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UAE REITs rally amid soaring property demand

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

THIS MORNING: Hatta Dam is open for business as the area awaits major upgrade

Good morning, lovely people, and welcome to the start of a new workweek. It’s a slow start to the week, though that’s not unusual for a Monday, but expect things to get busier next week as those on vacation return home in time for the new school year.

While there’s no single big story today, we have more data out on Dubai and Abu Dhabi’s office sectors indicating sustained strong demand — and a look at how UAE-listed REITs are benefitting from the strong performance. Plus: The UAE continues to build out a global food security platform with investments in Kurdistan, and Shuaa Capital returns to the black in 1H 2025.

WEATHER- The National Center of Meteorology forecasts (pdf) partly cloudy conditions, with a chance of light rainfall in eastern and southern areas. Temperatures today will hit 41°C in Dubai, with an overnight low of 33°C, and 40°C in Abu Dhabi, before also cooling to an overnight low of 33°C.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Hatta Dam is open for business: Hatta launched 14 new commercial spaces — including four restaurants, four retail outlets, and six F&B kiosks — at the Hatta Sustainable Waterfalls project, state news agency Wam reports. Dubai Municipality will allocate the spaces without charge for one year to Emiratis residing in Hatta, in a bid to support small businesses and tourism. Dubai Municipality has started accepting applications from businesses for local cafes, gift shops, and other initiatives supporting the local culture.

The initiative marks the first commercial activity at the Hatta Dam area and aligns with the Hatta Master Development Plan, a regional development project with 65 ongoing initiatives worth AED 3.6 bn.


#2- UAE investors caught in UK’s Seventy Ninth Group collapse: UAE investors are trying to recover funds placed with UK-based asset manager Seventy Ninth Group, which was placed into administration and has been under investigation by the City of London Police on suspicion of fraud since March, The National reports. Individual investors in the UAE are saying they lost sums of up to several AED mns, with some investors reporting the case to Action Fraud in the UK and escalating complaints to Sanadak, the Central Bank of the UAE’s ombudsman.

IN CONTEXT- The company offered structured loan notes secured against property, promising annual returns of 15-18%, but defaulted on payouts. Its Dubai office, opened in 2023 in the Dubai Multi Commodities Center, has since shut down after failing compliance checks.

The prospects of getting the money back look “grim,” one Dubai-based investor told the outlet, adding that administrators view the firm as holding a “zero balance or negative balance book.” Lawyers suggest potential collective action against advisers or third parties who marketed the products locally.

#3- UAE, Mali eye closer trade ties: The UAE and Mali are set to sign an MoU to establish a joint business council connecting the private sectors of both countries, Wam reports. The council will prioritize cooperation in agriculture, food security, energy, and mining as part of broader efforts to expand bilateral trade and investment.

More sectors on the table: On the sidelines of the UAE-Mali Business Forum in Sharjah, a Malian trade delegation visited the UAE last week and presented investment projects in renewable energy, infrastructure, transport, manufacturing, and healthcare.

DATA POINTS-

#1- The Abu Dhabi Chamber of Commerce and Industry recorded a 10.3% y-o-y increase in certificates of origin in 1H 2025, a marker of the emirate’s growing variety of non-oil exports, state news agency Wam reports. Chemicals, metals, and engineering were the leading sectors, while SMEs also boosted exports.

REMEMBER- Abu Dhabi’s non-oil foreign trade rose 34.7% in 1H 2025, with exports jumping 64%, re-exports 35%, and imports 15%.

#2- The UAE’s ins. sector saw profitability jump 54% y-o-y to reach AED 2 bn in 1H 2025, recovering from heavy losses caused by the unprecedented April 2024 rains, Khaleej Times reports, citing Badri Management Consultancy. Ins. firms managed to mitigate losses with gains from investment income, the consultancy said. Revenues rose 19% to AED 24.2 bn, supported by higher premiums and better risk-based pricing, especially in motor and medical ins.

The top five insurers contributed AED 1.3 bn of the results, up 31% y-o-y — signaling an increase in market concentration. Among listed players:

  • Union Ins.’ net income rose 76% to AED 22.7 mn;
  • Abu Dhabi National Ins. Company’s net income increased 14.7% y-o-y to AED 235.3 mn on higher gross written premiums;
  • Salama posted AED 8.3 mn in 1H net income, driven by a strong 2Q.

Looking ahead: Badri noted that profitability will depend on maintaining underwriting discipline and solvency buffers. Insurers face potential headwinds from higher reins. costs and the delayed impact of treaty renewals, even as the Central Bank of the UAE’s tighter oversight supports margins.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

There’s no single story leading the conversation in the international business press this morning, but the global business community pushing ahead with “return to office” orders can be seen in a handful of stories on JPMorgan Chase preparing to move into headquarters in New York and London. The bank is “stepping up planning” for a new tower in London as it begins to outgrow its current headquarters as it expands in the UK, while across the pond in Manhattan its new USD 3 bn Midtown tower is expected to be ready for move-in in October. The Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times have more.

ALSO- Air Canada delayed restarting its operations, after striking flight attendants refused to obey a government order on a labor dispute between the flight attendants and the airline. The flight attendants — who went on strike over the weekend over pay issues — and the Canadian Union of Public Employees are pushing the airline to “negotiate a fair [agreement]” to settle the dispute. The airline intends to resume flying this evening. (Wall Street Journal | Reuters)

Meanwhile, the disjointed conversations over ending the Russia-Ukraine war are still getting plenty of ink across digital front pages, as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is due to meet with Donald Trump in Washington later today. Zelensky — who insists his country will not cede more territory to Russia — will be accompanied by the NATO secretary general and several other European leaders. (Politico | BBC | Financial Times | Reuters)

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REAL ESTATE

UAE REITs rally amid soaring property demand

More indicators of strong demand for Dubai’s office sector…: Dubai saw some 2k sales transactions in 1H 2025, up 84% y-o-y to AED 5.4 bn, according to a Cavendish Maxwell report. Commercial real estate prices were up by an average of 22.2% y-o-y to AED 1.7k per sq ft, while rents grew 26.4% y-o-y, with prime areas such as DIFC and Downtown Dubai seeing a nearly 35% jump.

Ready offices made up nearly 85% of transactions in 1H, but off-plan sales saw a significant surge amid high investor demand, with the value of off-plan sales rising 617.4%, and the volume rising c.180% y-o-y, driven largely by demand for luxury-grade office space.

Business Bay remained the top area for sales with 672 transactions, followed by Jumeirah Lakes Towers with 534, and Motor City with 216. Some 4k sqm of new commercial space were delivered in 1H 2025, with an additional 110k sqm expected in 2H and 340k sqm in 2026.

…and in Abu Dhabi: Off-plan weighted average prices on Al Reem Island jumped 38% y-o-y in 2Q 2025, with average prices in waterfront projects reaching AED 1.8k per square foot, the fastest in the capital, according to a press release citing Quanta data analyzed by real estate developer Mered. Rental indices show apartment rents on Al Reem up 21% y-o-y, as demand for the location grew in recent months following the ADGM’s expansion to the island. Khalifa City and Jubail Island followed with 24% and 20% growth.

REMEMBER- Abu Dhabi office demand surged in 1H 2025, with more than 50k sqm required during the period, up 110% y-o-y. Grade A occupancy is near full, while January transactions spiked on new rental contracts.

The rally is reflected in the performance of the UAE’s listed REITs. Emirates NBD REIT — whose portfolio is made up of 70% office assets — is up 54.2% YTD, and Al Mal Capital REIT is up 48.7% YTD. The first listed REIT in the UAE, Emirates REIT, is the only outlier, trading down 5.6% YTD at USD 0.50 apiece at Friday’s close.

REMEMBER- AMCREIT moved to tap the market with a follow-on public offering last week, buoyed by Dubai’s strong real estate performance which has been fueling investor appetite for income-generating assets. The issuance raised AED 210 mn at a price of AED 1.125 per unit. The REIT also saw its net income grow to AED 1.9 bn in 1H 2025, more than triple last year’s AED 565.3 mn, while revenues grew 9.8% y-o-y to AED 957.8 mn.

They’ve all been netting strong gains: Emirates REIT, meanwhile, saw its net income for 1Q 2025 rise 6x y-o-y to USD 149.7 mn on stronger portfolio valuations. ENBD REIT saw its net income surge 61% y-o-y to USD 33.7 mn in its FY 2024-2025 ending March, and Dubai Residential REIT also tripled its net income on a fair value gain.

What makes REITs attractive to investors in the local market? UAE REITs must distribute at least 80% of their annual net profits to unitholders, offering the potential for a steady, sustainable income stream. They also enjoy tax advantages: the REIT itself is exempt from corporate tax, and UAE-based individual investors pay no tax on their earnings.

High demand and tight supply point to more future momentum for REITs: Knight Frank cited robust demand, which is set to outpace supply this year, and high-value transactions in prime districts, as drivers for the market in the near future, indicating favorable conditions for income-generating assets like those in the REITs’ portfolios.

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INVESTMENT WATCH

Kurdistan’s Zakho attracts AED 12 mn investment from the UAE for an agricultural project

UAE firms have invested in a 1k-acre farm in Zakho, Kurdistan Region, Iraq, valued at more than IQD 4.4 bn (AED 12 mn), as part of a series of agricultural projects in the area, Abdulrahman Abdullah, spokesman for Zakho’s General Directorate of Investment told Kurdistan24.

The details: Launched in 2023 and set for completion in 2025, the farm is cultivating maize, wheat, rice, chickpeas, figs, and melons, and has already produced around 600 tons of wheat and 27 tons of beans, according to Abdullah.

The projects follow the Prime Minister of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq Masrour Barzani’s visit to the UAE last February, where he encouraged Emirati investors to expand into the region during talks with Dubai Crown Prince Hamdan bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum.

REMEMBER- UAE firms have been ramping up their global agricultural investments. Abu Dhabi-based Al Dahra invested some USD 250 mn in Egypt’s agrifoods industry and is deploying USD 230 mn more as the UAE builds out a global food security platform. The ADQ-backed agribusiness also previously inked an agreement to operate and manage up to 200k acres of irrigated farmland in Galana Kulalu, Kenya.

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EARNINGS WATCH

Shuaa swings to the black in 2Q 2025, plans investment banking focus

Shuaa Capital reversed its AED 30.9 mn in losses in 2Q 2024 with a net income attributable to owners of AED 18.7 mn in 2Q 2025, according to its financials (pdf). Revenues also rose 16.9% y-o-y to AED 23.3 mn. On a six-month basis, the firm posted net income of AED 214.4 mn in 1H 2025 against a loss of AED 116.7 mn last year, largely attributed to the funds it raised from the issuance of mandatory convertible bonds. Revenues stood at AED 49 mn, slightly down from the AED 50.1 mn recorded a year before.

Breakdown: Investment banking contributed AED 10.7 mn to the firm’s top line in 2Q 2025, followed by asset management at AED 8.1 mn and real estate at AED 3.9 mn, according to a separate earnings release (pdf).

Legacy losses remain: Shuaa carried accumulated losses of AED 888 mn as of end-June — equal to 24.3% of its capital — reflecting fair value impairments on UK and real estate assets, associate valuation losses, deferred tax liabilities, and receivable write-offs, according to a disclosure (pdf).

Looking ahead: The company said it is rolling out a five-year plan focused on launching funds, reviving its investment banking platform, and maintaining a leaner structure.

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ALSO ON OUR RADAR

US e-trading giant Robinhood looks to enter Dubai

FINANCIAL SERVICES-

Robinhood moves to secure DFSA license for Dubai expansion: US-based e-trading platform Robinhood has applied for a category 4 license from the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) as it looks to open up its first office in the emirate in the coming months, FX News Group reports. The neobroker’s expansion moves outside of the US have included a focus on the UK and EU so far, with plans to expand into Asia through a Singapore office as well.

The firm tapped former Equiti executive Mario Camara (LinkedIn) as senior executive officer to lead operations from Dubai. Camara previously worked as CCO at GigExecs, spent six years at Equiti, and earlier served as senior executive officer at Saxo Bank ’s DIFC office.

AVIATION-

Air Arabia Abu Dhabi to launch winter flights to Yekaterinburg: UAE-based budget carrier Air Arabia will operate seasonal direct flights between Zayed International Airport and Russia’s Koltsovo International Airport in Yekaterinburg between 27 October 2025 and 27 March 2026, according to a press release. The service will run twice a week — on Mondays and Fridays.

REAL ESTATE-

DMDC expands to Abu Dhabi: Dubai-based construction and interior design firm DMDC is kickstarting operations in the capital with a renovation project at the Four Seasons Residences, according to a press release(pdf). The Four Seasons project is the first in a pipeline of developments planned in Abu Dhabi. The expansion follows four years of activity in Dubai, where the company has built a portfolio of luxury residential projects.

REMEMBER- DMDC launched a new division — its property investment arm, DMDC Estates — last month with an initial AED 70 mn commitment to acquire, renovate, and sell homes in Dubai. The firm earmarked another AED 30 mn for the division later in the year.

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PLANET FINANCE

Is the greenback on its way to losing its title as king?

The greenback’s status as the world’s go-to reserve currency is facing mounting pressure, with global investors questioning its long-held dominance amid economic and political turbulence, writes Bloomberg. While the USD still accounts for 60% of global reserves and is used in roughly 90% of all FX transactions, signs of erosion are emerging. A weaker greenback undermines the US’s ability to run persistent deficits and maintain global influence — both military and financial — and is beginning to push investors to seek safer, more diversified currency exposure, writes the business news information service.

Investor anxiety began building when the tariff-driven trade regime of President Donald Trump returned in April. The USD index has since plunged 10% — its worst first-half performance since 1973 — as sentiment toward US assets soured. This wave of uncertainty also dragged down demand for US Treasuries, raising funding costs for Washington and exposing America’s fiscal vulnerability.

The retreat from the US and the USD is translating into a growing appetite for international exposure. Global non-US equity funds logged their biggest monthly inflows in more than four years in July, drawing USD 13.6 bn, while US-focused equity funds saw USD 6.3 bn in outflows during the same period. Investors are leaning toward Europe and emerging markets where valuations are lower, monetary policy is looser, and the political environment is comparatively more stable.

Mixed messages from Washington aren’t helping, with Trump’s Fed nominee Stephen Miran openly describing the USD’s reserve status as a burden, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent continues to defend its global role. The Trump administration’s broader agenda — including centralizing federal authority and attacking institutional independence — is also making global investors nervous.

But despite the exodus, no single currency has yet emerged as a credible alternative to the USD. The EUR is limited by fragmented governance, the CNY remains shackled by capital controls, and gold is illiquid and yield-free. Crypto and stablecoins, while growing, are still speculative or USD-pegged. Most analysts agree we are headed toward a more multipolar currency world, with the USD still dominant, but sharing space with other currencies.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asian markets are mostly in the green in early trading this morning, with Japan’s Nikkei leading gains, up 0.8%. The Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng are also in the green, up 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively, while the Kospi is looking at losses of 1.3%.

ADX

10,222

-0.3% (YTD: +8.5%)

DFM

6,126

+0.5% (YTD: +18.7%)

Nasdaq Dubai UAE20

4,988

-0.4% (YTD: +19.8%)

USD : AED CBUAE

Buy 3.67

Sell 3.67

EIBOR

4.1% o/n

4.0% 1 yr

Tadawul

10,897

+0.6% (YTD: -9.5%)

EGX30

35,973

+1.1% (YTD: +21.0%)

S&P 500

6,450

-0.3% (YTD: +9.7%)

FTSE 100

9,139

-0.4% (YTD: +11.8%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,449

+0.3% (YTD: +11.3%)

Brent crude

USD 65.57

-0.4%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.87

-1.6%

Gold

USD 3,369

-0.4%

BTC

USD 117,564

+0.1% (YTD: +25.7%)

Chimera JP Morgan UAE Bond UCITS ETF

AED 3.54

-1.4% (YTD: +1.6%)

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk

148.24

-0.1% (YTD: +5.9%)

VIX (Volatility Index)

15.09

+1.8% (YTD: -13.0%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The ADX fell 0.3% on Friday on turnover of AED 777.8 mn. The index is up 8.5% YTD.

In the green: Umm Al Qaiwain General Investment Co. (+14.8%), E7 Group PJSC Warrants (+12.2%) and Alef Education (+3.0%).

In the red: Abu Dhabi National Takaful Co. (-10.0%), Gulf Cement Co. (-10.0%) and Ins. House (-9.6%).

Over on the DFM, the index rose 0.5% on turnover of AED 525.4 mn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai was down 0.4%.


AUGUST

15-24 August (Friday-Sunday): Abu Dhabi International Chess Festival, Radisson Blu Hotel & Resort, Abu Dhabi Corniche.

20-24 August (Wednesday-Sunday): Dubai hosts government pavilion at Gamescom 2025, Cologne, Germany.

SEPTEMBER

1-6 September (Monday-Saturday): Dubai Fashion Week, Dubai Design District.

7 September (Sunday) Opec+ meet to discuss production policy for October.

9 September (Tuesday): Envision 2025, Atlantis, The Royal, Dubai.

8-10 September (Monday-Wednesday): DigiHealth exhibition, World Trade Center, Dubai.

8-10 September (Monday-Wednesday): WHX-Tech Expo, Dubai World Trade Center.

8-19 September (Monday-Friday): Universal Postal Congress, Dubai World Trade Center.

8-18 September (Monday-Thursday): BHM Capital Financial Services’s AED 200 mn rights issue will be open for subscriptions.

10-11 September (Wednesday-Thursday): MENA Public-Private Partnership Forum, Dubai.

10-20 September (Wednesday-Saturday): IFMA Youth World Muay Thai Championship, Abu Dhabi.

12-14 September (Friday-Sunday): The International Real Estate and Investment Show, Abu Dhabi.

16-17 September (Tuesday-Wednesday): US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

23-24 September (Tuesday-Wednesday): MENA EV Show, The Agenda, Dubai Media City.

24-25 September (Wednesday-Thursday): The KT UniExpo, The H Dubai.

24-25 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Mohammed Bin Rashid Leadership Forum, Mohammed Bin Rashid Center for Leadership Development, Dubai.

24-25 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Dubai World Congress for Self-Driving Transport, Dubai.

25-27 September (Thursday-Saturday): International Congress of Medical Excellence in Dermatology and Aesthetic Med, Dubai World Trade Centre.

30 September (Tuesday): Africa Debate Conference, Dubai.

30 September (Tuesday): Dubai Podfest, Dubai.

OCTOBER

1-2 October (Thursday-Friday): World Green Economy Summit (WGES), Dubai World Trade Center.

30 September-2 October (Tuesday-Thursday): The Water, Energy, Technology, and Environment Exhibition (WETEX), Dubai World Trade Center.

3-16 October (Friday-Thursday): Dubai Home Festival.

7 October (Tuesday): Enterprise Egypt Forum 2025.

7-9 October (Tuesday-Thursday): The International Symposium on the System of Radiological Protection, the Ritz-Carlton Abu Dhabi, Grand Canal.

9 October (Thursday): Family Office Summit, Park Hyatt, Dubai.

9-15 October (Thursday-Wednesday): IUCN World Conservation Congress, Abu Dhabi.

12–15 October (Sunday-Wednesday): Expand North Star, Dubai Harbor.

14-16 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Global Future Councils, Dubai.

15-18 October (Wednesday-Saturday): Middle East Electric Vehicle Show, Expo Center Sharjah.

20 October (Monday): Reuters NEXT Gulf Summit, The St. Regis Saadiyat Island Resort, Abu Dhabi.

22-24 October (Wednesday-Friday): World Investment Conference, Expo Center Sharjah.

27 October (Monday): The UAE Africa Tourism Investment Summit, Dubai.

27-29 October (Monday-Wednesday): Future Hospitality Summit, Madinat Jumeirah, Dubai.

27-29 October (Monday-Wednesday): Asia Pacific Cities Summit, Dubai Exhibition Center.

28-29 October (Tuesday-Wednesday): US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

NOVEMBER

1-2 November (Saturday-Sunday): Women's Empowerment Convention (WE Convention), Atlantis The Royal, Dubai.

4-9 November (Tuesday-Saturday):Dubai Design Week, Dubai.

11-17 November (Tuesday-Monday): International Council of Museums (ICOM) General Conference, Dubai

12 November (Wednesday): Dubai Business Forum, Cipriani South Street, New York City.

12-17 November (Wednesday-Monday): RoboCup Asia-Pacific, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi.

13-15 November (Thursday-Saturday): International Financial Markets (ICA) Conference and Exhibition, Conrad Dubai.

15-17 November (Saturday-Monday): Myplant & Garden Middle East Green Expo, Dubai Exhibition Center, Expo City.

17-21 November (Monday-Friday): Dubai Airshow, Al Maktoum International Airport, Dubai.

18-19 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Dubai Future Forum, Museum of the Future, Dubai.

DECEMBER

1-3 December (Monday-Wednesday): Eid Al Etihad (UAE National Day).

1-5 December (Monday-Friday): The World Congress of Neurosurgery, Dubai World Trade Center.

7-14 December (Sunday-Sunday): Asian Youth Para Games, APC headquarters, Dubai.

8-9 December (Monday-Tuesday): BTC Mena Conference, Adnec, Abu Dhabi.

8-9 December (Monday-Tuesday): Global AI Show 2025, Abu Dhabi.

8-10 December (Monday-Wednesday): Bridge media summit, Abu Dhabi.

8-11 December (Monday-Thursday): Abu Dhabi Finance Week, Al Maryah Island.

9-10 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

18-23 December (Thursday-Tuesday): Games of the Future, Adnec, Abu Dhabi.

29-30 December (Monday-Tuesday): World Sports Summit, Dubai.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2025:

  • e& will complete Adnoc’s private 5G network.
  • Executive Committee Meeting (EXCOM 2025) conference of the World Smart Sustainable Cities Organisation (WeGO)

Signposted to happen sometime in 2H 2025:

  • Closing of XRG's acquisition of Covestro

JANUARY 2026

1 January: Client asset regime changes in Dubai International Financial Center take effect.

9-11 January (Friday-Sunday): 1 Bn Followers Summit, UAE.

28-29 January (Wednesday-Thursday): IBA Arbitration Day Conference, Abu Dhabi.

FEBRUARY 2026

3-5 February (Tuesday-Thursday): The World Governments Summit.

12-15 February (Thursday-Sunday): The Society for Incentive Travel Excellence Global Conference, Abu Dhabi.

9-13 February (Monday-Friday): The World Health Expo (WHX), Dubai.

Signposted to happen in 2026:

Signposted to happen sometime in October 2026:

  • Abu Dhabi Space Week, Abu Dhabi.

Signposted to happen sometime in 2027:

  • Abu Dhabi’s solar and battery energy facility, combining 5.2 GW of solar capacity and 19 GWh of battery storage, is set for commissioning.

Signposted to happen sometime between 2027 and 2029:

  • Sibos 2029 organized by the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT), Dubai.
  • The commissioning of the seventh phase of Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum Solar Park.
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