Good morning, friends, and a very happy FRIDAY to you all. It’s another quiet day, though it’s likely the calm before the storm, as those who have bridged the first week of January with their end-of-year holidays return to work and conference season kicks back into gear next week with Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week, Steelfab in Dubai, and a hodgepodge of other events taking place across the country.
A major USD 1 bn investment from the Abu Dhabi Fund for Development in a platform focused on financing water projects in developing countries takes the cake as the big story of the day. The ADFD is planning to mobilize an additional USD 1 bn from local and international players.
Meanwhile, education outfit Taaleem has come out with its 1Q 2025/26 earnings, showing a hit to net income as it presses on with expansion efforts.
Plus: We have a breakdown of how UAE capital markets fared last year — and the dominant narrative of the year, we find, is of less buzz, and more maturity. Also, you’ll find a handy list of the key regulatory updates, deadlines, and general changes to how things are done that are coming up in the UAE this year.
^^We have everything you need to know about this, and more, in the news well, below.
WEATHER- Dubai will see a high of 25°C today, with an overnight low of 19°C, while Abu Dhabi will see a high of 25°C and a low of 18°C, according to the National Center of Meteorology.
Watch this space
RAIL — We have the full station list for Etihad Rail: Etihad Rail, the UAE’s national passenger railway network, will have stations across Al Sila’, Al Dhannah, Al Mirfa, Madinat Zayed, Mezaira’a, Al Faya, and Al Dhaid, alongside the ones in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Sharjah, and Fujairah, that were previously announced, according to a press release. The railway, which is set to connect 11 cities, is set to become operational this year, with the seven new stations set to be operational in phases.
All aboard: The passenger service will employ a fleet of 13 trains with a 400-person capacity, 10 of which have already arrived and been fully tested. Trains will include full Wi-Fi coverage and individual power outlets.
ICYMI- Last October, Etihad Rail tapped French public transport service firm Keolis to operate passenger services for the network, with the firm set to deploy digital services for customers and AI-powered predictive maintenance.
TRANSPORT — Driverless taxis are pulling closer to the curb in Dubai: The emirate has issued its first permit for fully driverless trials on public roads to Baidu’s ride-hailing arm Apollo Go, clearing a major regulatory hurdle on the path to commercial robotaxi services, according to a statement from Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority. The commercial launch is targeted for 1Q 2026.
Behind the scenes: Dubai has also opened its first autonomous vehicle operations and control center — Baidu’s first outside China — which will oversee fleet operations, charging, maintenance, and safety. The setup underpins plans to scale Apollo Go’s Dubai fleet to 1k vehicles, with trials already advancing to 50 fully autonomous cars operating without a safety driver. The agreement builds on an MoU from last year to launch the driverless fleet.
The wider UAE play: Dubai’s move builds on momentum elsewhere. As we previously reported, Abu Dhabi has already licensed Level-4 robotaxis, with Uber and WeRide running fully driverless services on Yas Island and other core districts.
INVESTMENT — Abu Dhabi-based conglomerate Alpha Dhabi Holding will invest USD 8 bn over the next five years as it looks to diversify its portfolio, Chief Strategy Officer Derek Nicholson told Zawya. The firm’s two-fold plan includes supporting its existing portfolio companies’ growth and deploying its own capital through IPOs, reinvestment in promising sectors, acquisitions, and asset sales. Tapping debt markets for financing is also in the cards, while recent divestments such as its exit from Modon set to help fund the expansion.
Up for sale? Trojan Group, its construction arm, is among the portfolio firms Alpha Dhabi is reviewing for a possible listing, though it aims to hike its value before pulling the trigger. Nicholson had previously floated the idea of listing some firms within its holdings last year.
GDP WATCH — Standard Chartered Global Research has upgraded the UAE’s 2026 GDP growth forecast to 5.0%, a significant jump from its previous 4.0% estimate, according to a press release. Standard Chartered sees the UAE comfortably outperforming the projected global average growth of 3.4% as it cements its role as a “super-connector” in a fragmented global trade landscape.
The 5% forecast is in line with what most economic agencies are expecting this year, as we’ve noted in our year-in-review earlier this week.
The upgrade is anchored by a non-oil sector projected to grow at a steady 4.5% clip in 2026, fueled by a high-momentum real estate market and favorable demographics that continue to drive domestic demand. This resilience is bolstered by the strong forecast for foreign trade next year, which Standard Chartered sees reaching USD 1 tn, with the vital Asia-UAE corridor alone accounting for one-third of that volume.
Data point
41% — the GCC’s share of global USD-denominated sukuk outstanding, keeping the region at the center of Islamic debt markets, according to a Fitch Ratings report seen by EnterpriseAM. Saudi Arabia accounts for roughly 30% of the total, while the UAE accounts for 7%, with issuance largely funding sovereign budgets, infrastructure projects, and bank balance-sheet growth.
The broader trend: Sukuk are taking a growing share of emerging-market debt. Their slice of USD-denominated EM bond issuance (excluding China) rose to around 16% in 2025, up from 12% in 2024, as sovereigns, banks, and corporates turn to sukuk for refinancing, longer tenors, ESG-linked agreements, and project finance.
Zooming out: Global sukuk issuance topped USD 300 bn in 2025, up about 25% y-o-y, pushing outstanding sukuk past USD 1 tn for the first time. Most new issuance remained investment-grade, underscoring sukuk’s shift from niche instrument to core funding channel.
Happening next week
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. lands in the UAE next Monday for a working visit centered on Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week, where he is set to join global leaders for talks spanning energy transition, water, food systems, finance, and climate priorities, according to official statements here and here.
In the cards: President Marcos is expected to witness the signing of the two countries’ comprehensive economic partnership agreement, the Philippines’ first trade pact with a Middle Eastern country, alongside a defense cooperation memorandum, opening the door to deeper trade flows and defense collaboration between Manila and Abu Dhabi.
The big story abroad
It’s an unusually quiet morning in the global business press, with most of the attention split towards the fatal shooting of an American woman and mother by an ICE agent and an Internet blackout in Iran as protests continue. Plus: A megamerger in the mining world could create the world’s largest mining player, with a value of USD 260 bn, after Glencore and Rio Tinto restarted talks for a merger, the Financial Times reports.
Meanwhile, the US Senate made a rare vote to prevent US President Donald Trump from taking any further military action in Venezuela without authorization from Congress, the New York Times reports.
AND CLOSER TO HOME- A Saudi military spokesperson claimed that the UAE helped extract Yemen’s Southern Transition Council leader Aidarous Al-Zubaidi from the Yemeni port city of Aden to Abu Dhabi, though the UAE government has yet to comment on the claim. Al Zubaidi was due to show up at talks in Riyadh with a wider STC delegation, but failed to show up, prompting the Saudi-backed government in Yemen to expel him from the government. (Bloomberg)
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