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Syria ramps up gas imports as Egypt activates export pact to Levant

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

TODAY: Egypt activates gas corridor to the Levant

Good morning, friends, and happy hump day. We have a brisk read for you today, heavily featuring trade updates from the region.

Leading today: Egypt is cementing its role as an indsespinsible regional energy hub, activating a gas corridor to the Levant by routing imported natural gas through Jordan to help stabilize the grids in Syria and Lebanon.

Meanwhile, a major reprieve is on the horizon for Egyptian heavy industries. We’ve learned that the EU is set to grant Egyptian exporters a two-year exemption from its carbon tax (CBAM) through 2027. This buys critical time for local steel, cement, and fertilizer players to decarbonize before some USD 317 mn in annual surcharges actually kick in.

Further afield, keep an eye on the UAE and Qatar AI play as they join “Pax Silica,” a US-led effort to secure the global semiconductor supply chain, as Gulf players embrace that ‘silicon statecraft’ in a bid to diversify their hydrocarbon-reliant economies.

Watch this space-

PORTS — Somalia’s government said it is annulling all of its contracts for ports, defense, and security with the UAE over what its Council of Ministers said were “actions undermining [its] national security,” Reuters reports, citing a government statement.

DP World has been working on developing the port of Berbera as part of a USD 442 mn concession in Somaliland, a breakaway region in Somalia, the independence of which was recently recognized by Israel in a move condemned by the UAE and other countries.


SUPPLY CHAINS — UAE and Qatar are about to plug into Washington’s silicon play. The two Gulf states are set to formally join Pax Silica, a US-led effort to secure AI and semiconductor supply chains, in the coming days, US Undersecretary of State for Economic Affairs Jacob Helberg told Reuters. Qatar will sign the declaration today, while the UAE should be onboarded on Thursday.

Why it matters: For Gulf economies, the move marks a shift from hydrocarbon-centric security toward what Helberg calls “silicon statecraft” — focusing more on national AI and data infrastructure as a powerful economic tool.

Pax Silica is still in its early stages of formation, with the initiative currently focusing on expanding membership, building projects, and coordinating policies, Helberg said. The real test will be bringing the various countries involved — currently Israel, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Britain, the US, and Australia — into alignment with common policy frameworks and onboarding them across major strategic projects.


ZONES — Ain Sokhna adds 120k TEUs to its container handling capacity: Kadmar Group launched a USD 24 mn expansion to its logistics zone in Ain Sokhna Industrial Zone, according to a statement. The expansion expands the zone’s storage capacity by 34k tons per year to reach 50k tons.The first phase of the zone was launched in 2023.

That’s not all from Kadmar: Operations at Kadmar’s subsidiary Beit Logistics’ 65k sqmSafaga Port logistics center are scheduled to launch in 1H 2027. The hub will feature some 16k sqm of warehouse space, with a storage capacity of 1 mn tons annually. It will also host a 50k sqm container and general cargo yard capable of handling around 100k TEUs per year.

Market watch-

Oil prices rose this morning as concerns over disruptions to Iranian oil supplies continued to overshadow the possibility of resumed Venezuelan exports, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures were up USD 0.22 to trade at USD 64.09 / bbl as of 04:30 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose by USD 0.23 to USD 59.73 / bbl.

UPDATES FROM EGYPT- The gov’t is thinking about walking away from its oil price hedging program starting next fiscal year, a senior government official tells EnterpriseAM. The move marks a significant shift in how the state manages its exposure to global energy markets, moving away from expensive bank-led ins. contracts in favor of direct supply agreements.

For years, Egypt has tapped international banks to protect it against spikes in oil prices, but now, this ins. premium is no longer worth it, our source tells us. Last fiscal year, the Finance Ministry paid some USD 84.5 mn to hedge 55 mn barrels, but global prices stayed below the contract’s strike price. Furthermore, the consensus is that oil prices will continue to fall moving forward — with Brent crude averaging USD 61.27 a barrel in 2026, according to a recent Reuters poll.


Baltic index downward streak isn’t going anywhere: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — declined 1.7% to 1,659 points on Monday. The capesize dipped by 2.5% to a six-month low at 2,574 points, while the panamax index went down 0.4% to 1,340 points, and the smaller supramax index eased 7 points to 960 points.

Data point-

519k –– that’s the volume of Middle East bbl/d exported to Europe in 2025, up from 497k bbl / d in 2024. Saudi Arabia led the push at 311k bbl / d –– nearly three times Kuwait’s 110k bbl / d. By contrast, jet fuel flows to Europe slid to a three-year low of 284k bbl / d –– with Kuwait leading jet shipments at 149k bbl / d.

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The Big Story Today

Syria ramps up natural gas inflows with Jordan-routed supply

Syria’s energy grid is receiving a big injection of natural gas this week, receiving 4 mn cubic meters per day (cbm / d) of natural gas from Jordan under a USD 800 mn agreement. The flows are routed directly into electricity generation as part of a fast-track fix for a strained grid.

The origin of the supply is murky — but we know Egypt is likely part of the mix. Egypt already started moving some 50 mn cubic feet per day (mcf / d) (c. 1.4 mn cbm / d) of gas to Lebanon and the same to Syria via the Arab Gas Pipeline, using LNG imports and floating regasification capacity, a government source tells us, confirming news carried by Asharq Business. Qatari gas my also be part of the mix as part of a March agreement to provide Syria with around 2 mn cbm /d of gas routed through Jordan.

PLUS- The volumes supplied through Egypt would likely come from a blend of sources, Ross Cassidy VP of Mena Research at Welligence Energy Analytics tells us. Egypt’s natural gas imports are diversified — QatarEnergy, Shell, and TotalEnergies are among suppliers of LNG, and Cairo also receives pipeline gas from Israel — so any volumes sold to Syria would likely be an amalgamation of those streams.

That was fast: Agreements to move gas to Lebanon and Syria via Jordan, using Aqaba’s regasification unit, were signed only within the past two weeks.

Why it matters

The setup is also a big part of the story: Egypt is receiving LNG cargoes on behalf of the two nations, regasifying it via the Energos Force floating storage and regasification unit, currently docked at Jordan’s Aqaba Port, and pushing it north. Egypt already received one shipment last week and will be getting a second 3.5 bcf (c. 99 mn cbm) shipment by the end of the month, our source said.

For Syria, the quick flow of gas is critical for reconstruction, as the country works to ramp up and stabilize electricity generation. The country produced up to 2.4 GW of electricity of last summer — way below the pre-war levels of some 9.5 GW.

ICYMI- Damascus signed agreements last November to build eight new power plants with a combined capacity of 5 GW under a public-private partnership model with a Qatari-led UCC Holding consortium.

Our take

Egypt may not be a net gas exporter right yet — but it is still still playing hub, leveraging its place as one of the few players in the region with both liquefaction and regasification capacity and a location position on key transit routes. This gives Egypt a dual paths to re-export — domestic output or pipeline gas via Israel or Cyprus can be liquified and shipped out as LNG, while LNG imports are regasified through FSRUs and pushed through pipelines.

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Trade

Egypt may have lined up a two-year exemption from the European Union’s carbon tax

The European Union looks set to give Egyptian exports an exemption from its carbon tax until the end of 2027. Two Egyptian government officials tell us the exemption from the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) will give energy-intensive manufacturers in Egypt — specifically in the iron, steel, cement, and fertilizer sectors, and at a later stage electricity and green hydrogen — a crucial two-year window to decarbonize before facing punitive border tariffs. We first exclusively reported last month that officials were pursuing the exemption.

Why this matters: Failure to comply with the carbon border tax or to decarbonize at pace would cost local manufacturers an estimated USD 317 mn annually in carbon surcharges, according to Environment Ministry studies seen by EnterpriseAM, negatively impacting the competitiveness of our exports. By pushing the deadline, the Madbouly government is protecting the competitiveness of our exports and preventing an inflationary spike that would have hit the local market had producers passed on compliance costs.

This also buys time for officials to launch a domestic carbon tax framework, as under EU rules, any carbon price paid at home is deducted from the bill in Brussels. “This grace period gives us a greater chance to conduct an in-depth study of the short- and long-term repercussions the local tax will have on the competitiveness of Egyptian trade and the future of exports,” one of the sources told us.

The planned domestic carbon tax will now be introduced in a standalone bill rather than being buried in the new Income Tax Law, as initially planned, we’re told.

In a bid to push local manufacturers to go green, the state is also mulling legislative amendments to the Environmental Protection Law that would mandate a phased compliance schedule. To support its implementation, Egypt will also license local and international carbon credit rating agencies to provide the binding emissions data verification needed to impose the carbon tax.

What’s next? Officials are working out the details of the local carbon tax and expect to present it to the House of Representatives for debate and a vote later this year, according to one of our sources. But the more important story over the next 24 months could be how proactively the Egyptian industry pivots toward green production — because a delay is still just that: a two-year reprieve. We think the odds of our getting a second one are vanishingly low.

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Also on Our Radar

Asyad Shipping is reshaping its LNG fleet?

Asyad reshapes its LNG fleet profile-

Asyad Shipping trims aging LNG assets: Oman’s Asyad Shipping is set to sell four partially owned LNG carriers –– Ibra, Ibri, Nizwa, and Salalah –– under a USD 110 mn sale agreement signed on 23 December 2025, according to a disclosure (pdf) to the Muscat Stock Exchange (MSX). The vessels are scheduled for handover to an undisclosed buyer in 1Q 2026.

The play: This move reflects a deliberate fleet reset, as older LNG vessels face mounting regulatory pressure, weaker emissions performance, and declining commercial competitiveness. Asyad also confirmed that the agreement was struck below the aggregate net book value — resulting in an expected loss of USD 51 mn, according to a disclosure (pdf) to the MSX.

Sohar Port and Freezone to recycle zinc for export purposes

Sohar is getting a zinc recycling plant with an eye on export: Oman’s Sohar Port and Freezone inked a USD 50 mn investment agreement with Oman Zinc to establish a zinc ash recycling industrial facility on a 10-hectare plot. The plant will use steelmaking residues — zinc ash and Electric Arc Furnace dust — to produce up to 10k tons per year of refined zinc ingots and 50k tons per year of rubber-grade zinc oxide. The plant will import its inputs from Sohar Port, and its recycled zinc output will supply downstream industries in the GCC, Southeast Asia, Europe, and Africa.

SGTM and TGCC land USD 1.28 bn Casablanca airport contract-

Homegrown heavyweights take the W for Morocco airport: A 100% Moroccan consortium of SGTM and TGCC has officially secured the USD 1.28 bn expansion of Casablanca’s Mohammed V Airport — beating out global competition, Morocco World News reported on Thursday. The new terminal will increase capacity to 30 mn passengers across 600k sqm and is slated for completion by mid-2029.

Why it matters: Beyond the 30 mn passenger capacity, the terminal’s direct high-speed rail link to Rabat and Marrakech creates a seamless intermodal corridor that directly competes with established hubs in Southern Europe and the Gulf.


2026

JANUARY

19-23 January (Monday-Friday): World Economic Forum Annual Meeting, Davos, Switzerland.

21-22 January (Wednesday-Thursday): IOSA Operator Workshop, Dubai, UAE.

FEBRUARY

3-4 February (Tuesday-Wednesday): Middle East Bunkering Convention, Dubai, UAE.

4-5 February (Wednesday-Thursday): Breakbulk Middle East, Dubai, UAE.

4-5 February (Wednesday-Thursday): MRO Middle East, Dubai, UAE.

9-11 February (Monday-Wednesday): Future Warehouses & Logistics, Dubai, UAE.

10-12 February (Tuesday-Thursday): Sustainable Aviation Future MENA, Dubai, UAE.

12 February (Thursday): Technical Seminar on Marine Biofuels, London, UK.

15-17 February (Sunday-Tuesday): World Advanced Manufacturing Logistics Summit and Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

20-22 February (Friday-Sunday): Dubai Freight Camp, Dubai, UAE.

24-25 February (Tuesday-Wednesday): Green Shipping Summit, Athens, Greece.

25-27 February (Wednesday-Friday): Air Cargo Africa, Nairobi, Kenya.

25-27 February (Wednesday-Friday): Air Law Treaty Workshop, Tanzania, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

MARCH

5-6 March (Thursday-Friday): CargoIS Forum, Miami, United States.

9-13 March (Monday-Friday): WCA Worldwide Conference, Singapore.

10-12 March (Tuesday-Thursday): World Cargo Symposium, Lima, Peru.

18-19 March (Wednesday-Thursday): IntraLogisteX, Birmingham, United Kingdom.

18-19 March (Wednesday-Thursday): Green Marine Transport Conference, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

26 March (Thursday): Gulf Ship Finance Forum, Dubai, UAE.

APRIL

12-15 April (Sunday-Wednesday): Saudi Smart Logistics, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

16-17 April (Thursday-Friday): Global Supply Chain and Logistics Summit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

MAY

19-21 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Ground Handling Conference (IGHC), Cairo, Egypt.

12-14 May (Tuesday-Thursday): Aviation Energy Forum (AEF), Paris, France.

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