Good morning, friends. The aviation industry is topping the newscycle today, with investment, M&A, and project updates from Turkey, UAE, and Kuwait. But first, another update on the US tariff circle-raven moves…
THE BIG LOGISTICS STORY- US launches trade probe into chips and pharma: The US President Donald Trump ordered the Commerce Department to launch a trade probe into the chips and pharma, laying down the foundation for a levy on the industries imports.
The timeline is hazy: The probe began at the start of the month and could take months to conclude, though Trump and other officials have said it could end quickly, with Trump even suggesting tariffs on imported chips could come as soon as next week.
PLUS- Trump also signaled he could modify the 25% tax on foreign auto parts, saying he’s a “flexible guy” and that automakers need some time, the Associated Press reports.
Market reax: Auto shares rose on the news, with General Motors closing 3.5% higher and Ford closing 4.1% higher. Big Tech also seems to still be cheering the temporary reprieve from the tariffs, with Apple now up 2.2% after losing more than 9% over the past two weeks.
The story grabbed a lot of ink in int’l press: Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | NYT | CNN | Politico
HAPPENING TODAY-
The IATA World Cargo Symposium will kick off today and will run through Thursday, 17 April in Dubai. The event will host sessions, specialized streams, workshops, and summits related to technology, security, customs, cargo operations, and sustainability for over 1.4k industry leaders.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Sohar earmarks USD 23 mn for expansion: Oman’s Sohar Port and Freezone will invest upwards of USD 23 mn (OMR 8.9 mn) to add 500 hectares of leasable land to the zone, capitalizing on surging demand from interested businesses, according to a press release. The added area would include a 15-km road network, a 7.5-km flood protection facility, and 30 km of stormwater drainage. Local contractors and suppliers are earmarked to provide 85% of the needed components.
Sohar’s latest: Sohar Port and Freezone began dredging operations for the Marsa LNG project in February. Dredging works are slated to wrap up by September 2025, with LNG production at the plant set to kick off in 1Q 2028.
Omani zones are getting attention: Cumulative investment in Oman’s economic, industrial, and freezones rose 10% y-o-y in 2024 to reach around OMR 21 bn, Times of Oman reports, citing data from Oman’s Public Authority for Special Economic Zones and Freezones. Freezones themselves saw an increase of investments to OMR 6.6 bn.
#2- Quiqup touches down in KSA: UAE-based e-commerce logistics provider Quiqup has expanded into Saudi Arabia, launching its core fulfillment and delivery services in the Kingdom, according to a statement. The firm is backed by the Mohammed bin Rashid Innovation Fund (MBRIF) under its Guarantee Scheme loan program, which has supported Quiqup’s operational expansion to double its business over the past two years and grow its customer base by 77% y-o-y between 2023 and 2024.
Part of expansion plans: The firm is looking to further expand into the GCC as it views the region “as a connected e-commerce ecosystem where operational efficiencies in one market enhance the overall regional performance,” CEO Bassel El Koussa said.
About Quiqup: The company — founded in 2017 — offers comprehensive logistics solutions, with a focus on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Quiqup provides storage, sorting, packaging and delivery services.
E-commerce is booming in Saudi: The Kingdom’s growing e-commerce industry — spurred by covid-era boom — was ranked in 2024 as the second-highest VC funded sector in the country in a report by the London-based real estate consultant Knight Frank. Earlier last week, Egypt-born e-commerce platform Rabbit officially set up shop in Saudi Arabia by establishing its regional headquarters in Riyadh last week. Alshaya Group’s brands joined the GCC marketplace of the Turkish e-commerce platform Trendyol last month. American Eagle, Bath & Body Works, and H&M are now available on Trendyol for shoppers in Saudi Arabia, with more brands to come. Saudi-based e-commerce platform Aya also closed a USD 1.6 mn seed funding round.
#3- Vodacom International and others in the South African business delegation are working on upping their Egypt investments, especially in data centres, according to a statement. Vodacom CEO Shameel Joosub pointed to improvements in the investment climate, availability of digital transformation projects, and government support as reasons behind the company’s decision to increase its investments through its local arm Vodafone Egypt.
MARKET WATCH-
#1- Oil prices rose this morning on the heels of a hike in China’s crude imports and Trump floating tariff exemptions, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures surged by USD 0.25 to USD 65.13 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) increased by USD 0.28 to reach USD 61.81 a barrel by 06.30 GMT.
Goldman Sachs has slashed its oil prices forecast for 2025 and 2026, citing a risk of recession and higher supply from Opec+, Reuters reports. The bank predicts Brent and US WTI oil prices will decline to an average of USD 63-59 per barrel throughout the rest of 2025 and to USD 58-55 in 2026. The bank’s previous 2025 forecast in back March set a rate of USD 69-66 per barrel for Brent and WTI.
Emirates NBD follows suit: Emirates NBD has adjusted its price forecast for Brent futures down to USD 68 per barrel from USD 73, and WTI futures down to USD 65 from USD 71 in its latest market report (pdf). The forecast comes as oil markets are being hit with increased supply from Opec+ production hikes and amid the threat of decreased demand following US President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda. A breakdown in Opec+ cooperation could be in the cards, after some national oil companies — including Aramco — cut selling prices, which could lead to a further decline in prices, the report said.
Oil surplus is coming…: The global oil market is forecasted to see a surplus in oil supply of 800k bpd in 2025 and a surplus of 1.4 mn bpd in 2026, Goldman Sachs Analysts wrote in a note seen by Asharq Business.
…and demand growth to slow down: Opec cut its global oil demand forecast for 2025 by 150k barrels a day (bbl / d) to 1.3 mn bbl /d in its latest Monthly OilMarket Report (MOMR) (pdf), citing the impact of the US tariffs. Demand in Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries is projected to rise by just 0.04 mn bbl / d, while non-OECD demand is forecast to grow by 1.25 mn bbl / d. The outlook for 2026 was also revised down to 1.3 mn bbl / d, with OECD demand expected to increase by 0.1 mb/d and non-OECD demand by 1.2 mn bbl / d.
#2- Baltic index continues upwards trajectory: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — was up 0.6% to 1,282 points on Monday. The capesize grew 1.3% to 1,827 points, while the panamax index gained four points to 1,190. The smaller supramax index slipped 0.3% points to 936.
DATA POINT-
Global air cargo volumes are estimated to have increased 8.4% y-o-y to over 124 mn metric tonnes in 2024, according to an Airports Council International (ACI) statement cited by Bloomberg. Air cargo volumes at the top 10 airports represented a 26% share of global volumes last year — around 32.3 mn metric tonnes — up some 9.3% y-o-y.
What’s behind the numbers: The increase in air cargo volumes is due to stable e-commerce demand and maritime shipping disruptions due to geopolitical uncertainty and a fall in the price of jet fuel.
The rankings: Qatar’s Doha International Airport has ranked among the top 10 busiest cargo airports globally, settling in at eighth place. Hong Kong International Airport ranked first place at 4.9 mn metric tonnes, while China’s Shanghai followed closely at 3.7 mn metric tonnes.
PSA-
CMA CGM increases freight rates to Middle East and Red Sea Ports: Shipping giant CMA CGM has launched new freight shipping rates on all kinds of dry cargo from all North European ports to all Middle East Gulf and Red Sea ports, according to a statement. The rates — effective 1 May — will be increased to USD 1,150 per 20 ft container and USD 1,350 per 40 ft container for Middle East Gulf ports, while Red Sea ports will see rates increased to USD 1,950 per 20 ft container and USD 2,150 per 40 ft container.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
The UAE will host the Airport Show on Tuesday, 6 May to Thursday, 8 May in Dubai. The event will show products and technology for the airport industry from over 160 international suppliers and manufacturers across 20 countries. It will also provide a platform for networking with key players across seven airport sectors.
Saudi Arabia will host the Saudi Smart Logistics trade fair on Monday, 12 May to Thursday, 15 May in Riyadh. The event will provide insights into the latest international and local technology, solutions, equipment providers, and sustainable workflow practices within the logistics industry in the country.
The UAE will host the Global Ports Forum on Tuesday, 13 May to Wednesday, 14 May in Dubai. The forum will cover topics such as port strategy and development, port automation, finance and efficiency.
Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.




