Good morning, and happy FRIDAY. We close out this uncharacteristically busy week of news — we thought everyone was on vacation? — with another packed issue, led by several macro updates on Dubai and a hefty dose of energy-related news.
On the macro front, Dubai’s GDP expanded 4% y-o-y in 1Q 2025, while inflation rose to 2.9% in July. Meanwhile, Abu Dhabi is seeking bids for a 3.3 GW power plant, and China’s Zhenzhua Oil is on track to double its crude supplies from Adnoc as it takes over Bu Hasa. Also: Mubadala Capital completed its acquisition of CI Financial.
^^ We have the details on all of this and more in the news well, below.
WEATHER- We’re in for a cloudy weekend: The National Center of Meteorology forecasts (pdf) partly cloudy, occasionally dusty conditions through Monday, with the possibility of light rain in eastern and southern areas. Temperatures today are set to reach 42°C in Dubai, with an overnight low of 32°C, and 42°C in Abu Dhabi, cooling to an overnight low of 36°C.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Electric aircraft developer Joby Aviation is on track to launch its first vertiport at Dubai International Airport by 1Q 2026, ahead of the deployment of flying taxi operations on a national scale, the firm said in a shareholder letter (pdf). The vertiport would be the first in Joby’s planned network, which includes three others located in Palm Jumeirah, Dubai Marina, and Dubai Downtown. London-based air mobility company Skyports is developing the network.
Background: Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) inked an agreement with Joby Aviation for the project back in early 2024. The pair successfully ran the region’s first Joby air taxi test flight last month. The company said it wrapped 21 test flights that showcased its models’ resilience against Dubai’s hot temperatures in the letter.
REMEMBER- It’s not just Joby: Archer Aviation and Chinese firms EHang and Multi Level Group (MLG) have also finalized their own eVTOL test flights this year, with Archer saying it is “ready to launch” its midnight electric air taxis in Abu Dhabi this year between Zayed International Airport and central Abu Dhabi.
#2- India’s Adia-backed NIIF aims to double AUM to USD 10 bn within 30 months: India’s quasi-sovereign wealth fund National Investment & Infrastructure Fund (NIIF), backed by several investors including the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (Adia), Temasek Holdings, AustralianSuper, plans to double its assets under management to USD 10 bn from USD 4.9 bn over the next 30 months, Bloomberg quoted NIFF’s Managing Partner Vinod Giri as saying.
The fund is currently raising USD 3.5 bn for a second infrastructure vehicle and USD 1 bn for private markets, aiming for a first close for its fund by early 2026. Most existing investors are expected to reinvest, with additional commitments targeted from Australia, Japan, the US, Europe and Korea, Giri reportedly said.
ICYMI- Earlier reports in February said the fund had been exploring plans to raise up to USD 2 bn for a private credit fund.
Adia and NIIF go way back: The Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund made the first investment in NIIF in 2017 with a USD 1 bn commitment, becoming the first institutional investor in its Master fund and a shareholder in NIIF’s investment management arm.
#3- Emirates NBD just became the first general clearing member on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX), according to a press release. This means it can now clear and settle trades on behalf of brokers, while offering trading members credit facilities and operational support, streamlining the clearing process and helping to cut costs. Emirates NBD will also be able to service its global network with better access, channeling more domestic and international investors into the UAE’s equity markets.
#4- Could Starlink come to the UAE? The UAE’s telecom regulator is taking steps to ease regulations for satellite service providers — such as Elon Musk’s Starlink — to operate in the country, The National reports. The Telecommunications and Digital Government Regulatory Authority has invited public feedback on a draft regulation for a satellite reseller license, paving the way for licensed companies to provide satellite internet services and devices to consumers.
While Starlink has already secured a 10-year license to provide maritime satellite internet services, which is not for general consumer use, the new regulatory changes would enable its resellers to offer satellite-based services and sell devices across the country. TDRA will be accepting public feedback for its proposal until 25 September.
What’s Starlink? The low-Earth orbit satellite service can provide Internet access anywhere in the world, and is used particularly in remote and rural areas where there is limited access.
REMEMBER- Emirates Airlines was recently linked to talks with SpaceX for in-flight Starlink internet, though regulatory hurdles including Starlink’s lack of full authorization in the UAE and its inability to function over Chinese or Russian airspace — both of which are on Emirates’ route map — posed challenges. It is also reportedly in talks with Saudia, which is said to be finalizing terms of an agreement to install Starlink’s wifi services to its planes, and is also exploring an agreement with Gulf Air and Emirates’ budget carrier Flydubai, Bloomberg reports, citing sources familiar with the matter.
#5- US is tracking AI chips to thwart China sales: US law enforcement agencies are placing location trackers on shipments of high-performance semiconductors to prevent their illegal diversion to China-based buyers, Reuters reports, quoting anonymous sources. Authorities are reportedly using tracker data to investigate individuals and companies involved in diverting the chips — part of a broader crackdown on advanced chip sales to China. The US is tracking export shipments from Dell, Nvidia, and Super Micro, the report says, quoting five sources in the AI industry.
REMEMBER- The US has been working on guardrails to ensure that exports of chips to countries like the UAE will not be diverted to China. G42 has been in line for mns of chips from US-based firms like Nvidia to bolster domestic AI infrastructure, including through a 5 GW data center campus in Abu Dhabi, set to host US AI firms — to which most of the chips would be heading. The campus was set to include “strong security guarantees” aimed at addressing US concerns over G42’s historic ties to China.
#6- Abu Dhabi is setting up a labor prosecution unit to handle worker disputes following a resolution from Vice President, Deputy Prime Minister, and Chairman of the Presidential Court Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan, according to the Abu Dhabi Media Office. The unit will investigate and handle claims related to labor and domestic worker cases. The Labor Prosecution will be headed by a public prosecutor of at least chief prosecutor rank, supported by prosecution members and specialized staff.
PSAs-
#1- Passport renewal windows just doubled for Emiratis: UAE citizens can now renew their passports up to one year before expiry, doubling the previous six-month limit, state news agency Wam reports, citing the Federal Authority for Identity, Citizenship, Customs, and Ports Security (ICP).
#2- You can now be charged an unlimited amount of toll fees per day and month as of 1 September, after Abu Dhabi scrapped the caps for vehicles, according to an Abu Dhabi Media Office statement. An AED 4 fee 4 will apply each time a vehicle passes through a toll gate, with existing exemptions for eligible groups maintained. Previously, a maximum toll limit per day was capped at AED 16, with monthly charges also capped at between AED 100-200.
The changes — which come as ADQ’s Q Mobility takes over management and operations of the system — will also affect the evening tariff period, changing it 3pm–7pm, while keeping the morning period at 7am–9am, Monday to Saturday. Tolls will remain at no-cost on Sundays and public holidays.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
A handful of business and macro stories are dominating front pages of the business press this morning:
#1- The Trump administration is reportedly in talks to buy a stake in Intel, which has struggled to keep up with the pace of change in the industry and is currently on a cost-cutting spree. Trump had called for the ouster of Intel’s CEO Lip-Bu Tan citing a conflict of interest due to his earlier ties to China. The move would also be one of several interferences from Trump in US industries — he also took a so-called golden share in United States Steel Corp. to allow its sale to Japanese rival Nippon Steel. (Wall Street Journal | Reuters | CNBC | Bloomberg)
#2- Wall Street traders are dialing back expectations of a rate cut next month after fresh data on wholesale price inflation showed a higher-than-expected increase in wholesale prices as the effect of tariffs seem to begin trickling down to consumers. The odds of a September cut have now fallen to 85%, down from more than 100% earlier, ahead of the meeting. (Bloomberg)
But the Trump administration is still applying pressure: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent just recently called for lower interest rates, arguing they should be 150 basis points lower than current levels. (Bloomberg)
ALSO- Happening today: All eyes are on Alaska, where Trump will meet Russian President Vladimir Putin for a high-stakes summit that Trump hopes could yield a ceasefire agreement for the war in Ukraine. (Wall Street Journal | Bloomberg | Reuters | Guardian)
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OIL WATCH-
The Brent, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and Dubai crude futures time spreads have narrowed by more than USD 1 in backwardation since the start of August, Reuters reports. Brent and Dubai spreads are softening due to the expected jump in Opec+ supply in September and easing concerns over Russian supply disruptions, the newswire said, citing Dubai-based oil trader Shohruh Zukhritdinov.
Dubai crude continues to be stronger than Brent despite the softening market, keeping the Exchange of Futures for Swaps spread narrow and directing Asia towards Atlantic Basin supply.
End of the summer season: The output increase by Opec+ in September, alongside new production from non-Opec countries like Guyana, Brazil, and Norway, comes as peak summer demand in the Northern Hemisphere is ending. The surplus of supply and drop in demand after the season ends will likely lead to weaker diesel margins in Europe and reduced crude burning for power in Saudi Arabia, traders said.



