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India’s Ostwal eyes building a USD 300 mn export hub in Egypt

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What we're tracking today

TODAY: India’s Ostwal eyes building export hub in Egypt

Good morning, friends. It’s a quick read this morning as we head into the weekend, with a full rundown of how the shipping liner connectivity index is shaping up for our Red Sea ports and lots of trade updates from the region and beyond.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Turkey wants to finalize trade talks with the GCC trade by the end of the year, Reuters reports, citing comments made by the Turkish Trade Ministry. Talks taking place earlier this week saw the two sides discuss goods trade, rules of origin, contracting, tourism and health, as well as services trade and steps to boost investments.

What’s next: “The sides have agreed to continue the talks through online meetings and to meet in Riyadh in the second half of the year for a second round of negotiations,” the ministry said.

ICYMI- The GCC embarked on talks with Turkey for a trade agreement earlier this week, headed by Saudi Arabia, after agreeing in March to initiate trade liberalization talks. The UAE already has a separate trade and economic partnership agreement with Turkey, which they inked last year.

#2- DHL is looking to expand in Africa and boost intra-African trade links, DHL South Africa CEO Hennie Heymans told CNN (watch, run time: 01.02). Intercontinental trade across Africa currently stands at around 17% and the firm plans to funnel investments towards developing aviation hubs and logistics fleets on the continent to build stronger and more streamlined trade networks, Heymans told CNN. The company is looking to address several accessibility challenges, including lack of access to finances, skills, and technology, which will involve working with several banks to secure regional funding support and holding training programs.

MARKET WATCH-

#1- Oil prices continued to rise in early morning trading on the back of increasing tensions in the Middle East, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures rose USD 0.46 reaching USD 81.30 a barrel by 03.055 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) slid up USD 0.55 to USD 78.46 a barrel. "Oil markets are justifiably worried that the assassination of [Hamas leader Ismail] Haniyeh will bring Iran more directly into the war with Israel. And that could put at risk Iran's oil supply and related infrastructure," the newswire quotes Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Vivek Dhar at Commonwealth Bank of Australia as saying in a client note.

#2- Baltic index hits three-month low: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — was down 2% to 1,762 points, weighed down by low rates across all vessel segments, Reuters reports. Capesize dipped 3.2% to 2,499 points, while the panamax index fell 1.1% to 1,772 points. The smaller supramax index was down 0.4% to 1,377 points.

DATA POINTS-

#1- Abu Dhabi airports handled some 254.3k tonnes of cargo in 1H 2024, driven by strategic partnerships and infrastructure enhancements, including a new DHL airside facility and the completion of the design phase of the new East Midfield cargo terminal, according to a press release. Abu Dhabi Airports welcomed nearly 14 mn passengers in 1H 2024, up 33.5% y-o-y, with Zayed International Airport alone witnessing a 33.8% y-o-y rise in passenger traffic to over 13.7 mn passengers.

#2- Abu Dhabi’s ports recorded an 8% y-o-y increase in non-oil trade during May to AED 31.54 bn, according to data (pdf) from the emirate’s statistics center. Exports through the emirate’s ports grew 12% y-o-y to AED 18.4 bn, with machinery equipment accounting (pdf) for the largest portion of exports.

#3- Lebanon’s flag carrier Middle Eastern Airlines saw a 13.8% y-o-y increase in air cargo demand in June 2024, according to an IATA report (pdf). Middle East-Europe air cargo movements notched up 30.2% y-o-y during the same period, while Middle East-Asia routes grew 15.1% y-o-y. Global cargo demand saw record high year-to-date demand, with CTKs expanding 14% in June 2024. The total demand also jumped 13.4% y-o-y during 1H 2024.

#4- Dubai’s industrial and logistics market saw average rents grow 10.6% y-o-y to AED 45 per sqft in 2Q 2024, as demand outpaced supply, according to commercial real estate services firm CBRE Middle East’s UAE Real Estate Market Review 2Q 2024 (pdf). The emirate logged a 2.5% y-o-y increase in total rental registrations and depleted stock levels edged incumbents to renew leases and commit to longer terms, the report showed, with renewed contracts increasing by 2.3% y-o-y during the period.

In Abu Dhabi, average rents climbed 5.8% y-o-y to AED 409 per sqm, despite a 4.1% y-o-y decline in total rental registrations, with supply expected to continue to lag behind soaring demand despite new stock underway in both onshore and offshore locations.

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

Saudi Arabia will host the Saudi Warehousing and Logistics Expo on Monday, 2 September to Wednesday, 4 September in Riyadh. The event will bring together leaders in the supply chain, warehousing, and logistics industry from across the Kingdom to discuss investments, trade, geopolitical risks, and localized manufacturing.

Egypt will host the Egypt International Airshow on Tuesday, 3 September to Thursday, 5 September in El Alamein. The event will host a range of discussions touching on industrialization, digitalization, and globalization in the regional commercial aviation sector. During the event, aircrafts and innovative aerospace products, and services will be showcased.

Saudi Arabia will host SkyMove MENA on Tuesday, 10 September and Wednesday, 11 September in Riyadh. The event will gather global industry stakeholders, experts, and service providers to discuss challenges in the regional aviation industry.

Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.

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Trade

India’s Ostwal eyes building a USD 300 mn export hub in Egypt

India’s Ostwal eyes Egypt as an export hub: India-based fertilizers manufacturer Ostwal Group of Industries is looking into setting up a USD 300 mn fertilizers factory in Egypt for exports, according to a statement.

What we know: The factory aims to produce over 700k tons of fertilizers a year and plans to export to markets in the Middle East, Africa, and Europe, as well as the Indian market.

Why Egypt? Ostwal will capitalize on Egypt's strategic location, availability of raw materials, qualified labor force, and energy resources, Egypt’s Investment and Foreign Trade Minister Hassan El Khatib said in the statement.

About Ostwal: The Indian group is one of the largest producers and manufacturers of fertilizers in India. It currently has operations in 10 countries, with 150 retail branches and 17k distributors.

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Earnings Watch

UAE’s Dubai Aerospace Enterprise had a good 2Q

Dubai Aerospace Enterprise (DAE) saw its net income grow 12.8% y-o-y to AED USD 81 mn in 2Q 2024, according to its financials (pdf). The company’s revenues dropped 2.7% y-o-y to USD 331.1 mn.

On a six-month basis, DAE’s income rose 5.5% y-o-y to USD 148.8 mn in 1H 2024. The company saw its revenues edge up 1.9% y-o-y to USD 662.4 mn during the first six months of 2024. Total assets grew 4.6% y-o-y to USD 12.85 bn, attributable to operational gains and loan drawdowns.

It’s shaping up to be a good year for DEA: Delays in new jet deliveries from Boeing and Airbus are bearing fruit for DEA services with MRO requests surging, according to an interview with DAE CEO Firoz Tarapore in Bloomberg last month. DAE’s maintenance and overhaul facilities have been booked solid for the next 18 months. “Airlines have intense pressure to make sure that every aircraft they own is up flying and making money for them because the supply of new aircraft is constrained,” Tarapore said.

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The Macro Picture

Shipping liner connectivity fluctuates as Red Sea ports continue to grapple with tensions

The Liner Shipping Connectivity Index paints a mixed picture in 2Q as Red Sea ports continue to feel the impacts of tensions in the region, according to recent data from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development’s Liner Shipping Connectivity Index. The index tracks countries’ connectivity to the global containerized shipping network by collating data on the number of direct connections, weekly calls, companies providing services, services available, total deployed carrying capacity, and the size of largest ships received, according to UNCTAD’s methodology.

ICYMI- We looked into how Liner Shipping Connectivity declined in regional countries reliant on Red Sea trade in 1Q 2024, with significant drops seen in Egypt, Israel, KSA, and Jordan in April.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Israel was among the hardest hit: The country’s shipping connectivity fell by some two points q-o-q to 89.44 points in 2Q 2024 as Yemen’s Houthis targeted Israel-linked or Israel-bound shipping. It has also seen an overall steep drop of over 44 points from 133.7 points the same time last year. Israel’s key ports, including the Mediterranean’s Haifa and the Red Sea port of Eilat, continue to be targeted by Iranian proxies, with several incidents reported in June alone. As a result, Israel’s ranking on the index dropped one place in the rankings to 58 globally in 2Q.

Saudi Arabia saw connectivity drop furthest this month, shedding 17 points q-o-q to 231.7 points in 1Q 2024. It also shed almost 40 points y-o-y. The Kingdom also fell one spot in rankings to 24 in this past quarter, yet regardless, maintains a strong global position.

The UAE dropped by nearly 12 points q-o-q to 296.5 in 2Q, after maintaining a steady incline despite disruptions starting in 4Q 2023, while the index held steady at 307.9. The UAE lost one point in the rankings to 16 in this year’s second quarter, though it maintains the region’s best overall score.

Congestion at Jebel Ali Port rose sharply this past quarter, as the port looked to support vessels being rerouted around the Cape of Good Hope, according to a statement from freight forwarding firm Trans-China Logistics. An increase in vessel arrivals has resulted in inter-terminal lags and weakened operational efficiency, with high yard density at various terminals straining port facilities. So, delay times spiked in May, hitting three to four days, with vessels' arrival-to-berthing wait time reaching up to seven days.

Jordan showed improvement after it was hit hard last quarter, with operations at Aqaba port — the country’s only maritime gateway — severely affected by Red Sea disruptions. Jordan’s LSCI rose over 12 points q-o-q to 64.7 in 2Q 2024. The country leaped up in the rankings gaining six places and moving up to 71 globally this quarter, from a low point of 85 globally last quarter. Improvements could be attributed to strategies set up by Jordan in 1Q, namely a task force, to handle the sudden drop in volumes at Aqaba.

Background: The task force urged Aqaba Container Terminal to provide incentives for marine routes that continued to serve Aqaba Port in late January, while also proposing waiving storage fees for shipping providers and owners of empty containers prepared for export. Jordan is dependent on cargo traffic flowing through Bab Al-Mandab to Aqaba port, with some 30% of imports and 20% of exports requiring direct passage through the strait, according to an International Monetary Fund report.

Egypt also fared better this month, showing signs of improvement as the country’s shipping connectivity rose by almost 10 points q-o-q to 244.6 points in 2Q from 235.9 points in 1Q. Egypt gained a spot in the rankings, moving up to 23 worldwide in terms of its liner shipping connectivity. However, the decision by major carriers to reroute across the Cape of Good Hope saw Suez Canal transits fall, leaving Egypt the worst off financially. Suez Canal revenues fell 64.3% y-o-y in May to USD 337.8 mn, compared to USD 648 mn a year prior. With vessels transiting the canal down to around 1,111 during the month, dropping from 2,396 a year prior.

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Moves

Boeing appoints Kelly Ortberg as new CEO

Boeing has tapped Kelly Ortberg (LinkedIn) as its new CEO effective 8 August, Bloomberg reports. Ortberg — who succeeds current CEO Dave Calhoun — will be tasked with steering a huge turnaround for the embattled company. He comes with extensive experience in the aviation sector, having previously held the role of CEO at RTX Corp aviation supplier subsidiary Rockwell Collins.

A long-time coming: Boeing announced back in March that Dave Calhoun was to step down by the end of the year and that the firm was on the hunt for a replacement. The shakeup in Boeing’s leadership comes amid a crisis for the company that started with a January incident where a panel detached mid-flight on a Boeing jet.

REMEMBER- Emirates President Tim Clark hinted at the need for changes in Boeing’s leadership earlier in March. “When you change the governance model, it invariably involves changing the people around the old governance model,” Clark said.

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Also on Our Radar

Storage, maritime and trade updates from UAE and Oman

STORAGE + WAREHOUSES -

UAE to boost food storage facilities: UAE-based agri-tech platform FreshonTable has inked an MoU with Zayed Higher Organisation for People of Determination (ZHOPD) to build centers for the collection, storage, and distribution of food products, Wam reports. ZHOPD will provide land and secure the necessary permits for the building works. FreshonTable will manage the design, construction, and integration of equipment at the facilities as well as oversee daily operations.

SHIPPING + MARITIME-

(xxLK) Oman has launched a new maritime line linking Shinas Port to Iran’s Bandar Abbas Port, Ona reports. Oman and Iran had inked a partnership agreement to boost cooperation in shipping and the transport of goods back in 2019, Mehr reports.

TRADE-

Iraq's International Development Bank (IDB) has joined Etihad Credit Ins.’ Xport Xponential initiative, to facilitate UAE companies’ access to the Iraqi market by providing them with funding, Wam reports.

Remember- ECI launched the Xport Xponential initiative in May to boost UAE exports, particularly targeting SMEs and non-oil products. The platform seeks to offer UAE-based companies extensive credit facilities and financial solutions through collaborations with the financial and banking sectors. It also aims to streamline exporters' access to countries with economic partnership agreements with the UAE.

OTHER STORIES WORTH KNOWING THIS MORNING-

  • China-Iran rail line gets its first test run: Turkmenistan’s transport and logistics center ran its first container train test on the China-Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan-Iran rail route. Iran and China relaunched the container train service at Tehran’s Aprin Dry Port in June. (Business Turkmenistan)
  • Emirates adds another flight to Bali: Emirates is operating a second daily flight from Dubai to Bali from 1 September to 26 October to meet travel demand. (Wam)
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Around the World

Trump’s tariffs agenda could potentially spark a trade war

Could a second Trump presidency spark a trade war? A second US presidential term for Donald Trump could usher in a 10% tariff on all imports into the US and a 50% tariff on goods from top trading partner China, Reuters reported. The tariffs would likely spark retaliation from US trading partners — even political allies such as countries in Europe, Japan, South Korea, and India — who could place tariffs of their own on US imports.

How could they retaliate? US commodity exports will likely be the easiest target. As a major buyer of US commodities, China would likely effectively ban all commodity imports from the US — either formally or informally — if Trump imposes the 50% tariff. If the European Union, Japan, and South Korea impose 10% tariffs on US crude, US companies would be forced to either offer discounts or lower their output to keep their prices competitive.


The Panama Canal is set to increase the number of daily slots for vessels to 36, up from 34, starting September in light of the early arrival of the rainy season, Reuters reports. Panama currently operates 34 transits per day and will increase to 35 transits by five August, and then increase to 36 transits per day by September, deputy administrator Ilya Episino said. The Canal Authority expects the outlook to increase total revenues by 18% y-o-y to USD 5.6 bn during the FY 2024-25.

Not a first for the canal: The Panama Canal added three daily slots for transit through its Panamax Lox back in March to bring the total to 27. The canal increased its daily transits to 24 in January of this year at the end of the rainy season.

Background: The Panama Canal placed significant limits on vessels transiting the waterway last year due to a drought decreasing its water levels.


Europe’s reliance on Russian LNG is deepening as the US directs more ships to Asia, Bloomberg reports. Despite European efforts to wean off Russian supplies, imports of liquefied natural gas from Russia’s Yamal LNG have remained stable, although pipeline flows from the east are narrower than in early 2022. A drop in US shipments to Europe was recorded after the Freeport LNG facility in Texas suspended loadings for more than two weeks following Hurricane Beryl.

OTHER STORIES WORTH KNOWING THIS MORNING-

  • China’s manufacturing activity drops in July: China’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) dipped to 49.4 last month, down from 49.5 in June, falling for a third month. The outcome beat market expectations of 49.3, but still indicated that China needs to implement more stimulus to overcome stunted growth spurred by job insecurity and a protracted property crisis. (Reuters)

AUGUST

21-22 August (Wednesday-Thursday): Rex Fuels Global Expo & Conference 2024- Bitumen, Petrochemicals & Products, Dubai, UAE.

SEPTEMBER

2-4 September (Monday-Wednesday): Saudi Warehousing & Logistics Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

3-5 September (Tuesday-Thursday): Egypt International Airshow, El Alamein, Egypt.

10-11 September (Tuesday-Wednesday): SkyMove MENA, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

12 September (Wednesday): Deadline for companies to submit bids for expansion and operation of Baghdad’s International Airport.

18-19 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Saudi Maritime & Logistics Congress, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

23-25 September (Monday-Wednesday): WorldFreezonesOrganization’s Annual International Conference and Exhibition (AICE) , Dubai, UAE.

23-26 September (Monday-Thursday): Freight Summit 15th Global Conference, Dubai, UAE.

25-26 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Global Aerospace Summit, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

30 September - 2 October (Monday-Wednesday): African, Middle East & Islamic Finance Aviation 100 Awards, Dubai, UAE.

OCTOBER

6-8 October (Sunday-Tuesday): Routes World 2024, Bahrain.

8-10 October (Tuesday-Thursday): The Global Rail Transport Infrastructure Exhibition and Conference(Global Rail), Abu Dhabi, UAE.

7-9 October (Monday-Wednesday): AFSIC – Investing in Africa, London, UK.

8-10 October (Tuesday-Thursday): AntwerpXL Expo, Antwerp, Belgium.

13 October (Sunday): International Transport Workers’ Federation (ITF) Congress, Marrakesh, Morocco.

16-17 October (Monday-Tuesday): Global Airport & Aviation Forum, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

21-22 October (Monday-Tuesday): Smart Ports & Logistics Transformation Summit, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

22-24 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Asean Ports and Logistics, Johor, Malaysia.

22-24 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Global Ports Forum, Singapore.

26-27 October (Saturday-Sunday): International Conference on Tourism, Transport, and Logistics, Dubai, UAE.

NOVEMBER

11-12 November (Monday-Tuesday): World Advanced Manufacturing Logistics Summit & Expo, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

11-12 November (Monday-Tuesday): Saudi Airport Exhibition, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

11-14 November (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC Maritime and Logistics Exhibition and Conference, Abu Dhabi, UAE.

13-15 November (Wednesday-Friday): The Bahrain International Airshow, Sakhir Airbase, Bahrain.

18-20 November (Monday-Wednesday): The Heavy Equipment and Truck Show, Damman, Saudi Arabia.

19-21 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Saudi International Maritime Forum, Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

18-19 November (Monday-Tuesday): G20 Summit, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

20-21 November (Wednesday-Thursday): Saudi Rail Exhibition, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

DECEMBER

2-3 December (Monday-Tuesday) Wings of Change Middle East, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

10-11 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Rail Industry Summit, Casablanca, Morocco.

10-12 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Middle East Business Aviation, Dubai, UAE.

20 December (Wednesday): The Iran-Senegal Joint Economic Cooperation Commission, Dakar, Senegal.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

IATA Annual General Meeting (AGM) and World Air Transport Summit, New Delhi, India.

1H 2024: Civil Construction subcontracts for construction firms in Oman for implementation of the Abu Dhabi - Suhar rail link to be announced.

2H 2024: Bahri’s barges for Saline Water Conversion Corporation (SWCC) to begin initial and commercial operation.

King Salman Energy Park is set to become operational.

The Cross-Border Digital Trade Forum, Dubai.

2025

FEBRUARY

4-5 February (Tuesday-Wednesday): Seatrade Maritime Qatar, Doha, Qatar.

APRIL

16-17 April: Global Ports Forum, Dubai, UAE.

Mid-2025: Iraq will complete phase one of the construction of the Grand Faw Port.

DHL and Aramco’s logistics and procurement hub in Saudi Arabia will commence operations.

AD Ports-operated Safaga Port’s multi-purpose terminal will become operational.

Phase 3 of APM Terminals Tangier MedPort to be complete and operational.

1Q 2025: Sadr Park’s Logistics Center in Riyadh to be completed.

1Q 2025: Phase twoof Jafza Logistics Park to be completed.

2026

2026 UNCTAD Global Supply Chains Forum, Saudi Arabia.

2027

4Q 2027: Oman’s Musandam Airport construction to be completed.

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