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Lulu Retail latest to see muted ADX debut

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS MORNING: VC and PE funding to triple by year’s end? + Adnoc L&S to invest USD 5 bn over five years

Good morning, friends, and happy FRIDAY. We have yet another packed issue for you this morning, with an update on Lulu Retail’s ADX debut, a potential healthcare acquisition, more news out of COP29, and a lot more.

ALSO- We have a long read on markets’ performance this year — hint: they’ve outperformed expectations — and the outlook for debt capital markets in the wake of the US elections and heading into the new year, according to Mashreq’s Hassan Orooj, the director of debt capital markets syndicate at Mashreq.

WEATHER- It’s another mainly sunny day today, with a daytime high of 32°C and an overnight low of 25°C in Dubai, and a high of 28°C in Abu Dhabi before the mercury dips to 26°C at night.


FIRST- A couple of debt updates:

#1- China’s USD 2 bn bond listing on Nasdaq Dubai sees high demand: China has issued USD 2 bn in bonds and listed them on Nasdaq Dubai and Hong Kong Exchange, marking its first USD-denominated debt since 2021, Bloomberg reports. The offering, which was promoted in Saudi Arabia, attracted significant interest, with investor bids totaling USD 40 bn, or 20x the bonds available. Initially priced above US Treasuries, demand quickly tightened yields to about 24-25 basis points below Treasuries.

Investor insights: Analysts suggest that strong interest was driven by Chinese investors seeking better returns amid falling local rates, contributing to the pricing push.

ADVISORS- China’s Finance Ministry worked with advisors including First Abu Dhabi Bank, Citigroup, Crédit Agricole, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, and JPMorgan to coordinate the issuance.


#2- Fitch affirms ADQ’s AA ratings: Fitch Ratings affirmed Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund ADQ)’s long-term foreign and local currency issuer default ratings at AA with stable outlooks, and its short-term rating at F1+, according to a company statement. ADQ’s IDR is bolstered by “virtually certain” support from the Abu Dhabi government due to ADQ’s strategic role in managing key national assets and its full government ownership.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- The UAE could see venture capital and private equity funding triple to USD 2 bn by the end of the year, and climb to USD 2.5 bn by 2025, Khaled Talhouni, managing partner at Dubai-based investment firm Nuwa Capital, told Arabian Business. This is compared to a slump in tech startup funding in 2023 to USD 638 mn, and comes as part of a wider surge in GCC investments, as the shift in the interest rate cycle makes equity investments more attractive to investors, experts say.

The IPO boom the region is witnessing is driving VCs and private equity firms to invest in startups with strong growth potential, another fund head said.


#2- Sharjah National Oil Corporation (Snoc) and Masdar’s 60 MW solar power plant is set to begin operations before next summer, Hatem Al Mosa Snoc’s CEO said in an interview with CNBC Arabia (watch, runtime: 3:14). The plant — the largest in Sharjah — was expected to be operational by the end of 2024.

Snoc is also preparing to begin producing out of Al Hadiba field, where gas reserves were discovered last may, before next summer, Al Mosa said. The company plans to drill more wells as part of its strategy to expand energy storage and planning capabilities.

#3- Adnoc L&S to invest USD 3 bn over five years: Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) Logistics and Services plans to invest USD 3 bn from 2024 to 2029 to expand its global logistics presence, focusing on acquisitions and fleet expansion, including global shipping and oil drilling fleets, the company’s CEO Abdulkareem Al Masabi told Asharq Business (watch, runtime: 4:54). The company has invested USD 5 bn since listing on the ADX, including acquiring Navig8 for USD 1 bn earlier in June.

PSAs-

#1- Dubai residents can now request property ownership certificates, check their property’s status, and request property valuation through Dubai Now, according to the Dubai Media Office.

#2- The Ras Al Khaimah Department of Knowledge (Rak Dok) introduced a Golden Visa program for educators in both public and private schools, state news agency Wam reports. The program provides eligible school leaders and teachers in Ras Al Khaimah with self-sponsored long-term residency in the UAE.

Applicants must meet certain criteria, including three years of residency and employment in Ras Al Khaimah, a relevant advanced degree, and proof of a positive impact on school performance. Required documents include an official appointment letter, educational qualifications, and evidence of contributions to school performance.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- The UAE is participating in COP29, which kicked off on 11 November in Baku, Azerbaijan, and runs until 22 November, Wam reports. The event aims to limit global warming to 1.5°C and boost climate finance. As the host of last year’s COP, the UAE will present a national pavilion and over 60 side sessions on topics such as climate finance, decarbonization, renewables, and AI-powered food and water solutions.

#2- Dubai Arbitration Week is underway at the Waldorf Astoria in the Dubai International Financial Center and wraps tomorrow. The event features a series of panel discussions, workshops, and presentations focused on the latest developments and challenges in international commercial arbitration.

#3- The Paperworld Middle East and Gifts & Lifestyle Middle East exhibitions are underway at Dubai World Trade Center and will wrap up today. The events will gather more than 12k visitors from over 100 countries, including distributors, retailers, wholesalers, and franchisees in the paper and stationery industry.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

The world is still fixated on US President-elect Donald Trump’s growing cabinet, with the latest selection of Robert Kennedy Jr. as head of the US Department of Health and Human Services now getting top billing. Kennedy Jr’s has long been outspoken about the safety of vaccines, and is known as a staunch anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist. Shares of vaccine-makers fell on the news, with Moderna falling 5.6% and Pfizer shedding 2.6%. (AP | Reuters | CNN)

Also getting attention: US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted that the Fed is in no rush for rate cuts considering the recent performance of the US economy, which he said has been “remarkably good” during a speech. He seemed to leave the door open for a policy pause, saying that the situation calls for caution, especially due to uncertainty around the neutral level of rates, where policy is neither stimulating nor dampening growth (also known as the r-star). The Fed’s next FOMC meeting is in December. (Bloomberg | FT)

OIL WATCH-

Global oil markets could face a surplus of 1 mn barrels a day next year on the back of lower demand in China, and an increase in supply, the International Energy Agency said in its latest oil market report. Supply is expected to increase further if Opec+ follows through with a plan to phase out supply cuts, which it has pushed to January at the earliest.

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IPO WATCH

Lulu Retail’s shares flat on ADX debut

Lulu off to a muted start on the ADX: Lulu Group’s retail arm, Lulu Retail, saw its shares fall 2.5% on their first day of trading on ADX, opening at AED 1.99, down from the final set price of AED 2.04. Lulu’s shares returned to the IPO listing price at market close, with nearly 248 mn shares traded.

The underwhelming market debut follows a record IPO, which marked the UAE’s biggest this year — raising AED 6.3 bn. The order book was 25x oversubscribed, excluding AED 1 bn in orders from cornerstone investors.

REFRESHER- The retail portion of the offering attracted over 82k retail investors, breaking the record for a UAE IPO over the past 10 years. For the institutional portion, Gulf sovereign wealth funds — including Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund and Hassana, Qatar Investment Authority and Kuwait Investment Authority — also invested in the IPO, alongside global investors Vanguard Group and Singapore sovereign wealth fund GIC.

What’s next? Lulu Retail plans to continue to invest in growth, aiming to “further enhance and grow our store network and customer base across the region,” CEO Saifee Rupawala said in a statement (pdf). The company plans to open 90 new stores across the Gulf over the next five years, focusing on the UAE and Saudi Arabia, Rupawala told Bloomberg earlier.

Lulu’s not alone: ADNH Catering also had a muted start on the ADX, briefly rising 0.1% before settling back to its listing price of AED 0.96 within 30 minutes of trading, while Abu Dhabi-based edtech firm Alef Education saw its shares fall 18% on its first day of trading.

And it’s not just the ADX: Other GCC IPOs are having similar debuts despite being oversubscribed. Oman’s OQ Exploration & Production fell 8% in its debut on the Muscat Stock Exchange two weeks ago, after raising a record USD 2 bn.

ADVISORS- Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, Citigroup, Emirates NBD Capital and HSBC Holdings are acting as joint coordinators and bookrunners, while Alrajhi Capital, EFG Hermes UAE, First Abu Dhabi Bank, and Goldman Sachs have been tapped as bookrunners. ADCB, Citigroup, Emirates NBD Capital, HSBC Holdings, and EFG Hermes UAE are also joint lead managers, while FAB and ADCB are joint lead receiving banks, along with our friends at Mashreq, Dubai Islamic Bank, Emirates Islamic Bank, and Emirates NBD, who are acting as receiving banks. Moelis & Co. is also acting as an independent financial advisor.

Lulu appointed BHM Capital as liquidity provider for its listed shares on ADX, according to a bourse disclosure (pdf).

The story got ink in Bloomberg.

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M&A WATCH

PureHealth is considering buying NMC Healthcare

Healthcare company PureHealth Holding is mulling an acquisition of hospital network NMC Healthcare sometime next year, Gulf News reports, citing banking sources it says are familiar with the matter. The company is in the early stages of studying a bid for the hospital network, unnamed sources told Bloomberg, though Gulf News’ sources say the transaction is likely to go through.

The size of the potential acquisition hasn’t been disclosed, but the transaction could value the hospital chain at a few bn USD, with other suitors potentially emerging,

We knew NMC was looking to sell the business: The hospital network operator orchestrated a strategic turnaround this year after reaching an out-of-court settlement on all of its disputes with Dubai Islamic Bank in March. It also tapped Rothschild & Co to advise on its strategic restructuring plans, including a potential sale of the business.

Background: The company was forced into administration by a London Court in 2020 after a Muddy Waters report claimed that it inflated its assets and owed over USD 4 bn in hidden debt.

PureHealth is on an acquisition spree: It’s currently pursuing the acquisition of the largest hospital operator in Greece and Cyprus, Hellenic Healthcare Group. The healthcare firm also acquired the UK healthcare operator Circle Health Group for USD 1.2 bn earlier this year.

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ENERGY

Adnoc Gas secures 10-year LNG agreement with India’s Gail

Adnoc Gas signed a 10-year sales and purchase agreement (SPA) with Indian state-owned natural gas company Gail, finalizing the preliminary agreement signed earlier this year, according to a press release (pdf). The agreement will see Adnoc Gas supply Gail with 0.52 mn metric tonnes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) a year, with deliveries to start in 2026. The LNG will be sourced from Adnoc Gas’ Das Island liquefaction facility, which operates with an annual production capacity of 6 mn metric tonnes of LNG.

Background: Adnoc Gas and Gail inked a heads of agreement in January for the supply of 500k tons of LNG. In 2022, the two companies signed an MoU to explore joint investments and potential LNG sale transactions between the two companies.

ICYMI- We will soon see Adnoc Gas finalizing more offtake agreements: The company is planning to reach “many more HOAs being converted into final [offtake] agreements,” CFO Peter Van Driel said earlier this week.

The agreement will help India ramp up its LNG portfolio: The country is looking to raise the share of natural gas in its energy mix from 6% to 15% by 2030. The agreement with Adnoc is “a crucial step in this direction, enabling Gail to augment its existing LNG portfolio to better serve its diverse consumer base,” Gail’s marketing director Sanjay Kumar said.

This is the latest in a series of offtake agreements signed by Adnoc Gas: The most recent was a 15-year SPA with Sefe Marketing & Trading Singapore for 1 mn tonnes of LNG from Adnoc’s Ruwais LNG project. Other signed offtake agreements include a 15-year agreement with China’s ENN Natural Gas to deliver 1 mn tons of LNG annually from Ruwais, along with another 15-year agreement with German energy giant Energie Baden-Württemberg to supply it with 0.6 mn tonnes of LNG per year. Adnoc also signed long-term LNG supply agreements to deliver 1.6 mn tonnes per year from the new plant, with 1 mn metric tonnes to Shell and 0.6 mn tons to Mitsui.

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INVESTMENT WATCH

ADIA ramped up investments in 2023, pouring more funds into private equity

The USD 1 tn Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) increased its internally managed assets to 64% in 2023, up from 55% in 2022, according to its latest annual review (pdf). The sovereign wealth fund attributed this to “changes in how ADIA manages parts of its indexed equity exposures.”

Over half (54%) of Adia’s portfolio was actively managed, while 46% was managed passively, according to the report.

REMEMBER- The sovereign wealth fund has been transforming its investment strategy over the last five years to make it a faster and more data-driven process that maximizes returns, Bloomberg reported earlier this week.

The breakdown:

  • Developed equities comprised the lion’s share of its portfolio at 32%-42%;
  • Allocation to private equity increased to 12%-17% in 2023, up from 10%-15% in 2022;
  • Emerging market equities and government bonds accounted for 7-15% each;
  • Financial alternatives and real estate stood at 5%-10% each;
  • Small cap equities made up 1%-5%, infrastructure and credit made up 2%-7% each, and cash 0%-5%.

By the region: Adia invested primarily in North America in 2023, comprising 45%-60% of its portfolio, followed by Europe, which made up 15%-20%. The fund allocated 10%-20% to emerging markets, and 5%-10% to developed Asia.

Growth came despite rising interest rates in 1H 2023 and peaking inflation. “Overall, Adia was well positioned to capitalize on the strong gains in parts of these markets, while benefiting from dislocations in areas where conditions were more challenging,” the report reads.

Still, 20-year and 30-year annualized returns dropped slightly to 6.4% and 6.8% at the end of 2023, down from 7.1% and 7% in 2022.

Adia’s spree of takeovers carried on this year, capitalizing on a slowdown in activity among private equity firms amid higher interest rates and a liquidity crunch. Most recently, the Abu Dhabi-based fund invested USD 1 bn in US-based data analytics firm Qlik earlier this week, acquiring the stake from a fund owned by private equity owner Thoma Bravo, and joined a consortium including asset managers BlackStone and Vista two months ago to acquire software provider Smartsheet for USD 8.4 bn. It also partnered up with private equity firm Advent International in June to invest between USD 2.5-3 bn in wealth management firm Fisher Investments.

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REGULATION WATCH

ADGM’s regulator tightens guidelines for ESG investment vehicles

Abu Dhabi’s financial watchdog strengthens ESG finance framework: The Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) of the ADGM has issued new guidance (pdf) clarifying rules for the management and marketing of environmental, social, and governance (ESG)-focused investment vehicles and services. The new guidelines aim to reduce greenwashing risks by ensuring that ESG [products are marketed transparently, while also promoting consistent ESG disclosures in line with global practices.

Background: In May, ADGM released a consultation paper (pdf) seeking feedback on proposed updates to its sustainable finance regulatory framework.

Among the guidelines:

  • ESG investment vehicles must clearly outline their sustainability strategies, goals and performance in official sales and marketing documents;
  • Firms are encouraged to receive third-party checks to validate their ESG fund claims, with the exception of funds tracking ESG indices and qualified investors;
  • ESG funds are also encouraged to disclose their benchmark indices’ providers, as well as their selection criteria, and conflicts of interest.
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RENEWABLES

More overseas wind projects from Masdar and Alcazar Energy

The renewables theme continues to dominate the news cycle as COP29 runs through to next week in Baku, with Abu Dhabi renewables giant Masdar inking its third agreement this week for a wind project in Asia, and Alcazar Energy inking an MoU for a wind farm in Egypt.

#1- Masdar to develop 3.5 GW wind projects in Azerbaijan: Masdar, Azerbaijan’s Socar, and Saudi Arabia’s Acwa Power signed an MoU to develop 3.5 GW of offshore wind projects in Azerbaijan’s Caspian Sea, according to a statement. The project will establish Azerbaijan’s first offshore wind farms, supporting the country’s renewable energy, green hydrogen, and water desalination goals on its path to net-zero emissions by 2050.

Masdar and Socar go way back: Masdar and Socar broke ground on 1 GW of solar and wind projects earlier in June, as part of a broader agreement to install 10 GW of clean energy projects — including onshore and offshore wind farms, solar farms and green hydrogen — in the Central Asian country.

ICYMI- Masdar inked agreements to develop 1 GW wind farms in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan this week during COP29.

#2- Alcazar to develop 2 GW wind project in Egypt: Dubai’s Alcazar Energy Partners inked an MoU with the Egyptian Electricity Transmission Company and Egypt’s New and Renewable Energy Authority to develop a 2 GW onshore wind power project in Egypt, according to a statement.

The details: Once operational, the wind project will generate enough electricity to power over 1.3 mn households, preventing up to 4.7 mn tons of CO2 emissions annually. It is expected to create some 12.5k construction jobs and nearly 1.2k full-time operation jobs.

Alcazar is no stranger to Egypt: Alcazar set up the largest independent renewable energy project portfolio in the MENA region at the time in 2018, including five solar and two onshore wind projects across Jordan and Egypt with a total generation capacity of 411 MW, according to its website.

And it has been busy this year: The company invested USD 500 mn to build a 400 MW wind farm in North Macedonia earlier in June. Alcazar also secured a USD 490 mn final close on its renewable energy fund, Alcazar Energy Partners II, in May, expected to assist emerging markets in offsetting over 3 mn tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions annually.

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INVESTMENT WATCH

Epik Foods secures USD 15.5 mn funding from Ruya Partners

UAE-based food and beverage group Epik Foods secured USD 15.5 mn in private capital funding, from private credit firm Ruya Partners’ Private Capital I, LP fund, according to a press release. The investment will be used to fund acquisitions and help it expand operations in Saudi Arabia and strengthen its operations in the UAE.

Refresher: Epik Foods expanded its operations into Saudi Arabia earlier this year, launching in Riyadh. The company planned further expansions into Jeddah in the second quarter of 2024 and Khobar in the third quarter of 2024.

About Epik Foods: Founded by Khaled Fadly and Ranya Basyuni, Epik Foods was established through the merger of food and tech companies KR&CO, Sweetheart Kitchen, and Happy Platters Kitchens, in partnership with Gulf Islamic Investments. Epik Foods currently manages 60 brands across 50 locations in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, and plans to add 20 more locations.

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COFFEE WITH…

GCC markets had a great year – what will come next?

We’re nearing the end of what should have been a tumultuous year for markets — with some 64 elections taking place around the world, including in the US, geopolitical tensions erupting into a full-blown war in the region, and economic headwinds in Asia. But what actually happened went against most expectations, with markets remaining risk-on and investors continuing to be bullish, director of debt capital markets syndicate at Mashreq Hassan Orooj tells EnterpriseAM UAE.

We spoke with Orooj about markets’ response to these headwinds in the past year, and his outlook for interest rates and their impact on debt markets. The takeaways from part one of our interview:

  • Markets have withstood geopolitical headwinds, with GCC markets emerging on top;
  • The GCC has seen bigger growth in issuances than the rest of the world, mostly due to the increase in infrastructure investments — and a bigger need for capital — from GCC issuers;
  • The focus for the upcoming year on the macro side will shift from the Fed to fiscal spending in the US

Stay tuned for part two of our conversation next week, where we discuss the outlook for debt issuances in the region in the next couple of quarters, where Mashreq is most bullish, and more.

E: How would you describe capital markets this year?

HO: The word I would choose is persistent. There have been so many curve balls thrown at the market this year and last year, whether it’s the rate hikes that we’ve seen from the US, which have been quite a sharp rate hike cycle, or the geopolitical backdrop. We had concerns about the Fed making what is often called a policy error by holding rates too high for too long. We saw the JPY carry trade unwind back in August, which caused some significant risk-off which did not last long and the market bounced back swiftly back to the positive trend that we witnessed for most of the year.

The geopolitical backdrop also got a lot worse in the last year, but still, the market continued to be strong. You’ve got a very special year in terms of being a big election year in many major economies, including the US.

We also had, in our world, and more on the fixed income side, an inverted yield curve on US Treasuries, which is not a typical thing, and is often a signal for recession.

The market had to grapple with all these potential challenges and it has shrugged them off. It’s been risk-on and the corporate bond market has seen spreads tightened at near historical levels.

E: We’re talking about the global picture — how about here in the region? Have markets performed similarly or have there been some diversions?

HO: We are seeing some diversion actually, and it’s not the first time we’ve seen it. There’s two ways to look at it. One is performance and returns for investors, and the other is the level of activity.

The GCC has actually seen higher levels of activity — if we compare this period from January to the same period last year, the GCC is up 54% in terms of issuance volumes, as opposed to a slightly more modest 39% for the US and 22% for western Europe. The GCC is clearly showing more growth, and a lot of it is being driven by Saudi Arabia where issuers are looking to fund the Vision 2030 related projects and initiatives. In terms of market performance, GCC sovereigns and corporates generally have performed broadly in line with US investment grade spreads. Lower-rated sovereigns like Oman have been outperformers.

One thing, though, that’s happening, is that due to the sheer supply of issuance from Saudi Arabia, there has been a little bit of underperformance in terms of the spreads. Investors are very conscious of the amount of supply coming, and that’s meant that spreads haven’t tightened as much as they may have done in other GCC markets where there’s less supply.

Equity capital markets have also actually seen a notable divergence. If you look at IPOs, Europe has seen very little activity, and the GCC is really driving ECM activity for the whole EMEA region.

E: Like you said, it’s been a really challenging year when it comes to geopolitical tensions and uncertainties — especially with the US elections and the election of Donald Trump capping off the events of the year. How do you see markets responding to this volatility in the final few weeks of the year?

HO: A lot of it will depend on what the incoming administration has in store in terms of fiscal spending and the resulting effect on the US Treasury yields, because at the end of the day, that’s going to affect how much borrowing the US wants to do. This affects us in emerging markets a lot. There are a lot of sovereigns in emerging markets — not just GCC, because in some ways, GCC is very much a developed market — like Egypt, or some of the sovereigns in Sub-Saharan Africa or Central Asia countries, who are really going to be impacted by the underlying rates.

It’s not even just about pricing for them; it’s also about access to the market. We talked about how persistent and stronger markets have been to date, but that has actually meant that some of these emerging market borrowers have actually now finally, after a long time — in the case of Africa, for example, it’s been three years — that they’ve been able to have good access to the market.

A lot has been priced in already on interest rates. In the last six weeks, 10-year Treasury rates are higher by 60 basis points or so. I think there’s a risk that we see much higher rates going forward, and I would say some of the positivity that we’ve seen to date is at risk as we enter the end of the year and into Q1.

The market is expecting another rate cut this year in December, and then as we go into the first half of next year, it’s expecting around another two, even though there are four meetings in the first half of next year. That means the outlook is that the rate of cuts could slow down a bit into next year. I think that it’s probably unlikely to deviate too much from that.

What’s changed since the September meeting is the market at the time was quite aggressively pricing in rate cuts, but now what’s creeping in now is the risk of the Fed pausing, and when they pause and for how long. Are they going to pause this year? I’m not sure, but it certainly looks like at some stage they’ll start pausing. There was a nonfarm payroll number last week, which was quite on the weak side.

E: Assuming the trajectory for rates goes the way we expect them to, what’s the impact on debt issuances in the region?

HO: Markets are always forward-looking — the market was pricing in some quite aggressive rate cuts up until about two months ago, and a lot of that has been unwound. The markets came down to reality and figured that the Fed is not going to cut as aggressively as we initially thought. I think the risk now is not so much about what they do in November and December — it’s more about how much they do in total, for example, next year.

It’s also not so much about the Fed anymore. I think the Fed fought inflation and have largely beaten it. It’s more about the fiscal side now.

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EARNINGS WATCH

More and more earnings

ETIHAD AIRWAYS-

Etihad Airways saw its net income after tax climb 66% y-o-y to AED 1.4 bn in 9M 2024, according to an earnings release. The Abu Dhabi-based carrier’s revenues rose 21.4% y-o-y to AED 18.4 bn during the same period, on the back of 21% y-o-y growth in passenger revenues to AED 15.2 bn, due to network expansion and high flight frequencies, Etihad said, adding that it carried almost 14 mn passengers during the period.

As for Etihad Cargo: Etihad Cargo’s revenues increased 21% y-o-y to AED 3 bn, with overall cargo volumes up by 14% on the back of increased capacity in 3Q 2024, according to a statement.

Etihad’s operating fleet continues to expand, with all six A321NEOs scheduled for delivery in 2024 now operating. The airline’s fleet has increased to 95 aircraft, an increase of 16 aircraft from last year. The carrier has also extended its network to 83 destinations as of September, up from 72 last year, with more growth expected by year-end.

What’s next? Etihad Airways is planning to invest some USD 1 bn to modify its older Boeing 777 and 787 Dreamliner aircraft starting 2026, part of the carrier’s plans to pour USD 7 bn into new aircraft and other expenditures by 2030, CEO Antonoaldo Neves told The National. Etihad is also seeking to triple passenger numbers to 33 mn and double its fleet to 150 aircraft by the end of the decade, with a possible — and frequently rumored — listing as part of its growth plans.

TAQA-

Abu Dhabi state-owned energy firm Taqa saw an 18.6% rise in net income to AED 2 bn in 3Q 2024, according to its financial statements (pdf). The company’s topline rose 14.3% y-o-y to AED 14.6 bn, supported by the integration of Taqa Water Solutions, according to a separate earnings release (pdf).

Taqa’s net income grew 13.2% y-o-y to AED 6.3 bn in 9M 2024, excluding one-off items. Those items included AED 10.8 bn tied to a 5% stake in Adnoc Gas and a AED 1.1 bn deferred tax charge linked to UAE’s new corporate tax. The company’s revenues climbed 6% y-o-y to AED 41.7 bn during the nine month period.

SHUAA-

Shuaa Capital reported a loss attributable to shareholders of AED 22 mn in 3Q 2024, down from AED 590 mn in the same period last year, according to the company’s financial statements (pdf). The asset management and banking platform’s revenue fell 37.4% y-o-y to 19.2 mn.

On a 9M basis: Shuaa posted a loss attributable to shareholders of AED 148 mn compared to a net loss of AED 570 mn AED in the same period of 2023. The company’s topline amounted to AED 69.3 mn down 45.9% y-o-y.

Breakdown: Shuaa Capital’s losses are primarily due to fair value impairments of investments and goodwill, write-offs related to UK investments, and impairments of legacy real estate assets, according to a separate analysis report (pdf).

REMEMBER- Shuaa is mid-restructuring: Shuaa Capital reached an agreement with its bondholders to restructure some USD 150 mn in outstanding bonds owed by a special purpose vehicle it owns. Shuaa plans to initiate its mandatory convertible bonds offering by 1Q 2025, completing a USD 175 mn offering aimed at converting debt to equity.

INVEST BANK-

Invest Bank recorded a net income of AED 13 mn in 3Q 2024, making a solid recovery compared to a net loss of AED 354.7 mn in 3Q 2023, according to its financials (pdf). Total operating income decreased by 42.7% to AED 69 mn in the quarter, while net interest income dropped by 66.1% y-o-y to AED 35 mn.

In 9M 2024, Invest Bank posted a net income of AED 111.7 mn, a turnaround from a net loss of AED 354.7 mn during the same period last year. The bank’s total operating income increased by 4.5% y-o-y to AED 207.9 mn in this period, while the net interest income declined by 14.5% to AED 127.8 mn.

This nine-month performance was mainly attributed to a 62% increase in non-interest income, including higher fees and commission income from new businesses and rental income from repossessed properties, according to its earnings release (pdf). The bank also noted that these results reflect recovery from past loan impairments, according to its management report (pdf).

AL BUHAIRA NATIONAL INS.-

Al Buhaira National Ins. cuts losses in 3Q: Al Buhaira National Ins. narrowed its net losses to AED 23.2 mn in 3Q 2024, an improvement from AED 49.3 mn in net losses during the same period last year, according to its financial statements (pdf). Ins. revenues rose 20.5% y-o-y, reaching AED 381.5 mn. On a 9M basis, the company recorded AED 34.5 mn in net losses, down from AED 85.2 mn in 9M 2023, while revenues rose 20.7% y-o-y to AED 1.1 bn.

ABU DHABI SHIP BUILDING-

Abu Dhabi Ship Building sails into stronger profits: Abu Dhabi Ship Building reported a net income of AED 16.6 mn in 3Q 2024, up from AED 2.3 mn in the same period last year, according to its financial statements (pdf). Revenues surged 99% y-o-y, reaching AED 339 mn. For the first nine months of 2024, net income rose 73.2% y-o-y to AED 40.5 mn, while revenues climbed 41.7% y-o-y to hit AED 1 bn.

AL AIN AHLIA INS.-

Al Ain Ahlia Ins. reported a net loss of AED 37.4 mn in 3Q 2024 compared to a net income of AED 21 mn during the same period last year, according to the company’s financial statements (pdf). The company’s ins. revenue dropped by 14.3% y-o-y to AED 300.2 mn in this quarter. The company recorded a net loss of AED 38.8 mn in 9M 2024, down from a net income of AED 39 mn in 9M 2023. The firm’s ins. revenue decreased by 23.1% y-o-y to AED 799.8 mn during the first nine months of 2024.

UNITED FOODS –

United Foods’ net income rose 21.1% y-o-y to AED 5.8 mn in 3Q 2024, according to the company’s financial statements (pdf). The Dubai-based food and beverage company’s revenues from contracts also increased 13.3% y-o-y during the quarter to AED 143.5 mn. On a nine-month basis, United Foods saw its net income increase 44.4% y-o-y to AED 28.1 mn in 9M 2024. Revenues from contracts remained relatively flat, falling 0.5% y-o-y to AED 449.3 mn.

SALAMA-

Ins. provider Islamic Arab Ins. — known as Salama — reported a 56.6% y-o-y increase in net income to AED 9.9 mn in 3Q 2024, according to the company’s financials (pdf). The company’s takaful revenues decreased 2.1% y-o-y to AED 274.2 mn during the quarter.

Over the first nine months of 2024, net income climbed 63.8% to AED 30.4 mn. Takaful revenues for the period totaled AED 802.8 mn, down 2.6% despite a competitive environment, according to an earnings release (pdf).

11

PLANET FINANCE

Meta slapped with nearly EUR 800 mn EU fine for stifling competition

Facebook’s parent company Meta is facing a EUR 797.7 mn fine from the EU for allegedly stifling competition by linking its social network to its Marketplace service, the Financial Times reports. EU competition chief Margrethe Vestager said Meta “imposed unfair trading conditions” by giving Marketplace advantages that other classified ad providers couldn’t match, in a statement, in one of her final actions before stepping down.

Meta plans to appeal the verdict, arguing that Marketplace was created in response to user demand and that the EU’s decision overlooks market realities. The company pointed to rivals like eBay and France’s Leboncoin as strong competitors, and stated that there is “no evidence of competitive harm to rivals or any harm to consumers,” in a statement,

Meta’s been in hot water with the EU before: The EU launched an antitrust investigation in 2019 against Meta on claims from rivals that the tech giant was abusing its dominant position to offer complimentary services while profiting from ads. In December 2022, the European Commission issued charges against Facebook for using data collected without charge to sell ads.

The penalty is part of the EU’s broader regulatory push, which includes the Digital Markets Act aimed at curbing tech firms’ dominance.

Could it be short-lived? Observers suggest that the incoming European Commission — set to start its new term in weeks — may adopt a softer stance as political dynamics shift, with a possible Trump administration return in the US potentially influencing EU policy, the FT reports.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Most Asian markets are in the green, after Japan broke a streak of GDP declines with 0.3% GDP growth. Japan’s Nikkei was up 0.9% after the data was published, while the Topix was up 0.9%. In the red: South Korea’s Kospi and China’s Shenzhen.

Over on Wall Street, futures are lower amid uncertainty over the path for interest rates and as the postelection rally dies down.

ADX

9400

+0.3% (YTD: -1.9%)

DFM

4,729

-0.1% (YTD: +16.5%)

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20

3900

-0.5% (YTD: +1.5%)

USD : AED CBUAE

Buy 3.67

Sell 3.67

EIBOR

4.6% o/n

4.4% 1 yr

TASI

11,791

-1.2% (YTD: -1.5%)

EGX30

31,462

+0.1% (YTD: +26.4%)

S&P 500

5,949

-0.6% (YTD: +34.2%)

FTSE 100

8,071

+0.5% (YTD: +12.7%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,834

+2% (YTD: +16.3%)

Brent crude

USD 72.56

+0.4%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.76

-0.8%

Gold

USD 2,571.6

-0.1%

BTC

USD 87,950.8

-2.7% (YTD: +108.1%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The DFM fell 0.1% yesterday on turnover of AED 692.2 bn. The index is down 1.9% YTD.

In the green: National Cement Company (+14.8%), International Financial Advisors (+13.6%) and Emirates Investment Bank (+3.8%).

In the red: Takaful Emarat – Rights Issue 2024 (-9.6%), Al Salam Sudan (-4.4%) and Taaleem Holdings (-3.2%).

Over on the ADX, the index rose 0.3% on turnover of AED 2 bn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai closed down 0.5%.

12

MY MORNING ROUTINE

My Morning Routine: Valerio Soldani, director at the Italian Trade Agency

Valerio Soldani, director at the Italian Trade Agency: Each week, My Morning Routine looks at how a successful member of the community starts their day — and then throws in a couple of random business questions just for fun. Speaking to us this week is Valerio Soldani (LinkedIn), the director at the Italian Trade Agency. Edited excerpts from our conversation:

I’m the director of the Italian Trade Agency office in Dubai, so I’m the Italian trade commissioner to the UAE. We cover the UAE and the Omani market as well. I have previous experience in the US because I was deputy director in New York and several other postings in Italy. Before that I was working in a startup in the rally industry and the design industry.

We’re part of a network of 69 offices all around the world and our main purpose is to promote Italian exports to the area, help companies who want to do business in the UAE and Oman and also attract investments and being a one-stop shop for foreign investors looking at Europe and Italy as a good option to invest into.

We are an agency with boots on the ground. We do three kinds of activities. The first are trade shows. We do more than 20 trade shows with 600 companies that come here to showcase their products and meet distributors, buyers, industry professionals, and media. The second line of activities is incoming activities, where we sponsor trips and we invite buyers and distributors on scheduled business trips to Italy so they can visit our industrial district, the companies, the trade shows, and have a feel of what Italy is all about.

Our third line of activity — which is a brand new one — is the retailer partnership program. We are teaming up with one of the major grocery stores in the UAE that’ll be disclosed in the third week of November. We’ll be having a 12-month program designed to promote Italian products and get new ones into the Emirates. Some brands that were not here before will be featured in many sales points and grocery stores of this major chain all across the country.

The first thing I did when I came here was knock on doors and visit in person the top distributors, importers, and retailers, because I wanted to learn from the people that are interested in buying our product, and understand why they’re buying things and what they need. Just putting people on a list and inviting them on trips doesn’t work. My responsibility is also to listen and to grow those kinds of relationships.

We’ve been here since 1988, but the last five to 10 years have been great. We are close to seeing record high exports at the end of 2024 from Italy to the UAE. The latest data is seven months into 2024, and we’re growing 22% y-o-y, which is twice the pace of growth that we had in 2023. Since we ended last year at USD 7 bn, we’re pretty confident that we can go beyond the USD 8 bn mark at the end of 2024. There’s a huge demand, and companies are responsive.

Out of 69 offices all around the world that we have — 80 if we’re counting the antennas that we have in other secondary markets — we have the sixth biggest budget in terms of investment promotion, so we’re investing big time into the UAE market.

The first important thing we encourage companies that want to set up shop here to do is dialogue. There’s huge competition; it’s not an easy market. Everyone wants to be here. The difference is made when you have a good dialogue and develop a relationship with your distributors and clients. You cannot have a top-down approach whether in terms of customer experience or even the way you make things.

There are two [Italian] industries that are really big here. The first is the lifestyle-related industries, so sectors like jewelry — that’s a huge chunk of our exports — and fashion. These are big because demographics are evolving and the population is growing, m’naires and b’naires are coming and they have an appetite for a different kind of luxury — so not only the big brands that are everywhere, but a more customized experience. The second industry would be technology. I’ve seen a lot of companies from Italy doing business in energy and water treatment, because sustainability is a big thing, and they have ready solutions for the market.

Everybody assumes that Italians have the three F’s — food, fashion, and furniture — but they forget the fourth F, which is factories. It’s a growing market, and we sell more than USD 1 bn in aggregate of machinery and technology just in the Emirates, but there’s much more exported to the region.

I’m a morning person. I start very early with sports. I am a former kickboxing professional, so I do my workout in the morning, and I like to change it up every day because I need something new, so sometimes I run as well. Then I get a big breakfast, and I go to the office. I like to chat to people on the team and know what’s on their mind.

I have a great team. They are a little bit more junior, compared to other offices, but it’s diverse — we have six nationalities in the office, so not only Italian. It’s very ‘Dubai,’ because it’s a team of locals, only the director and deputy director are from Italy. We change every four or five years, — our mandate is temporary — but our true asset is our teammates that have been here for a long time. They know the market, and they have their specialties.

My first tip for staying organized is to try to exchange straightforward feedback with the people you work with and to ask questions. The second is to cut yourself some slack. Sometimes you need some time with yourself — in Italy we say “fare il punto,” which comes from sailing, and it means that you stop for a second to look at the sailing route, and look at what’s happening on the boat, and at the map, just to see where are you going, what you need to do, how long it’s going to take and put things in perspective.

I really like a good conversation or a walk in Dubai Marina or Kite Beach — it really helps me unwind.

I like to read a lot. Sometimes it’s boring stuff about marketing or the economy, but I also read a really interesting one called Of Boys and Men by Richard Reeves. It’s about what men and boys can do to improve the way we interact with people and interact with business, especially since the figure of masculinity has changed a lot.

On a professional level, my goal is to be successful in helping the Italian companies here, and finishing my mandate in Dubai and then heading to a new destination with the same spirit. On a personal level, what I try to do is to rely on the key relationships that add value to my life, like other people like my wife and family and friends, and pick the right people and take the time to overcome this digital world we are in where everything is commoditized by building true relationships. I also try to learn something new everyday. I think you don’t get old if you’ve got something to learn.

The best advice that I ever received is from a former colleague of mine, when I was working at a startup and was struggling a little bit with a client. He told me to try to be better, not at the things that I am always good at, but at the ones that I don’t like — so if there’s something that you feel is not for you, work hard to overcome it. Everybody can do what they like and what they’re good at, but if you focus on something that you think is not for you, you can develop, not a skillset, but an approach for how to handle that kind of problem. That outlook really opens your mind.


NOVEMBER

6-17 November (Friday- Sunday): Sharjah International Book Fair, Expo Center Sharjah, Sharjah.

11-15 November (Monday- Friday): Dubai Arbitration Week, Waldorf Astoria, Dubai International Financial Center.

15 November (Friday): Tax amendments that exempt crypto and investments through fund managers from VAT to take effect.

16-17 November (Saturday-Sunday): Gladiator Summit, Dubai World Trade Center, Dubai.

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): Dubai Precious Metals Conference, JAFZA One Convention Center, Dubai

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): Apex Invest Abu Dhabi, The Hilton, Abu Dhabi.

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): The OECD Middle East and North Africa Senior Budget Officials Meeting, Abu Dhabi.

19-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Subscription period kicks off for the retail portion of Talabat’s IPO.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): Fastmarkets Middle East Iron & Steel 2024, Dubai.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): MIHAS@Dubai, Dubai World Trade Center, Dubai.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): Middle East Organic and Natural Products Expo, Dubai World Trade Center.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): The International Conference of ShenZhen Association, Dubai World Trade Center.

19-20 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Dubai Future Forum, Museum of the Future, Dubai.

19-21 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Dubai Future Solutions – Prototypes for Humanity, Emirates Towers, Dubai.

19-21 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Air Expo, Adnec, Abu Dhabi.

20-22 November (Wednesday-Friday): Xpanse Abu Dhabi, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi

22-23 November (Friday-Saturday): Global Meet on Electronics & Electrical Engineering (GMEEE), Dubai.

22-24 November (Friday-Sunday): Michelin Guide Food Festival, Emirates Palace Mandarin Oriental, Abu Dhabi.

23 November (Saturday): Wireless Festival Middle East, Etihad Park, Abu Dhabi.

23-24 November (Saturday-Sunday): Emirates Dubai Sail Grand Prix, SailGP Race Stadium.

23-24 November (Saturday-Sunday): Forbes Middle East Medical Tourism & Wellness Summit, Jumeirah Beach Hotel, Dubai.

26-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday) Global Food Security Summit, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

26-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Women’s Forum Dubai, Madinat Jumeirah, Dubai

26-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Open Source AI Summit, The St. Regis Saadiyat Island Resort, Abu Dhabi.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Liveable Cities X, Dubai World Trade Center.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Future FM, Dubai World Trade Center.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Geo World, Dubai World Trade Center.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday) Global Media Congress 2024, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre (ADNEC).

26-29 November (Tuesday-Friday): Big 5 Global, Dubai World Trade Centre.

27 November: Acceptance period for Adnoc’s Covestro takeover bid ends.

27-28 November (Wednesday-Thursday): RAK Energy Summit, Al Hamra International Exhibition and Conference Centre, Ras Al Khaimah.

28 November-1 December (Thursday-Sunday): Spartan World Championship, Al Wathba Desert, Abu Dhabi.

30 November (Saturday): Football Legends Cup, Al Maktoum Stadium Al Nasr Sports Club, Dubai.

DECEMBER

2-3 December (Monday-Tuesday): National Day, public holiday.

4-5 December (Wednesday-Thursday): Sport Impact Summit, The Palm, Dubai.

4-6 December (Wednesday-Friday): Abu Dhabi Business Week, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.

5-8 December (Thursday-Sunday): Formula 1 Etihad Airways Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, Yas Marina Circuit.

5 December (Thursday): Khalifa Fund Entrepreneurship Competition, Adnec center, Abu Dhabi.

8-12 December (Sunday-Thursday): International Desalination and Reuse Association World Congress, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

13 December – 4 January (Friday-Saturday): Liwa International Festival, Al Dhafra, Abu Dhabi.

9-10 December (Monday-Tuesday): The Bitcoin Mena Conference, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

1- December (Tuesday): Talabat’s shares will start trading on the DFM.

9-12 December (Monday-ThursdayTuesday): Abu Dhabi Finance Week, Abu Dhabi.

9-12 December (Monday-Thursday): World Conference on Desalination and Water Re-use 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

9-12 December (Monday-Thursday): IEEE International Conference on Data Mining 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

10-11 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Trade and Infrastructure at Logimotion, Dubai World Trade Center.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Investor Relations Association (MEIRA Conference), Conrad Abu Dhabi Etihad Towers Hotel, Abu Dhabi.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): The Middle East and North Africa Business Aviation Association Show, Al Maktoum International Airport, Dubai.

11-13 December (Wednesday-Friday): European-Arab Medical Congress, Abu Dhabi.

14-21 December (Saturday-Saturday): World Schools Festival, Abu Dhabi

16-20 December (Monday-Friday): AIMS Conference 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

6 December-12 January: Dubai Shopping Festival.

Signposted to happen sometime in December:

JANUARY 2025

1 January (Wednesday): ADGM to slash licensing fees for retail and non-financial firms, and hike fees for finance firms.

9-13 January (Thursday-Monday): International Renewable Energy Agency Youth Forum, Abu Dhabi.

11-13 January (Saturday-Monday): International Renewable Energy Agency Assembly, Abu Dhabi.

14-16 January (Tuesday-Thursday): World Energy Summit, Abu Dhabi.

14-16 January (Tuesday- Thursday): The Light + Intelligent Building Middle East exhibition, Dubai.

14-16 January (Tuesday- Thursday): Intersec, Dubai World Trade Center, Dubai.

19-24 January (Sunday-Friday): Coling 2025, Abu Dhabi.

20-22 January (Saturday-Monday): FESPA Middle East, Dubai World Trade Centre, Dubai.

FEBRUARY 2025

1-8 February (Saturday-Saturday): The Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Zayed Sports City’s International Tennis Centre.

1-28 February (Saturday-Friday): 3rd Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Agriculture Excellence Award, Abu Dhabi.

2-3 February (Sunday-Monday): L’Etape Dubai cycling race, Dubai.

3-6 February (Monday-Thursday): Medlab Middle East, Dubai World Trade Center.

16 February-1 March: Dubai Dutyfree Tennis Championships, Dubai Dutyfree Tennis Stadium in Al Garhoud.

24-25 February (Monday-Tuesday): World Passenger Experience Forum, Dubai.

24-26 February (Monday-Wednesday): Connecting Hydrogen MENA, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 1Q 2025:

  • The first eight fronds of the Palm Jebel Ali will be site-ready, allowing for the commencement of villa infrastructure and civil works.

APRIL 2025

6-11 April (Sunday-Friday): Geo-Spatial Week 2025, Dubai.

7-10 April 2025 (Monday-Thursday) : EFG Hermes One on One conference, Dubai.

7-9 April (Monday-Wednesday): AIM Investment Summit, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Center

14-16 April (Monday-Wednesday): Dubai Woodshow’s 21st Edition, Dubai World Trade Center

14-16 April (Monday-Wednesday): IPS congress, Dubai World Trade Center.

16-18 April (Wednesday-Friday): World Future Energy Summit,Abu Dhabi National Exhibition, Abu Dhabi.

28 April-1 May (Monday-Thursday): The Arabian Travel Market 2025, Dubai World Trade Center

Signposted to happen sometime in April:

MAY 2025

6-7 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Ports Forum, Dubai.

19-22 May (Monday-Thursday): Make it in the Emirates Forum 2025, Adnec, Abu Dhabi.

26-28 May (Monday-Wednesday): Arab Media Summit, World Trade Center, Dubai.

SEPTEMBER 2025

8-10 September (Monday-Wednesday): DigiHealth exhibition, World Trade Center, Dubai.

24-25 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Mohammed Bin Rashid Leadership Forum, Mohammed Bin Rashid Center for Leadership Development, Dubai.

OCTOBER 2025

27-29 October (Monday-Wednesday): Asia Pacific Cities Summit, Dubai Exhibition Center.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2025:

  • The Middle East Electric Vehicle Show, Expo Center Sharjah.
  • e& will complete Adnoc’s private 5G network.
  • Executive Committee Meeting (EXCOM 2025) conference of the World Smart Sustainable Cities Organisation (WeGO)
  • The International Civil Aviation Organization’s Global Implementation Support Symposium, Abu Dhabi.

Signposted to happen sometime in the fall of 2025:

  • 2025 Games of the Future, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2026:

  • The UAE to host the Arab Competition Forum
  • Dubai to host the Arab Actuarial Conference
  • United Nations Water Conference 2026, UAE
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