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Growth projections
Goldman Sachs warns UAE GDP could contract 5% if regional conflict persists
The non-oil economy could see a 6% contraction amid a prolonged war scenario
Non-oil GDP breaches AED 1 tn mark as economy expands 5.1% in 9M 2025
Finance and ins. activities led the growth at 9%
Abu Dhabi’s GDP hits record quarterly high in 3Q 2025
The emirate’s GDP reached a record quarterly high of AED 325.7 bn in 3Q 2025…
BMI holds forecast for the UAE’s GDP growth at 5.6% for 2026
The GCC is forecast to post real GDP growth of 4.8% in 2026
Purchasing managers’ index
UAE’s PMI hits one-year high of 55
Business activity surged at its fastest pace since April 2024
Non-oil private sector activity grows at the quickest pace in 11 months as northern Emirates and Abu Dhabi drive growth
The seasonally adjusted PMI rose to 54.8 in November, up from 53.8 a month earlier
Non-oil private sector expands at softer pace in October
The country’s seasonally adjusted PMI fell to 53.8 in October, from 54.2 a month earlier
Non-oil private sector growth improves by the most in seven months
The seasonally adjusted PMI rose to 54.2 in September, up from 53.3 a month earlier
Inflation
Fuel prices spike as much as 72.4%
The increases are set to lead to more inflation, especially given diesel’s central role in…
BMI expects economic growth to fall by at least 0.2-0.3 percentage points if the war persists through April
Higher energy prices will hit energy-importing countries the most, and consumption will take a hit…
Business activity across the world is already reeling from the impacts of the war
That’s why economists are increasingly using one word to describe what’s happening: stagflation
Stagflation rewrites the hedge book as oil breaks old safe havens
Brent longs are at a six-year high, the USD is back in favor, and even…
Tourism
Dubai is offering financial stimulus for tourism, art, and more
The measures include a deferral of government fees and customs duties exemptions
Zayed National Museum picks up a global stamp of approval months after opening
Abu Dhabi’s newest museum landed on Time’s World’s Greatest Places 2026
THIS MORNING: Markets close in green for first time since war began + DP launches land bridge to bypass port disruption
Plus: The UAE’s tourism sector is the most exposed in the Gulf
UAE’s tourism’s USD 70 bn boom hit as Middle East conflict sparks cancellations
Holiday rental cancellation rates in Dubai and Abu Dhabi hit 43.8% overnight on 28 February