Good morning, folks. We’re starting the month with a brisk read, topped with investment updates on the Egypt-Libya-Chad transit route project. It’s also earnings season, and we have a flurry of reports from regional players. But first, the latest on the US tariffs front…
THE BIG LOGISTICS STORY- It’s finally August — aka Tariff Month — and US President Donald Trump has published alist of new tariffs set to be implemented next Friday. Trading partners are sorted into three groups depending on trade surplus, with most of the Gulf falling into the first group hit by the minimum 10%.
Among the highest tariffs: Canada will be slapped with a 35% tariff, higher than the earlier announced 25%, as diplomatic friction with the US continues, and after it said it would recognize a Palestinian state; and Switzerland was slapped with a 39% tariff.
Zooming in on India: India will be subject to a 25% tariff — plus another yet-to-be announced import duty in retaliation against the country’s oil and military trade with Russia. Talks are still ongoing between the US and India, the BBC reported.
India is dependent on Russia for its crude consumption,with up to 40% of the country’s crude imports coming from Russia. Coupled with the latest widening sanctions on Russian trade oil operations, the new US tariff stance forces India into making a difficult trade-off between its energy security and its trade relationship with the world’s largest economy.
The impact: India’s refiners have been quick to react to Trump’s sanction threats, with India’s biggest refiner, Indian Oil, pivoting to buy at least 2 mn barrels from Abu Dhabi and 5 mn of US crude, Bloomberg reports, citing traders. India’s Reliance Industries also purchased one mn barrels of Abu Dhabi’s Murban crude last month, with trading volumes of Murban futures having increased, in recent weeks, amid growing market interest in alternative crude sources as geopolitical tensions shift procurement patterns across Asia and Europe.
The story is everywhere in the foreign press: Associated Press | Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | CNBC | New York Times
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Aqaba Port welcomes EGAS floating terminal: Jordan’s Aqaba Port received a floating regasification unit — the Energos Force — leased by Egypt’s state-owned Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company (EGAS), according to a statement published on Saturday. The two countries will share the unit to improve their energy contingencies, with a capacity of 750 mcf/d.
ICYMI- The move comes ahead of plans to connect Aqaba Port to the Arab Gas Pipeline and establish a permanent regasification unit at Aqaba. A tender for the latter project is expected in 4Q 2026.
IN ANOTHER GAS LOGISTICS NEWS– Oman greenlights Sohar Port gas pipeline: Oman’s state-owned Integrated Gas Company (IGC) has approved a new 193-km gas pipeline to meet national demand in Sohar Port and Wilayat of Ibri, according to IGC CEO Abdulrahman bin Humaid Al Yahyai in a statement sent to OmanNews Agency. The pipeline is slated to be completed within 24 months from the start of implementation. The pipeline — to be implemented by state-owned OQ Gas Networks (OQGN) — will supply around 13 mn cbm of gas per day, starting from Wilayat of Ibri in Al Dhahirah Governorate and extending to Wilayat of Sohar in northern Al Batinah Governorate.
REFRESHER- OQGN awarded Egyptian petroleum projects firm Petrojet an engineering, procurement, and construction contract for the OMR 105 mn pipeline last month. The state-owned gas operator also inked a contract with India-based Jindal Saw Limited to supply piping for the project. The country’s northern gas network is set to get a capacity boost from the pipeline, with about 9 mn cbm per day in gas pumping capacity earmarked for the region.
#2- Riyadh Air soon to fly in London’s sky? PIF-owned Riyadh Air will reportedly launch flights on 26 October connecting Riyadh and London Heathrow Airport, using its Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner fleet, Aviation Business reported last week. The move comes after the airline secured a daily slot at Heathrow in a swap with British Airways, marking its first-ever international destination in Europe.
Could we see the launch before 3Q ends? Saudi’s newest carrier has pushed back its launch to 3Q 2025 from earlier this year after facing delays in Boeing aircraft deliveries. The airline voiced plans inJune to serve 100 cities by 2030, aiming to add a destination every two months once it’s operational. The carrier also announced it has snapped up the necessary landing slots for its first destinations, and is set to reveal its first route and ticket sale mechanism in the upcoming months.
IN OTHER AVIATION NEWS- Etihad bags more jets in July: Etihad Airways secured five new aircraft last month as part of its efforts to expand its fleet to accommodate some 38 mn passengers annually by 2030, according to a statement released last week. The airline received one jet each of Airbus’ A321LR, A350-1000, and A320 models, as well as two Boeing 787 Dreamliners — its highest monthly delivery rate yet.
On brand: Etihad Airways is looking to onboard18 new aircraft by year-end, in hopes of growing its fleet to some 115-120 aircraft to accommodate 21.5 mn passengers — assuming no manufacturer delays. During US President Donald Trump’s May visit to Abu Dhabi, the airline said it would invest USD 14.5 bn to acquire 28 Boeing 787 and 777X aircraft.
#3- US sanctions more of Iran’s shadow fleet: The US State Department sanctioned 20 entities and 10 vessels for their alleged role in Iran’s crude and petrochemicals trade, according to a statement released last week. The sanctioned firms, terminals, and tankers are based or registered in the UAE, India, China, Iran, Turkey, or Indonesia. The US has been ramping up the pressure on Iran, enacting sweeping new sanctions on 115 Iran-linked individuals and businesses last week.
MARKET WATCH-
#1- Oil prices dropped this morning in the wake of Opec+ decision to move ahead with its September production hike, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures was down USD 0.18 to reach USD 69.49 / bbl by 04.56 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures dipped USD 0.12 to trade at USD 67.21 / bbl. Losses were, however, capped by expectations of tighter supplies as Indian refineries pivot away, for now, from Russian crude.
What went down in Opec+: The group has approved an oil production increase of 547k barrels per day for September, concluding a phase of its supply restoration strategy one year ahead of schedule, according to a press release. The hike completes a gradual reverse of the bloc’s 2.2 mn bpd cut instituted in 2023, bringing Saudi Arabia’s quota to 9.75 mn bbl/d.
The unwinding started back in April, when eight of Opec+’s producers agreed to hike production by 411k barrels a day, citing “continuing healthy market fundamentals and the positive market outlook” as the reasoning behind its decision.
A lot to gain: Opec+ will likely benefit from its decision to prioritize market share over price stability, despite initial economic strain. Members are hoping to claw back market share ceded to US shale and other competitors, as oil supply growth from non-Opec producers is expected to slow by over 80% through 2027.
More in the bag: The group is still holding onto some 1.65 mn bbl/d per day from eight member countries, and an additional 2 mn bbl/d reduction across the entire alliance, Reuters reports. Both measures are scheduled to expire by the close of 2026.
What’s next? The cartel meets next on 7 September to discuss its policy for October.
#2- Baltic index inches up: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk sea freight index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — was up 0.75% to 2,018 points on Friday, buoyed by its larger segments. The capesize gained 1.8% to 3,296 points, while the panamax index dipped 0.9% to 1,644 points. The smaller supramax index inched up 0.1% to 1,269 points.
#3- The Drewry World Container Index fell by 1% to USD 2,499 per 40-ft container on Thursday, according to the latest index readings. The drop comes on the back of market turbulence driven by the US tariffs’ play since April. The container forecaster projects the supply-demand balance to fall in 2H 2025, causing spot rates to fall further.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
The UAE will host the Africa Procurement and Supply Chain Leaders’ Conference on Monday, 25 August until Friday, 29 August in Dubai. The conference will host global industry leaders, policymakers and stakeholders to discuss how AI is changing procurement and supply chain efficiency, sustainability and risk management.
Oman will host Transport Middle East on Monday, 1 September until Wednesday, 3 September in Salalah. The conference will host 35 international speakers and over 50 exhibitors from the maritime sector to discuss global transportation and logistics.
Saudi Arabia will host the Sustainable Maritime Industry Conference on Wednesday, 3 and Thursday, 4 September in Jeddah. The event is set to gather over 60 speakers and more than 3k participants to discuss maritime decarbonization, digital transformation, regulatory frameworks, capacity building, and sustainable practices.
Algeria will host the Intra-African Trade Fair on Thursday, 4 September until Wednesday, 10 September in Algiers. The fair will host over 75 countries and 2k exhibitors across several sectors to explore investment prospects and exchange information on trade between B2B and B2G.
Oman will host the Comex Global Technology Show on Sunday, 7 September and run till Wednesday, 10 September in Muscat. The event will host over 360 participants and 133 tech startups to show achievements in eGovernment, fintech, smart cities, health tech, agritech and cybersecurity.
Check out our full calendar at the bottom of this email for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events and news triggers.




