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1

WHAT WEโ€™RE TRACKING TODAY

COP kicks off tomorrow + Lots of investments agreed with Pakistan

Good morning, friends. Itโ€™s a reasonably paced news morning as we all take a collective deep breath before COP28 kicks off tomorrow โ€” and sets off what we expect will be a gargantuan influx of news as leaders flock to Dubai.

THE BIG STORY here at home is a whole lot of investments we agreed to with Pakistan as their prime minister was in town to meet President Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan. We have chapter and verse in the news well, below.

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COP28 kicks off tomorrow, with thousands of global leaders in climate, policy, and business touching down in Dubai for 13 days of intense negotiations to save our planet from climate catastrophe. Check out the full agenda for the summit, which runs from 30 November to 12 December.

COP28 will be divided into Blue and Green zones with the former reserved for heads of states, government delegations, and UN bodies. The green zone โ€” which will be open to the public โ€” will serve as a central hub where developers, industry leaders, NGOs, and climate activists come together to explore pathways to accelerate the transition to clean energy. The zone will host over 300 talks tackling the climate crisis and showcase climate-focused interactive exhibits.

The loss and damage fund and whoโ€™s going to pay for it is already causing a ruckus: Former world leaders and leading economists have signed a joint letter calling on oil-producing states โ€” including the UAE and Gulf neighbors โ€” to pay a USD 25 bn levy to fund the loss and damage fund, the Guardian reports. Little progress has been made on the landmark loss and damage fund over the past year after delegates from some 200 nations signed off on the pact at the close of COP27.

OPEC and the IAE are trading barbs as COP kicks off: OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais accused the International Energy Agency (IEA) of smearing the oil and gas industry in a recent note that said that the industry was facing a โ€œmoment of truthโ€ on the worsening climate crisis. โ€œThis presents an extremely narrow framing of challenges before us, and perhaps expediently plays down such issues as energy security, energy access and energy affordability,โ€ he said.

AHEAD OF COP- Emirates Nature-WWF and Al-Futtaim IKEA launch โ€œa day in the life of climate change,โ€ an exhibition shedding light on the environmental impact of consumers' daily choices. The interactive experience lets visitors track their water consumption, receive tips on making more sustainable choices, and discover the UAEโ€™s own ecosystem from a special mangrove viewing platform. The exhibition will run at the IKEA store in Dubaiโ€™s Festival Plaza, Jebel Ali, until 30 December. Visitors can donate to Emirates Nature-WWF local conservation efforts by scanning on-location QR codes.


ALSO HAPPENING TOMORROW-

Itโ€™s OPEC+ oโ€™clock: OPEC+ member states are meeting tomorrow to discuss how the cartel of oil-producing nations will respond to falling oil prices, decide on next yearโ€™s production targets, and make a decision on whether to prolong production cuts. The meeting was initially scheduled from Sunday, but was pushed back after alliance members filed to reach a consensus on the output quotas for African members.

Is another delay in the cards? Reuters picked up chatter from OPEC+ sources that the once-delayed meeting may be delayed again as African member states seem adamant on their refusal to cut production quotas for 2024. Bloomberg also thinks talks are at an impasse this morning.


Brevan Howard gives Abu Dhabi props for โ€œincredible advantageโ€ as a global financial center: Abu Dhabi has the potential to be a global financial hub thanks to preferable regulatory and tax frameworks, Brevan Howard Asset Management co-founder Alan Howard said, according to Bloomberg. Brevan Howard expanded in the UAE earlier this year with an office in Abu Dhabi, relocating many of its โ€œsenior people because thatโ€™s the way to help the financial center grow by getting that human capital here,โ€ the business information service quotes Howard as saying.

Howardโ€™s statements come as Abu Dhabi Finance Week is on its final two days, bringing together global financial leaders for discussions on the global economic landscape.


WATCH THIS SPACE- Weโ€™re going to be seeing a new pricing mechanism soon to spur more private sector investments in EV infrastructure charging stations, Energy Minister Suhail Al Mazrouei said, according to The National. Al Mazrouei did not provide further details about what the pricing mechanism could entail. The pricing mechanism will be introduced by early next year at the latest.

Binanceโ€™s Zhao will not be returning to the UAE anytime soon:Binance founder Changpeng Zhao canโ€™t leave the US until the court decides whether he should stay in the country until his sentencing hearing in February or be allowed to return to his home in the UAE, according to a federal judgeโ€™s ruling (pdf) on Monday. The former CEO of the worldโ€™s largest cryptocurrency exchange last week stepped down and pleaded guilty to breaching US anti-money laundering laws. Zhao ws ordered to remain in the US while his trial plays out. He has agreed to pay a USD 50 mn fine and may face several years in prison.

The charges: Binance is facing charges of failing to report over 100k suspicious transactions with organizations including Hamas, Al Qaeda, and ISIS. The crypto platform also failed to report transactions with websites selling child abuse content and was one of the biggest recipients of spoils from hackers using ransomware.


THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

Charlie Munger, right-hand man of Warren Buffett, dies aged 99: Bnโ€™aire and market sage Charles Munger, who was second-in-command to business magnate Warren Buffett for almost 60 years, has died aged 99. Under their management of Berkshire Hathaway, the previously-failing textile company averaged an annual gain of 20% between 1965 and 2022 โ€” roughly twice the pace of the S&P 500 Index โ€” to become the multi-bn USD conglomerate that it is today.

The story has plenty of ink in the intโ€™l business press this morning: (Reuters | AssociatedPress | Wall Street Journal | CNBC | Bloomberg | Financial Times)

Check out Mungerโ€™s final interview, recorded with CNBCโ€™s Becky Quick just a couple of weeks ago.

THE LATEST ON GAZA-

Another batch of Palestinian and Israeli prisoners have been released as the truce enters the first of two extra days.

Another 93 Palestinian children arrived in the UAE for urgent medical treatmenton Monday from Egyptโ€™s Al Arish International Airport in Egypt. This is the third group of injured Palestinian children and cancer patients to arrive in the UAE for treatment in national hospitals, with the first group arriving on 18 November.

UAE hospitals will treat 1k injured children and 1k cancer patients from Gaza as part of an initiative issued by President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan to support vulnerable Palestinians in Gaza amid Israelโ€™s continuing offense. Al Nahyan allocated a USD 20 mn aid package for Palestinian civilians, along with a field hospital as part of the Gallant Knight 3 operation ordered earlier this month.

AND- Joe Bidenโ€™s administration seems more divided than ever over his full-throated support for Israelโ€™s war in Gaza, with the New York Times that โ€œsupportersโ€ and โ€œeven some staff membersโ€ in the White House feel โ€œ deep anger over his solidarity with Israel.โ€ The Financial Times, meanwhile, reports that the CIAโ€™s associate deputy director for analysis โ€” one of the agencyโ€™s top officials on the โ€œthink-and-make-sense-of-itโ€ side of the house โ€” posted pro-Palestinian images on her Facebook page.

PSA- Umm Al Qaiwain residents will get 50% off traffic fines from 1 December until 7 January 2024 to celebrate UAE Union Day, WAM reports. However, some severe traffic violations are excluded from the markdown, including reckless driving, making unauthorized alterations to vehicles, and damaging public or private property.


Dubai among worldโ€™s 10 โ€œmagneticโ€ cities: Dubai was ranked eighth in the 2023 Global Power City Index (GPCI) (pdf), a benchmark league table published by the Mori Memorial Foundationโ€™s Institute for Urban Strategies in Japan. This is the first time a Middle Eastern city has cracked into the GPCIโ€™s top 10.

Highest performers: London tops the list, followed by New York, Tokyo, Paris, and Singapore.

Whatโ€™s the GPCI? The GPCI, which has been published annually since 2008, is an index for assessing the performance and competitiveness of major cities around the world. It ranks cities in terms of how โ€œmagneticโ€ they are โ€” based on how attractive they are to people, capital, and businesses. That index is rated based on 70 sub-indicators that fall under six criteria: Economy, research and development, cultural interaction, livability, environment, and accessibility.

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

Fortune Global Forum is bringing the worldโ€™s biggest multinational companies to engage in discussion and address global issues. The event continues today and tomorrow in Abu Dhabi.

The World Green Economy Summit, focusing on investments in the global green economy, continues today and tomorrow at Dubaiโ€™s Madinat Jumeirah Conference Center.

Sole DXB is coming back to Dubai from 8-10 December. The culture festival will bring rap artists from all over the world to the Dubai Design District stage.

The Iran-UAE Joint Economic Cooperation Commission meeting will be held in the coming weeks in a bid to develop bilateral cooperation, deepen commercial ties, and boost trade. The location has yet to be announced.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

2

INVESTMENT WATCH

UAE, Pakistan leaders talk economy, bilateral ties

UAE + Pakistan inked a number of multi-bn USD agreements: Pakistan's Prime Minister Anwaar ul Haq Kakar met with UAEโ€™s President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed, where they inked an array of MoUs in areas of investment cooperation in energy, port operations, projects, logistics, aviation, banking and financial services, mining, food security, and wastewater treatment, according to a statement from the Pakistani prime ministerโ€™s office.

We donโ€™t have exact figures, but we know itโ€™s a lot: The MoUs are reported to be worth some USD multi-bn across the sectors, Arab News cites Kakar as saying in televised comments.

The visit by Kakar to UAE also saw the discussion of advancing ties in political, trade, economic, investment, cultural, defense, and people-to-people relations, according to the statement.

IN OTHER INVESTMENT NEWS-

Abu Dhabi International Food Exhibition (ADIFE) closed its first day with nine agreements worth AED 610 mn signed, according to a press release. The agreements included five MoUs, three cooperation agreements, and a sustainability agreement.

In detail: The MoUs included a partnership between the Arab Authority for Agricultural Investment and Development and Lamar Olive Oil, valued at over AED 110 mn, and the agreement between Agthia Group and Yellow Door Energy to establish two 5 MWp solar power plants

Adnoc facilitated over AED 500 mn in local food sourcing agreementsgeared towards food security and sustainability.

3

ECONOMY

UAE and China extend local currency swap agreement

The Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) and Peopleโ€™s Bank of China renewed their currency swap agreement yesterday for an additional five years, CBUAE said in a statement. The new agreement is valued at AED 18 bn (CNY 35 bn). The renewal provides local currency liquidity, making it easier for markets to settle cross-border commercial and financial transactions.

Remember: The UAE and China signed their first currency swap in 2012. The nationsโ€™ central banks have continued to renew the agreement to expand bilateral relations in financial and economic fields.

An MoU on digital currencies was also signed: A new MoU between the UAE and China will enhance digital currency development for central banks, according to the CBUAE press release. The MoU will prompt bilateral cooperation to train and develop the technical skills of specialists on both sides and support joint initiatives like the โ€œm-bridgeโ€ project, which uses digital currencies for international fund transfers.

4

CAPITAL MARKETS

Chinaโ€™s ICBC lists USD 2 bn green bonds on Nasdaq Dubai

ICBC rings the opening bell for green issuances on Nasdaq Dubai: The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) is listing USD 2.03 bn green bonds on Nasdaq Dubai, pushing the stock exchangeโ€™s green issuance total to USD 18.55 bn, according to a press release. The listing includes four multi-currency Belt and Road green issuances from the bankโ€™s branches in Dubai, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Luxembourg.

ESG milestone: Nasdaq Dubaiโ€™s ESG classified issuances reached USD 26.45 bn after the listing news, the statement notes. The ICBC green bond listing positions Nasdaq Dubai to meet the growing demand for sustainable financing instruments in the region, said the CEO of Nasdaq Dubai, Hamed Ali.

ICBC is now the largest green bond issuer on Nasdaq Dubai, having a cumulative total of USD 6.93 bn, Nasdaq Dubai said on LinkedIn. The bank is additionally the leading Chinese issuer on the stock exchange, contributing a total of USD 7.43 bn.

5

CAPITAL MARKETS

Emirates NBD and Erguvan launch pilot carbon management program for regional SMEs

ADX rolls out benchmark sustainability index ahead of COP28: The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) unveiled its inaugural FTSE Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) benchmark index, developed in partnership with FTSE Russell, according to a statement.

How will it work? The index will assess companiesโ€™ annual performance based on their ESG scores and public performance reports to encourage firms to ramp up their ESG and sustainability investments. The new index will initially feature 24 companies listed on both the ADX and the FTSE ADX General Index.

What they said: โ€œBy utilizing ESG scores sourced from LSEG Data & Analytics, we aim to provide a transparent and objective measure of companies' ESG performance. This announcement aligns perfectly with our broader partnership with ADX, as we work together to deliver a world-class suite of indices that cater to the needs of both retail and institutional investors, locally and globally,โ€ FTSE Russell CEO Fiona Bassett said.

6

ENERGY

Sharjah power plant expansion is now live

The new AED 2.1 bn expansion to the 1 GW Al Layyah power and desalination plant in Sharjah is now online after Sheikh Sultan Al Qasimi inaugurated the project yesterday, state news agency WAM reports. The plant constitutes 40% of Sharjahโ€™s current electricity grid output.

More on the plant: Al Layyah project has a dual gas turbine with 345 MW capacity, two heat waste recovery boilers, and a steam turbine with 336 MW capacity. The plant is supposed to produce 1,026 MW worth of energy and has an operational efficiency of 58%. It is expected to reduce 2.2 tons of carbon emissions annually.

The contractors:Mitsubishi installed the M701F gas turbines mid-2022 and Egyptโ€™s ElSewedyElectric installed the steam turbine just recently. In 2019, both those companies were awarded USD 550 mn EPC contract for this project.

Who financed the project? The Japan Bank for International Cooperation, Sociรฉtรฉ Gรฉnรฉrale, ING Bank and Standard Chartered Bank provided the funds for Al Layyah station, with Japanese state-owned Nippon Export and Investment Insurance (NEXI) providing the insurance cover, according to Power Technology.

7

LEGISLATION WATCH

UAE president expands Federal National Council oversight

FNC oversight expanded:The Federal National Council (FNC) โ€” the UAEโ€™s parliamentary body โ€” will now have broader legislative and oversight functions, following a decision from President Mohammed bin Zayed on Monday. The amendments have been in discussions since June, reports WAM.

Membership notices: Council members are not considered public employees unless federal laws specifically state otherwise. Members also cannot hold their council positions alongside other government or public service jobs, including ministerial roles.

Council sessions: Tech could now be used during council meetings during emergencies. FNC meetings usually take place in person in Abu Dhabi unless the body itself decides otherwise. Skipping important meetings without a good reason is a no-go for members. Continued absence could mean a warning or even being asked to step down.

8

CONSTRUCTION

UAE construction industry to grow 6.9% in 2023 -Research and Markets

The construction industry in the UAE is expected to grow 6.9% y-o-y by value this year, reaching AED 265 mn, according to the latest industry report by Research and Markets. Sustained growth projections point towards a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.7%, with output reaching AED 332 mn by 2027.

Construction had a good 1H 2023, despite global economic downturns on the back of various infrastructure investments and surges in residential construction initiatives. With megaprojects underway, construction growth is expected to persist well into the latter half of 2023, and 1Q 2024, the report indicates.

Thatโ€™s quality real estate: High net investors in the Emirates had quite a bit of an appetite for luxury real estate post covid-19, and the sentiment is expected to continue over the next few quarters. Some of the major luxury residential investments this year include the USD 763 mn Sobha realty in Dubai unveiled in April, as well as Lux Developerโ€™s AED 1.5 bn luxury twin towers in June. Right now, Taraf is constructing Luce in Palm Jumeirah with a development value of USD 95 mn.

Rapid construction growth is also driven by increased real estate projects and investments in non-energy infrastructure. Key ongoing projects outlined in the report include: the Etihad Rail Network, Abu Dhabi Midfield Terminal, and Dubai Urban Tech District. Thereโ€™s also Abu Dhabiโ€™s Rabdan City which is currently undergoing infrastructure enhancements, and Aldar Properties Gardenia Bay project which is set to commence in Q1 2024.

The only downside is the building material prices: At the start of 2023, property developers were content with lower building material costs which spurred on the new projects, however steel and cement prices have been on the rise since June 2023. The increased material prices potentially pose a threat, squeezing construction projects and potentially slowing them down as the price burden trickles to the consumers.

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9

UAE IN THE NEWS

UAE in the News on 29 October 2023

COP is all anyone is talking about in the international press when it comes to the UAE, with all eyes on Dubai just two days ahead of the eagerly awaited climate conference. Adnocโ€™s role at the conference remained under the spotlight. (Business Insider | The Messenger | Power Technology | The Independent)

Also making headlines:

  • The UK is talking about the potential UAE-backed takeover of the Telegraph newspaper, with some readers expressing concerns. (Middle East Monitor) (Press Gazette)
10

ALSO ON OUR RADAR

DP World breaks ground on logistics park in Egyptโ€™s Ain Sokhna port + SMEs are going greener. PLUS: Updates from Hyundai + Beeโ€™ah, Abu Dhabi Airport, Wizz Air, and more

LOGISTICS-

DP World breaks ground on Sokhna logistics park: Emirati port operator DP World has broken ground at its USD 80 mn DP World-Sokhna Logistic Park at Sokhna Industrial Zone, according to a Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone) press release. The 300k square meter project looks to provide services to local and regional logistics, commerce, and distribution sectors, bolstering supply chains and trade. The first phase of the project is slated for completion by the close of 2024 and will see investments worth USD 50 mn, Regional Director of DP World Group Urs Moll added. Operations at the logistics park will kick off after the construction of the projectโ€™s first phase is completed, the statement said.

Background: DP World had inked the construction agreement for the investment with the SCZone Main Development Company in August 2022.

ENERGY-

ACX rolls out biodiesel + SAF trading platform: AirCarbon Exchange (ACX) has launched a physical trading platform in ADGM allowing regulated 24/5 trading for biodiesel, renewable diesel (HVO), sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and related feedstocks, according to a press release. The platform is the first of its kind to support biofuels markets, operating under the Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) as a Recognized Investment Exchange (RIE).

Participants get certification: Participants trading on the ACX platform will be certified under the International Sustainability and Carbon Certification Program (ISCC), co-founder and co-CEO of ACX, William Pazos, said in the press release.

ACXBiofuels will introduce the first global physical SAF biofuels contract to facilitate trading in European aviation fuel sustainability mandates,starting 1 January, 2025. Until then, buyers and sellers can trade existing biofuels contracts, with the option to use book-and-claim protocol as approved by CORDIA and ICAO.

CRYPTO-

#1- Wio Bank x Fuze to launch crypto trading platform: Abu Dhabi-based digital bank Wio inked an agreement with digital infrastructure platform Fuze to provide virtual assets trading services, according to a press release. The bankโ€™s customers will be able to buy and sell cryptocurrencies and virtual assets through Wio Personal, Wio Bankโ€™s new digital banking application.

About Fuze: Fuzeโ€™s platform enables banks and fintechs to offer customers access to digital assets. The startup raised USD 14 mn in August, in a seed round led by Abu Dhabi-based VC firm Further Ventures.

#2- Dubaiโ€™s crypto regulator awards first license to a crypto hedge fund: Dubaiโ€™s Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) has greenlit Dubai-based digital hedge fund Nine Blocks Capital Management for a digital assets license, the Nine Blocks said in a press statement. The license permits the fund to provide crypto and virtual asset services to users in Dubai.

Nine Blocks will also set up its global headquarters in Dubai, according to the statement. Founded in 2021, the hedge fund describes itself as a โ€œneutral trading shop,โ€ specializing in market-neutral crypto strategies and boasting assets under management worth some USD 100 mn.

GAMING-

South Korean gaming giant eyes further UAE expansion: South Korean game developer Wemade is looking to join forces with Dubai Chambers to develop the blockchain gaming industry in Dubai and the UAE, according to a press statement. The potential collaboration was discussed during a meeting held between Dubai Chambers President CEO Mohammed Ali Rashed Lootah and Wemade CEO Henry Chang, who is currently in the UAE to attend the Abu Dhabi Finance Week.

Wemade are no newcomers to the UAE: The gaming company had launched its blockchain subsidiary, Wemix Mena LTD in Abu Dhabi earlier this year.

REAL ESTATE-

New Grade-A commercial office space coming by 2027: Dubai Multi CommoditiesCentre (DMCC) and Dubai-based real estate developer Sweid & Sweid will open a new 500k sqft office space by 2026 dubbed โ€œSweid Oneโ€ located in the Jumeirah Lakes Towers (JLT) district, according to a press release.

TECH-

Abu Dhabiโ€™s Advanced Technology Research Council: (ATRC) opened a new AI company named AI71, to provide businesses and countries with cyber security solutions, Gulf Today writes. AI71 partnered with the office of Omar Al Olama, Minister of State for Artificial Intelligence, Digital Economy, and Remote Work Applications, as well as global players such as Amazon Web Services, PwC, World Wide Technology, and CNTXT.

GREEN MOBILITY-

Hyundai + Beeโ€™ah to test hydrogen trucks in UAE: Hyundai Motor Company and Bee'ah Group signed an MoU to promote hydrogen mobility in the UAE, according to a statement. Hyundai Motor will provide its XCIENT Fuel Cell electric truck to Beeโ€™ah to use as the group is exploring hydrogen fuel vehicles to decarbonize its waste management fleet operations and to advance emissions-free mobility. The two parties will cooperate in the fuel cell electric truck demonstration project to confirm the truck's feasibility in the UAE.

The region's green mobility sector is booming: Danish transport and logistics company DSV recently said it will roll out a fully electric long-range truck fleet in the UAE. Saudi's Naqel Express by SPL also announced the launch of its first fleet of electric transport trucks in the kingdom. Saudi Arabiaโ€™s Transport General Authority rolled out the kingdomโ€™s first heavy-duty hydrogen-fuelled truck.

SUSTAINABILITY-

Emirates NBD and Erguvan to make SMEs greener: Emirates NBD and Erguvan are launching a pilot program to assist regional SMEs in adopting the carbon management solution โ€œAzalt,โ€ scheduled for release in early 2024, according to a media release. The software-as-a-service (SaaS) is designed to identify greenhouse gas emission hotspots and implement data-driven reduction campaigns for businesses of all sizes through its user-friendly carbon management digital platform. The tool was developed by the climate and technology venture Erguvan, in which Emirates NBD recently invested.

Why SMEs? SMEs contribute significantly to greenhouse gas emissions yet often lack awareness of cost-effective digital sustainability tools, according to the media release. Azalt is forecasted to help the companies measure, reduce, and offset their carbon footprints, based on the success of a proof-of-concept project with EKOS Electric, a subsidiary of Emirates NBD and an SME of DenizBank.

CYBERSECURITY-

Emirates NBD x Dubai Police roll out safe banking campaign: Emirates NBD hasjoined forces with Dubai police and comms agency Leo Burnett to launch #IWillSurvive (watch, runtime: 1:41), a safe banking campaign, according to a press release. The campaign targets raising public awareness UAE-wide about cybersecurity to promote reporting online fraudulent activity. In addition to the media campaign, the bank regularly sends emails, SMS messages and posts across its social media channels to help the Emirates NBDโ€™s clients with recognizing possible scams and phishing attacks

AVIATION-

Abu Dhabi Airport has big expansion plans: Abu Dhabi Airport is looking to attract more airlines to fly to the UAE capital as well as increase its passenger capacity from 45 mn to 65 mn within 10 years, managing director and interim CEO of Abu Dhabi Airports Elena Sorlini told The National. The airport is eyeing Asia and China in particular as targets from which to attract airlines, Elena Sorlini, managing director and interim chief executive of Abu Dhabi Airports, told The National. โ€œThe target is to enhance the connectivity of Abu Dhabi and to unlock its potential from a tourist, trade and air cargo perspective,โ€ Sorlini added.

ICYMI-Twenty-eight international airlines are now fully operational from Abu Dhabi International Airports Terminal A, making it the primary terminal serving the airport. The transition to Terminal A aims to boost the airport's capacity, with the ability to process some 45 mn travelers annually and handle 79 planes at once. The terminal launched operations at the start of November.

More flights with Egypt: Hungarian airline Wizz Air is planning to offer daily flights between Abu Dhabi and Gizaโ€™s Sphinx International Airport, according to Al Mal. The budget carrier currently operates four flights a week between the two cities.

11

PLANET FINANCE

Greenback slips to three-month lows as market bets in Fed rate cuts

Investors are ditching the greenback: The USD fell to three-month lows yesterday, putting it on track for its worst monthly performance in a year, after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller hinted at the possibility of rate cuts in the coming months, the Financial Times wrote. The USD index โ€” which tracks the greenback against a basket of currencies โ€” dipped to its lowest since mid-August yesterday, and has lost 3.6% this month in a sign that financial conditions are easing.

What he said: โ€œI am increasingly confident that policy is currently well positioned to slow the economy and get inflation back to 2%, Waller โ€” a hawkish member of the Fed board โ€” said yesterday. If inflation continues to decline for โ€œseveral more months โ€ฆ we could start lowering the policy rate.โ€

US treasuries gained ground: Yields on US government debt fell to two-month lows following Wallerโ€™s comments. The rate on the 10-year bond slipped further to 4.35%, and has now fallen from above 5% in just five weeks.

A cause for celebration in our neck of the woods: A weakening greenback is good news for countries with USD-denominated debts or for those heavily dependent on imports, like Egypt. A weaker USD makes it cheaper to service USD debt and to pay for imports.

Rain on our parade: Another Fed governor, Michelle Bowman, still believes that further hikes may be in the cards to bring inflation down โ€œin a timely way.โ€ She warned against โ€œprematurely declaring victory in the fight against inflation.โ€

Could targeting MDBs avail investments for climate action? BlackRock researchers think targeting multilateral development banks (MDBs) could make available as much as USD 4 tn for climate-related investments in emerging markets, according to a paper published yesterday. The multinational investment company suggested MDB reforms to address the climate financing gap, focusing on financing infrastructure investments in emerging markets, and backing initial losses in climate-related projects.

Diversification needed: BlackRock highlighted that climate investment often leans too much towards the US, Europe, and China, leaving major financing gaps in emerging markets. The investment firm said MDBs are pivotal in mobilizing private capital, recommending MDB participation in AAA-rated bond issuance and โ€œputtable green bondsโ€ to mitigate investment risks.

Stop us if this sounds familiar: The BlackRock paper highlights the familiar problem of emerging marketsโ€™ struggle to access capital to address climate change, reports Bloomberg.

ALSO WORTH NOTING-

  • Gulf states look โ€˜very, very attractiveโ€™ to Ray Dalio: Bnโ€™aire hedge fund investor Ray Dalio, founder of the worldโ€™s largest hedge fund Bridgewater Associates and recent subject of a negative take in a high-profile biography that suggests his secret sauce wasnโ€™t a method, but his whim, emphasized the GCCโ€™s fast-emerging appeal to global investors amid a changing world order. (CNBC)

ADX

9,541

+0.3% (YTD: -6.6%)

DFM

4,009

+0.4% (YTD: +20.2%)

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20

3794.08

-0.8% (YTD: -5.6%)

USD : AED CBUAE

Buy 3.67

Sell 3.67

EIBOR

5.1% o/n

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TASI

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EGX30

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S&P 500

4,555

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FTSE 100

7,455

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Euro Stoxx 50

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Brent crude

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Natural gas (Nymex)

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Gold

USD 2,060

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BTC

USD 37,979

+2.5% (YTD: +131.2%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The ADX rose 0.3% yesterday on turnover of AED 127.82 mn. The index is down 6.6% YTD.

In the green: Gulf Cement Company (+5.9%), Emirates Stallions Group (+3.9%) and Dana Gas (+2.4%).

In the red: Foodco (-5.7%), Bildco (-2.1%) and Americana Restaurants (-2.9%).

It is looking like another mixed session for Asian markets in early trading this morning with indices split between gains and losses. Futures suggest a mixed open in Europe later this morning, while major US benchmarks are likely to rise at the opening bell.


27-29 November (Monday-Wednesday): Abu Dhabi International Food Exhibition, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre.

27-29 November (Monday-Wednesday): Fortune Global Forum, Emirates Palace Mandarin Oriental.

27-30 November (Monday-Thursday): Abu Dhabi Finance Week (ADFW), Abu Dhabi.

28-29 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): World Green Economy Summit, Madinat Jumeirah Conference & Events Centre.

30 November (Thursday): Commemoration day, national holiday.

30 November-12 December: COP28, Expo City Dubai.

Signposted to happen some time in November:

  • Annual cabinet meeting.

DECEMBER

1-3 December (Friday-Sunday): Dubai Rugby 7s Tournament.

2-3 December (Saturday-Sunday): UAE national holiday.

4 December (Monday): Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week (ADSW) summit, Dubai, UAE.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): Big 5 Global, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): The Big 5 Heavy, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): Middle East Concrete, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): HAVAC R Expo, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): International Conference on Global Warming: The Critical Role of Oceans, Ras Al-Khaimah.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): Windows Door & Facades event, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): Gulf Glass, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): Middle East Stone, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): FM EXPO, Dubai World Trade Centre.

7 December (Thursday): Everything Architecture, Dubai World Trade Centre.

3-10 December (Monday-Sunday): Al Dhafra Book Festival, near Madinat Zayed.

8-9 December (Friday-Saturday): Global EV Show 2023, TBA.

8 December-14 January: Dubai Shopping Festival, City wide.

8-10 December (Friday-Sunday): Dubai EarthSoul Festival, Dubai Media City Amphitheatre.

8-10 December (Friday-Sunday): Sole DXB 2023, Dubai Design District.

12-14 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Organic & Natural Expo Dubai 2023, Dubai World Trade Centre.

13-15 December (Wednesday-Friday): ArabPlast 2023, Dubai World Trade Centre.

15-16 December (Friday-Saturday): Super Angels Summit, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre.

Signposted to happen sometime in December:

2024

JANUARY

1 January (Monday): New years day, national holiday.

9-11 January (Tuesday-Thursday): Dubai International Pharmaceuticals and Technologies Conference and Exhibition, Dubai World Trade Centre.

9-11 January (Tuesday-Thursday): Gulf Print and Pack, Dubai World Trade Centre.

21-23 January: World of Coffee Dubai, Dubai World Trade Centre.

29 January- 1 February: Arab Health, Dubai World Trade Centre.

FEBRUARY

12-13 February (Monday-Tuesday): Breakbulk Middle East conference, Dubai Trade Centre.

12-14 February (Monday-Wednesday): Sustainable Aviation Futures MENA Congress, Hotel Dubai Mall.

7-8 February (Wednesday-Thursday): Sharjah Investment Forum, Al Jawaher Reception and Convention Centre.

26-28 February (Monday-Wednesday): Management and Sustainability of Water Resources, Marriott Hotel Al Jaddaf.

28-29 February (Wednesday-Thursday): Ras Al Khaimah Investment and Trade Summit, Rak Exhibition Centre.

28 February-1 March (Wednesday-Friday): MENA Transport Congress and Exhibition 2024, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in February:

  • World Trade Organization Ministerial Conference, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

MARCH

5-6 March (Tuesday-Wednesday): MRO Middle East, Dubai Trade Centre.

5-7 March (Tuesday-Thursday): World Police Summit, Dubai World Trade Centre.

12 March (Tuesday): Start of Ramadan, public holiday.

APRIL

11 April (Thursday): End of Ramadan, public holiday.

12 April (Friday): Eid Al-Fitr, public holiday.

16-18 April (Tuesday-Thursday): World Future Energy Summit, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre.

16-18 April (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Coatings Show, Dubai World Trade Centre.

23-25 April (Tuesday-Thursday): Connecting Green Hydrogen MENA, Madinat Jumeirah Conference Centre.

MAY

8-9 May (Wednesday-Thursday): Innovative Finance Expo, Jumeirah Emirates Towers.

14-15 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Seamless Middle East, Dubai World Trade Centre.

JUNE

4-6 June (Tuesday-Thursday): The Hotel Show, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-6 June (Tuesday-Thursday): INDEX, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-6 June (Tuesday-Thursday): WORKSPACE, Dubai World Trade Centre.

4-6 June (Tuesday-Thursday): Leisure Show, Dubai World Trade Centre.

15 June (Saturday): Arafat day, national holiday.

16-18 June (Sunday-Tuesday): Eid Al-Adha, national holiday.

JULY

7 July (Sunday): Islamic new year, national holiday.

SEPTEMBER

9-11 September (Monday-Wednesday): World Utilities Congress, Abu Dhabi.

OCTOBER

30-1 November (Wednesday-Friday): World Cities Cultural Summit, Dubai.

NOVEMBER

11-14 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC, Abu Dhabi.

11-14 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi.

11-14 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Decarbonisation Accelerator, Abu Dhabi.

DECEMBER

2-3 December (Monday-Tuesday): National Day, public holiday.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Business Aviation, Dubai World Central.

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