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Iraq’s Development Road gets greenlight + ADNOC to IPO its logistics unit this summer

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What we're tracking today

TODAY: ADNOC Logistics IPO in the works + US-led coalition keeps watch over Gulf waters

Good morning, friends, and welcome to the first workweek of Ramadan. We have a packed issue to help kick off your morning, with news from the SCZone, Iraq and Abu Dhabi.

HAPPENING TODAY-

A US-led coalition has launched drone patrols to surveil Gulf waters and keep watch over crude oil and energy shipments, according to an S&P Globalreport. Dubbed Task Force 59, the 100 unmanned fleet of 100 will monitor the waters near the Arabian Peninsula to help secure maritime trade, including the transit of oil tankers and container vessels, which is still susceptible to ongoing geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions and the impact of Russia-Ukraine war. Hubs to process the data collected by the drones have been established in Bahrain and Jordan.

Who’s involved? The US is in the coalition with the UK, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands and Spain, with Jordan soon to join, 5th Fleet spokesman Commander Tim Hawkins told S&P Global.

ICYMI: This move comes in response to an attack on an oil tanker in the Arabian Sea last month, which Israel blames Iran for, Reutersreported. Two of the merchant vessels that were attacked were Israeli-owned and one was Emirati, according to British maritime security company Ambrey Intelligence.

FACT CHECK- Russia is not planning a wheat export ban: Russia has confirmed that it plans on continuing its wheat exports, squashing rumors in the Russian press that it was mulling an export ban amidst a decline in global wheat prices, sources tell Reuters. Instead, the sources say that the government wants Russian exporters to set a minimum export price of USD 275-280 per tonne, sources told Reuters, to ensure that wheat farmers receive adequate pay.

Iraq expects to import between 600k-1 mn tons of wheat if this year's harvest reaps 4 mn tons of wheat, according to Iraqi News Agency. Farmers have received a deposit of IQD 500 bn ahead of their harvest season to pay their dues, according to the Iraqi News Agency.

Background: Iraq’s water supply has been drying up for decades, with water flows from the Euphrates and Tigris rivers — which supply at least 98% of its surface water — decreasing by an estimated 30-40% over a 40-year period ending in 2018. This has ultimately threatened food security in the country and has paved the way for Iraq to rely on local production rather than imports.

THE BIG LOGISTICS STORY-State oil giant Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) will float its marine and logistics arm ADNOC Logistics and Services (ADNOC L&S) in June, and has appointed advisors for the sale.

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Zones

Chinese steel company Xinxing to invest USD 2 bn in SCZone

Chinese steel player Xinxing to invest USD 2 bn in the SCZone: Chinese company Xinxing Ductile Iron Pipesplans to invest USD 2 bn to build iron and steel plants in the Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone), according to an Egyptian cabinet statement. The plants will produce iron pipes and steel products for domestic use and for export and will be located in China’s TEDA industrial zone in Ain Sokhna.

By the numbers: The project will create more than 2.1k jobs and is expected to generate an annual turnover of USD 2.6 bn. The first phase will see Xinxing construct a USD 150 mn cast iron pipe factory that will employ over 600 people and produce some 250 thousand tonnes of pipes annually. The company will construct a USD 1.8 bn steel factory in the second phase, which will employ 1.5k people and produce some 2 mn tons of steel products for export annually.

March saw several Chinese firms expand their production in Egypt: Fiberglass manufacturer Jushi Group inaugurated a USD 320 mn production line at its factory in the SCZone while the Egypt Fanyang Textile Company opened a USD 60 mn factory. Hong Kong-based port operator Hutchison Ports and Chinese shipping firm Cosco Shipping Ports were among the companies that earlier this month signed agreements worth USD 1.6 bn to develop new container terminals at the Ain Sokhna and Dekheila ports.

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IPO Watch

ADNOC to list its logistics subsidiary in June

State oil giant Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) will float its marine and logistics arm ADNOC Logistics and Services (ADNOC L&S) in June, unnamed sources told Reuters. ADNOC has not made a public announcement on the possible IPO and has so far declined to comment on the alleged IPO plans.

Advisors: Citigroup, JP Morgan, and First Bank of Abu Dhabi (FAB) were hired by ADNOC as advisors for the listing late last year, according to Bloomberg. HSBC has also joined the team of advisors, a source told Reuters.

ADNOC has been on an IPO spree: The company has been restructuring its operations for the past several years, in line with Abu Dhabi’s vision to diversify its economy and attract FDI. The company has floated four major subsidiaries in the previous two years: Borouge, Fertiglobe, ADNOC Drilling, and ADNOC Gas. The hydrocarbons giant had listed its gas subsidiary ADNOC Gas in March and raised USD 2.5 bn in 2023’s biggest IPO so far, according to Bloomberg.

About ADNOC L&S: The logistics unit was created in 2016 through a merger of Abu Dhabi National Tanker Co, Petroleum Services Co, and Abu Dhabi Petroleum Ports Operating Co.The outfit ships crude oil, refined petroleum products, dry bulk, and LNG from Abu Dhabi to trade partners throughout the world.

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Dispute Watch

Iraq halts Kurdish oil exports after court rules in its favor in landmark arbitration case against Turkey

Iraq has halted crude exports from the Kurdish region after a court ruled in its favor in a 9 year arbitration dispute against Turkey over Kurdish oil exports, last Thursday according to a statement from Iraq’s oil ministry. Under the ruling, Turkey will shell out approximately USD 1.5 bn to Iraq, a figure far lower than Iraq had asked for, sources close to the matter told the Financial Times.

The dispute: Iraq claimed that Turkey had been in violation of a 1973 pipeline transit agreement by enabling the Kurdish government to export oil through a pipeline out of Iraq, without the Iraqi government’s consent. The 1973 pipeline agreement stipulates that the Turkish government must comply with the instructions of the Iraqi government in regards to the movement of exported crude oil from Iraq.

What does this mean? The ruling will halt oil exports out of the Kurdish region of Iraq to Turkey without the consent of Iraq's State Oil Marketing Organization(SOMO), according to the statement from the oil ministry. SOMO will be the only authorized entity to manage export operations to the port of Ceyhan.

While exports have been halted, the oil ministry will discuss mechanisms to continue exports of Iraqi oil to the port of Ceyhan. Turkey has informed Iraq that it will respect the arbitration ruling while KRG Prime Minister Masrour Barazani has tweeted that KRG will visit Baghdad to make headway in the discussions.

Background: Iraq is OPEC’s second largest producer exporting some 3.3 mn b/d, of which 75k b/d are sent from Kirkuk to the port of Ceyhan. The KRG does not disclose its production figure, but industry experts have revealed to the FT that it is about 440k b/d.

The news is also getting coverage from: Bloomberg and Reuters.

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Rail

Iraq approves Development Road linking it with Turkey

Iraq approved a planned 1200 km railway and a parallel highway linking Iraq to Turkey, according to an Iraqi Transport Ministry statement picked up by Iraq News Agency. Linking Iraq’s Faw port to Turkey’s border, when completed, it is projected that the railway line will carry up to 55 mn tons of goods and c.14 mn passengers per year. The highway will be dedicated to the transport of goods and will not pass through cities.

The road will give Iraq wider access to Turkey and Europe: The rail and the road will pass through several Iraqi governorates and end up at the border with Turkey … it will give us access to the Turkish Port of Mersin and then Istanbul and Europe,” Iraqi Transport Minister Razzak Al Saadawi is quoted as saying. The road will begin at the Grand Faw Port and pass through desert areas in Iraq, Al Saadawi said.

A new Silk Road? Connecting Asia and Europe through Turkey, the vision is for this to be the “new silk road of our region,” said Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey’s president in this statement. Iraqi officials want to capitalize on their “enormous gas wealth,” with known reserves reaching c.110 tn cubic feet, according to this US government report.

What’s next: A timeline for the project has not yet been agreed, but plans are for the project to be implemented in two phases, with the first phase reaching a capacity of transporting 22 mn tons of goods or the equivalent of 3.5 mn containers. The second phase will allow the railway to transport up to 7.5 mn containers and 33 mn tons of goods.

This is part of Iraq’s plans to become a transit hub to the EU: The project — along with the Grand Faw Port and the Dry Canal — provide the country with an important passage for transporting Iraqi oil and gas to Europe amid continued Western sanctions against Russia. It also helps the country provide modes of transport that bypass the Suez Canal.

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Around the World

Beijing is less excited than Moscow about prospects for a new gas pipeline

China’s lukewarm attitude towards a major new gas pipeline poject with Russia signals a shift in power dynamics, according to a recent analysis by France 24. China provided Russia with an economic lifeline last year after Western powers slapped sanctions on Russian energy exports in response to the invasion of Ukraine. Accordingly, Russian officials have been enthusiastic to see a new gas pipeline to China go ahead, with some analysts saying it is “desperate.”

China, on the other hand, is “in no rush to sign anything unless the proposal is favorable and is shaped on China's terms,” Maria Shagina at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) in Berlin told AFP. China is much more keen on diversifying its energy sources and has been on the lookout for agreements with suppliers from across the world, including a USD 60 bn 27-year mega contract inked with Qatar late last year.

AP Moller-Maersk (Maersk) signed an MoU with Shanghai International Port Group (SIPG) to cooperate on green methanol fuel vessel-to-vessel bunkering, according to a press release from Maersk. In the first phase of the project, SIPG will carry out vessel to vessel bunkering and fuel tank storage at Shanghai port. In a potential second phase, the companies could see the two companies explore ways to extend bunkering services upstream.


MARCH

28-30 March (Tuesday-Thursday): Mediterranean Ports and Shipping 2023, Grand Hyatt, Athens, Greece.

APRIL

18-20 April (Tuesday-Thursday): Intermodal Africa, Durban International Convention Centre, South Africa.

25-27 April (Saturday-Monday): World Cargo Symposium, Hilton Istanbul Bomonti Hotel and Conference Centre, Istanbul, Turkey.

MAY

4 May (Tuesday): Deadline to submit proposals for the design, construction, finance, operation, and maintenance of the Salalah-Thamrait trucking road in Oman.

9-11 May (Thursday-Saturday): Airport Show, Sheikh Saeed Halls 1-2, DWTC, Dubai.

9-12 May (Thursday-Sunday): transport logistic, Trade Fair Center Messe München, Munich, Germany.

10-12 May (Friday-Sunday): The African Aviation Summit: Air Finance Africa Conference & Exhibition, Sandton Convention Centre, Johannesburg, South Africa.

15 May (Wednesday): Exports + FDI Forum, Four Seasons Hotel Cairo at Nile Plaza, Cairo, Egypt.

15-16 May (Wednesday-Thursday): Middle East Rail, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre, Abu Dhabi.

15-16 May (Wednesday-Thursday): Mobility Live Middle East, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre, Abu Dhabi.

15-17 May (Wednesday-Friday): Global Fleet Conference, Cascais, Portugal.

16-18 May (Saturday-Monday): Baltic and Black Sea Ports & Shipping, Radisson Hotel & Suites, Gdansk, Poland.

16-18 May (Saturday-Monday): Seatrade Maritime Logistics Middle East, Dubai, UAE.

16-18 May (Saturday-Monday): IATA Ground Handling Conference, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Center, Abu Dhabi.

18 May (Monday): UN-Turkey-Russia Black Sea grain agreement extension expires.

24 May (Friday): Fleet and Mobility Summit, Dubai.

JUNE

6-7 June (Tuesday-Wednesday): Ports and Customs Week, Cape Town, South Africa.

JULY

16-17 July (Thursday-Friday): The Levitate Conference and Exhibition, St. Regis Amman Hotel.

24-25 July (Monday-Tuesday): ICSG Istanbul, Istanbul Lutfi Kirdar Convention & Exhibition Centre, Istanbul.

SEPTEMBER

20-22 September (Wednesday-Friday): Transport Evolution Africa Forum and Expo, Inkosi Albert Luthuli ICC Complex (Durban ICC), South Africa.

OCTOBER

3-5 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Smarter Mobility Africa Summit, South Africa.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2H2023: Construction of Neom’s first hydrogen fueling station will kick off.

2025

Iraq will complete phase one of the construction of the Grand Faw Port.

DHL and Aramco’s logistics and procurement hub in Saudi Arabia will commence operations.

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