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Gray zones remain in gaming framework

1

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS MORNING: President Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan will land in Pakistan today

Good morning, wonderful people. The news cycle is now firmly in the grips of the end-of-year slowdown, particularly as markets across the Western world were closed yesterday for Christmas.

WORTH YOUR TIME- The UAE has made plenty of progress rolling out its gaming framework this year, but that rollout has raised concerns and regulatory questions — particularly when it comes to emirate-level enforcement and how that might lead to discrepancies. Even as these “gray zones” remain, it’s looking like ambiguity is typical of the current transitional phase, and will eventually be tightened up as authorities bridge these gaps.


WEATHER- Expect another slightly cloudy day, with a chance of rainfall in the northern emirates. The mercury reaches a warm 26°C and a low of 19°C in Dubai, and 24°C along with a low of 17°C in Abu Dhabi.

Watch this space

DFZC approves digital unification: Dubai’s Freezones Council (DFZC) is moving forward with plans for a new unified digital platform designed to connect all of the emirate’s freezones, Gulf News reports. The consolidated system aims to centralize access to regulatory approvals and permits, streamlining procedures for investors.

PSA

You can now bring your furry friends to hotels and restaurants in Abu Dhabi: Abu Dhabi’s department of Municipalities and Transport (DMT) has amended its tourism regulations to allow hotels and restaurants with a tourism license to admit pets into their venues, according to the Abu Dhabi Media Office. While hotels and restaurants were previously prohibited from allowing pets, they can now choose to be pet-friendly — and the ones who do will likely allocate specified areas for pets in both open and indoor spaces.

Happening today

President Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan will land in Pakistan today to discuss bilateral ties with the country’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, Arab News reports. Talks will cover regional issues and boost cooperation with Islamabad across key sectors including trade, investment, energy, and development.

In context: Pakistan is the UAE’s third-largest trading partner after China and the US. The UAE is also a major investor in Pakistan, with investments from the likes of AD Ports in the country’s infrastructure, and a recent government-to-government agreement to operate Islamabad International Airport.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

The Christmas news slowdown is rather apparent in the global business press this morning, as Western markets remain closed for a long weekend. A handful

The US carried out a strikeagainst the Islamic State in Nigeria last night, in an operation it coordinated with the Nigerian military. The strikes were in response to allegations that the terrorist group has been “slaughtering” Christians in the country, even as Nigerian authorities say that a “web of violent armed groups, with different motives and spread across the country, kills as many Muslims as Christians.”

Back on the business side of things: Climate investments are back in favor among investors, with green bond and loan issuances netting nearly USD 1 tn this year and green stocks soaring. Clean energy indexes are set to close 2025 in the green (no pun intended) for the first time since 2020, “outperforming the S&P 500 by a wide margin, while shares of power-grid technology companies remain in favor.”

ALSO WORTH READING- Weight-loss pills are reshaping two industries: Fitness and food. Go read Axios’ take on what the prevalence of Ozempic and other GLP-1 medications will have on the fitness industry, and Reuters’ reporting on the impact on food products.

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2

DEVELOPMENT FINANCE

ADFD finances project to supply water in Mauritania

Abu Dhabi development fund to boost water supply in Mauritania: The Abu Dhabi Fund for Development (ADFD) is financing a project to supply potable water to Mauritania’s Kiffa and the surrounding region, state news agency Wam reports. The USD 300 mn project is implemented in collaboration with Arab, Islamic, and international development financiers, and aims to enhance Mauritania’s water security.

The details: The project will transfer water from the Senegal River to supply water in the Assaba and Guidimaka regions. Once operational, it is expected to serve over 180k people in its initial phase, expanding to around 500k by 2050. Infrastructure includes water production and treatment facilities with a daily capacity of up to 50k cbm alongside a transmission and a distribution network extending more than 780 km.

ADFD has financed several infrastructure projects in Africa this year, with an AED 91.8 mn road infrastructure project inked with the Ugandan government in October, two Maldivesairports, and a solar plant in Comoros, among other projects.

Data point

The UAE is the fourth-largest investor in Africa, with bilateral trade up 28% y-o-y in 2024 to reach USD 107 bn. Its total investments in Africa exceeded USD 118 bn between 2020 and 2024.

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SPOTLIGHT

The UAE took major steps towards rolling out its gaming framework this year, but gray zones remain

The UAE has made a decisive push into regulated gaming, becoming the first market in the GCC to roll out a national commercial gaming framework, after Wynn Resorts’ planned USD 3.9 bn gaming resort gave a boon to the sector. The GCGRA followed up with a national lottery license for the Game, and issued various other gaming-related vendor licenses, allowing them to supply data, live casino, and B2B gaming content into the UAE market.

But with the roll-out comes new concerns and regulatory questions, as federal and emirate-level law attempt to regulate on-the-ground enforcement. A new report (pdf) by global gaming advisory firm SCCG finds that the early phase is already exposing regulatory ambiguities — especially when it comes to how each emirate is enforcing federal-level legislation.

How it currently works

What we know so far: In the UAE, no legacy gaming case law exists, so enforceability is being created through regulation. Federal law sets the base, GCGRA rules carry immediate force, and license terms and contracts fill the gaps. Together, lawyers at Al Kabban & Associates Sara Al Kabban and Christa Hyman said, this “creates a legally robust framework even in the absence of historical jurisprudence.”

For online gaming, the GCRA is expected to adopt a one-license-per-emirate model, mirroring the framework used for land-based casinos. This means that while gaming is regulated at the federal level, execution still depends on emirate-level participation, particularly online.

Centralization matters: SCCG founder and CEO Stephen A. Crysta argues the federal layer is the system’s stabilizer. “In the US, it’s very much state by state, with very little role for the federal government, and that causes friction,” he said. “So far, the feedback in the UAE has been quite positive. People like the structure.” This follows Singapore’s approach — a massive Asian gaming market — as opposed to the US, he added.

Federal authority is clearer than it looks: While SCCG highlights overlap between federal and emirate oversight, Al Kabban argues the hierarchy itself isn’t in doubt. Because the gaming regulator was established by federal decree, its licences carry nationwide effect. “Rather than viewing them as discrepancies, they are jurisdictional variations that need to be accounted for,” the firm said — translating into extra procedures, not uncertainty.

Still, some gray zones do exist. Several platforms — like TrueWin and Dream Island — are operating online casino-like games without full licensing being rolled out yet. Both operate by “piggybacking” on The Game’s license, SCCG said.

The ambiguity is typical of the current transitional phase, Crystal said. “As you regulate, there is a transition process between the gray market and the regulated market,” he said.

But it’s a matter of time until authorities eventually have to clamp down on the irregularities, Crystal said. Allowing gray-zone activity to linger indefinitely would dilute license value, discourage compliant operators, and undermine long-term investment certainty, a lesson mature markets have already learned.

Other sticking points exist…

When it comes to payments and gaming revenues, it’s not straightforward either. Gaming revenue must be ring-fenced and handled through conventional (non-Islamic) banking channels, separate from non-gaming revenues, raising questions about whether financial separation limits the sector’s broader economic contribution.

Islamic banks cannot touch gambling proceeds, and even within conventional institutions, gaming accounts are segregated to prevent commingling — ensuring compliance with shariah principles while preserving auditability and AML oversight.

Al Kabban and Hyman also note that gaming is classified as a high-risk activity under UAE AML rules, which is why segregation is mandatory. “Ring-fencing is designed to prevent the commingling of gaming proceeds with other funds,” Al Kabban said. The result is heavier compliance, not a ceiling on growth.

The same logic applies to crypto. Direct crypto wagering remains off-limits, but licensed operators can use regulated exchanges as on-ramps, converting virtual assets into fiat before funds enter the gaming system.

Balance over velocity: Crystal sees the structure as deliberate calibration. “There has to be a balance between shariah law and local customs and norms and the best way to transact in the gaming industry,” he said, calling the reliance on conventional rails and crypto-to-fiat “the right balance.”

It’s not a major deterrent

Will friction scare off operators? Crystal doesn’t think so. Asked whether ring-fencing, patchy card acceptance, and crypto limits could deter global gaming groups, he was blunt: “I would say no.” In gaming, he argues, complexity is the norm, not the exception.

Technology as the shock absorber: “What’s significant about the gaming industry is the sophistication of its technology,” Crystal said, pointing to operators’ ability to ring-fence funds, deploy alternative payment routes, and meet KYC and AML requirements simultaneously. Having worked across more than 100 jurisdictions, he calls technology the industry’s “saving grace” — reducing friction while strengthening compliance, rather than cutting off access.

Plus, gaming is not just about what happens on the casino floor: “There are lots of ways from a non-gaming standpoint that the UAE will benefit,” he said, pointing to tourism, hospitality, entertainment, and corporate roles. In mature destination markets like Las Vegas and Macau, a large share of value accrues outside the casino floor.

Our take: That logic is clear in the UAE’s integrated-resort model. Casinos may anchor the system, but tourism and entertainment do much of the economic heavy lifting — and create the range of roles needed to support workforce localization over time.

Speaking of…

Labor is another unresolved tension: Emiratization requirements apply, but direct casino roles remain culturally sensitive. “Starting out, it may be a struggle,” Crystal said. “They may need to be creative,” pointing to a likely split between Emiratis in corporate, compliance, and oversight roles, and expatriates on gaming floors.

Al Kabban’s lawyers agree that UAE nationals will likely be placed in nationals in “administrative, compliance, and oversight functions,” calling it a practical way to meet obligations while respecting cultural sensitivities.

Growing pains, not red flags: Crystal is explicit that these frictions shouldn’t be overread. “Anytime you’re going from strict prohibition to permission, you’re going to have issues,” he said. “These are what I call growing pains.” In his view, the UAE’s infrastructure, regulatory resolve, and talent pipeline mean the system is designed to adapt (not stall) as the market matures.

Why all of this matters

The sector shows huge potential for economic contribution. Under a conservative path — which would see the UAE host one integrated resort and limited online gaming — annual revenue could reach USD 1.5-2 bn. A broader rollout, with multiple resorts and regulated online gaming in select emirates, lifts that figure to USD 5-6 bn.

The ceiling is much higher: In a fully expanded scenario — multiple integrated resorts plus nationwide online gaming — SCCG sees annual revenue climbing to USD 8-10 bn, approaching Singapore-scale outcomes over time.

Demand will not be an issue: “There is unlimited demand,” Crystal said. What separates the outcomes is alignment between federal rules, emirate-level execution, banking rails, labor policy, and enforcement once the market moves beyond licensing announcements.

A bid to set the model: “Right now, the UAE is learning from other markets,” he said. “In the future, other markets will learn from the UAE.” He points to the country’s blend of strict oversight and tech-led compliance as a potential global reference point — echoing a playbook the UAE has already deployed in newer sectors like crypto, which international observers have previously praised for regulatory clarity.

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KUDOS

Forbes’ 30 under 30 recognizes six Emiratis this year

Six Emiratis made it to Forbes Middle East’s 30 Under 30 list this year, while some 34 of the featured young entrepreneurs are based in the UAE. The six Emiratis mentioned are:

  • Fatima Alshamsi (LinkedIn), recognized for her active role to develop innovative immunotherapies for diabetes;
  • Jawaher Alameri (LinkedIn), who developed a patent-pending cooling solution for high-power fiber lasers;
  • Noora Almarri (LinkedIn), the CEO and co-founder of BioHarv, which develops a no-battery cardiovascular monitoring implant, offering real-time monitoring with low power consumption;
  • Safiya Alhashmi (LinkedIn), recognized for co-developing a patent-pending photoreactor technology that eliminates 99.8% of PFAS contaminants from water, which can be integrated with existing water treatment infrastructure;
  • Ahmed bin Abdulrahman Al Ghardaqa (LinkedIn), president of the Arab Youth Council for Climate Change, recognized for leading national negotiations on climate and governance under the UNFCCC;
  • Sara Alameri (LinkedIn), a sustainability advocate and host of the Sustainability Across Generations podcast.

5

ALSO ON OUR RADAR

Chinese freight operator + Indian real estate developer expand to Dubai

Awot rolls out regional HQ in Dubai Freezone-

China’s Awot launches regional HQ in Dubai freezone: China-based logistics firm Awot Global Logistics Corporation opened its regional headquarters in Dubai Airport Freezone (Dafz), expanding its presence across the Middle East, Africa, and Europe, according to the Dubai Media Office. The Dubai hub will manage regional operations across air, sea, and land freight, as well as cross-border transport and project logistics.

Another Indian state builder plants a Dubai flag-

India’s state-owned National Buildings Construction Corp. (NBCC) has made its first commercial property move in the UAE, acquiring a plot in mainland Dubai for AED 16 mn through its wholly owned arm NBCC Overseas Real Estate to develop a mixed-use project, ET Realty reports. The development will span 51.7k sq ft and is expected to generate AED 58-60 mn in revenue.

Far from a one-off, NBCC joins a growing wave of Indian developers expanding into the UAE, drawn by faster execution, foreign-friendly rules, and deeper end-buyer demand. Among the latest to launch projects:

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PLANET FINANCE

Emerging market securities saw their best flows in decades in 2025 — and 2026 is poised to keep them coming

Emerging market securities had their best year since 2009 in 2025, and they’re poised to keep their momentum in 2026. Not only are EM stocks outperforming their US peers, but the gap between emerging markets’ bond yields and US treasuries is currently at its smallest in 11 years, Bloomberg reports. Plus: The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is up 28.2% for the year.

The name of the game for investors this year was diversifying from the US amid concerns around the unpredictability of US policy, a weakened USD, and an improvement in the debt profiles of EMs, diverting more capital than has been seen in decades towards EMs. Bank of America’s head of emerging fixed income David Hauner put it best: “EM bears have gone extinct.”

Forecasts for next year are rosy: JPMorgan expects USD 50 bn in inflows into EM debt funds next year, while Citigroup sees emerging bonds delivering a 5% return.

Investors remain underexposed to EMs, especially after the past few years saw massive outflows resulting from rising interest rates, post-covid headwinds, and geopolitical conflicts, which could be a big part of what’s driving the shift now.

Yes, but: A potentially stronger USD next year could lead to smaller EM gains, especially if the US Federal Reserve delivers fewer interest rate cuts than expected. Still, most analysts are recommending that investors diversify their portfolio and invest in local-currency-denominated EM debt.

Plus: Concerns of an AI bubble are leading to intense volatility in the US. This is causing a shift to investments in Chinese AI and tech stocks as one alternative to the US, as investors look to plow funds into AI-backed securities, but want to steer away from fears of the “circular” AI investment ecosystem in the US.

ADX

10,032

-0.1% (YTD: +6.5%)

DFM

6,142

-0.4% (YTD: +19.1%)

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20

4,919

-0.4% (YTD: +18.1%)

USD : AED CBUAE

Buy 3.67

Sell 3.67

EIBOR

3.6% o/n

3.7% 1 yr

TASI

10,526

-0.1% (YTD: -12.6%)

EGX30

41,253

-0.6% (YTD: +38.7%)

S&P 500

6,933

+0.3% (YTD: +17.9%)

FTSE 100

9,871

-0.2% (YTD: +20.8%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,746

-0.1% (YTD: +17.4%)

Brent crude

USD 62.24

-0.2%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 4.24

-3.8%

Gold

USD 4,502.8

-0.1%

BTC

USD 88,337.20

+0.5% (YTD: -6.4%)

Chimera JP Morgan UAE Bond UCITS ETF

AED 3.82

0.0% (YTD: +9.7%)

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk

151.62

+0.1% (YTD: +8.3%)

VIX (Volatility Index)

13.47

-3.8% (YTD: -22.4%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The ADX fell 0.1% yesterday on turnover of AED 721.9 mn. The index is up 6.5% YTD.

In the green: Al Wathba National Ins. (+8%), National Bank of Fujairah (+2.6%) and Rakbank (+2.6%).

In the red: Oman & Emirates Investment Holding (-3.1%), Sharjah Cement and Industrial Development (-3.1%) and United Arab Bank (-3%).

Over on the DFM, the index fell 0.4% on turnover of AED 224.3 mn. Nasdaq Dubai was down 0.4%.


DECEMBER

26 December (Friday): Tender period for Emirates NBD’s offer for RBL Bank’s public shares ends.

29-30 December (Monday-Tuesday): World Sports Summit, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2025:

  • e& will complete Adnoc’s private 5G network.

2026

JANUARY

1 January (Thursday): New Year, public holiday.

1 January: Client asset regime changes in Dubai International Financial Center take effect.

1 January: Amendments to the Tax Procedures Law and the UAE VAT Law come into effect.

9-11 January (Friday-Sunday): 1 Bn Followers Summit, UAE.

11-12 January (Sunday-Monday): IRENA Assembly, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.


11-15 January (Sunday-Thursday):
Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week 2026, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.


11-15 January (Sunday-Thursday):
ADSW Dialogues, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.


11-15 January (Sunday-Thursday):
WiSER Forum, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.

12-15 January (Monday-Thursday): Dubai International Project Management Forum, Madinat Jumeirah, Dubai.

12-15 January (Monday-Thursday): SteelFab, Expo Center, Sharjah.


13-15 January (Tuesday-Thursday):
World Future Energy Summit, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.

13-15 January (Tuesday-Thursday): FESPA Middle East, Dubai Exhibition Center, Dubai.


14 January (Wednesday):
Global South Utilities Forum, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.


15 January (Thursday): Global Climate Finance Center Annual Meeting, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.


15 January (Thursday):
Green Hydrogen Summit, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.

21-24 January (Wednesday-Saturday): Acres real estate exhibition, Expo Center, Sharjah.

28-29 January (Wednesday-Thursday): IBA Arbitration Day Conference, Abu Dhabi.

28-30 January (Wednesday-Friday): World Customs Organization Technology Conference, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.

31 January – 7 February (Saturday-Saturday): Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, International Tennis Center, Zayed Sports City.

FEBRUARY

3-5 February (Tuesday-Thursday): The World Governments Summit.

4-6 February (Wednesday-Friday): Arab Actuarial Conference, Millennium Plaza Downtown Hotel, Dubai.

12-15 February (Thursday-Sunday): The Society for Incentive Travel Excellence Global Conference, Abu Dhabi.

9-13 February (Monday-Friday): The World Health Expo (WHX), Dubai.

10-11 February (Tuesday-Wednesday): Top Advisors and Investors Summit, Abu Dhabi.

MARCH

31 March – 2 April (Tuesday-Thursday): Arab Media Summit, Dubai.

26-28 March (Thursday-Saturday): Social Capital Conference, Dubai.

28-29 March (Saturday-Sunday): Emirates Congress on AI & Visionary leadership in Transforming Healthcare, Adnec Center Abu Dhabi.

30 March – 2 April (Monday-Thursday): IAAPA Middle East Exhibition and Conference, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.

APRIL

7-9 April (Tuesday-Thursday): Future Health Summit, Adnec Center Abu Dhabi.

13-15 April (Monday-Wednesday): AIM Congress, Dubai World Trade Center.

13-15 April (Monday-Wednesday): The International Glass Manufacturing Show, Dubai.

14-16 April: (Tuesday-Thursday): the International Property Show, Sheikh Zayed Rd, Dubai.

21-23 April (Tuesday-Thursday): UITP Public Transport Summit, Dubai.

MAY

11-15 May (Monday-Friday): Dubai Future Finance Week, Dubai.

11-13 May (Monday-Wednesday): AI Everything Global, Adnec Center.

19-20 May (Tuesday-Wednesday): Capital Market Summit, Madinat Jumeirah, Dubai.

19-22 May (Tuesday-Friday): Abu Dhabi Water and Energy Week, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.

JUNE

15 June-15 September (Monday-Thursday): Dubai Mallathon, Dubai.

JULY

31 July (Friday): Large businesses achieving annual revenues equal to or above AED 50 mn must appoint an accredited service provider for e-invoicing implementation.

Signposted to happen sometime in October 2026:

  • Abu Dhabi Space Week, Abu Dhabi.

DECEMBER

2-4 December (Wednesday-Friday): UN Water Conference, UAE.

Signposted to happen in 2026:

Signposted to happen sometime in 2027:

  • 1 January: Deadline for large businesses to implement e-invoicing;
  • 1Q 2027: Completion of the first phase of Hassyan seawater desalination project;
  • 31 March: Small businesses with annual revenues of less than AED 50 mn are obliged to contract with an accredited service provider for e-invoicing implementation;
  • 31 March: Government entities are required to appoint an accredited service provider for e-invoicing implementation;
  • 1 July: Deadline for small businesses to implement e-invoicing;
  • 1 October: Deadline for governments to implement e-invoicing;
  • Abu Dhabi’s solar and battery energy facility, combining 5.2 GW of solar capacity and 19 GWh of battery storage, is set for commissioning.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2029:

  • Sibos 2029 organized by the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT), Dubai;
  • The commissioning of the seventh phase of Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum Solar Park.
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