-22 May (Monday-Thursday): Make it in the Emirates Forum 2025, Adnec, Abu Dhabi.

26-28 May (Monday-Wednesday): Arab Media Summit, World Trade Center, Dubai.

SEPTEMBER 2025

8-10 September (Monday-Wednesday): DigiHealth exhibition, World Trade Center, Dubai.

24-25 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Mohammed Bin Rashid Leadership Forum, Mohammed Bin Rashid Center for Leadership Development, Dubai.

OCTOBER 2025

27-29 October (Monday-Wednesday): Asia Pacific Cities Summit, Dubai Exhibition Center.

NOVEMBER 2025

18-19 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Dubai Future Forum, Museum of the Future, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2025:

  • The Middle East Electric Vehicle Show, Expo Center Sharjah.
  • e& will complete Adnoc’s private 5G network.
  • Executive Committee Meeting (EXCOM 2025) conference of the World Smart Sustainable Cities Organisation (WeGO)
  • The International Civil Aviation Organization’s Global Implementation Support Symposium, Abu Dhabi.

Signposted to happen sometime in the fall of 2025:

  • 2025 Games of the Future, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2026:

  • The UAE to host the Arab Competition Forum
  • Dubai to host the Arab Actuarial Conference
  • United Nations Water Conference 2026, UAE
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