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ADNH Catering’s shares flat on ADX debut

1

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS MORNING: Pearl Petroleum to issue USD 300 mn bonds? + Dubai slashed 29% emissions last year

Good morning, friends. It’s yet another busy day of news — we have an update on ADNH Catering’s ADX debut, fresh figures for Dubai’s commercial and luxury property markets in 3Q 2024, debt and M&A news, and a lot more. Let’s dive in.

WEATHER Cloudy skies with moderate to heavy rain are forecast across areas of the UAE today, particularly in eastern and western regions. Dubai will see a high of 37°C and a low of 31°C. In Abu Dhabi, expect a high of 35°C and an overnight low of 30°C today.

Dubai Islamic Bank (DIB) listed its USD 500 mn additional Tier 1 (AT1) sukuk on Nasdaq Dubai, after they were sold earlier this month at an annual yield rate of 5.25%, according to the Dubai Media Office. The issuance saw a reset spread of 133.4 bps over the US Treasury rate — the lowest for any AT1 issuance since the 2009 financial crisis — driven by strong demand.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Pearl Petroleum to launch USD 300 mn bonds: Pearl Petroleum, a consortium comprising five companies, including Dana Gas and Crescent Petroleum, has reportedly engaged banks to arrange a potential USD 300 mn bond issuance, Zawya reports. The hydrocarbon producer, which operates in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, appointed Norway’s DNB Markets and Pareto Securities AS as joint lead managers and bookrunners to facilitate investor meetings ahead of the issuance. The USD 300 mn senior secured bonds are expected to have a maturity of 3.5 years.

Background: The company had planned to issue USD 350 mn bonds in 2019, but later reportedly scrapped the issuance on slow demand.


#2- Bank of Sharjah is in talks to sell its wholly-owned subsidiary Emirates LebanonBank, but ongoing geopolitical tensions have hindered the transaction from moving forward, Bank of Sharjah’s CEO Mohamed Khadiri told CNBC Arabia. A revaluation of the bank ahead of its sale is also on the table.

#2- The UAE plans to boost trade with Singapore to USD 9 bn over the next seven years, up from USD 5.8 bn in 2023, UAE’s Economy Minister Abdullah Bin Touq Al Marri told CNBC.

#3- Thailand is looking to finalize its trade agreement with the UAE in 2025, Thailand’s Commerce Minister Pichai Naripthaphan told Bloomberg. Thailand is also currently seeking a food security agreement with the UAE, which would bolster the UAE’s stockpile of commodities like frozen chicken, rice, and ready-to-eat products. Similar agreements are also underway with other GCC countries.

The rationale: The Thai government believes that the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could pressure the region’s food supplies if the conflict escalates. “We propose that we can hold the food for every country that buys it, and we can ship it to them within 24 hours,” Naripthaphan said.

Background: Thailand and the UAE agreed to launch trade talks in May of last year, with an eye to wrap talks this year.

PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTS-

UAE residents traveling to Indonesia will be able to get a pre-approved electronic visa on arrival via email when submitting their application online via the VFS Global website ahead of departure, according to a press release. This is after the Directorate General of Immigration under Indonesia’s Law and Human Rights Ministry appointed VFS Global as the exclusive provider for the electronic visa service, which is set to launch in December 2024 for residents of the UAE and Saudi Arabia, among 97 other eligible countries.

DATA POINTS-

#1- The UAE’s latest AED-denominated T-Sukuk auction raised AED 1.1 bn, with AED 7.2 bn in bids, reflecting a 6.5x oversubscription, Wam reports. The auction was part of the Islamic T-Sukuk issuance program for 4Q.

The details: The tranche maturing in May 2027 offered a yield of 4.10%, with a spread of 10 basis points above US Treasuries bonds of similar maturities at the time of issuance. The tranche maturing in September 2029 provided a yield of 4.12%, with a spread of 12 basis points above US Treasuries.


#2- Dubai is steadily going green: Dubai slashed its carbon emissions by 29% in 2023, thanks to the ongoing green energy projects and programs, the Dubai Supreme Council of Energy (DSCE) said in its latest meeting, according to the Dubai Media Office. The progress propels the emirate towards its target to cut emissions by 30% by 2030.

What is next for Dubai? The DSCE approved a program during its meeting to boost the participation of the private sector in building EV charging stations, Vice Chairman of the council Saeed Mohammed Al Tayer said, without providing further details on the program.

ALSO- Abu Dhabi is on track to have 40% of its electricity generated from renewable energy sources by the end of 2024, in line with the emirate’s plan to raise the figure to 60% by 2035, Wam quotes Awaidha Murshed Ali Al Marar, chairman of the Abu Dhabi Department of Energy, as saying.


#2- Aani has onboarded over 1 mn customers in a year: Over 1 mn customers and 80k merchants have joined the central bank-backed instant payment platform Aani since its inception in October 2023, Gulf News quotes CEO of the central bank’s digital payments arm Al Etihad Payments Jan Pilbauer as saying.

About Aani: The Aani app allows customers and retailers to make instant payments 24/7,

including proxy and QR-based payments.


#3- The UAE is projected to welcome around 800 high net worth individuals (HNWIs) and their families from the UK this year amid a wider exodus of HNWIs from the country, according to Henley & Partners’ estimate.

The reason for the exodus? High taxes in the UK — and concerns that the new Labour government might hike them even further — are the main reason behind HNWIs choosing to leave the country.

It’s not just the UK: The UAE is set to receive a total of 6.7k m’naires by the end of 2024, UBS said earlier. After the UK, the UAE will see some 720 HNWIs come from the US, 300 from Australasia, and more than 250 m’naires from the Caribbean Islands.


#4- UAE lenders’ accumulated debt to SMEs hit AED 81.2 bn in 1H 2024, representing 9.5% of the AED 855.7 bn in total loans and credit facilities provided to the trade and industrial sector by the end of the first six months of the year, Wam reports, citing data from CBUAE.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- It’s the final day of the Brics summit in Kazan, Russia, where President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan is in attendance. This marks the UAE’s first participation in the summit since its formal admission as a member last year.

#2- The UAE is also participating in the International Monetary Fund and World Bank GroupAnnual Meetings, which kicked off on Monday in Washington, DC. The UAE Finance Ministry will host the UAE Banks Reception on the sidelines to build connections between the UAE’s public and private sectors and international financial institutions. The meetings wrap up on Saturday.

What to expect: Our Planet Finance from earlier this week laid out the big themes to look out for and the global challenges structuring the conversation.

#3- The Foreseeing Government Audit Future Conference will take place on 24 October at Madinat Jumeirah, Wam reports. Organized by the Financial Audit Authority, the event will be held under the theme “Tomorrow’s Auditor” and will gather key figures, senior officials, and experts in auditing, finance, and economics to discuss the future of government auditing.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

It’s the first time in a long time that business news makes it to most front pages of the foreign press, as earnings season heats up and aircraft maker Boeing faces its toughest time yet with factory workers set to vote on a contract that could end a five-week strike.

#1- Boeing reported USD 6 bn in losses that its new CEO Kelly Ortberg chalked up to “serious performance lapses” and an erosion of investor confidence, as factory workers vote on new wage terms that could end their ongoing strike. (Reuters | Financial Times | Wall Street Journal)

#2- Tesla’s earnings are also getting a lot of ink, with the EV maker reporting a higher than expected bottom line and profitability for its cybertruck, marking a turnaround after a few disappointing quarters. The EV maker now expects 20% growth in vehicle sales next year. Its shares jumped 12% in extended trading on the news. (FT | CNBC | CNN)

#3- Apple is gearing up to launch its updated Macbook Air with the M4 chip, and its low-end iPad and revamped iPhone SE, in early 2025, Bloomberg reports.

ALSO GETTING ATTENTION- The US elections are still looking as tight as ever with the two candidates statistically tied among likely voters in the seven swing states in the Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll, leaving it up to the final weeks of rallies and campaigns to decide who will come out on top.

AND- Israel continued to strike Beirut’s southern suburbs yesterday, as Hezbollah said it fired precision guided missiles at Israeli targets for the first time. One strike hit the office of Al-Mayadeen, killing at least one person and wounding five others. (Reuters)

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2

IPO WATCH

ADNH Catering’s shares flat on ADX debut

Abu Dhabi National Hotels’ (ADNH) catering arm ADNH Catering had an underwhelming start on the ADX, briefly rising 0.1% before settling back to its listing price of AED 0.96 within 30 minutes of trading. Demand was muted, with only 16.5k shares trading against a supply of approximately 194k, Asharq Business reports. ADNH Catering’s shares ended the trading session unchanged.

REFRESHER- ADNH Catering raised AED 864 mn after taking a 40% stake to the market and pricing it at the upper end of the AED 0.91-0.96 range on which it had guided. The offering was “multiple times” oversubscribed, giving the company a market cap of AED 2.2 bn.

What’s next? The company’s next chapter will focus on “expanding [ADNH Catering’s] operations in the UAE and Saudi Arabia,” CEO Clive Cowley said in a statement. ADNH Catering previously expressed interest in expanding in the KSA’s “Eastern region,” including Jeddah and Riyadh, where the company currently operates via its JV with Compass Group, ADNH Compass, in which it bought out the remaining stake for AED 227 mn back in March.

ADNH Catering had it slightly better than Alef: Abu Dhabi-based edtech firm Alef Education also had a rough start, with shares falling 18% on its first day of trading. Alef’s shares were trading at AED 1.18 at market close yesterday — down 12.6% YTD. The edtech firm raised AED 1.89 bn from its share sale.

ADVISORS- First Abu Dhabi Bank, Emirates NBD, Citigroup, and Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB) acted as joint bookrunners, with Citigroup and FAB also acting as joint coordinators. FAB was also the lead receiving bank of the IPO, with Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank, ADCB, Emirates NBD, and Emirates Islamic Bank also acting as receiving banks. ADNH tapped BHM Capital as price stabilization manager.

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M&A WATCH

Fashion rental platform Best Kept Shared acquires Bazaara. Plus: IHC ups stake in Emircom

Dubai-based e-commerce platform Best Kept Shared acquired fashion resale platform Bazaara for an undisclosed amount, according to Best Kept Shared’s press release. The acquisition will see Bazaara’s network integrated into Best Kept Shared’s existing infrastructure, expanding the latter’s inventory as it looks to boost its user base.

About the companies The company operates as a fashion rental platform by offering designer clothing and accessories for rent and resale. Bazaara is also a peer-to-peer resale platform.

OTHER M&A NEWS-

IHC fully acquires Emircom: International Holding Company (IHC) increased its stake in IT firm Emircom by an additional 46% for AED 292 mn, giving it 100% ownership of the company, according to an ADX disclosure (pdf).

Background: In 2022, IHC acquired a 54% stake in Emircom for USD 250 mn in a bid to expand its digital asset portfolio.

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INVESTMENT WATCH

Adia to invest USD 750 mn in GMR Group's debt

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (Adia) will invest some USD 750 mn in the debt of Indian infrastructure firm and airport operator GMR Group, Reuters reports, citing an exchange filing. The funds will be used to refinance GMR Group’s external debt as it looks to reduce pledged shareholding in its airports business, Reuters added. The company reported a total debt of INR 44.77 bn (c. USD 532.5 mn), an increase of nearly 4% y-o-y, in its latest annual report.

Adia ❤️ India: The sovereign wealth fund spent nearly AED 3.67 bn on its Indian portfolio in 1H 2024. The most notable transactions include a USD 1.5 bn investment made alongside US private equity firm KKR in Indian Reliance Retail’s warehousing assets. It also entered a AED 881.52 mn quasi-equity agreement with Indian real estate development company Prestige to develop residential project in India and backed Indian retailer Purplle in a USD 120 mn funding round.

And there’s more to come: The sovereign wealth fund is also eyeing a 51% stake in Indian food brand Haldiram, valued at USD 4.76 bn, and a 10% stake in education loan provider HDFC Credila Financial Services. It’s also reportedly among the shortlisted bidders for the Indian government’s 23.15% stake in Indian telco Vodafone Idea.

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REAL ESTATE

Dubai’s commercial real estate sees rising prices despite dip in sales. Plus: Luxury market on track for a record year + Ajman had a strong 3Q

Commercial property sales in Dubai climbed to AED 23.16 bn in 3Q 2024 despite a slight dip in the volume of sales, marking a 28.7% y-o-y increase, according to Engel & Völkers Middle East’s latest commercial market report (pdf). Sales transactions fell 6.5% y-o-y during the quarter to just 2.8k transactions, dominated mostly by secondary transactions.

Both offices and retail units were popular during the quarter, with sales of the former up 12.6% y-o-y and the latter up 16.8% y-o-y. Business Bay dominated the lion’s share of transactions, with 422 trades made at an average price of AED 5.6 mn.

Rental transactions were down in 3Q: The emirate logged approximately 48.9k transactions in the commercial rental market during the quarter, falling 1.9% y-o-y. Still, average rental prices increased, growing 4% for office and retail spaces and 19% for warehouse rents.

By the district: Deira remained the leading destination for both office and retail spaces, recording 16k retail transactions and 4k office transactions. Meanwhile, Business Bay and Jumeirah Lakes Towers were top choices for Grade A office rentals.

THE LUXURY MARKET-

Dubai’s luxury market is on track for a record-breaking year, despite a 6% y-o-y decline in sales over AED 10 mn during 3Q, Engel & Völkers Middle East said in a separate residential market report (pdf). Activity levels in the luxury market are still significantly higher than 2H 2023, driven by “an ongoing influx of high-net-worth individuals to the emirate.”

The breakdown: Palm Jumeirah topped the market with 110 sales priced at over AED 10 mn recorded, including three transactions exceeding AED 200 mn and a penthouse sold for AED 275 mn. The Oasis came second with 101 units sold, followed by Nad Al Sheba (91) and Mohammed Bin Rashid City (78).

ICYMI- Dubai’s real estate market achieved record-breaking sales in 3Q 2024, with a 38.2% y-o-y increase to over 50.4k transactions. The 50.4k transactions reeled in AED 142 bn for the sector, up 30.1% y-o-y. Off-plan sales accounted for 63% of total transactions, surging 58.7% y-o-y and drawing in AED 67.45 bn.

OVER IN AJMAN-

Ajman’s property market reeled in AED 5.52 bn across over 4k transactions in 3Q 2024, reflecting a 22.7% y-o-y increase, Wam reports. Sales value for the quarter exceeded AED 3.69 bn from 3.1k trades, with Al Rumaila 3 logging the highest sales at AED 100 mn. A total of 649 mortgages were recorded, totalling AED 1.21 bn.

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FINANCE

FAB raises USD 200 mn from second-ever fixed maturity roll-out

FAB launches debut fixed maturity sukuk fund as part of new USD 200 mn portfolio: First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB) has raised USD 200 mn in assets under management from its second fixed maturity portfolio, which it launched earlier this month, according to a pressrelease. The portfolio includes the lender’s second series of conventional fixed maturity bonds, in addition to its inaugural Sharia-compliant fixed maturity portfolio.

The details: The three-year conventional fixed maturity fund has a yield of 5.50%, while the sukuk portfolio carries a yield of 4.50%. The two funds are designed to deliver returns through quarterly dividends, which will be distributed to investors or reinvested.

This is FAB’s second fixed maturity offering, following the launch of its first series in August 2023. This series has a fixed maturity of five years and consists primarily of USD-denominated fixed income, floating rate securities, and government-issued debt instruments.

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HEALTHCARE

Healthcare spending set to grow until 2028 amid rising demand

The public and private sectors are set to ramp up healthcare spending in the UAE amid economic diversification plans and rising demand, with public health expenditure forecast to grow at a 7.7% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2022-2028, Fitch Solutions company BMI said in a report. Private health spending is expected to rise faster, at 9.3%.

ICYMI- The cabinet approved an AED 71.5 bn budget for the country in 2025 earlier this month — the largest in the UAE’s history, and setting out a 12% y-o-y increase in expenditure compared to 2024’s budget of AED 64.06 bn. Healthcare and community prevention services account for 8% of the final spending plan.

The growing healthcare budget signals “the increasing importance of the health sector for the country as it pursues non-oil economic diversification as part of its broader non-oil economic diversification efforts,” BMI said.

The UAE is set to have the second highest per capita healthcare spending among GCC countries by 2030, after Qatar, at around USD 3.3k per capita.

Demand for healthcare is up: The rollout of universal health ins. next year is expected to propel demand in the sector, particularly in the Northern Emirates, where health ins. was previously not mandatory, according to the report, alongside changing demographics, including a rising elderly population.

The move comes as the UAE’s medical tourism has been on the rise, with over 691k medical tourists visiting Dubai last year.

8

LEGISLATION WATCH

Sharjah establishes independent judiciary

Sharjah establishes its own judiciary: Sharjah ruler Sheikh Sultan bin Mohammed Al Qasimi issued a decree establishing a judicial council in the emirate, Wam reports. The council, which will have financial and administrative autonomy, will serve as the highest authority overseeing the judiciary in Sharjah, helping the ruler manage and organize legal affairs.

In a separate decree, the Public Prosecution was formed as an independent body to handle investigations and prosecutions, reporting directly to the Judicial Council. A Judicial Department was also set up to manage Sharjah’s courts and judicial services. Previously, Sharjah’s courts operated under the UAE’s federal judiciary system.

What’s next? Three new laws will be introduced to formally establish each of the bodies and their regulations.

9

STARTUP WATCH

Mobility startup invygo raises USD 8 mn in series A extension round

UAE-born car rental startup invygo closed a USD 8 mn Series A extension round, led by STV ’s newly established NICE Fund with participation from existing investors Al Rajhi Partners, Arab Bank Ventures, SPV, MEVP, and C5, according to a press release (pdf). The company expects to achieve profitability by the close of FY 2024.

The pitch: Co-founded in the UAE in 2019 by Eslam Hussein (Linkedin) and Pulkit Ganjoo (Linkedin), the Saudi headquartered company operates in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar and allows users to pick, drive, swap, and attain ownership of cars through a subscription model. The startup has topped USD 100 mn in yearly gross merchandise value (GMV) and has raised upwards of USD 22 mn to date from regional and multinational investors.

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EARNINGS WATCH

ADCB, CBD, Sawaeed, and Easylease report 3Q earnings

ADCB-

Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank’s (ADCB) net income increased by 23.1% y-o-y to AED 2.4 bn in 3Q 2024 on the back of strong loan growth and an increase in fees and commission, according to its management report (pdf) and financial statements (pdf). The bank’s operating income rose by 11.3% y-o-y to AED 4.7 bn in this quarter, while net interest income experienced a slight decrease of 2.3% y-o-y to AED 2.6 bn.

On a 9M basis, ACDB’s net income rose by 19% y-o-y to AED 6.8 bn, while operating income increased by 14.8% y-o-y to AED 14 bn. Net interest income rose by 9.3% y-o-y to AED 8.1 bn in the first nine months of 2024. Net loans were up 21% y-o-y to AED 344 bn.

The bank also attributes strong performance to a broader retail base and improved efficiencies and credit quality. The bank also focused on developing its digital capabilities through card and loan approvals and mobile banking.

SAWAEED-

Abu Dhabi-based investor Sawaeed Holdings net income rose 975.5% y-o-y to AED 18.9 mn in 3Q 2024, according to its financial statements (pdf). Revenue rose 182.5% y-o-y to AED 96.5 mn during the quarter.

In 9M 2024, Sawaeed’s turned AED 14.8 mn in net losses compared to the AED 3.5 mn net income recorded during 9M 2023, driven by a “loss from investments carried at fair value,” the company said in a separate earnings statement (pdf). Revenue grew 84% y-o-y to reach AED 186.1 mn during the nine period.

CBD-

The Commercial Bank of Dubai’s (CBD) net income rose by 9.7% y-o-y to AED 779 mn in 3Q 2024, driven by an increase in loans, high interest rates, and lower risk costs, according to its management report (pdf) and financial statements (pdf). The bank’s operating income climbed by 15.9% to AED 1.5 bn in this quarter, while net interest income increased by 6.3% to AED 878.6 mn for the same period.

On a nine-month basis, the CBD’s net income increased by 15.3% y-o-y to AED 2.2 bn, while the operating income rose by 12.1% y-o-y to AED 4.2 bn. The net interest income rose by 9% y-o-y to AED 2.6 bn in the first nine months of 2024.

EASYLEASE-

ADX-listed mobility solutions outfit and International Holding Company (IHC) subsidiary EasyLease’s net income dipped 4.2% y-o-y to AED 9.7 mn in 3Q 2024, according to its financial statements (pdf). The company’s revenue rose 41.3% to 102.3 mn during the quarter. In 9M 2024, EasyLease’s bottom line inched up 5% y-o-y to AED 27.9 mn, while its revenue rose 37.9% y–o-y to 292 mn.

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ALSO ON OUR RADAR

Silver Line Gate kicks off construction of AED 200 mn Dubai Industrial City facility

MANUFACTURING-

Local dairy products supplier Silver Line Gate Group broke ground on its AED 200 mn facility in Dubai Industrial City, which includes manufacturing, warehousing, and office spaces, according to the Dubai Media Office. The company aims to produce 90k tons of milk powder, and 10k tons of butter annually from its new facility, which is scheduled to open next year.

TECH-

#1- Dubai’s Higher Committee for Future Technology Development and Digital Economy approved three initiatives in the tech field to build capacity, develop urban management skills, and increase government support of the sector, according to the Dubai Media Office. The rundown:

  • The Government Venture Building Program will convert government assets into commercial ventures and develop new products and services;
  • The National Tech Skills Enhancement Program aims to train 5k Emiratis over five years, targeting fourth-year university students in technical fields;
  • The CleanScape Initiative, developed in collaboration with MIT Senseable City Lab, will use data-driven technologies to improve urban management in Dubai.


#2- Presight partners with Colombian gov’t to foster tech research, development: Data analytics firm Presight inked an MoU with Colombia’s Science, Technology, and Innovation Ministry to collaborate on research and development in AI, data analytics, smart cities, energy, and climate among other fields, according to a press release. The agreement will also see both parties launch seminars and conferences to facilitate technology transfer and foster new technologies, especially those pertaining to smart cities, and green energy transition.

TOURISM-

Hilton to launch marketing campaigns for Dubai: The Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism inked an MoU with Hilton to launch marketing campaigns promoting the emirate, as well as tourism products highlighting the city’s attractions, according to the Dubai Media Office statement. In addition, Hilton will tap the department’s training programs offered through its Dubai College of Tourism to upskill its staff in customer service and cultural awareness.

DEFENSE-

Local defense company Calidus Aerospace partnered with Turkish defense tech firms for cockpit display and ground training solutions during the Saha Expo 2024 in Istanbul, Wam reports. The agreements include one with Aselsan to procure cockpit display solutions for Calidus’ airborne platforms and upgrade its rotary and fixed-wing fleet, and another with Havelsan to procure ground-based training solutions to address Calidus’ current and future training needs.

SUSTAINABILITY-

Members of the Dubai Multi Commodities Center (DMCC) Sustainability Hub will be able to fast-track their ESG practices and long-term emission reduction targets thanks to three new agreements signed by the DMCC, a statement from the center showed.

The rundown:

  • DMCC signed an agreement with S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI) and S&P Global Sustainable1 to give its Sustainability Hub members access to the S&P Global Corporate Sustainability Assessment (CSA), allowing companies to track their sustainability progress and implement a global framework for their sustainability reports using the Sustainability Starter Pack;
  • An agreement with Earthly will allow members to use its platform to obtain carbon management strategies and access verified carbon offset projects;
  • A third agreement was signed with Climate Essentials allowing members to access tools to gauge their carbon footprints.

CRYPTO-

Avalance-backed web3 security company CyBirb launched operations in the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), according to a press release. CyBirb offers several blockchain security solutions, including smart contract audits, decentralized application security, wallet screening, and transaction monitoring.

12

PLANET FINANCE

ECB’s easing cycle is continuing, but pace is still uncertain -Lagarde

The European Central Bank (ECB) will continue cutting interest rates but the pace of rate cuts is yet to be determined, ECB President Christine Lagarde told Bloomberg TV on the sidelines of the IMF / World Bank meetings in Washington (watch, runtime: 29:11). Despite inflation moving in the right direction, other data including backward and forward-looking figures are also factored into decisions on the pace of monetary easing, Lagarde said.

REMEMBER- The ECB trimmed interest rates last week for the third time this year as the central bank looks to curb potential for “downside surprises” in the eurozone economy. The move was the bank’s first back-to-back rate cut in 13 years, five weeks after a previous rate cut. The ECB’s monetary easing cycle comes amid decelerating inflation across the bloc and what could be the second straight year of contraction in Germany, the eurozone’s largest economy. Inflation dropped below the eurozone’s 2% target to 1.7% in September, its lowest level in three years.

The inflation outlook may look rosy, but the ECB is keeping a watchful eye: The ECB is confident the eurozone will reach its inflation target “on a sustainable basis” by 2025, Lagarde said, but called for attention for certain markers citing possible leeway in energy and services prices — which she deemed as lower “to where they could be.”

Other central banks are on the same wavelength, with the US Federal Reserve spearheading the global policy-easing cycle and cutting interest rates by half a percentage point in September. Meanwhile, a surprisingly upbeat US September jobs report has reinforced economists’ hopes that the Fed is on track to pull off a “soft landing.”

What the pundits think: Investors are putting their money on quarter-point reductions from the central bank’s next four meetings and deposit rates reaching 2% by mid-2025, according to Bloomberg. Money markets followed suit, increasing their expectations for rate cuts and loosening bets to a 32 bps cut in December — up from the previously forecasted 30 bps — and 58 bps by January — up from 56 bps. This shift suggests a 28% chance of a half-point rate cut in December, according to the business information service.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Early trading in Asia-Pacific markets is showing another mixed morning, with Japan’s Nikkei clawing its way back from losses earlier in the day to rise 0.4%. The Hang Seng Index and mainland China’s Shanghai Composite are both in the red.

Meanwhile, futures suggest Wall Street could continue to see selling pressure today, as Dow Jones futures remain firmly in the red after the index closed yesterday with its worst performance in over a month.

ADX

9,205

-0.5% (YTD: -3.9%)

DFM

4,465

-0.1% (YTD: +10.0%)

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20

3,718

-1.3% (YTD: -1.32%)

USD : AED CBUAE

Buy 3.67

Sell 3.67

EIBOR

4.7% o/n

4.3% 1 yr

TASI

11,902

-0.5% (YTD: -0.6%)

EGX30

30,414

0.0% (YTD: +22.2%)

S&P 500

5,797

-0.9% (YTD: +21.5%)

FTSE 100

8,259

-0.6% (YTD: +6.8%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,923

-0.3% (YTD: +8.9%)

Brent crude

USD 75.26

-1.0%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.41

+4.4%

Gold

USD 2,729

-1.1%

BTC

USD 66,603

-1.40% (YTD: +57.7%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The DFM fell 0.1% yesterday on turnover of AED 307.2 mn. The index is up 10.0% YTD.

In the green: Shuaa Capital (+5.0%), Orascom Construction (+3.6%) and Dubai Taxi Company (+3.0%).

In the red: National Industries Group Holding (-9.9%), Al Ramz Corporation Investment and Development (-4.0%) and Emirates REIT (CEIC) (-3.5%).

Over on the ADX, the index fell 0.5% on turnover of AED 1.9 bn. Meanwhile Nasdaq Dubai closed down 1.3%.


OCTOBER

20-24 October (Sunday-Thursday): The NBE Egyptian Super Cup, Mohammed bin Zayed Stadium and Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi.

24 October (Thursday): Game Changers – Dubai Real Estate Summit, Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai.

24 October (Thursday): Foreseeing Government Audit Future, Madinat Jumeirah, Dubai.

24-27 October (Thursday-Sunday): International Sports Medicine Conference, Dubai.

26 October (Saturday): UFC 308: TOPURIA vs HOLLOWAY, Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi.

26-27 October (Saturday-Sunday): International Conference on Tourism, Transport, and Logistics, Dubai.

27-30 October (Sunday-Wednesday): IEEE – International Conference on Image Processing, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

28-29 October (Monday-Tuesday): MENA Climate Proof Forum, Dubai.

29 October (Tuesday): OneConnect Dubai 2024, the Marriott Resort Palm Jumeirah, Dubai.

29-31 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Sharjah International Conference in Biotechnology (SICBiotech), University of Sharjah.

29-31 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Healthcare Future Summit, Dubai World Trade Center.

29 October-2 November (Tuesday-Saturday): Abu Dhabi Early Childhood Week, Abu Dhabi.

30 October-1 November (Wednesday-Friday): World Cities Cultural Summit, Dubai.

30 October (Wednesday): Connected Construction Conference, Museum of the Future, Dubai.

30-31 October: Sixth edition of Binance Blockchain Week, Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai.

NOVEMBER

3-10 November (Sunday-Sunday): Dubai Premier Padel P1, Dubai Dutyfree Tennis Stadium, Dubai.

4-7 November (Monday-Thursday): Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition & Conference (ADIPEC), Abu Dhabi.

4-7 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi.

4-7 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Decarbonisation Accelerator, Abu Dhabi.

5-7 November (Tuesday-Thursday): 2024 EMEA Stakeholder Conference, Dubai.

5-7 November (Tuesday-Thursday): 10th edition of Gulfood Manufacturing, Dubai World Trade Center.

6 November (Friday): World Finance Forum, Dubai.

6-8 November (Friday-Sunday): UAE BioTech Symposium, Masdar City, Abu Dhabi.

6-17 November (Friday- Sunday) Sharjah International Book Fair, Expo Center Sharjah, Sharjah.

10 November (Sunday): American Boarding School Fair 2024, Grosvenor Hotel, Dubai Marina, Dubai.

11 November (Monday): Dubai Diamond Conference, Jafza One Convention Centre, Dubai.

11-12 November (Monday-Tuesday): META Cinema Forum, Dubai.

13 November (Wednesday): Registration deadline for Dubai Chamber of Digital Economy’s App Olympics.

13-14 November (Wednesday-Thursday): Lease Conference Dubai 2024, Jumeirah Creekside Hotel, Dubai.

15 November (Friday): Tax amendments that exempt crypto and investments through fund managers from VAT to take effect.

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): Dubai Precious Metals Conference, JAFZA One Convention Center, Dubai

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): Fastmarkets Middle East Iron & Steel 2024, Dubai.

19-20 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Dubai Future Forum.

20-22 November (Wednesday-Friday): Xpanse Abu Dhabi, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi

22-23 November (Friday-Saturday): Global Meet on Electronics & Electrical Engineering (GMEEE), Dubai.

22-24 November (Friday-Sunday): Michelin Guide Food Festival, Emirates Palace Mandarin Oriental, Abu Dhabi.

23 November (Saturday): Wireless Festival Middle East, Etihad Park, Abu Dhabi.

23-24 November (Saturday-Sunday): Emirates Dubai Sail Grand Prix, SailGP Race Stadium.

26-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday) Global Food Security Summit, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday) Global Media Congress 2024, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre (ADNEC).

26-29 November (Tuesday-Friday): Big 5 Global, Dubai World Trade Centre.

26-27 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Women’s Forum Dubai, Madinat Jumeirah, Dubai

27-28 November (Wednesday-Thursday): RAK Energy Summit, Al Hamra International Exhibition and Conference Centre, Ras Al Khaimah.

28 November-1 December (Thursday-Sunday): Spartan World Championship, Al Wathba Desert, Abu Dhabi.

30 November (Saturday): Football Legends Cup, Al Maktoum Stadium Al Nasr Sports Club, Dubai.

Signposted to happen ahead of ADIPEC:

  • Changemakers Majlis, Abu Dhabi.

DECEMBER

2-3 December (Monday-Tuesday): National Day, public holiday.

4-5 December (Wednesday-Thursday): Sport Impact Summit, The Palm, Dubai.

5-8 December (Thursday-Sunday): Formula 1 Etihad Airways Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, Yas Marina Circuit.

8-12 December (Sunday-Thursday): International Desalination and Reuse Association World Congress, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

9-10 December (Monday-Tuesday): The Bitcoin Mena Conference, Adnec Centre Abu Dhabi.

9-12 December (Monday-ThursdayTuesday): Abu Dhabi Finance Week, Abu Dhabi.

9-12 December (Monday-Thursday): World Conference on Desalination and Water Re-use 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

9-12 December (Monday-Thursday): IEEE International Conference on Data Mining 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Investor Relations Association (MEIRA Conference), Conrad Abu Dhabi Etihad Towers Hotel, Abu Dhabi.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): The Middle East and North Africa Business Aviation Association Show, Al Maktoum International Airport, Dubai.

11-13 December (Wednesday-Friday): European-Arab Medical Congress, Abu Dhabi.

14-21 December (Saturday-Saturday): World Schools Festival, Abu Dhabi

16-20 December (Monday-Friday): AIMS Conference 2024, Adnec Centre, Abu Dhabi.

6 December-12 January: Dubai Shopping Festival.

Signposted to happen sometime in December:

JANUARY 2025

1 January (Wednesday): ADGM to slash licensing fees for retail and non-financial firms, and hike fees for finance firms.

9-13 January (Thursday-Monday): International Renewable Energy Agency Youth Forum, Abu Dhabi.

11-13 January (Saturday-Monday): International Renewable Energy Agency Assembly, Abu Dhabi.

14-16 January (Tuesday-Thursday): World Energy Summit, Abu Dhabi.

14-16 January (Tuesday- Thursday): The Light + Intelligent Building Middle East exhibition, Dubai.

19-24 January (Sunday-Friday): Coling 2025, Abu Dhabi.

20-22 January (Saturday-Monday): FESPA Middle East, Dubai World Trade Centre, Dubai.

FEBRUARY 2025

1-8 February (Saturday-Saturday): The Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Zayed Sports City’s International Tennis Centre.

2-3 February (Sunday-Monday): L’Etape Dubai cycling race, Dubai.

3-6 February (Monday-Thursday): Medlab Middle East, Dubai World Trade Center.

16 February-1 March: Dubai Dutyfree Tennis Championships, Dubai Dutyfree Tennis Stadium in Al Garhoud.

24-25 February (Monday-Tuesday): World Passenger Experience Forum, Dubai.

24-26 February (Monday-Wednesday): Connecting Hydrogen MENA, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 1Q 2025:

  • The first eight fronds of the Palm Jebel Ali will be site-ready, allowing for the commencement of villa infrastructure and civil works.

APRIL 2025

6-11 April (Sunday-Friday): Geo-Spatial Week 2025, Dubai.

7-10 April 2025 (Monday-Thursday) : EFG Hermes One on One conference, Dubai.

7-9 April (Monday-Wednesday): AIM Investment Summit, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Center

14-16 April (Monday-Wednesday): Dubai Woodshow’s 21st Edition, Dubai World Trade Center

14-16 April (Monday-Wednesday): IPS congress, Dubai World Trade Center.

16-18 April (Wednesday-Friday): World Future Energy Summit,Abu Dhabi National Exhibition, Abu Dhabi.

28 April-1 May (Monday-Thursday): The Arabian Travel Market 2025, Dubai World Trade Center

Signposted to happen sometime in April:

MAY 2025

6-7 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Global Ports Forum, Dubai.

26-28 May (Monday-Wednesday): Arab Media Summit, World Trade Center, Dubai.

SEPTEMBER 2025

8-10 September (Monday-Wednesday): DigiHealth exhibition, World Trade Center, Dubai.

OCTOBER 2025

27-29 October (Monday-Wednesday): Asia Pacific Cities Summit, Dubai Exhibition Center.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2025:

  • The Middle East Electric Vehicle Show, Expo Center Sharjah.
  • e& will complete Adnoc’s private 5G network.
  • Executive Committee Meeting (EXCOM 2025) conference of the World Smart Sustainable Cities Organisation (WeGO)
  • The International Civil Aviation Organization’s Global Implementation Support Symposium, Abu Dhabi.

Signposted to happen sometime in the fall of 2025:

  • 2025 Games of the Future, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2026:

  • The UAE to host the Arab Competition Forum
  • Dubai to host the Arab Actuarial Conference
  • United Nations Water Conference 2026, UAE
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