Posted inREAL ESTATE

Abu Dhabi home prices soared in 3Q amid tight market, record off-plan demand

Tight supply underpinned the rally, with just 10.3% of this year’s residential pipeline delivered as of September

Abu Dhabi’s property market logged its strongest performance to date in 3Q 2025, as the ValuStrat Price Index for residential capital values rose 4% q-o-q and 10.5% y-o-y, according to ValuStrat’s latest report (pdf). That’s up sharply from 1.7% and 5.3% during the same period last year.

Off-plan sales hit all-time high: Off-plan transactions nearly doubled q-o-q (+97.5%) and more than doubled y-o-y (+118%), accounting for 79% of total sales — the highest on record. Average off-plan prices rose 22.4% y-o-y to AED 20.8k per sqm, with ticket sizes averaging AED 3.4 mn. Ready-home transactions grew 12.5% y-o-y to AED 13.9k per sqm, though slipped 1.7% q-o-q.

Mortgage-backed transactions accounted for 67% of total sales, reaching AED 12.4 bn versus AED 8 bn in non-mortgaged purchases. The pickup came as the US Federal Reserve — and subsequently, the Central Bank of the UAE — cut interest rates, easing borrowing costs for buyers.

Villas led annual price growth: Villas posted an 11.6% y-o-y rise in prices during the quarter, while apartments saw faster quarterly growth, rising 4.4% q-o-q. Saadiyat Island led villa gains with a 21.2% price increase, followed by Al Reef (+8.1%) and Al Raha (+7.7%). Among apartments, Al Reef (+13.3%) and Saadiyat Island (+10.5%) saw the biggest jumps. The weighted average home value reached AED 10.8k per sqm.

Rents also saw their strongest annual gains in a year: Residential rents increased 2.3% q-o-q and 9.3% y-o-y, with apartments outpacing villas (+12.8% y-o-y vs +5.6%). Average apartment rents hit AED 120k per year, while villas averaged AED 253k. Occupancy stood at 88.1%, keeping gross yields around 8.1%.

Supply remains tight despite new launches: Only 10.3% of this year’s projected residential pipeline was delivered as of September. Around 33k new units are expected by 2030, two-thirds of them apartments. New projects this quarter included Aldar’s Waldorf Astoria Residences and Yas Living, and Taraf’s 1.4 mn sqm Masdar City community.

Offices and hotels extend rally: Office rents rose 22.7% y-o-y and 3.6% q-o-q amid 90.5% occupancy in central districts, while prices grew 8.7% y-o-y. Hotel occupancy reached 81.5% as of July, with average daily rates jumping 20.7% to AED 544 and revenue per available room climbing 23.7% to AED 443 on sustained tourism demand.

…as did industrial properties: Industrial property prices in the emirate grew at an average of 13.7% y-o-y, while rents increased 10.9% y-o-y at the lower end and 15.5% at the higher end, according to the report.