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Goldman Sachs warns UAE GDP could contract 5% if regional conflict persists
The non-oil economy could see a 6% contraction amid a prolonged war scenario
IMF warns Middle East conflict could add 40 bps to global inflation, and some central banks are likely to pause monetary easing
This will happen if the current regional conflict drives oil prices up by 10% and holds them there for most…
Oxford Economics slashes UAE 2026 growth forecast as Strait of Hormuz closure chokes trade
GCC GDP forecast went down to 2.6% from 4.4%
A more nuanced look into the impact of the Strait of Hormuz’s closure on the GCC
Hormuz typically accounts for around 25% of global seaborne oil trade and some 20% of global LNG trade
Developers will prioritize liquidity over significant expansions amid expected cooldown from the war
This comes after developers have been riding the property boom for the past five years and scaling their presence at…
S&P Global affirms UAE, Abu Dhabi sovereign credit ratings at AA/A-1+, but slashes growth forecasts due to fallout from the war
The agency now sees growth coming in at 2.2% this year, significantly down from an earlier forecast of 4.7% growth
UAE’s PMI hits one-year high of 55
Business activity surged at its fastest pace since April 2024
Car sales set to take a hit as war dampens consumer spending and prices spike
Car prices are set to surge as ins. costs and risk premia rise, but the country has enough supply to…
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