Good morning, friends — what a day it has been. We’ve had four jump scares — so far — from alerts on our phones, the first since the ceasefire began almost a month ago. The alerts came only a few hours after reports of an attack on Adnoc’s (empty) Barakah tanker, which was attempting to pass through Hormuz.
The tanker was safe with no reported injuries, but the UAE accused Iran of what it says was an unprovoked “terrorist attack” and demanded it halt all hostilities.
Later, there were reports of a fire erupting at the Fujairah Oil Industry Zone and the UAE said it intercepted three cruise missiles from Iran while a fourth fell into the sea.
The attacks seemed out of the blue, with things remaining calm across the Gulf over the past three weeks since the ceasefire was announced.
But… they weren’t completely: Before the reported attacks, US President Donald Trump had said US troops would guide stranded ships out of the strait, after which Iran’s navy claimed it blocked US ships from entering Hormuz and threatened to attack any US forces breaking its blockade. Iran also said two missiles hit a US vessel, though US Central Command denied any strike.
Iran seems to be targeting every oil export route the UAE has. The Strait remains blocked, and now the Fujairah pipeline, which has been carrying out half of the UAE’s output since the war began, is likely compromised.
And now… the question on everyone’s mind: What’s next? We’re keeping an eye out for news out of the UAE or the US on a potential response to the attack.
Not a response but … last night, the US said it sank several small Iranian boats and shot down missiles and drones launched from Iran as it pushed to open up the strait through its so-called Project Freedom.
It remains unclear what this means for peace negotiations, but it appears that they’re still on track. “As talks are making progress with Pakistan's gracious effort, the US should be wary of being dragged back into quagmire by ill-wishers. So should the UAE,” Iran’s Foreign Minister said on X earlier this morning.
Schools and nurseries are going remote until the end of the week “to ensure the safety and wellbeing of the educational community,” the Education Ministry said in a post on X, adding that it may extend the directive if necessary. Schools and nurseries resumed operations late last month after weeks of remote learning.
While all of this is happening, Make it in The Emirates is set to continue at the Adnec Center Abu Dhabi. We have everything you need to know from day one in the news well, below.
WEATHER- It’s extra warm in Dubai again today, with a high of 40°C and a low of 29°C, while Abu Dhabi will see a high of 38°C and a low of 26°C.
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Relief is now coming for the UAE’s delivery backbone, with the Postal Sector Regulatory Committee rolling out a support package for postal and courier firms to ease cost pressures and keep operations running amid disruption linked to the ongoing war, according to a press release.
The measures include deferring all 1Q 2026 fees to 2Q and waiving related penalties, in a bid to boost liquidity as operators grapple with rising costs, shipment delays, and more volatile demand.
ICYMI- Support has been on a roll across sectors: The latest comes alongside a new AED 1 bn national fund targeting localization and supply-chain resilience, following earlier measures aimed at healthcare, SMEs, tourism, and other critical parts of the economy.
REAL ESTATE — Some developers in the UAE are lowering down payments for units to 2-20%, and sometimes rolling on or waiving the standard 4% registration fee, without touching headline prices, Al Khaleej reports.
The rationale: The move is a way to pull in both end-users and new investors at a time when confidence is wavering, without compromising on pricing, founder and CEO of Orla Properties Munir Al Deraawi told the news outlet. We recently reported on another incentive aiming to bring in more international investors to the real estate scene, after Dubai lowered entry requirements for property-linked visas.
Others, however, aren’t making any changes, with Emaar CEO Mohamed Alabbar telling Bloomberg that the firm wouldn’t lower sales points by a single USD, pointing to the fact that Emirati firms had bounced back quickly following previous regional tensions. Alabbar also said monthly customer data showed clients were still confident in local real estate, however he noted that Emaar was delaying offering tenders for projects given current disruptions for contractors.
ECONOMY — Al Zeyoudi adds more color to our currency swap talks with the US: The Emirates’ currency swap with the US is “under discussion,” Foreign Trade Minister Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi confirmed, adding that the move is an “elite matter. It is not about bailing out.” He pointed to the monetary authorities of Europe, the UK, Japan, Canada and Switzerland, all of which have permanent USD swap lines with the Federal Reserve.
Wait, a currency swap? News of the currency swap first made headlines late last month, when the New York Times and Wall Street Journal broke the news. Shortly after, the UAE’s ambassador to the US Youssef Otaiba denied that the country needs “financial backing.” We broke down what it all means in a story published last week — check it out here.
INVESTMENT WATCH — It’s business as usual for Mubadala: “The last eight weeks have been difficult … Everyone is looking for [potential prospects]. We are looking past all the stuff that brought us down,” Mubadala Deputy CEO Waleed Al Muhairi said. The sovereign wealth fund is currently doubling down on AI, healthcare, and energy in the US, where it currently has 44% of its total assets.
The big story abroad
The US-Iran war is once again dominating headlines after Iran attacked the UAE and the US sank Iranian boats crossing the Strait of Hormuz, casting doubts about an already shaky ceasefire.
^^ We have more in the news well, above.
Oil jumped following the exchange of attacks, with Brent futures rising some 6% to USD 114.44 per bbl.
Analysts don’t think investors are grasping the gravity of the situation, with some saying that the energy crisis could be pushing global economies into a big recession. “We think oil should be higher and the equity market should be a lot, lot weaker,” head of market intelligence at Energy Aspect Amrita Sen told CNBC, explaining that there is an “extremely misplaced euphoria.”
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