Good morning, lovely people. More government support is on its way as the prolonged war threatens more parts of the economy, with Dubai planning to offer AED 1 bn in financial stimulus, mostly for the tourism and arts sectors.
Hotels have been operating at well below capacity and slashing prices, as a normally peak season for tourism takes a hit due to airspace disruptions and the ongoing war. We dive into what the stimulus package offers the sector in this morning’s Big Story Today, below.
We also look at the impact of attacks over the weekend on Emirates Global Aluminium and Bahrain’s Alba on prices so far amid an expected prolonged disruption to key aluminum suppliers.
Plus: We take a deep dive into the state of private capital in the MENA region as the war slows down agreement timelines and diligence processes — and exposes which companies are the most vulnerable.
From the Dept. of Good News
Several Universities in the UAE began a phased return to campus yesterday, mainly for hands-on programs like meds and dentistry, Gulf News reports. Gulf Medical University and MBZ University have resumed in-person classes, while others like American University of Sharjah, American University of Ras Al Khaimah, and Heriot-Watt Dubai, are keeping learning online until early April. The American University in Dubai remains fully online, with no return-to-campus date announced. Abu Dhabi’s New York University is closing down its campus, following Tehran’s warning that US universities in the Gulf remain “legitimate targets.”
Meanwhile, the Education Ministry has extended online learning for nurseries and schools until Friday, 17 April across the country. “The situation will be reviewed on a weekly basis,” the ministry said.
And in the world of aviation, Emirates is actually well insulated against war risk with what insurers say is very cheap ins. cover. Dubai’s flag carrier has secured war-risk cover for about USD 100k a week for its entire fleet flying to and from Dubai — in contrast with non-Gulf airlines, which have been quoted USD 70k-150k per flight into the region, the Financial Times reports, citing insurers in the know. The policy essentially covers Emirates for the first USD 2 bn of losses on its fleet, insurers said.
Why it matters: Non-Gulf carriers are being priced on a flight-by-flight basis, with each rotation into the region carrying its own war-risk premium. Emirates — by contrast — operates under a large, fleet-wide ins. structure, allowing insurers to assess risks across its network rather than on a per-flight basis — giving it a more stable and significantly lower cost base.
Gulf carriers on different terms: Airlines based in the Gulf are generally getting more flexible rates than foreign rivals with aircraft based elsewhere, aided by operating hundreds of daily flights through regional airspace and by closer coordination with airports and local authorities.
Other carriers are back in the air too, but Etihad is operating from Abu Dhabi, Air Arabia from Sharjah, and Qatar Airways is running a limited service from Doha — but Emirates remains the largest by a wide margin, with more flights in the system than Etihad and Qatar combined.
And from the Dept. of Not-so-Good News
Iranian forces struck a fully loaded Kuwaiti oil tanker while anchored at Dubai Port, resulting in a fire aboard the vessel, Bloomberg reports, citing a statement from the Kuwait Petroleum Corporation. The strike may have triggered an oil spill in the area, the Kuwaiti oil giant said. No injuries were reported, and Dubai authorities have managed to extinguish the resulting fire.
AND- An Iranian drone targeted Thuraya Telecommunications’ administrative building late last night. No injuries were reported, and the Sharjah Media Bureau didn’t disclose the extent of the damage.
CYBERSECURITY — Cyberattacks targeting the UAE have surged up to 700k incidents per day since the start of the regional conflict, Gulf News quotes UAE Cyber Security Council Chairman Mohammed Al Kuwaiti as saying.
Threats have included destructive malware and phishing campaigns, and they come alongside attacks on data center infrastructure. Hostile actors — including Iran-link groups — have used campaigns to disrupt operations, steal data, and probe vulnerabilities. Unit 42 also flagged an uptick in UAE-linked phishing and fraud campaigns exploiting trusted brands and conflict-themed lures. Despite the volume, Al Kuwaiti says most attacks are being detected and contained in real time.
Cyber warfare is a thing now: Earlier in the conflict, in parallel to attacks on data centers, Halcyon Ransomware Research Center observed what it said were Iranian actors setting up a cyber offensive targeting the Middle East, Turkey, and Africa. It also said it expected Iran to use tools like ransomware, destructionware, and destructive malware against US networks during the conflict.
The UAE was already a pretty popular target for cyberattacks: In 2025, the UAE accounted for 12% of cyberattacks in the region, making it one of the most targeted markets, with the average cost of a breach hitting around USD 2.9 mn per incident, according to CPX. That exposure is widening — over 223k assets in the country remain potentially vulnerable, Wam previously reported, citing the joint UAE Cyber Security Council-CPX report.
⛈️ WEATHER- Stormy weather is back. A thunderstorm is expected this afternoon, along with hail and blowing winds. Look for highs of 26-27°C and a low of 20°C in Dubai and Abu Dhabi, according to our favorite weather app.
Watch this space
HOSPITALITY — Al Ain’s hotel stock getting state-backed upgrade: Abu Dhabi’s Department of Culture and Tourism has rolled out a refurbishment scheme that offers hotels in Al Ain a capital expenditure rebate of up to 12%, according to Abu Dhabi Media Office. An extra 5% premium is up for grabs for upgrades that push properties up the value chain, like branded hotels, higher star ratings, or heritage renovations, and the rebates are only paid out after works are completed.
Data point: Al Ain brought in 473k guests in 2025, with revenue per available room up 17% to AED 204 and occupancy reaching 66%, up 9% from a year earlier.
DEBT — The Finance Ministry is weighing the introduction of digital bonds and green debt instruments to deepen the local capital market and fund sustainability projects within the federal budget, according to the UAE federal budget yearbook (pdf).
The name of the game? Diversification: The ministry plans to stretch the UAE’s yield curve by introducing longer-term maturities, specifically targeting seven- and 10-year tranches. It’s also looking to diversify investors and focus on Asian markets, the ministry said.
What’s next? “Future plans also include optimizing the mix of sizes and maturities in upcoming auctions to strategically balance secondary market liquidity with long-term investor requirements and open up to direct issuance of domestic local currency sovereign bonds to retail investors in smaller denominations,” the report read.
Data point
36% — that’s the jump ADGM saw in assets under management last year, according to the Abu Dhabi Media Office. The financial center saw licences climb past 12k and workforce numbers increase 51% y-o-y to 44.3k — all pointing to sustained inflows of capital and institutions anchoring in Abu Dhabi.
They haven’t stopped coming, even against the current backdrop of regional tensions. US-based public and private credit-focused investment firm Muzinich & Co. has now set up in the center, formalizing its regional push as it looks to tap growing demand for fixed income and private credit strategies, according to a press release (pdf).
Context matters: Private credit is facing turbulence in global markets, after wealthy investors sought to withdraw over USD 10 bn from some of the biggest semi-liquid credit funds in 1Q. Funds run by the likes of Blackstone, Morgan Stanley, and BlackRock, among others, signed off on only 70% of redemption requests. Retail private credit assets are expected to shrink by USD 45-70 bn over the next two years, which will mean a big hit to fee income for funds.
However, the private credit market in the GCC and Egypt is still nascent but growing rapidly. A PwC 2025 report estimated that, as of last year, the sector could grow at a 15-30% CAGR over the following five years, projecting it could reach between USD 11-20 bn.
The big story abroad
It’s another morning with the regional war dominating global headlines: US President Donald Trump told aides he is “willing to end the US military campaign against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed,” the Wall Street Journal reports. Trying to open up Hormuz would extend the war beyond his timeline, according to officials cited by the Wall Street Journal. This came shortly after he reiterated his threat to destroy Iran’s energy infrastructure if it does not open the strait.
Markets were quick to react to the news, with Asian markets trading higher after opening in the red, oil dipping slightly, and Wall Street likely opening up with futures in the green.
And while it’s shaping up to be a good day for equities, the damage has been done. What could’ve been a red-letter year for US equities has been overtaken by recession fears and soaring energy prices, as Wall Street wraps up its worst quarter in four years. Closer to home, emerging-market stocks also suffered — losing their 2026 gains with the US-Iran war poised to raise inflation and stall growth.
Dive deeper: Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg have more.
A new food giant could soon enter the scene: UK-based consumer packaged goods giant Unilever is inching closer to merging its food business with US spice manufacturer McCormick, unnamed sources told the Wall Street Journal. The resulting entity would be valued at around USD 60 bn. Expect an official announcement as soon as later today.
Also receiving ink this morning: Israel’s parliament passed a law that makes execution the default sentence for Palestinians convicted of lethal terrorism. Human rights advocates have condemned the move, arguing that it contradicts the state’s longstanding freeze on capital punishment.
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