Good morning, friends. We have a brisk read this morning, led with Qatar’s Gulf Warehousing Company snagging a minority stake in logistics startup Quivo. Egypt is also resuming LNG exports as the weather cools and demand dips, and we have updates on a new Qatar-Saudi Arabia railway link.
HAPPENING TODAY-
The MarineEnvironment Protection Committee Extraordinary Session is opening its doors later today and will run until Friday, 17 October at the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) HQ in London. The session is set to see the intergovernmental body formally adopt its Net-Zero Framework — rolling out new fuel standards for ships and a global pricing mechanism for emissions.
Why this matters: The Net-Zero Framework will roll out mandatory emissions limits and greenhouse gas pricing across the entire shipping sector, including large ocean-going ships over 5k gross tonnage that account for 85% of international shipping’s emissions. The framework was adopted last April and would oblige the global shipping industry — which is responsible for 3% of the world’s GHG emissions — to reduce and pay for a portion of its emissions. It is expected to come into effect in 2027.
A rift among IMO members: The draft was passed with support from 63 countries including China and Brazil. Sixteen countries voted against — nine of which were from our region, including Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Yemen, Oman, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE. The US threatened IMO members with retaliation last August, and renewed its warnings last week, threatening visa restrictions and sanctions to retaliate against nations that vote in favor, Reuters reported on Saturday.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Cerebras eyes UAE expansion with Stargate rollout: US AI chipmaker Cerebras Systems plans to deploy its infrastructure in the UAE to support the country’s rapidly growing AI sector, CEO Andrew Feldman told Reuters. The rollout will include “megawatts worth of equipment” for the Stargate project — a USD 500 bn US-UAE initiative to build the world’s largest AI data center network outside the US.
Cerebras is also targeting a broader global expansion, with plans to grow its data center footprint from six sites to as many as 12-15 in the coming months. The UAE hub will be a key center for regional operations, including markets in India and Pakistan, Feldman said.
REMEMBER- Abu Dhabi’s G42 invested USD 335 mn in Cerebras in April after restructuring the transaction to acquire non-voting shares. The company recently raised USD 1.1 bn and withdrew its US listing plans, with Feldman saying Cerebras still intends to go public and will “refile it as quickly as we can.”
#2- du to build 500k sqm 1 GW AI Park in Dubai: Telco du unveiled plans for a 500k sqm AI Park in Dubai’s Warsan district, to be developed in phases over five years, according to a press release. The park will host hyperscale, liquid-cooled data centers with up to 1 GW capacity, alongside AI research labs and startup incubators as part of efforts to expand the UAE’s sovereign AI infrastructure.
The company also introduced a new National Hybrid AI platform at GITEX Global 2025. The platform will allow government entities and enterprises to build and deploy AI applications across du’s sovereign cloud infrastructure, integrating with its 5G and fiber networks.
#3- Three designated “airport cities” in Oman are projected to attract upwards of USD 800 mn in investments by 2030, the Oman Daily Observer reports. A roadmap for the trio of airport cities — under early development at Muscat, Sohar, and Salalah — has been completed, head of Airport Projects at the Civil Aviation Authority Salim Al Harrasi said in a post on LinkedIn.
What’s in store for Muscat? Muscat Airport City is the largest airport city under development and has already attracted more than USD 80 mn in investments — with projections to draw in upwards of USD 500 mn by 2030, Al Harrasi said. The project is reportedly slated to involve a logistics portal of about 200k sqm for air-freight services; a 1.1 mn sqm business district for airline headquarters; and an aviation zone covering roughly 166k sqm that includes terminal areas and former cargo facilities, the Omani outlet reported.
#4- Supply chain issues to cost airlines USD 11 bn this year: Persistent supplychain challenges facing airlines are expected to cost upwards of USD 11 bn in 2025, according to a report (pdf) by the International Air Transport Association (IATA) and Oliver Wyman. These hurdles have resulted in a record backlog of 17k aircraft as of 2024, which is markedly higher than the average backlog of 13k aircraft per year between 2010 and 2019.
A cost breakdown:
- More fuel used: Aircraft delivery delays are causing airlines to operate older, less fuel-efficient jets, which consume more fuel per flight. This costs some USD 4.2 bn;
- Frequent maintenance: As the global fleet ages, aircraft must undergo maintenance checks more frequently. This costs USD 3.1 bn;
- Engine leasing: Airlines will have to lease more engines while their own engines undergo maintenance. This costs USD 2.6 bn;
- Surplus inventory costs: Airlines are stocking more spare parts in anticipation of supply chain delays. This costs USD 1.4 bn.
ALSO- SAF suppliers are “price gouging” airlines, IATA says: Europe-based suppliers of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) are leveraging EU mandates to inflate costs up to double the market rate, IATA Director General Willie Walsh told Reuters. These suppliers are able to “extract additional [income] from airlines by charging these compliance surcharges,” Walsh said, calling upon the EU to cancel the mandates.
REMEMBER- The EU’s regulation on the subject — ReFuelEU Aviation — mandated earlierthis year that 2% of all jet fuel demand be SAF starting in 2025. The bloc is aiming for a 70% SAF target by 2050.
MARKET WATCH-
#1- Oil prices inched up this morning after signs of easing US-China trade tensions lifts market confidence and eases global fuel consumption worries, Reuters reports.Brent crude futures climbed by USD 0.18 to USD 63.50 / bbl as of 00.00 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained USD 0.16 to trade at USD 59.65 / bbl.
Opec kept its global oil demand growth forecast unchanged at 1.3 mn bbl / d for 2025 and 1.4 mn bbl / d for 2026, according to its monthly oil report (pdf). Global supply is expected to match demand next year as the group continues to boost production.
Demand for Opec+ crude remains steady at 42.5 mn bbl / d this year, rising slightly to 43.1 mn bbl / d next year. The group increased output by 630k bb l /d in September, bringing total production to an average of 43.05 mn bbl / d, the report adds, citing secondary sources. Opec+ agreed to add a total of 137k bbl / d to production in October and November.
ALSO- Echoing Opec: Saudi Aramco maintained a similar growth forecast of around 1.2-1.4 mn bbl / d for both 2025 and 2026, Reuters reports, quoting CEO Amin Nasser as saying at the Energy Intelligence Forum in London.
Aramco can maintain its maximum production capacity of 12 mn bbl / d — one of the lowest extraction costs globally at about USD 2 per barrel — at the same costs, Nasser added.
SOUND SMART- The Kingdom’s very low production costs — previously estimated between USD 3-5 per barrel — give it a structural edge over higher-cost producers such as US shale firms, which typically need prices around USD 65 per barrel to stay profitable. Expanding output — as seen with Opec — allows the Kingdom to claw back market share by sustaining lower prices for longer periods, a tactic used from past oil price wars by driving prices down to a level where only the lowest-cost producer can thrive.
#2- Baltic index continues upwards trajectory: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — increasing 10.7% to 2,144 points, its highest since 29 September. The capesize rose to 21.2% to 3,392 points, while the panamax index climbed 42 points to 1,806. The smaller supramax index eased 2 points to 1,400.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
Iraq will host the Iraq International Transportation & Airports & Logistics Expo & Conference tomorrow until Friday, 17 October in Baghdad. The expo — Iraq’s first platform focused exclusively on transport and logistics services — is expected to feature over 100 exhibitors, including ports, aviation, road, and rail players as well as logistics tech firms.
Morocco will host the International Forum and Expo on Mobility, Transport, and Logistics (Logiterre) on Thursday, 16 October until Saturday, 18 October in Casablanca. Logiterre will host main operators within the industry from West and Central Africa.
The UAE will host the Adipec Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference on Monday, 3 November until Thursday, 6 November in Abu Dhabi. The conference will host over 250k attendees working in government entities, finance, and tech.
The UAE will host the Air Cargo Forum on Tuesday, 4 November until Thursday, 6 November in Abu Dhabi. The forum — hosted by Etihad Cargo — will bring together air freight industry leaders, policymakers, innovators, and stakeholders to discuss industry solutions, tech, strategies, and collaborative initiatives for global air logistics.
Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.




