Good morning, nice people. It is a brisk read this morning, dominated by investment updates from Egypt and Oman. We also have the latest earnings report from Qatar Airways — and it’s solid. Let’s dive right in.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Egypt will see a dip in imports of Israeli gas throughout the summer months, with imports expected to see a 20% y-o-y drop to around 800 mn cubic feet per day between June and September thanks to an uptick in Israeli demand, a government official told Asharq Business. The Israeli side is also carrying out regular maintenance on its gas facilities for 15 days this month — a move slated to contribute to the reduced flow of gas exported in the coming months, the source added.
REFRESHER- Egypt has been looking to up its imports of Israeli gas by 58% by the middle of 2025 — the planned increase would have taken daily imports of Israeli gas to 1.5 bn cubic feet per day, equivalent to around a quarter of domestic demand. Egypt began importing natgas from Israel in 2020 on the back of a USD 15 bn agreement between Noble Energy — acquired by Chevron — and Delek Drilling.
REMEMBER- Egypt is likely to continue importing LNG until2030, a government source in the energy sector told EnterpriseAM. The contracts will likely cover a period of five years and offer favorable pricing and flexible payment terms, the source added.
#2- UAE earmarks AED 1 bn for exporting firms: The Abu Dhabi Exports Office (ADEX) and Emirates Development Bank (EDB) will partner up to provide AED 1 bn in joint financing support for local private firms working in exporting and manufacturing, state news agency Wam reports. Available funds will go towards boosting working capital and supporting global expansion.
Part of a larger push: The UAE will pump AED 40 bn (c. USD 10.9 bn) into its industrial base over the next five years, which aims to grow the sector and localize supply chains, according to a press release citing statements made by Industry and Advanced Technology Minister Sultan Al Jaber during the Make it in the Emirates forum.
#3- Global shippers could see a boost in their earnings in the upcoming months amid a surge in the demand for transpacific freight services, Bloomberg reported on Friday, citing their Intelligence analyst Kenneth Loh. The demand surge comes as US importers scramble to ramp up imports from China in a bid to take advantage of the US-Sino 90-day trade truce.
Across the board: Hapag-Lloyd reported a “huge surge” in volumes, while Danish shipping company Maersk saw a boost in its booking shortly after the trade agreement was announced. CMA CGM is witnessing a sharp rise in demand for freight transport out of China after the French firm saw its US-China freight bookings drop by almost half, CFO Ramon Fernandez told Bloomberg in a separate statement. Meanwhile, China Merchants Ports Holdings, Cosco Shipping Ports, and Shanghai International Ports are also bracing for more business during the 90 days.
How big is the boost? Analysts are expecting that while front-loading could lead to increased earnings forecasts, it is not enough for a significant material increase in 2Q 2025 earnings.
Not without risks: The major cargo rush from China might lead to port congestion and bottlenecks — similar to what happened during Covid-19, HSBC analysts told the news outlet. Congestion and bottlenecks are expected to get even worse towards the end of the 90-day truce.
IN OTHER RELATED NEWS- CMA CGM is planning a reshuffle in its fleet operations in an attempt to avoid the US’ port feeson Chinese-built vessels, Fernandez told Reuters on Friday. The new changes are scheduled for rollout next October. "We have enough ship capacity to adapt to this situation and avoid paying fees," Fernandez said. Only half of the firm's 670-vessel fleet is made in China, which effectively provides the shipping giant some flexibility in adjusting its routes and transit stops while reshuffling its fleet to evade the duties at US ports.
MARKET WATCH-
#1- Oil prices remained largely steady this morning, as the markets continued to wait for updates on the US-Iran talks, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures saw a minor drop of USD 0.06 to reach USD 65.48 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose USD 0.01 to reach USD 62.70 a barrel by 03.05 GMT.
Meanwhile, Chinese crude rose again in April: China’s crude oil surplus rose to 1.9 mn barrels per day (bpd) in April, rising for the second consecutive month, on the back of lagging crude refining and high crude imports, Reuters reports. This is the highest volume recorded since June 2023, and exceeds March’s level of 1.7 mn bpd, based on calculations by the newswire. This follows purchases by the world’s second-largest economy from Iran and Russia.
#3- Baltic index dips once again: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — was down 3% to 1,347 points on Monday. The capesize fell 6% to 1,888 points, while the panamax index increased 0.2% to 1,293 points. The smaller supramax index gained two points to 980.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
Saudi Arabia will host the Saudi Warehousing & Logistics Expo from Tuesday, 27 May to Thursday, 29 May in Riyadh. The expo will host over 18k supply chain industry professionals and more than 400 exhibitors. It will also explore over 3.5k solutions.
Morocco will host the International Conference on Logistics and Supply Chain Management from Wednesday, 28 May to Friday, 30 May in Casablanca. The conference will cover scientific research, technologies, and environmentally friendly digital solutions in the logistics, transport, and supply chain sectors.
Egypt will host the Propak MENA from Monday, 2 June to Wednesday, 4 June in Cairo. The event will feature solutions, talks and workshops for F&B and consumer goods manufacturers to source global packaging, processing and logistic solutions.
Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.




