Good morning, wonderful people. It’s a relatively calm newsday here at home — and abroad — with more updates coming from officials on measures to help residents who have suffered damages during the storm.
ALSO- We have news of yet another big investment coming from the UAE, this time in lithium mining in Argentina, courtesy of United Mining Projects Corporation. Also worth your attention: Ducab’s metals subsidiary acquired GIC Magnet Wire; du has launched its fintech arm, Du Pay; and sales prices in Dubai rose across 30 communities during 1Q 2024.
WEATHER- Expect a mostly sunny and hot day in Dubai and Abu Dhabi, with temperatures in the former hitting 35°C during the day, and an overnight low of 25°C. Abu Dhabi will be slightly cooler, with mercury hitting 32°C during the day and falling to an overnight low of 25°C.
OUR NEXT CONFERENCE IN CAIRO-
Foreign investors are falling in love with Egypt again… Foreign investors we speak with (debt, equity, and strategic alike) have growing appetite for Egypt. They’re buying into local debt, eyeing promising shares, and committing bns of USD to both new ventures here and the growth of their existing businesses. They like the Egypt story that’s taking shape after the float of the EGP, and its competitive advantages are clear to many of them: It’s a massive consumer opportunity and a regional export hub of tomorrow.
The Enterprise Optimism Forum 2024 will do exactly what it says on the tin: Spark conversations about a future that sees Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the the UAE at the heart of a more vital Middle East economy — and provide an early, actionable roadmap for those who are “long Egypt.”
We’ll be talking with you about the agenda over the coming couple of weeks. It features speakers from Egypt and abroad who are future-proofing their businesses and angling to capture tomorrow’s opportunities — and who aren’t afraid to answer some tough questions.
{ *** Interested in attending? Tap or click here to let us know.} Seating is limited.
AFTER THE STORM-
#1- Strategies for drainage infrastructure incoming: The Energy and Infrastructure Ministry is preparing a “complete study” on dam and waterway expansions to help contain future storms, following President Mohamed bin Zayed’s directive to evaluate the country’s infrastructure after severe weather, Wam reports. The ministry has dispatched teams to assess the impact of heavy rainfall on dams and roads and create strategies to bolster dam capacity, enhance waterways, repair damaged roads, and upgrade rainwater drainage along federal roads to withstand severe future weather events.
#2- Ins. claims to surge to record highs: Ins. firms are grappling with high ins. claims following the heavy rainfall that took place last week, with some reporting a 400% surge in claims compared to previous peaks after rainstorms, Khaleej Times reports. While vehicle damage claims account for most of the claims, the companies have also received claims from restaurants, shops and other small retailers valued at “hundreds of thousands,” according to firms interviewed by Khaleej Times. Consequently, ins. companies expect to “see the highest number of claims ever recorded from a single event,” eSanad CEO Anas Mistareehi said.
ICYMI- Moody’s expects the heavy rainfall to add pressure on local ins. companies, especially impacting small and medium-sized firms that have not seen recent income growth, With local ins. providers relying on reins. services to mitigate their losses, the recent weather events are projected to drive up reins. costs in upcoming renewals, according to Moody’s ins. senior analyst Mohammed Ali Londe. On the flip side, S&P Global foresees the storm having little impact on local firms as the losses are either “not [covered] or ceded to global” reins. firms.
MORE GOV’T RELIEF EFFORTS-
#1- Banks and ins. providers will allow a six-month deferral of personal and car loan repayments for customers affected by recent weather conditions, with no extra fees or interest during the deferral period, following directives from the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) (pdf). The CBUAE also verified that comprehensive ins. policies will cover the losses from last week’s storm, including vehicle and property damages, with ins. providers required to provide compensation for these damages.
#2-Sharjah police has waived the fees for issuing vehicle damage certificates for cars damaged in the emirate, according to a statement. The emirate’s police department also canceled all traffic fines over violations caused by the rainfall over the past week.
Got your car damaged in Sharjah? Request the damage certificate on the police’s website or smart app.
#3- The Sharjah Private Education Authority is permitting Sharjah schools to provide in-person, remote, or hybrid classes, from today until this Thursday, due to disruptions affecting students, parents, and staff, Khaleej Times reports.
PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTS-
#1- AI is going to make building permit procedures easier in AD: Abu Dhabi’s Department of Municipalities and Transport launched two AI technologies to improve the building permit procedure, according to a Dubai Media Office statement. These technologies consist of AI-enabled building information modeling (BIM), an automated plan review system (APRS), and a virtual chatbot. The goal is to increase the efficiency and precision of permit submissions and reviews by using AI for code compliance checks and granting immediate access to building codes via a virtual assistant.
#2- You can now get short-term berth rentals + docking services at Dubai ports through RTA: Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) will integrate its services within the Dubai Maritime Authority’s system to provide improved marine transport services within the Ports, Customs, and Freezone Corporation, according to an RTA statement. The integration will see RTA offering options like short-term berth rentals at maritime stations which allow private boats to temporarily dock at maritime stations without requiring overnight stays.
HAPPENING TODAY-
#1- The book building process for Spinneys Dubai’s IPO kicks off today, with retail investors’ subscription period ending next Monday, 29 April, and institutional investors’ ending on Tuesday. The price range for the offering should also be announced today. Shares will begin trading on the DFM on 9 May.
Background: Supermarket chain Spinneys Dubai is planning to offer up to a 25% stake in an IPO on the DFM in what will be one of the first IPOs for a family-owned business.
#2- Dubai government employees will receive their April paychecks today, after Dubai Crown Prince Hamdan bin Mohammed Al Maktoum directed early salary payments to support government employees, military personnel, retirees, and social benefits recipients during the severe weather.
#3- The AVPN Global Conference 2024 is kicking off today and running through to Thursday at The St. Regis Saadiyat Island Resort and Park Hyatt Abu Dhabi Hotel and Villas. The event aims to bring together more than 1.5k leaders in global social investment to advance humanitarian efforts in Asia, according to an Abu Dhabi Media Office statement.
#4- The National Forum for Small and Medium Enterprises: Government Procurements will take place today at Dubai’s Emirates Towers. Organized by the Ministry of Economy, the forum welcomes Emirati entrepreneurs to explore and compete for available tenders and contracts on its digital procurement platform.
#5- Gulf Information Security Expo and Conference will take place from today to Thursday at the Dubai World Trade Centre. The event will gather hundreds of cybersecurity firms, government officials, and cyber experts from 130 countries. You can book your ticket here.
#6- Carpet and flooring industry event Domotex Middle East 2024 is scheduled from today to Thursday at the Dubai World Trade Centre. The event brings together industry leaders like Merinos, Oriental Weavers, Solomon Carpets, and Al Abdullatif, as well as brands like Azim Silk.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- The UAE, Iraq, Turkey, and Qatar have signed a preliminary agreement to work together on the Development Road project, according to a statement from the Iraqi prime minister's office. The project, initiated last year by Iraq with a budget of USD 17 bn, aims to connect a significant commodities port on Iraq's southern coast — Grand Faw Port — to Turkey's border via rail and road networks.
#2- Masdar + Alpha Dhabi vying to develop solar plant in Libya: State-backed renewables giant Masdar and Alpha Dhabi’s W Solar Investment are in talks with the Libyan government to build a 500 MW solar power plant in Libya with the aim of exporting its production to Europe, Chairman of Libya’s Renewable Energy Authority, Abdul Salam Al Ansari told Asharq Business (watch, runtime 5:27). Masdar and W Solar had signed an agreement with the General Electric Company of Libya two years ago to invest in building solar plants in Libya, although no details or specific investments were disclosed at that time.
Masdar eyes China expansion: Masdar is also mulling expanding into China as it negotiates with partners the “ideal market strategy” for entering the market, COO Abdulaziz Alobaidli told The National at the World Future Energy Summit last week in Abu Dhabi, adding that “any serious investor who is ignoring China is committing a very strategic mistake.” The potential move is part of the company’s efforts to diversify its supply chain amidst geopolitical tensions impacting interest rates, logistics and supply chains to “ensure that if those challenges start to materialize, we have the right mitigations,” Alobaidli noted.
#3- Borouge to partner with Egypt on oil production freezone: Abu Dhabi-based petrochemicals firm Borouge is in early-stage talks with Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly to sign a preliminary agreement with the Fujairah emirate and to set up a freezone focused on the production, storage and trade of oil and its derivatives, according to a statement.
#4- Emirates NBD is eyeing a majority stake in Yes Bank, India's sixth-largest private sector lender, reports Moneycontrol, citing people familiar with the matter. Japan’s Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp. are also considering bids for Yes Bank, which is expecting bids by the end of the month.
Background: A State Bank of India-led consortium is exploring plans to sell its stake in Yes Bank, after bailing out of the Indian bank in 2020. Investors were granted a three-year lock-in period, which expired in March 2023.
Emirates NBD has had its eyes on India before: Emirates NBD reportedly submitted a bid to acquire a majority stake in India’s central bank in April 2023.
DATA POINTS-
#1- The combined net income of ADX-listed banks grew 27.9% y-o-y to AED 32.6 bn in 2023,according to Mubasher statistics based on financial data announced on the Abu Dhabi bourse. The total net incomes of companies listed on the ADX climbed 7.12% y-o-y in 2023, totaling AED 148.66 bn, according to Mubasher statistics.
Our friends at First Abu Dhabi Bank recorded the highest bottom line among banks during the year (AED 16.4 bn), followed by Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (AED 8.2 bn) and Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank (AED 5 bn). Finance House posted the largest improvement in net income in 2023, growing 177% y-o-y to AED 36 mn, while the National Bank of Fujairah came second with a bottom line of AED 725 mn, up 113% y-o-y. Investment Bank and Bank of Sharjah were the only ADX-listed banks to incur losses during the period, posting losses of AED 1.03 bn and AED 273.5 bn.
#2- The Dubai Chamber of Digital Economy attracted nine multinational companies in 2023, with a combined market value of AED 304 bn, according to the Dubai Media Office. The companies come from Asia, Europe, the US, and Latin America, and operate across various sectors, including cybersecurity, tech, robotics, autonomous systems, e-commerce, the automotive industry, and cryptocurrencies.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
It’s a pleasantly slow morning in the international business press.
Yesterday saw opening arguments in Donald Trump’s criminal hush-money trial — today will see prosecutors argue that The Donald is also in contempt of court for refusing to abide a gag order against attacking prosecutors, jury members, and witnesses.
It’s not a great time to be in professional services: PwC is looking to cut in half (compared to last year) the number of people it makes partners in the United States. Blame slowing demand for advisory services. McKinsey, meanwhile, is at the forefront of a movement among big consulting firms to cull underperformers. A “brutal round of career reviews” now in process at the high-flying firm.
The noise about tech stocks is about to go to 11: Tesla reports its 1Q earnings today, Meta follows suit tomorrow, while Google parent Alphabet and Microsoft both release on Thursday. They’re all filing financials after a rough couple of weeks for tech stocks in New York.
US colleges are having a moment as student protests of Israel’s war against Gaza (and US backing for it) continues to grow. Alexandria-born Columbia President Dame Minouche Shafik has suspended in-person classes to allow a cooling off period after she sent police to arrest a bit more than 100 protestors. Police have separately arrested over 50 protesters at Yale and Harvard is closing campus gates to non-students. Activists have organized “tent cities” at all three.
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MORNING MUST READ-
The IMF revised downward its 2024 growth forecast for GCC countries by 1.3 percentage points since October, anticipating the region’s growth to reach 2.4% in 2024 due to Saudi Arabia’s ongoing oil production cuts, which continue to weigh on growth, according to its latest Regional Economic Outlook report (pdf).
However, the fund anticipates a rebound next year to 4.9% growth, driven by non-oil business activity expansion — to the tune of 3.6% — in 2024 as GCC members continue diversifying their economies. The fund said last week it expected to see the UAE’s economy growing 3.5% in 2024.
The fund’s revised regional outlook forecasts 2.7% growth for the MENA region in 2024, down by 0.1 percentage point from its last update, on the back of the Red Sea shipping disruptions and the oil production cuts, coupled with “existing vulnerabilities related to high debt levels and elevated borrowing costs.” Despite the challenges, the fund forecasts growth to pick up to 4.2% in 2025.



