Trump’s tariff plans send shockwaves across financial markets: Markets around the world started the week in the red in anticipation of the US implementing higher tariffs on its largest trading partners and threatening the EU may be next. Japan’s Nikkei fell 2.7% during yesterday’s trading, the FTSE 100 was down 1.0%, Kospi fell 2.5%, while the S&P 500 closed down 0.8%.
A better performance than initially expected: The tariffs on Mexican, Canadian, and Chinese imports were set to take effect at midnight before US President Donald Trump paused the 25% tariff on Mexican and Canadian imports for a one-month period. The move had markets performing better than initially expected.
Investors are hopeful that the tariffs will never see the light: “Call us deluded, but we still think that permanent tariffs on the US‘s allies (Canada, Mexico) will not be a thing … That’s because concessions are an ‘easier’ way to deal with Trump’s ‘problems’ (from a cost-benefit and game-theoretic perspective), and Trump likes to make deals,” Macquarie’s Thierry Wizman said.
Markets aside, the tariffs will have a broader economic impact, possibly hurting “the economies of the US and its neighbors while putting upward pressure on inflation,” CNBC writes. “Our economists expect that fully implemented tariffs would have meaningful consequences. A recession in Mexico becomes the base case,” one Morgan Stanley strategist said, pointing to increased inflation and lower economic growth.
Is the EU next in line for the Trump tariff? Trump told reports that levies on goods coming from the EU could be introduced “ very soon.”
All of the international pages had coverage of the new: BBC | AP | CNBC | Reuters | FT
MARKETS THIS MORNING-
After a rocky start to the week, Asian markets are in the green in early trading this morning — the Nikkei is up 1.5%, the Hang Seng is up 2.8%, and Kospi is looking at gains of 1.8%.
|
ADX |
9,576 |
-0.1% (YTD: +1.7%) |
|
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DFM |
5,183 |
+0.1% (YTD: +0.5%) |
|
|
Nasdaq Dubai UAE20 |
4,352 |
+0.1% (YTD: +4.5%) |
|
|
USD : AED CBUAE |
Buy 3.67 |
Sell 3.67 |
|
|
EIBOR |
4.3% o/n |
4.4% 1 yr |
|
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TASI |
12,377 |
-0.3% (YTD: +2.8%) |
|
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EGX30 |
29,755 |
-0.6% (YTD: -0.1%) |
|
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S&P 500 |
5,995 |
-0.8% (YTD: +1.9%) |
|
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FTSE 100 |
8,584 |
-1.0% (YTD: +5.0%) |
|
|
Euro Stoxx 50 |
5,218 |
-1.3% (YTD: +6.6%) |
|
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Brent crude |
USD 75.41 |
-0.3% |
|
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Natural gas (Nymex) |
USD 3.35 |
+10.1% |
|
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Gold |
USD 2,857 |
+0.8% |
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BTC |
USD 101,932 |
+5.1% (YTD: +9.0%) |
THE CLOSING BELL-
The ADX fell 0.1% yesterday on turnover of AED 1 bn. The index is up 1.7% YTD.
In the green: National Bank of Fujairah (+11.9%), Commercial Bank International (+7.3%) and Abu Dhabi National Ins. Company (+4.3%).
In the red: Apex Investment (-9.9%), Abu Dhabi National Hotels (-5.8%) and Bildco (-5.6%).
Over on the DFM, the index rose 0.1% on turnover of AED 657.2 mn. Nasdaq Dubai also closed up 0.1%.