Good morning, lovely people. We have another busy issue for you this morning, with plenty of investment news, a new listing on the ADX in the cards, and a new regulation making it easier for businesses to expand in Dubai.
The big story of the day is a new resolution allowing businesses in Dubai’s freezones to expand to the mainland more easily with one-year renewable licenses — expanding a practice that is currently in place in several freezones across the emirate. Also worth your attention: Emaar plans to invest AED 65 bn over the next five years, Hong Kong-based ESG tech firm Diginex is planning an ADX listing as a dual listing alongside Nasdaq, and Emirates Islamic tapped banks for a sukuk issuance.
🌞WEATHER- We’re in for a sunny day that gets humid by night, according to our favorite weather app and the National Center of Meteorology’s forecast (pdf). Dubai will see the mercury hit 29°C today, with an overnight low of 19°C, while temperatures will hit 24°C in Abu Dhabi, with an overnight low of 19°C.
So, when do we eat? Maghrib is at 6:32pm today in Dubai and 6:36 pm in Abu Dhabi. You’ll have until fajr prayers at 5:07am in Dubai and 5:11am in Abu Dhabi tomorrow to finish your suhoor.
PSA-
Public sector workers to get three days off for Eid al Fitr: The Federal Authority for Government Human Resources (FAHR) confirmed that public sector workers will be getting the first three days of Shawwal — the 10th month in the Islamic calendar succeeding Ramadan — as a holiday for Eid Al Fitr, it said in a post on X. Work will resume on 4 Shawwal, which could land on Wednesday, 2 April, or Thursday, 3 April, depending on the moon sighting at the end of Ramadan.
HAPPENING TODAY-
#1- The US Federal Reserve kicks off its Open Market Committee meeting today. The Fed will likely make its interest rate decision tomorrow, followed by Gulf countries — which mirror the Fed’s moves on the back of the peg to the USD. Fed funds futures are currently pricing in a 99% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady, CNBC reports, citing CME’s FedWatch tool.
#2- The Augmented Humans International Conference is on its third day and is running until Thursday at Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence in Abu Dhabi. The event brings together over 100 experts to explore advancements in brain-machine interfaces, wearable technology, exoskeletons, and augmented reality across healthcare, sports, and security. The event features speakers from MIT Media Lab, the University of Tokyo, and the German Research Center for AI.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Emirates NBD has reportedly enlisted Matouk Bassiouny to act as its legal counsel on its potential acquisition of Banque du Caire, Al Shorouk reports, citing unnamed sources it says have knowledge of the matter. The Emirati lender also appointed an undisclosed financial advisor, according to the sources. We reported last week that Emirates NBD has kicked off due diligence for the acquisition of a 45% stake on offer for USD 1.2 bn. Al Shorouk had earlier reported that CI Capital is the financial advisor on the sale.
#2- Standard Chartered subsidiary sees the UAE’s economy growing by up to 6% this year: The UAE’s economy could grow between 5-6% in 2025, with a significant portion of this growth coming from the non-oil sector — particularly from small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), Standard Chartered subsidiary SC Ventures’ Lead for the Middle East Mohamed Fairooz told Al Etihad. SMEs, which already contribute up to 63.5% of the UAE’s non-oil GDP, are expected to see even more growth over the next three years, driven by government policies, financing, and the global digital transformation, which will significantly accelerate overall growth rates, Fairooz said.
How this prediction compares to others: S&P Global sees the UAE’s real GDP growing by 5.1% in 2025, a prediction that is in line with that of Fitch Solutions’ research unit BMI, which recently revised its forecast for the UAE’s economy this year to 5.1%, slightly down from 5.2% predicted in October. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank revised their forecasts for the UAE’s economy this year to 4.0%, while the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) penciled in a higher growth estimate of 4.5% in 2025 in December.
#3- Borouge proposes 2.5% share buyback: Borouge is seeking shareholder approval for a share buyback of up to 2.5% of its issued share capital, according to an ADX disclosure (pdf). The buyback would be conducted through open-market transactions, with execution subject to market conditions and other factors. Shareholders will vote on the proposal at the company’s annual general meeting on 7 April 2025.
ALSO- Borouge proposed a final 7.94 fils per share dividend payout, bringing the total 2024 payout to USD 1.3 bn, equivalent to 15.9 fils per share. The dividend represents a 6.8% yield — one of the highest on the ADX.
REMEMBER- Adnoc and Austria’s OMV earlier this month agreed terms of an agreement to merge their polyolefins businesses in a UAE-based joint venture, creating a USD 60 bn global polyolefins player set to be the world’s fourth largest. The merged entity will be jointly owned by Adnoc and OMV, with each owning a c.47% stake. The remainder of the shares will be freefloat, after the company lists on the ADX.
Borouge’s shares were up 4.3% to AED 2.45 on the news, after falling to a low of AED 2.30 on 11 March from its peak of AED 2.66 on 4 March, following news of the merger.
#4- Pundits pitch the UAE as an investment safe haven amid global trade uncertainty: Global investment management firm Ninety One is increasing its exposure to UAE stocks, viewing them as a safer option that is less exposed to Trump's tariffs, Bloomberg reports. The firm’s EM team has been ramping up exposure to UAE equities since November last year, including shares of property giant Emaar and First Abu Dhabi Bank, as well as the recently listed Talabat.
The rationale: “UAE is doing the opposite to what the US is doing, signing agreements with trading partners and opening its borders to immigration,” said Varun Laijawalla, co-portfolio manager for EM equities at Ninety One. He highlighted the UAE's strong, government-backed economy, pegged-currency, and openness to immigration as key attractions.
The numbers speak for themselves: The Ninety One Emerging Markets Equity Fund delivered a 13% return over the past year, outperforming 95% of peers with performance data compiled by Bloomberg. The firm is 3% overweight the UAE compared with the benchmark MSCI Emerging Markets index, Laijawalla said, making it “one of our larger overweight exposures.” UAE stocks have the fifth largest weighting in the MSCI benchmark index outside Asia, the business information service added.
#6- Dubai’s property market is on track for a record year for handovers in 2025, with developers expected to deliver approximately 72.4k units, a 171% increase from the previous year, Khaleej Times reports, citing undisclosed reports. The surge comes as developers race to meet soaring demand, with around 1.2k projects currently under construction and 325k residential units in development.
REMEMBER- The influx of new properties is expected to stabilize market prices. Knight Frank previously projected an 8% price increase, down from double-digit growth in 2024, while Moody’s forecasted a dip or stabilization over the next 12–18 months due to rising construction costs and potential delays. A Deloitte report similarly suggested that residential price and rent growth may slow by year-end as new supply enters the market.
But it’s not a shoo-in: Developers are preparing to deliver 182k units in Dubai between 2025 and 2026, but construction capacity constraints could lead to delays, tightening supply and supporting short-term price increases, according to a previous S&P Global report. ValuStrat data has indicated that only 58% of projected supply was delivered last year, marking the lowest completion rate in six years with just 27k homes completed, while Knight Frank noted that historical trends indicate a 30% delay in actual completions.
#7- Dewa reissues tender for AED 85 mn pumping station project: The Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (Dewa) reissued a tender for the construction of the Ghafat Idah Reservoir Complex Pumping Station (PS6) and the Endurance Road Pumping Station (PS21) Phase 1 Stream A project, Zawya reports. The scope includes the stations’ construction electro-mechanical works, and the development of supervisory control and data acquisition systems. Bids are due by 11am on Thursday 15 May 2025.
In context: The project was initially tendered in August 2024, attracting eight bids, with the lowest at AED 85 mn. The reissue aims to finalize the contract for the 30 MIGD capacity stations.
DATA POINT-
National Bonds’ sukuk investors ramped up investments by 22% y-o-y to AED 15.8 bn in 2024, state news agency Wam reports. The growth was driven by a 51% rise in regular savers and the adoption of digital solutions, which led to a 41% y-o-y surge in digital savings. The company distributed about AED 588 mn in returns to sukuk holders last year, with some categories receiving returns of up to 4.75%. The average return amounted to 4.02%.
What’s next? The company plans to launch its new Maktabi Tower project within six months, CEO Mohamed Al Ali told CNBC Arabia (watch, runtime: 6:09). It also aims to develop real estate projects worth USD 1.5 bn over the next five years, and is eyeing potential investments in the education, health, and the oil and gas sectors.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
Israel breaks ceasefire agreement: Israel launched several strikes across Gaza earlier this morning, breaking the fragile ceasefire agreement. The attacks killed at least 44 and marked the “most violent air attacks” since mid January when the ceasefire came into effect. The Israeli army and the Shin Bet said in a joint statement that they kicked off attacks on what they claimed to be Hamas targets.
Hamas and Israel won’t see eye to eye: Hamas on Monday accused Israel of violating the agreement — brokered by Egypt,Qatar, and the US — and failing to hold its end in the first phase. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office said that resuming the war came after “Hamas refused time and again to release our hostages and rejected all the proposals it has been given by US envoy Steve Witkoff and by the Qatari and Egyptian mediators.” (Bloomberg | Reuters | Axios | AP)
AND- Trump threatens Iran over Houthi attacks: US President Donald Trump warned that any further Houthi attacks will be seen as an Iranian assault, vowing to hold Iran responsible. “Every shot fired by the Houthis will be looked upon, from this point forward, as being a shot fired from the weapons and leadership of Iran,” Trump said in a post on his social media platform Truth, vowing that Iran will “suffer the consequences, and those consequences will be dire.” (Bloomberg | Reuters | AP)
ALSO MAKING HEADLINES- Trump to discuss Ukraine ceasefire with Putin today: Trump is set to speak with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin about a potential ceasefire in Ukraine. “What's happening in Ukraine is not good, but we're going to see if we can work a peace agreement, a ceasefire and peace, and I think we'll be able to do it,” Trump told reporters yesterday. The talks come after Ukraine accepted a 30-day, US-backed ceasefire proposal last week. (Reuters | New York Times | BBC | The Guardian | Washington Post | AP)
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MARKET WATCH-
American multinational investment bank Goldman Sachs lowered its Brent crude forecast for December 2025 to USD 71 per barrel, down USD 5 from its previous estimate, citing slower US growth on the back of tariffs and increased Opec+ production, Bloomberg reports. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is expected to reach USD 67 per barrel. Analysts expect Brent to trade between USD 65 and USD 80 per barrel, averaging USD 68, in 2026. The bank also cut its global oil demand growth forecast by 18% to 900k barrels per day, reflecting concerns over a weaker US economy and a looser oil market balance.
SOUND SMART-Lower oil prices may impact fiscal revenues for GCC oil-exporting economies, such as the UAE, which relies on higher energy prices to support economic diversification initiatives.
CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
The second edition of Dubai AI Festival will take place on Wednesday, 23 April and Thursday 24 April at the Dubai International Financial Center as part of the inaugural Dubai AI Week. Organized by Dubai AI Campus, the festival aims to position Dubai as a leader in the global digital economy, with a focus on responsible AI deployment, transparency, and the future of work, offering key insights into AI’s impact and ethical challenges. The event will feature AI innovations, a start-up showcase, the FutureTech World Cup, and the Global FutureTech Innovation Program to highlight emerging talent.
Dubai Chambers will host the Dubai Business Forum in Hamburg, Germany on Tuesday, 20 May, as part of its efforts to attract foreign investment, according to the Dubai Media Office. The event — hosted in partnership with the Hamburg Chamber of Commerce — will showcase potential investments in Dubai across sectors like technology, finance, logistics, manufacturing, and sustainability. It will also foster cooperation between German and Dubai firms.
Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.


