Good morning, folks. It’s an another busy issue this morning, led by big investment updates from across the region, with Microsoft announcing a major AI infrastructure push in UAE and GFH expanding its logistics portfolio in Saudi. Arcapita, another Bahraini player, is also eyeing a USD 1 bn overseas push, eying the UK and USA logistics sector. PLUS: Budget carrier AirAsia to land an operations base in Bahrain soon.
HAPPENING TODAY-
The ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference is on its second day and will run until Thursday, 6 November in Abu Dhabi. The event is part of the larger ADIPEC Exhibition and Conference, featuring 10 parallel conferences. The event brings together over 250k attendees, including high-level officials and executives from governments and the private sector, representing multiple industries like energy and logistics.
The Air Cargo Forum will open its doors today and run until Thursday, 6 November in Abu Dhabi. The forum — hosted by Etihad Cargo — will bring together air freight industry leaders, policymakers, innovators, and stakeholders to discuss industry solutions, tech, strategies, and collaborative initiatives for global air logistics.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- NBE tees up financing for Egypt-Israel gas link: State-owned lender the National Bank of Egypt (NBE) is reportedly arranging a USD 300 mn loan for East Mediterranean Gas Company (EMG) to help finance what Asharq Business reports is a new Egypt-Israel gas pipeline running through Sinai. The funds will start flowing once construction work kicks off on the Egyptian end of the pipeline, which is expected before year-end. NBE declined to comment on the story when we reached out.
The project likely refers to the planned Nitzana pipeline, which is a key onshore connector between the two countries and the main missing technical link needed for Egypt to double gas imports under the USD 35 bn supply agreement signed with Israel in August. Earlier this week, Israel put the agreement on hold “until [its] interests are secured and a fair domestic price is agreed.”
#2- Arcapita earmarks over USD 1 bn for UK + US logistics markets: Bahrain-based alternative asset management firm Arcapita Group Holdings is planning to invest over USD 1 bn in logistics infrastructure in the US and UK, according to a statement. The initiative — to be enacted over the next year — will see investments being funneled into warehousing and data centers to meet the rise of AI, cloud computing, and e-commerce,” Arcapita CEO Hisham Al Raee said. The Bahraini investor will focus on industrial real estate holdings in the UK, while also acquiring and expanding its portfolio of high-quality data centers in the US.
#3- Iran to renew gas export pact with Turkey: Iran will extend its natural gas export contract with Turkey, with negotiations regarding gas volumes currently underway, Iran’s MehrNews reports, citing the National Iranian Gas Company’s Managing Director Saeed Tavakoli. The parties reportedly plan on renewing the current agreement for several years beyond 2026, Tavakoli said.
Turkey’s expiring gas contracts: Ankara’s existing gas pact with Iran provides the country with 10 bn cbm of gas annually and is set to expire in mid-2026, Reuters reported last month. Turkey’s supplies from Russia — its biggest supplier of natural gas with some 22 bn cbm annually — are also set to stop flowing soon, and the country has begun securing alternative flows in response to the US’ heightened crackdown on Russia’s energy imports.
IN OTHER GAS TRADE UPDATES- Azerbaijan has started exporting gas to Syria, Reuters reports, citing comments made by Azerbaijan’s Deputy Energy Minister Orkhan Zeynalov at the Abu Dhabi ADIPEC energy conference. The exact volume of the exports was not disclosed.
We knew this was coming: Syria’s Energy Ministry inked an MoU with the State Oil Company of the Azerbaijan Republic to export Azerbaijani natural gas to Syria through Turkey. Details on the volume of natural gas to be delivered were not disclosed at the time.
MARKET WATCH-
#1- Oil prices fell this morning amid market concerns of possible oversupply after Opec+ decision to halt hikes throughout 1Q 2026, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures decreased by USD 0.15 to USD 64.74 / bbl as of 04:05 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped by USD 0.14 to trade at USD 60.91 / bbl.
But Morgan Stanley may be interpreting Opec+ decision differently, turning more bullish and bumping its Brent forecast for 1H 2026 to USD 60/bbl from USD 57.50, arguing that the group’s move helps stabilize the market outlook even if it does not materially alter supply expectations, Bloomberg reports, citing a note from the bank.
The quota system and reality on the ground are diverging: Morgan Stanley estimates Opec+ output only rose around 500k bbl / d between March and October, well below the 2.6 mn bbl / d quota increase announced for that period.
Supporting the view: Opec+’s latest signal is giving the market some confidence that producers remain focused on managing supply through a softer demand season, reinforcing expectations of a steady path toward balance, Vijay Valecha, CIO of Century Financial said in a note seen by EnterpriseAM.
The outlook is further buoyed by geopolitical tensions, following reports of a Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian Black Sea oil port that raised concerns over potential supply disruptions, Valecha said.
#2- Baltic index continues to ease: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — was down 1.1% to 1,945, driven by declining rates across all vessel segments. The capesize declined by 1.4% to 2,888, while the panamax index shed 1.1% to 1,801. The smaller supramax index fell 0.5% to 1,320.
#3- The Egyptian gov’t is working on a new natural gas pricing formula for industry, starting with energy-intensive sectors, three government sources told EnterpriseAM. The plan aims to gradually transition to a freemarket price aligned with global benchmarks as part of efforts to establish a liberalized natural gas market, attract foreign investment, and strengthen the competitiveness of local products by properly pricing key inputs, including energy.
The details: The new pricing mechanism will be based on the average cost of domestic gas production, in addition to the contracted price of gas supplied through pipelines and imported cargoes, ± USD 1, the sources said. The policy will first be applied to fertilizer players, one of the sources told us.
A monthly gas price review is being considered, the sources said. The review may keep prices as is, raise them, or lower them, giving industries a chance to benefit if global prices decline.
Policy objective: Reducing subsidies and strengthening the Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation’s financial position as an independent entity sits at the core of the plan, sources said, adding that ensuring fair pricing for high-quality local industrial output is a key target.
ICYMI- The government raised natural gas supply prices for the industrial sector by 28%, or USD 1 per mn British thermal units (BTU), starting 15 September, in a bid to balance local market needs and secure gas supplies for factories.
REMEMBER- The government raised the tariff for transporting natural gas through the national grid a few months back.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
Egypt will host the TransMea Expo on Sunday, 9 November until Tuesday, 11 November in Cairo. The expo will host regional and international players in the transport industry to explore tech, new smart solutions, and products for transport and logistics services.
The UAE will host the Dubai Airshow on Monday, 17 November until Friday, 21 November in Dubai. The event will host over 1.5k exhibitors and 148k industry experts from over 150 countries, to discuss air mobility, new MRO breakthroughs, sustainable aviation, startups, and new tech for aircraft simulations.
Saudi Arabia will host the ShipTek International Conference and Awards on Tuesday, 18 November in Al Khobar. The conference will host policymakers, organizations, suppliers, and experts on maritime, offshore, and oil and gas.
Egypt will host the International Procurement Supply Chain Conference on Saturday, 6 December in Cairo. The event will gather over 1k delegates, more than 400 organizations, and over 30 global speakers to discuss the future of trade through keynotes and panel discussions. The discussions will center on Egypt’s transformation in the logistics sector, the future of smart ports and supply chains, as well as digital ecosystems.
Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.




