The number of US Treasuries held by foreign investors was near record highs in April, even as US President Donald Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs triggered one of the steepest sell-offs in the asset class in over two decades, Bloomberg reports. Foreign holdings came in at USD 9.01 tn — just shy of March’s all-time high following sales of US bonds and notes, according to US Treasury data. This came despite concerns over a wave of outflows from American debt and equity markets following the tariff announcements.
IN CONTEXT- Trump’s tariff announcement in early April triggered a historic sell-off, with Treasuries posting their worst weekly performance in over 20 years. A weak 20-year bond auction in May added to the sell-off, though 30-year and 20-year offerings later saw better take-up.
But no mass exit: Despite this, buyers were ramping up holdings of long-term Treasuries, with official institutions being net buyers. Foreign investors were net sellers of US agency bonds and equities, but increased their exposure to long-term corporate debt, suggesting selective rebalancing rather than a broad retreat.
Big buyers didn’t blink: Japan, still the top holder, increased its holdings by USD 3.7 bn to USD 1.13 tn. The UK added USD 28.4 bn, overtaking China for the number-two spot with USD 807.7 bn. Belgium — often seen as a proxy for Chinese custodial accounts — rose USD 8.9 bn to USD 411 bn.
China pulled back, Canada dumped: China’s holdings dropped by USD 8.2 bn to USD 757 bn, continuing a multi-year retreat. Canada posted the largest decline, offloading nearly USD 58 bn to bring its total to USD 368.4 bn. The Cayman Islands — a hub for hedge funds — also reduced holdings by USD 7 bn.
“The ‘Sell America’ narrative is an over-exaggeration,” Morgan Stanley’s Vishal Khanduja told Bloomberg elsewhere, though warning of “slow and bumpy [USD] depreciation” ahead. Jamie Patton of TCW Group also pushed back on talk of capital flight, saying there’s a “big difference between valuation and the reserve status of the USD or Treasuries as a de facto safe asset.”
Concerns that US Treasuries “safe haven status” is in jeopardy still abound, with the latest red flag being the lack of a rally during the Israel-Iran flare-up — which would typically be a haven bid moment.
MARKETS THIS MORNING-
Asian markets are mixed once again, with China’s CSI 300 trading flat following the People’s Bank of China’s decision to hold interest rates steady, while Japan’s Nikkei lost 0.1% after inflation figures from May showed consumer prices rising to their highest level since 2023. South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.65%. Wall Street futures are down after stocks paused trading yesterday for the Juneteenth holiday.
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ADX |
9,423 |
-0.8% (YTD: +0.0%) |
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DFM |
5,270 |
-0.7%(YTD: +2.1%) |
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Nasdaq Dubai UAE20 |
4,254 |
-1.3% (YTD: +2.2%) |
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USD : AED CBUAE |
Buy 3.67 |
Sell 3.67 |
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EIBOR |
4.2% o/n |
4.3% 1 yr |
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TASI |
10,611 |
+0.2% (YTD: -12.0%) |
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EGX30 |
30,248 |
-1.9% (YTD: +1.7%) |
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S&P 500 |
5,981 |
-0.0% (YTD: +1.7%) |
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FTSE 100 |
8,792 |
-0.6% (YTD: +7.6%) |
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Euro Stoxx 50 |
5,197 |
-1.3% (YTD: +6.2%) |
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Brent crude |
USD 77.22 |
-2.1% |
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Natural gas (Nymex) |
USD 4.09 |
+2.6% |
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Gold |
USD 3,382.50 |
-0.8% |
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BTC |
USD 104,316.94 |
-0.4% (YTD: +10.4%) |
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Chimera JP Morgan UAE Bond UCITS ETF |
AED 3.56 |
0.0% (YTD: -0.2%) |
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VIX (Volatility Index) |
22.17 |
+10.1% (YTD: +27.8%) |
THE CLOSING BELL-
The DFM fell 0.7% yesterday on turnover of AED 684.4 mn. The index is up 2.1% YTD.
In the green: International Financial Advisors (+14.1%), Taaleem Holdings (+5.6%) and Ekttitab Holding Company (+3.4%).
In the red: National General Ins. Company (-10.0%), Dubai Refreshment Company (-9.8%) and Al Mazaya Holding Company (-9.8%).
Over on the ADX, the index fell 0.8% on turnover of AED 1.3 bn. Meanwhile, Nasdaq Dubai was down 1.3%.