Good morning, friends, and happy Friday. Markets are finally breathing a sigh of relief after the interim US-Iran peace agreement took effect yesterday, with the DFM notching its highest close since before the war after rallying 2.5% and finally turning to positive YTD territory.
All eyes are still on the Strait of Hormuz for meaningful signs of movement, with Marine Traffic data showing seven vessels having crossed the Strait yesterday.
In another positive sign for us here at home: The UK has lifted its travel warning for Gulf countries including the UAE, though it noted that the situation remains unpredictable.
On deck this morning: We speak with analysts about the outlook for UAE banks as asset quality risks climb and economic activity weakens, which, based on today’s news flow and their input, is positive given their solid buffers, CBUAE support, and other tailwinds like higher interest rates.
Case in point: Emirates NBD just closed the biggest-ever foreign acquisition in Indian banking, with a USD 2.8 bn acquisition of a stake in RBL Bank, and First Abu Dhabi Bank is the second lender this month to tap debt markets.
PSAs
Children under 15 will be waving goodbye to their social media presence, after a UAE Cabinet resolution set 15 as the minimum age for creating and using social media accounts, Wam reports. Children aged between 15 and 16 will only be allowed on platforms under a stricter set of safeguards that limit the content they can view and who they can interact with.
Social media companies will have up to 12 months to comply with the new rules, and implement age verification checks. Platforms will also have to identify and disable accounts held by children under 15, conduct regular risk assessments, monitor online content, and protect children’s data.
The move makes the UAE the first Arab country to implement social media age restrictions, with only Australia and some countries in Europe implementing similar measures as governments look to address concerns around online safety.
Businesses in Ras Al Khaimah now have a no-charge alternative to taking commercial disputes to court, Wam reports. Ras Al Khaimah Mediation and Arbitration Center now offers firms a route to settle disagreements without entering lengthy proceedings through a complimentary mediation service.
The UAE has been steadily rolling out mediation services for faster off-court routes for disputes. DIFC recently set up a mediation center, while Abu Dhabi is set to see a new mediation center for commercial disputes, after it set up dedicated committees to handle family business-related disputes, and Ajman also recently launched a rental dispute resolution center.
WEATHER- It’s extra hot in Dubai today, with a high of 44°C and a low of 32°C, while Abu Dhabi will see a high of 41°C and a low of 30°C.
A green return to market
First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB) is heading back to debt markets — this time with a green label attached. The Abu Dhabi lender has mandated a three-year EUR-denominated green bond under its USD 20 bn Euro Medium Term Note Program, with initial price thoughts in the mid-swap plus 100-105 bps area, Zawya reports.
What's the money for? FAB says proceeds will be used to fund or refinance eligible projects under its Sustainable Finance Framework. The bond is expected to be listed on the London Stock Exchange.
ADVISORS- BBVA, HSBC, ICBC, Societe Generale, and Standard Chartered are acting as joint lead managers alongside FAB, with Standard Chartered serving as billing and delivery bank.
Zoom out: The issuance adds to signs that Gulf borrowers are finding the debt-market window reopening after a war-induced slowdown. Dubai Islamic Bank has already tapped markets twice this month, including a USD 1 bn AT1 sukuk, while analysts recently told us spreads for investment-grade issuers have largely returned to pre-war levels, helping bring borrowers back to market.
Fujairah’s ports get an institutional backbone
Fujairah now has a port authority to oversee a port network that is drawing renewed attention after the Strait of Hormuz blockade shifted flows to Eastern ports, Wam reports.
In context: Fujairah’s position outside the Strait of Hormuz has become increasingly strategic since the outbreak of the regional conflict, with policymakers and companies looking more closely at the emirate’s eastern corridor as an alternative gateway for trade and energy exports. Borouge and AD Ports are studying petrochemicals exports through Fujairah, while Adnoc is moving ahead with plans tied to its West-East pipeline infrastructure.
The emirate has been pushing to deepen the links between its ports, freezones, and logistics infrastructure: Last month, AD Ports-owned Fujairah Terminal signed three land agreements with Fujairah International Airport, Fujairah Freezone Authority and Al Dahra Agriculture Trading, laying the groundwork for more integrated movement between its port, industrial and adjacent infrastructure.
DMCC studies T+0 gold contracts
Dubai Multi Commodities Center is eyeing rolling out T+0 gold contracts to tap into local market demand and an uptick of interest in the safe haven asset amid geopolitical uncertainty, Executive Chairman and CEO Ahmed Bin Sulayem told CNBC Arabia.
T+0 contracts? T+0 contracts typically see same-day settlement for transactions, making the asset more liquid and tradeable for retail investors. A number of other entities in the UAE have made moves to make gold more easily tradeable, including fractional gold ownership firm O Gold and Dubai-based Fasset.
Zooming out of gold, Bin Sulayem notes that firms continued to join the freezone through regional tensions, with 800 having joined since the start of this year, and around 2k new companies expected to join by year-end.
Quantum technologies will become a strategic focus for DMCC moving forward, with plans to bring in up to 2k companies operating in the sector, Bin Sulayem added. He also said DMCC’s fintech platform FinX is expected to roll out services for private institutions over the coming months or in early 2027.
AI gets more adult supervision
Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC) firms could soon face a tighter AI rulebook. The financial free zone is proposing changes (pdf) to its Data Protection Regulations that would strengthen safeguards for AI systems processing personal data, according to a statement. The updates would be to rules introduced in 2023, and are intended “to respond to the way these technologies are being used” today. Feedback is open until 18 July.
The biggest changes: Firms would face clearer privacy-by-design and privacy-by-default requirements, while safety would become a core principle of responsible system design. Companies would also disclose the broader policy frameworks used to design or develop their systems, replacing the narrower reference to principles.
Also proposed: DIFC would spell out the duties and skills required of the Autonomous Systems Officer (ASO), clarify system-certification obligations, and develop a separate ASO certification. The Data Protection Commissioner would also gain the power to recognize accreditation and certification frameworks.
DIFC isn’t alone in tightening the screws on AI:Earlier this year, the CBUAE issued guidance putting boards and senior management on the hook for financial institutions’ use of AI. ADGM courts have also sanctioned lawyers for submitting fabricated AI-generated citations as AI becomes more widely used across the workplace.
Data point
5th place — that’s where the UAE ranked in the IMD World CompetitivenessYearbook for 2026, Wam reports. The Emirates took the top spot for economic performance, up from 2nd place last year, as well as for indicators including bureaucracy, government adaptability, and employment.
It took the second spot for citizen trust in AI and business creation, the third spot for branding abroad, energy infrastructure, tourism receipts, and AI access, and fourth place for regulatory framework and AI investments.
The big story abroad
The Strait is open — for now. The US-Iran interim peace agreement took effect yesterday, with shipping beginning to return to the Strait of Hormuz after US Central Command formally lifted its blockade of Iranian ports and coastal areas. VP JD Vance confirmed the 60-day clock on the memorandum of understanding has started ticking — meaning the hard part, working out Iran's nuclear program, begins now.
And in tech and AI news, SpaceX is planning a USD 20 bn bond sale as soon as next week — days after raising USD 86 bn in the biggest IPO in history — to repay the bridge loan it took out when Musk merged xAI and X into the rocket company in March. Moody's handed it an investment-grade Baa1 rating on Thursday, with a caveat: the rating is constrained by “elevated execution and financial risks” tied to its AI build-out, which burned USD 6.4 bn in 2025 and is still cash-flow negative. The company closed Thursday at a USD 2.4 tn market cap — sixth largest in the world.
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