Dubai’s real estate market hits AED 431.2 bn in 1H: Total real estate transactions from Dubai’s real estate market, including sales, mortgages, and grants, reached a new record of AED 431.2 bn in 1H 2025, an uptick of roughly 25% y-o-y, Emarat Al Youm reports, citing Dubai Land Department data. The increase came on the back of some 123.3k transactions.

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The breakdown: The sector saw some AED 326.6 bn in sales across 98.5k transactions in 1H 2025, a 40.2% uptick compared to the same period last year. AED 83.1 bn came from 20.3k mortgage transactions, while 4.6k grant transactions accounted for AED 21.3 bn.

The top spots: Business Bay led the charge in terms of sales value with AED 16.5 bn, followed by Me'aisem 2 with AED 15 bn and Al Yalayis with AED 14 bn.

A strong start to the summer: June saw sales hit AED 54.2 bn, up 20.7% y-o-y, but May remains the strongest month, with sales of AED 66.9 bn, followed by April with AED 62.1 bn.

More real estate transactions ≠ higher prices: Fitch Ratings anticipates a moderate price correction of up to 15% in Dubai’s residential real estate market as supply is set to catch up with demand, with approximately 250k new units expected by 2026. Developers and banks are expected to absorb any sharp price declines, with prime areas likely to remain resilient. Knight Frank predicts that this year will see price increases of 8% — a slowdown from 2024’s double-digit growth, while Moody’s predicts a dip or stabilization over the coming 12-18 months.

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