Good morning, friends. It’s another packed issue today, with a lot of trade and tariff updates from the region and around the world. We also have the latest on Egypt’s rail and export-bound green hydrogen projects. But first, an update on the US-China trade war…
THE BIG LOGISTICS STORY- US moves through with China tariff hike: The US President Donald Trump followed through with his threat of a 104% tariff on Chinese goods, triggering a market sell-off. The tariff, which reaches up to 120% for some goods, pushed stock losses to the USD 10 tn mark, with the S&P 500 experiencing a sharp swing — despite gaining some 4% earlier in the day — to end the day 1.6% down. The index is now down 18.9% — dangerously close to the 20% mark defining a bear market.
Wait, why had markets rallied earlier? Markets had reacted positively to signs that Trump is open to negotiations with some countries over the tariffs, with the administration scheduling talks with South Korea and Japan, and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni due to visit the US next week.
This story grabbed a lot of ink in the int’l press: Reuters | FT | WSJ | Bloomberg | The Guardian | CBS | Washington Post
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Egypt entered into a five-year leasing agreement with Germany to charter an LNG regasification vessel, two sources with knowledge of the matter told EnterpriseAM. Germany — which reportedly has a charter contract for the vessel — Energos Power — will lease the vessel to Egypt at an estimated cost of USD 80 mn per year to provide 500 mn cubic feet of gasification capacity per day. The vessel is set to dock at Ain Sokhna port from June this year until 2032.
The government is preparing for a surge in demand over the summer months, which has led the country to target importing 155-160 shipments of LNG this year to close the gap between demand and supply. Egypt reportedly needs around 6.2 bn cubic feet per day (bcf/d), but domestic production currently only contributes 4.4 bcf/d, increasing the need for energy imports.
IN OTHER NEWS FROM EGYPT- The Senate advances a study aimed at reforming Egypt’s customs system, according to a statement from the Parliamentary Affairs Ministry. The study — which involves proposed amendments to the Customs Law — has been approved by the Senate and forwarded to President Abdel Fattah El Sisi for approval.
Standardization + automation: The commonsense plan — prepared by Sen. Mohamed AbouGhaly to expedite customs clearance and clamp down on smuggling — involves standardizing customs procedures across all ports, automating price verification systems so that estimated values for imported goods are accurately matched with real market prices. The plan proposes implementing a secure system for tracking goods movement without human intervention, among other changes.
Over two phases: The reforms will be brought to life in two phases. The first will see the implementation of regulations aimed at improving pre-clearance procedures and employing specialized committees, while the second will focus on executive regulations that establish binding controls.
#2- UAE, GCC firms — especially those with supply chains linked to Asia — could be in for weaker margins on the back of Trump’s tariffs, analysts and economists with expertise in the region told Zawya. While the GCC’s exposure to the impact of Trump’s tariffs is limited given the region’s limited exports to the US, ensuing global volatility, weaker demand, and delayed investments are expected to weigh on companies’ 2Q earnings performance, Zawya reports.
What they said: “The uncertainty surrounding the tariffs and their potential impact on global trade could lead to continued market volatility over the next 2-3 months,” said Hamza Dweik, head of trading at Saxo Bank MENA. Analysts also flagged the risk of economic instability and strain on fiscal budgets from falling oil prices, capital outflows, and tighter fiscal conditions if trade tensions persist.
Regional IPO activity may also slow amid market instability, Dweik said. Economic diversification projects reliant on oil revenues could also take a hit, Pepperstone’s Research Strategist Ahmad Assiri added.
IN OTHER TARIFFS IMPACT NEWS- The aviation industry worldwide is bracing for costs hike as the Trump tariff put the aviation industry in “uncharted territory,” Emirates President Tim Clark said in a CNBC interview (watch, runtime: 6:44). “It’s uncharted because it involves a measure of reset to a level that the global economy probably hasn’t seen since the financial crisis of 2008-2009,” Clark said, referring to growing pressures on carriers and aviation supply chain issues. In the short-term, demand might weaken slightly, though travel will remain resilient, he added. Emirates, as one of the world’s largest international carriers, will feel the ripple effects, but it will be able to ride the wave thanks to its global reach and strong business model, Clark said.
MARKET WATCH-
#1- Oil prices fell to a four-year low this morning after the US moved ahead with its tariff hike on Chinese products, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures dipped by USD 2.38 to USD 60.44 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped by USD 2.46 to reach USD 57.12 a barrel by 04.23 GMT.
#2- Baltic index on a downward spiral: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — fell 4.2% to 1,342 points on Tuesday. The capesize dipped 5% to 1,915 points, while the panamax index slipped by 5.8% to reach 1,278 points. The smaller supramax index shed 1.1% points to 954.
DATA POINTS-
#1-Imports at Jordan’s Aqaba Container Terminal saw a 25% y-o-y increase in 1Q 2025 to 109k containers, Petra reports, citing Jordanian Logistics Association data. The terminal’s exports rose by 12.5% y-o-y to 25.7k containers during the same period.
#2- The Ajman Freezones Authority recorded a 15% y-o-y increase in both revenue and net income for 2024, driven by a 170% spike in new company registrations — the highest growth rate in recent years, Wam reports. The investment zone also saw its occupancy rate reach 97%.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
The UAE will host the IATA World Cargo Symposium from Tuesday, 15 April to Thursday, 17 April in Dubai. The event will host sessions, specialized streams, workshops, and summits related to technology, security, customs, cargo operations, and sustainability for over 1.4k industry leaders.
The UAE will host the Airport Show on Tuesday, 6 May to Thursday, 8 May in Dubai. The event will show products and technology for the airport industry from over 160 international suppliers and manufacturers across 20 countries. It will also provide a platform for networking with key players across seven airport sectors.
Saudi Arabia will host the Saudi Smart Logistics trade fair on Monday, 12 May to Thursday, 15 May in Riyadh. The event will provide insights into the latest international and local technology, solutions, equipment providers, and sustainable workflow practices within the logistics industry in the country.
The UAE will host the Global Ports Forum on Tuesday, 13 May to Wednesday, 14 May in Dubai. The forum will cover topics such as port strategy and development, port automation, finance and efficiency.
Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.




